I am going to make a small pick on the Cavs to win series down 3-1

[xxdjstriderxx]

i would rather go put my money on 00 on the roulette wheel for a 30 to 1 payout, rather than on the cavs to pull a miracle for a measly 2.5 to 1 payday.
GL.

out of 36 or whatever spins on the wheel, 00 should hit at least once according to probability

if you did this matchup 36 times, i dont think cleveland would sweep 3 in a row, with 1 in orlando.......not once. and if they did you would still only be getting paid 2.5 to 1

with that being said i would rather bet $100 on the 00...34 times and hope to break even if it hits once, rather than betting on cavs to win this series 34 times if given the chance at that price

[The General]

No doubt. I was thinking that the price would be in the $3-$4 range when posting the thread.

[hoopster42]

dont do it.

182-8 in history.

just go for per game and buy points

4.3 % chance but quintuple that because of lebron. 21.5% chance the cavs do it just simply because they have lebron on their side.

[blittydeuce]

GL General

[juuso]

That price is not that far off considering Cavs will again be big faves on the ML and probably some 8-10 pointspread faves at home.

[Dazzez]

i would rather go put my money on 00 on the roulette wheel for a 30 to 1 payout, rather than on the cavs to pull a miracle for a measly 2.5 to 1 payday.
GL.

out of 36 or whatever spins on the wheel, 00 should hit at least once according to probability

if you did this matchup 36 times, i dont think cleveland would sweep 3 in a row, with 1 in orlando.......not once. and if they did you would still only be getting paid 2.5 to 1

with that being said i would rather bet $100 on the 00...34 times and hope to break even if it hits once, rather than betting on cavs to win this series 34 times if given the chance

Because I like you here's what I'm going to do: I'll bet the Cavs at +250 with you and you take a spin of a roulette wheel on 00 for +3000 with me.

Deal?

[hoopster42]

the cavs must win 1 gm at a time, 3 times, with 2 of those gms at hm, and 1 in orlando where they just went to overtime. come on now, this is much more possible than anybody realizes

[FreeFall]

at +212 at matchy it's not really worth it.

[hoopster42]

the odds of only +200ish to +250ish to tell you something, this series is far from over kids

[xxdjstriderxx]

Because I like you here's what I'm going to do: I'll bet the Cavs at +250 with you and you take a spin of a roulette wheel on 00 for +3000 with me.

Deal?

if we do this once, outstanding chance we both lose our $100 to each other.
but over 34+ times, i think the wheel is the better deal
id love to spin the wheel with you 50 times at a +3000 payout each time it hits 00
and pay you +250 each time out of 50 the cavs come back and win the series 1-3

too bad this is not possible in reality, id be very curious to see the outcome.
but using a perfect computer model to calculate the odds Cleveland will sweep 3 games 2hm 1 rd...i think the outcome is very unlikely.

my point and case, i would have to be getting at least roulette wheel odds or better to place a bet on cleveland to take this series. +300? GTFO

[The General]

I have decided to pass on this play, so now it is most likely to happen.

[Mac4Lyfe]

the odds of only +200ish to +250ish to tell you something, this series is far from over kids

You have lost your mind...

[mehow]

i wouldn't be suprised if cavs will end series in next game you guys just love lebron and you can't take note that orlando is better team.

[hoopster42]

guys, seriously, 3 of the 4 gms have come down to the final possession, the other gm was very close til about 1 min left, you cant possibly think that cleve doesnt win gm 5 and push orl to the brink in gm 6, feeling all that pressure to end it and not go back to cleve....i'm just sayin

[dbldown]

take the (-) juice on orlando to the bank.. if they are giving those kinda odds..

bookmaker hasn't posted a line, but that is a joke

[Rich Boy]

In all fairness, Orlando has been getting quite lucky. Their 3pt shooting for the past few games have been well above average. Also, Cleveland's 3pt shooting has been way down

Orlando's 3pt percentage for the regular season is - .381

Orlando's 3pt percentage for the past 4 games :

Game 4 (17-38 = .447)
Game 3 (6-17 = .353)
Game 2 (10-23 = .435)
Game 1 (9-20 = .450)

Total (42-98 = .428)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Clevelands 3pt percentage for the regular season is - .393

Cleveland's 3pt percentage for the past 4 games :

Game 4 (6-22 = .273)
Game 3 (5-26 = .192)
Game 2 (5-19 = .263)
Game 1 (8-25 = .320)

Total (24-92 = .260)
-------------------------------------------------------------

And to eliminate the fact that it could be due to the match-up I looked up the 3pt shooting for the times they played during the regular season.

