LA/DEN Game 3

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  • dova
    SBR Rookie
    • 05-23-09
    • 27

    #1
    LA/DEN Game 3
    What do you guys think? Picking Denver and the points worked out the first 2 games and I like their momentum coming back home. However, I have a feeling that Kobe is just so pissed off that I can see him scoring 40+ and the Lakers winning by 1 or 2 in a close game.

    Do you take LA on the ML? Or, does DEN have enough steam at home to win ATS? Or, just putting a large amount of cash on DEN ML?

    Personally, I'm feeling DEN because of the home court, Carmelo is just playing out of his mind and I think he knows he has such a size and strength advantage over most of the Lakers roster and will continue to punish them, and although I think Kobe will have a great game, I still think Denver's frontline poses many problems for the Lakers and J.R. Smith's hot shooting and extra 3 pointers are the difference in the game.
  • The General
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-10-05
    • 13279

    #2
    Welcome to SBR, dova
    Comment
    • The General
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-10-05
      • 13279

      #3
      I think Denver will win by 1 or 2 points.
      Comment
      • bobbyfk
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-19-09
        • 15218

        #4
        i like Denver- the points
        Comment
        • dova
          SBR Rookie
          • 05-23-09
          • 27

          #5
          Thanks general, I salute you. This forum is pretty sick. I've been following it for a couple months just for extra input on bets and I decided to finally join.

          You know I have the same inkling as well that it will be a 1 or 2 point game. I'm most likely going to bet DEN on the money line but I will wait till' tomorrow to see if there is any movement just before tip-off.
          Comment
          • dova
            SBR Rookie
            • 05-23-09
            • 27

            #6
            Originally posted by bobbyfk
            i like Denver- the points
            Yeah definitely, I think that could easily happen. Derek Fisher will continue to get exploited by Billups and Bynum has done absolutely nothing to help LA. The Laker's role players have been nowhere to be found except for Shannon Brown. I actually find it quite comical that players like Sasha Vujacic and Luke Walton make more money than Chris Paul.

            I might sprinkle a couple crumbs on a DEN parlay with the points and the over/under, as well as a money line bet.
            Comment
            • obamaismyuncle
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-31-08
              • 17801

              #7
              I went heavy on Denver 1st half -2. Looks real good.
              Comment
              • corona
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-12-09
                • 722

                #8
                Originally posted by obamaismyuncle
                I went heavy on Denver 1st half -2. Looks real good.
                they've been a 3rd quarter team at home for awhile. usually get off to a funky start until smith/bird come in and the crowd gets into it.

                nuggets havent lost at home in 10 weeks. their closest playoff margin was +12 points.

                they've covered the spread in all 12 playoff games (or 11-1, if you took denver +1.5 in that dallas game before it moved to +2.5)

                they won their last home game against the lakers by ~10 iirc

                you can see fatigue in kobe trying to guard melo/billups and do it all on offense in games 1 & 2, immediately after a 7 game series. now add 5200 feet.

                gotta like the nuggets here.
                Comment
                • Crash
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-14-09
                  • 1260

                  #9
                  Denver it is here gl
                  Comment
                  • andrewevans512
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 02-20-09
                    • 173

                    #10
                    Denver beat la at home... there going to win by 20+ at home court trust me lakers dont play good on the road especially with these guys the line is 3.5 right now it's about 4 am est atm so i expect it to go up to around 5 or 6 tip off so all yous better jump on it
                    Comment
                    • diogee
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-11-08
                      • 19477

                      #11
                      JR has yet to really even get going in this series...I think he will be the X-factor in this game. Kleiza really lifted the team last game with JR and Nene being as good as invisible. Nugs are great at home. Love the focus/determination that the Nuggets are showing and Melo has looked like a whole new player than he was in past playoff years. Lean towards Denver...think it will be another tight game so I will probably wait until the half for anything.
                      Comment
                      • LT Profits
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-27-06
                        • 90963

                        #12
                        Denver hasn't even been challenged at home in two months, so why should that change here?

                        Denver -3.5 in Game 3 and Denver +126 for series.
                        Comment
                        • pavyracer
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-12-07
                          • 82839

                          #13
                          It doesn't matter how pissed Kobe is because his teamates are playing like kittens right now. The house will be rocking and Nuggets will put the pedal to the metal and finish Lakers Rocketstyle, that is build a 20 point lead early and sit on it.
                          Comment
                          • Chi_archie
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 07-22-08
                            • 63172

                            #14
                            you can't predict this stuff
                            Comment
                            • NBA Hero
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-05-08
                              • 1886

                              #15
                              JR Smith has been nowhere. kleiza finally getting some attention, good for him, i like his height and sweet touch. solid player, good offensive sense, but defense can be improved, euro player are often soft in defense.

