Why take Nuggets -4.5?

[X-Rated]

Someone please convince me why I should take Nuggets -4.5 for tonights game 4. Currently 69% public is on Lakers and still the line jumped from 4 to 4.5. This seems like Nuggets -4.5 should be the play, we all know that the Lakers has been 7-1 ats as underdog. Plus, Kobe hates it when his team plays a game as the underdog, and we all know what usually happens when Kobe get pissed.

[The General]

Back against wall really. Laying the points is always risky.

[X-Rated]

Or could it go the other way where the Lakers get blown out by Nuggets like what happened in Houston game 4.

[NBA Hero]

cause the lines are suspicious. major reason for me. other reasons are a toss coin, depends on your fav team

[darrell74]

Talked to a friend, last night
Big Laker fan
Said the bookies love this, cause everyone will go heavy Lakers

He told me that the Lakers have lost over 90 % ATS
last 15 yrs
when up 2-1
on the road
in a game 4

Can't tremember the website he got the info
I was in my car, on the road, on my way to work, at the time

May be worth doing the research

But that's the theory I got to offer

[SexyMit]

Yes I think Lakers lose tonight also... Denver is to good of a team to lose both games at home!

[darrell74]

Agreed!

Gonna watch for line movement, get the best price

[SexyMit]

The line movement right now backs Denver.... GL

[pavyracer]

If the Lakers are down by 10-15 points first half Phil Jackson will pull the starters out. He did this in both Houston losses and Jazz loss. Lakers don't need this game.

[NBA Hero]

where has all the nuggets backers went. if den loses thsi one, they just dug their own grave.

[SexyMit]

If the Lakers are down by 10-15 points first half Phil Jackson will pull the starters out. He did this in both Houston losses and Jazz loss. Lakers don't need this game.

Exactly!

[pavyracer]

where has all the nuggets backers went. if den loses thsi one, they just dug their own grave.

But if they win the Lakers will be digging the Nuggets grave. So who's paying for the funeral.

[SexyMit]

Pavy you keep saying Stern wants Cleveland-Lakers final! Cleveland is 1 shot away from being down 3-0 right now! I'm beginning to wonder how good Cleveland really is or does Orlando just have there number?

[darrell74]

Orlando has their # Now 6-0 ATS
3-0 @ Orlando SU
Ride the Magic $ train till it halts

[pavyracer]

Cleveland will win the next 2 games. Orlando is playing on borrowed time. Both series will have game 7's at home. This is how NBA generates money. Then on game 7's the refs will have their assignments on who goes to the finals. This is like a movie with ups and downs and everything builds up to a grand finale.

[darrell74]

Conspiracy theory!!!

[redbull]

how about lakers lost but denver not clear -4 ?

save ML denver ? or :
small unit at -4 than
and huge bet at live when drop -1 / -2

[BamaBill67]

If the ref's when in on something like that, don't you think Donavan would have blown the whistle when they canned him for gambling?

[dova]

Man, I'm tired of guessing which team is going to show up, I'm just going to bet the over/under, lol.

As much as I'm rooting for the nuggets since they are a great cinderella story, the lakers getting points seems too good to pass up.

[BamaBill67]

Something has been on my mind during these playoffs and I want to see what you guys think. I have been a line movement player since last football season. I have made lots of money doing it. But it seems that it works 85% of the time and all of a sudden it won't work at all and I get my clock cleaned. I back off and lick my wounds for awhile then start again with the line movement. So, during these playoffs line movement has'nt worked, take for example last night, the line was Cavs -2 and went to Cavs -1.5 and the betting was on Orlando. I thought for sure I would win taking the Cavs. Just saying this might be a time that Vegas is bitch slapping the line movement players.

[Enforcer_23]

Pressure is on. I think Nuggets win and cover

[BobHarvey]

Pavy you keep saying Stern wants Cleveland-Lakers final! Cleveland is 1 shot away from being down 3-0 right now! I'm beginning to wonder how good Cleveland really is or does Orlando just have there number?

Cleveland has shown they were built more for the regular season than the post. Lebron STILL needs more help.

Orlando advances in six while the Lakers will either win in five or seven. If the Lakers win tonight, the series is over in five games.

[SportsTerminator]

Denver is winning tonight. No way they lose both home games going to LA down 3-1. It's not happening, this game could get ugly I'm talking double digit victory maybe. The way this is going is kind of like the Houston series, the pattern.

[BobHarvey]

I disagree. Saturday was Denver's best shot at winning at home. The further the post-season goes the more the Lakers experience shows. The Lakers took Denver's crowd out of Game 3...they'll do the same tonight. Lakers win by six.

[pavyracer]

Lakers can't get all the calls again. I see Denver cruising this game. Carmelo will not have back to back bad games and Kobe won't have back to back good games.

[NBA Hero]

nuggets wins. just a matter of covering. they will throw everything in. no more composure, its overrated

[paco]

The Black Mamba

[X-Rated]

Any thoughts on the UNDER?

[mangueras]

Any thoughts on the UNDER?

Everytime i play the under ,over i wait for the lines to move at the last minute ,,it's been working for me 85% of the time ,,i had like 8 wins in a row till yesterday's game ,, if the over goes up i play under and if it goes down i play the over ,that's how i do it but everybody plays different..

[SportsTerminator]

Over 70 or 80 percent of the public had Cavs ML yesterday. Orlando is 3-0 ATS in the Cavs series BUT DO NOT PLAY ON THEM TOMORROW. CaVs WiLl WiN.

But Denver is the right play today moneyline. I could see this game getting ugly Denver laying the smackdown on the Lakers.

[edlaw]

last nite game was an under by 1 the public was on the over the public once again 65% is on the over and thepublic is also on the ML is @ 75% so like last nite magic ML and under i am riding nugs ML and the under

[pattymayo]

where do you guys get these "what the public" is betting numbers?

[SexyMit]

9 out of last 10 games in Denver series have gone under... I think its time for an over to hit, and I will chase the over till it does.

[pattymayo]

If the Lakers are down by 10-15 points first half Phil Jackson will pull the starters out. He did this in both Houston losses and Jazz loss. Lakers don't need this game.

They don't need this game? Are you nuts? Lakers would love nothing more than to kill any of Denver's momentum with a road win tonight, which also virtually ends the series in 5 back in LA.

Cavs/Magic is looking like it could be a long series, you don't think LA would love the extra days off?

[edlaw]

x-rated how did u do last nite based on this therory the stats were right there u should of nail it