Every "Tout" & "Capper" in the forum is on....

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  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #1
    Every "Tout" & "Capper" in the forum is on....
    The Nuggets today.

    Every Tout has made it their Play of the...Year/Month/Day/Decade. I'll fade that trend any day. I'm not being a jerk, just when the touts are in a "circle-jerk" something is usually wrong.

    Considering the law of avgs. When everyone is on one side of a bet. One of them has to be wrong, which means all of them are wrong.

    Same thing happened over the weekend on the ESPN pre-game show when the consensus picked the Nuggets to win game 4.

    Laker ML is my play. I truly wish yall the best of luck.
  • frostno98
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-11-07
    • 9769

    #2
    Originally posted by HoulihansTX
    The Nuggets today.

    Every Tout has made it their Play of the...Year/Month/Day/Decade. I'll fade that trend any day. I'm not being a jerk, just when the touts are in a "circle-jerk" something is usually wrong.

    Considering the law of avgs. When everyone is one is on one side of a bet one of them has to be one, which means all of them are wrong.

    Same thing happened over the weekend on the ESPN pre-game show when the consensus picked the Nuggets to win game 4.

    Laker ML is my play. I truly wish yall the best of luck.

    Forget about the tout, the public is finally unanimous in taking the Lakers moneyline and pointspread for the 1st time. Games 1 to 3 was usually split between the Nuggets and Lakers.
    Comment
    • losturmarbles
      SBR MVP
      • 07-01-08
      • 4604

      #3
      Originally posted by frostno98
      Forget about the tout, the public is finally unanimous in taking the Lakers moneyline and pointspread for the 1st time. Games 1 to 3 was usually split between the Nuggets and Lakers.
      they are?

      i see 60/40 lakers+4.5/nuggets-4.5 and 38/62 lakers/nuggets ml.

      not that any of this matters

      going to be a close game, denver should win though
      Comment
      • daggerkobe
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-25-08
        • 10744

        #4
        Lang

        25 Dime - Nuggets
        15 Dime - Nuggets (1st half)

        Pray if ur on Denver.
        Comment
        • InTheHole
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 04-28-08
          • 15243

          #5
          Not Doc Sports
          Comment
          • SexyMit
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-12-06
            • 6139

            #6
            Originally posted by daggerkobe
            Lang

            25 Dime - Nuggets
            15 Dime - Nuggets (1st half)

            Pray if ur on Denver.
            If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

            I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
            Comment
            • pattymayo
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 05-19-09
              • 10221

              #7
              I'm with you HoulihansTX... Lakers win tonight and wrap it up Thursday back home. I think tonight is close, but I think Kobe dominates the fourth quarter once again.
              Comment
              • Skalatharx
                SBR High Roller
                • 05-07-09
                • 242

                #8
                Lakers Win, Denver Epic Fails
                Comment
                • Rizzla
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-04-09
                  • 100

                  #9
                  Lakers spread ftw!
                  Comment
                  • flyingillini
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 41219

                    #10
                    I am on the Lakers 1st Q, 1st H and game. All Praise to be Allah
                    המוסד‎
                    המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                    Comment
                    • yisman
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 09-01-08
                      • 75682

                      #11
                      Originally posted by HoulihansTX

                      Considering the law of avgs. When everyone is on one side of a bet. One of them has to be wrong, which means all of them are wrong.
                      1)That is horribly flawed logic.

                      2)I track tout/handicapper plays. I found three plays on the Lakers.
                      Doc Sports, Tony Weston, and more.
                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                      [/quote]

                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                      Comment
                      • edlaw
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 04-20-09
                        • 416

                        #12
                        reconsider,your falling into the high% public group ML 75% riding lakers 65% riding over and the spread line 58% the call is nugs ML and the under
                        Comment
                        • InTheHole
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-28-08
                          • 15243

                          #13
                          What is the "Public"----seems to be an assumption that they're a group of highly uneducated bettors...partly true but IMHO with the Internet and forum like SBR, etc. I wouldn't read too much into it given how freely information is being exchanged. I have a small amount on the Lakers (because I like betting and it's the playoffs) but I think the spread is razor sharp.
                          Comment
                          • edlaw
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 04-20-09
                            • 416

                            #14
                            no has nothing to do w/ the educated or uneducation of betters ,it all has to do w/the riding of all the money versus Vegas
                            Comment
                            • SportsTerminator
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-18-09
                              • 5179

                              #15
                              I can't believe most of you are riding the Lakers. When has Denver failed us except game 3. We didn't even expect them to win game 2 against the Lakers, game 4 against New Orleans and Dallas game 3. You have to give more credit to Denver anywho...