                              series have been close for both east and west, never know how the game will turnout
                              Comment
                              • NBA Hero
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-05-08
                                • 1886

                                #16
                                well said chi, in short, dont be a genius when its the nba, where amazingly sh##ty things happen . LoL
                                Comment
                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-04-09
                                  • 48383

                                  #17
                                  I'm on the Nugget's LARGE... If the game was an early tip I might lean with LA but for a evening game with the fans already liquored up I expect Denver to come out hard and maintain. I see them covering the 1st quarter, the 1st half and the game. In addition, they are going to absolutely cream the 2nd half line as the Laker's will fade in the altitude.

                                  Fade the Fakers.
                                  Comment
                                  • Johnny Hipster
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 05-23-09
                                    • 66

                                    #18
                                    20+

                                    I cannot see them rout lakers - its gonna be a closed game
                                    Comment
                                    • SportsTerminator
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-18-09
                                      • 5179

                                      #19
                                      I don't see why over 85 percent is on LA moneyline? CLEARLY Denver is the play today for moneyline and the pointspread. Denver being at home they should cover at least by 4. And the bookies make the spread -3.5. And the moneyline is what -175? It seems to good to be true lol.
                                      Bet To Win
                                      Comment
                                      • paco
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-07-09
                                        • 62873

                                        #20
                                        Ill go with a pissed off kobe
                                        Comment
                                        • LT Profits
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 10-27-06
                                          • 90963

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by SportsTerminator
                                          I don't see why over 85 percent is on LA moneyline? CLEARLY Denver is the play today for moneyline and the pointspread. Denver being at home they should cover at least by 4. And the bookies make the spread -3.5. And the moneyline is what -175? It seems to good to be true lol.
                                          That makes me feel even better.
                                          Comment
                                          • cockblocker
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-26-09
                                            • 1268

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by SportsTerminator
                                            I don't see why over 85 percent is on LA moneyline? CLEARLY Denver is the play today for moneyline and the pointspread. Denver being at home they should cover at least by 4. And the bookies make the spread -3.5. And the moneyline is what -175? It seems to good to be true lol.
                                            Laker never lose two straight in the playoffs. Everyone expects them to win straightup.
                                            Comment
                                            • DwightShrute
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-17-09
                                              • 103376

                                              #23
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by cockblocker
                                                Laker never lose two straight in the playoffs. Everyone expects them to win straightup.
                                                Just read my signature.
                                                Comment
                                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-04-09
                                                  • 48383

                                                  #25
                                                  The Laker's may win game 4 but no way are they winning tonight. Blow out city tonight.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #26
                                                    I have a big play on Denver in the 1st half, they should be pumped up and very confident.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hockey216
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-20-08
                                                      • 4583

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                      Denver hasn't even been challenged at home in two months, so why should that change here?

                                                      Denver -3.5 in Game 3 and Denver +126 for series.

                                                      shoulda taken denver +260 after game 1.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by hockey216
                                                        shoulda taken denver +260 after game 1.
                                                        I actually expected the home team to win every game in this series, so I liked Lakers in 7. Now, I am still happy to have gotten +126, as I would put the odds at Denver -115 to win series at this point.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • anthonydiamondLC
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-02-08
                                                          • 2296

                                                          #29
                                                          After seeing what Lebron did last night with the Cavs you know Kobe took note of that and will be on his game tonight. I think the Lakers are in a good spot here. They don't wanna fall behind 2-1, and then have to must win next game or else the series is close to over. Sometimes you play better on the road without the stress of having to play well in front of your homecourt. It is also an extra incentive when on the road to come out and play well just to stick it to the fans. Be careful with Denver tonight.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • DwightShrute
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-17-09
                                                            • 103376

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by jjgold
                                                            I have a big play on Denver in the 1st half, they should be pumped up and very confident.

                                                            I am with you on Den -2 1H

                                                            also gonna take over 95.5 1H

                                                            Should hit the 100 pt total don't ya think?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • PorkChop
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-18-08
                                                              • 8193

                                                              #31
                                                              Nuggets in 6.

                                                              Nuggets by 10+ tonight.

                                                              Home. Huge.
                                                              Denver Rolls. My bank account grows..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SportsTerminator
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-18-09
                                                                • 5179

                                                                #32
                                                                Wow it seems like EVERYONE on this forum except the lakerboy lol is on the Nuggets tonight. But why is the line so low? For everything the quarter, pointspread, and etc. Is it too good to be true? And why is over 85 percent of the public on the Lakers ML? But despite all of this my gut is saying Nuggets Nuggets Nuggets lol.
                                                                Bet To Win
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BamaBill67
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 11-12-08
                                                                  • 682

                                                                  #33
                                                                  The pressure is on Denver to win at home, Lakers lost last game (mad).......just sayin.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jjgold
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                                    • 388179

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Kobe needs at least 45 for the Lakers to have a shot to win
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Phillth
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-09-09
                                                                      • 1785

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by andrewevans512
                                                                      Denver beat la at home... there going to win by 20+ at home court trust me lakers dont play good on the road especially with these guys the line is 3.5 right now it's about 4 am est atm so i expect it to go up to around 5 or 6 tip off so all yous better jump on it

                                                                      That prop probably pays +1200 or so. Sound like you should jump on that.
                                                                      Comment
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