Game 1 - Jan 29
Cle (7-14 = .500)
Orl (11-31 = .355)

Game 2 - Mar 17
Cle (7-22 = .318)
Orl (10-28 = .357)

Game 3 - Apr 3
Cle (9-17 = .529)
Orl (13-27 = .481)

Regular season Total
Cle (23-53 = .434)
Orl (34-86 = .395)

Those are the numbers, this is the truth...

[hoopster42]

lets assume cleve wins gm 5, which is a safer assumption than orlando winning, then in gm 6 down in orlando, the magic are gona feel so much pressure to close them out, those 3s might not be falling so easily w/the pressure mounting

[hoopster42]

great stuff, Rich Boy, numbers dont lie, i think orlando has played well over their heads and cleve has played well below, gm 6 if it gets to that, will be a war, i would rather be in a foxhole with lebron than the magic players, cleve wins that then gm 7 may as well not even be played because its cleve to the house babeeee

[Rich Boy]

I think we can all agree that Cleveland will WIN the next game, you should take the series price of +230 (or whatever they are offering) right now, because it will probably be -150/+140 once Cleveland takes game 5

[Irish Jet]

The Magic are the better team. Are guys forgetting that the Cavs are a miracle play away from this series already being over?

I don't think the Cavs win another game. The Magic have owned this team all season and even with the help of the refs they're continuing to own them in the playoffs. Take the Magic winning the series to the bank because barring some crazy luck the Cavs aren't winning 3 straight games against a team that is clearly superior to them.

[Irish Jet]

I think we can all agree that Cleveland will WIN the next game

No

[jsmithj88]

In all fairness, Orlando has been getting quite lucky. Their 3pt shooting for the past few games have been well above average. Also, Cleveland's 3pt shooting has been way down

Orlando's 3pt percentage for the regular season is - .381

Orlando's 3pt percentage for the past 4 games :

Game 4 (17-38 = .447)
Game 3 (6-17 = .353)
Game 2 (10-23 = .435)
Game 1 (9-20 = .450)

Total (42-98 = .428)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Clevelands 3pt percentage for the regular season is - .393

Cleveland's 3pt percentage for the past 4 games :

Game 4 (6-22 = .273)
Game 3 (5-26 = .192)
Game 2 (5-19 = .263)
Game 1 (8-25 = .320)

Total (24-92 = .260)
-------------------------------------------------------------

And to eliminate the fact that it could be due to the match-up I looked up the 3pt shooting for the times they played during the regular season.

Game 1 - Jan 29
Cle (7-14 = .500)
Orl (11-31 = .355)

Game 2 - Mar 17
Cle (7-22 = .318)
Orl (10-28 = .357)

Game 3 - Apr 3
Cle (9-17 = .529)
Orl (13-27 = .481)

Regular season Total
Cle (23-53 = .434)
Orl (34-86 = .395)

Those are the numbers, this is the truth...

obviously, the regular season means nothing
playoffs show ur true colors
the cavs cant play with the magic
it seems that if the cavs were up 50 at the half, the magic will still come back and beat them

[jsmithj88]

I think we can all agree that Cleveland will WIN the next game

i bet u said the same thing about game 4

[Irish Jet]

In all fairness, Orlando has been getting quite lucky. Their 3pt shooting for the past few games have been well above average. Also, Cleveland's 3pt shooting has been way down

Orlando's 3pt percentage for the regular season is - .381

Orlando's 3pt percentage for the past 4 games :

Game 4 (17-38 = .447)
Game 3 (6-17 = .353)
Game 2 (10-23 = .435)
Game 1 (9-20 = .450)

Total (42-98 = .428)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Clevelands 3pt percentage for the regular season is - .393

Cleveland's 3pt percentage for the past 4 games :

Game 4 (6-22 = .273)
Game 3 (5-26 = .192)
Game 2 (5-19 = .263)
Game 1 (8-25 = .320)

Total (24-92 = .260)
-------------------------------------------------------------

And to eliminate the fact that it could be due to the match-up I looked up the 3pt shooting for the times they played during the regular season.