                              I'm on Denver... either Denver +3.5 -360 Or Denver ML -205... And I make take Denver 1st half -3 or -2 First Quarter.
                              Bet To Win
                              Comment
                              • Razz_Donkey
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-27-08
                                • 1756

                                #16
                                This game is has 2 critical factors. Lakers bench, and Melo. If either one has problems then historically the other side is likely to cover the spread. Melo has been great, and LA's bench is way too overated. I think Denver has a real good shot here. Still, my gut tells me LA +5 is the correct play.

                                The over under has me just as torn. Although thsese teams can blow up for huge scores, when they matchup against one another we tend to get unders. But 208.5 seems like the books have over corrected on this one. Recent trends say under, but gut reaction here is over.
                                Comment
                                • flyingillini
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 41219

                                  #17
                                  Who would Christ pick tonight?
                                  המוסד‎
                                  המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                  Comment
                                  • daggerkobe
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-25-08
                                    • 10744

                                    #18
                                    Lakers bench has been horrid except for Ariza.

                                    Farmar, Vujucic, Walton, Brown..... All worthless.

                                    Even starters Odum, Fisher and Bynum are jokes.

                                    If it werent for Kobe's clutch shooting they'd be 0-3 and on the verge of being swept.
                                    Comment
                                    • SportsTerminator
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-18-09
                                      • 5179

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by daggerkobe
                                      Lakers bench has been horrid except for Ariza.

                                      Farmar, Vujucic, Walton, Brown..... All worthless.

                                      Even starters Odum, Fisher and Bynum are jokes.

                                      If it werent for Kobe's clutch shooting they'd be 0-3 and on the verge of being swept.
                                      So true but Gasol did step up his game in game 3.
                                      Bet To Win
                                      Comment
                                      • nysmoneyman
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-13-08
                                        • 3101

                                        #20
                                        public on the lakers tonite

                                        Comment
                                        • edlaw
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 04-20-09
                                          • 416

                                          #21
                                          i been saying that all day
                                          Comment
                                          • nysmoneyman
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-13-08
                                            • 3101

                                            #22
                                            everyone was on orlando last nite (i hope u were) and that worked out ok (for me)

                                            Comment
                                            • SportsTerminator
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-18-09
                                              • 5179

                                              #23
                                              Most of the people on this forum had Orlando but the public had Cleveland yesterday. The public are just Cleveland and Lakers fans...
                                              Bet To Win
                                              Comment
                                              • pavyracer
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-12-07
                                                • 82839

                                                #24
                                                Who is the public?
                                                Comment
                                                • edlaw
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 04-20-09
                                                  • 416

                                                  #25
                                                  actually last-nite was the same senerio and i was on the under and the magic ML,game went under by 1,and of course magis won by 10,the same % last nite is the same % tonite maybe every-1 on this forum might of but im taking the general betting public w/vegas
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-04-09
                                                    • 48383

                                                    #26
                                                    I'm done with both series. Hard to make money when one team cover's the 1st half and the other cover the other every fukking time. Better off betting on Lacrosse
                                                    Comment
                                                    • edlaw
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 04-20-09
                                                      • 416

                                                      #27
                                                      70% of the betting public is on the lakers 65% is on the spread and 70% is on the over which once again tells me nugs ML and the under
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pavyracer
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-12-07
                                                        • 82839

                                                        #28
                                                        Lakers will lose tonight. Big.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lakerboy
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-02-09
                                                          • 94379

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                          Lakers will lose tonight. Big.
                                                          thats what you said last game- the game will come down to an inbounds play
                                                          Comment
                                                          • frostno98
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-11-07
                                                            • 9769

                                                            #30
                                                            Denver wins by double digits.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • IGotDi$
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-25-09
                                                              • 569

                                                              #31
                                                              Den-2 1st qtr
                                                              Den-3 1st half
                                                              under 209
                                                              Comment
                                                              • nysmoneyman
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-13-08
                                                                • 3101

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                The Nuggets today.

                                                                Every Tout has made it their Play of the...Year/Month/Day/Decade. I'll fade that trend any day. I'm not being a jerk, just when the touts are in a "circle-jerk" something is usually wrong.

                                                                Considering the law of avgs. When everyone is on one side of a bet. One of them has to be wrong, which means all of them are wrong.

                                                                Same thing happened over the weekend on the ESPN pre-game show when the consensus picked the Nuggets to win game 4.

                                                                Laker ML is my play. I truly wish yall the best of luck.
                                                                sometimes u gotta go with the tide then to swim against it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • daggerkobe
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-25-08
                                                                  • 10744

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Bench scoring:

                                                                  Nuggets 13-26FG 35pts
                                                                  Lakers 5-24FG 17pts

                                                                  Worthless......
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SportsTerminator
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-18-09
                                                                    • 5179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    GJ Nuggets backers! And Carmelo had a TERRIBLE game!

                                                                    Now HAMMER the Lakers for game 5 lol.
                                                                    Bet To Win
                                                                    Comment
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