Game 1 - Jan 29
Cle (7-14 = .500)
Orl (11-31 = .355)

Game 2 - Mar 17
Cle (7-22 = .318)
Orl (10-28 = .357)

Game 3 - Apr 3
Cle (9-17 = .529)
Orl (13-27 = .481)

Regular season Total
Cle (23-53 = .434)
Orl (34-86 = .395)

Those are the numbers, this is the truth...

Orlando's game is based on the 3 point shots. They take so many that naturally their % takes a hit. Those stats are meaningless, didn't Orlando win 2 of those 3 games?

Orlando has stepped up in the post-season. This team seems to play better when the pressure was on. For those who think they'll start missing when the pressure is on - Did you see game 7 against Boston IN Boston? They came up BIG in that game with the 3 point shot.

Orlando are the better team. Deal with it.

[Irish Jet]

i bet u said the same thing about game 4

And probably to a much greater extent - Game 1.

The Magic have already beaten the Cavs on the road, and were VERY unlucky not to have beaten them twice. I can't see how anyone could foresee Cleveland beating them in 3 straight games. Not happening.

[Rich Boy]

Dont be a fool my friend, you are betting with your heart. The numbers cannot lie.

[BrandonLaz]

It is very possible that the Cavs could win 3 straight. I was going to hedge my Orlando Series +560 today, but for that price it just isn't worth it. I would not put it past a team that won 66 games during the regular season to get some inspiration out of nowhere and start playing like a champion. Orlando just has to keep playing with that tough Championship style basketball that they have been and they will close it out in Cleveland.

[lakerboy]

once again there are some people who just wont end their lebron dikk sucking- for all he has done only one of his shots in this series has meant anything- plus orlando is shooting better on 3's this series cause their always wide open- most nba players will hit wide open 3's-that arent named Mo(retard) Williams

[hoopster42]

once again there are some people who just wont end their lebron dikk sucking- for all he has done only one of his shots in this series has meant anything- plus orlando is shooting better on 3's this series cause their always wide open- most nba players will hit wide open 3's-that arent named Mo(retard) Williams

that would be me!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[hoopster42]

cant wait to see how orlando deals with a ball that feels like a bowling ball as the pressure sets in 2nd half of gm 6, they are living and dying by the 3 and its gona be time to die, lol

[unknown Gambler]

In all fairness, Orlando has been getting quite lucky. Their 3pt shooting for the past few games have been well above average. Also, Cleveland's 3pt shooting has been way down

Orlando's 3pt percentage for the regular season is - .381

Orlando's 3pt percentage for the past 4 games :

Game 4 (17-38 = .447)
Game 3 (6-17 = .353)
Game 2 (10-23 = .435)
Game 1 (9-20 = .450)

Total (42-98 = .428)
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Clevelands 3pt percentage for the regular season is - .393

Cleveland's 3pt percentage for the past 4 games :

Game 4 (6-22 = .273)
Game 3 (5-26 = .192)
Game 2 (5-19 = .263)
Game 1 (8-25 = .320)

Total (24-92 = .260)
-------------------------------------------------------------

And to eliminate the fact that it could be due to the match-up I looked up the 3pt shooting for the times they played during the regular season.

Game 1 - Jan 29
Cle (7-14 = .500)
Orl (11-31 = .355)

Game 2 - Mar 17
Cle (7-22 = .318)
Orl (10-28 = .357)

Game 3 - Apr 3
Cle (9-17 = .529)
Orl (13-27 = .481)

Regular season Total
Cle (23-53 = .434)
Orl (34-86 = .395)

Those are the numbers, this is the truth...

you mean half the truth, heres the other half

jan 29th Magiic 99 Cavs 88
Mar 17th Cavs 97Magic 93
Apr 3rd Magic 116 Cavs 87 , cavs worst beating of the season.

[unknown Gambler]

once again there are some people who just wont end their lebron dikk sucking- for all he has done only one of his shots in this series has meant anything- plus orlando is shooting better on 3's this series cause their always wide open- most nba players will hit wide open 3's-that arent named Mo(retard) Williams

hes allowed his opinion, however wrong we think he is.

the Cavs have shown throughout the season and playoffs they dont seem to be able to win in Orlando they are 0-4.

dont know why he would put his hard earned money on that stat, but anything can happen in sports.

[The General]

At 2/1 I do not regret passing on the play. We can get better chances every week on other sports.

[Tsoprano]

Magic in 6.

[Mac4Lyfe]

The Magic could end up the biggest chokers ever...