Lakers -5.5
Cavs -8.5
I bet 210Over
I lean 188Over
--Ok, Melo goes crazy in game 1 (39pts 6reb. 4ast). Nuggets shot 48%FG & 42%3Pt, and had 8pt lead going in to the 2Qtr. But they squandered that away by 2nd Half. Denver had a perfect storm for most of the game, yet managed to lose. Nuggets are undersized (Out-Rebounded by 9Reb, and allowed 17O.Reb), and their style of play caters to the Lakers strengths (Fast Tempo/High Scoring).
Taking the 210Over, also. Lakers should have a sizable lead most of game, and Nuggets will be forced to play catch up. When Lakers play with a lead their defensive intensity vanishes.
--Check this.... In the Cavs 8 games prior to the Conference Finals, their 3Pt shooting hasn't been superb. They're shooting 36%3Pt B4 Game 1. Now that is important because when the magic tighten up on defense they force many jumpers.
Also, Orlando has Howard in the middle, which intimidates smaller guards(West, Williams). It forces them to take more jumpers than they usually do. The Cavs shot 37%3Pt going 8-25. That's the Cavs problem. Throughout the playoffs when the Cavs shoot 18-or-more 3Pt's they're avg is 34%. When they shoot 17-or-less 3Pt's they're avg is 42%. All I'm saying is if the Cavs don't start draining 3Pt's or find a consistent scoring threat in the paint, they are in trouble.
Oh yea, Cavs have no one to guard Rashard Lewis. If Lewis is able to get open 3pts he will consistently drain them.
You look at all that and say, "Why is he taking Cavs -8.5?" When they play Game 2 on 5/22, it will mark the 6th straight day Orlando has been on the road. With Game 2 being their 3rd straight game on the road. I expect Orlando to settle for 3Pointers all game, and Cavs will play desperate since they will want to protect home court.
Also I'm not betting this, but I would lean 188Over for the Cavs/Magic. Magic's style of play dictates this matchup. Both will get alot of possessions. It seems the books haven't adjusted to these teams style of play yet.
Gl to all
Cavs -8.5
I bet 210Over
I lean 188Over
--Ok, Melo goes crazy in game 1 (39pts 6reb. 4ast). Nuggets shot 48%FG & 42%3Pt, and had 8pt lead going in to the 2Qtr. But they squandered that away by 2nd Half. Denver had a perfect storm for most of the game, yet managed to lose. Nuggets are undersized (Out-Rebounded by 9Reb, and allowed 17O.Reb), and their style of play caters to the Lakers strengths (Fast Tempo/High Scoring).
Taking the 210Over, also. Lakers should have a sizable lead most of game, and Nuggets will be forced to play catch up. When Lakers play with a lead their defensive intensity vanishes.
--Check this.... In the Cavs 8 games prior to the Conference Finals, their 3Pt shooting hasn't been superb. They're shooting 36%3Pt B4 Game 1. Now that is important because when the magic tighten up on defense they force many jumpers.
Also, Orlando has Howard in the middle, which intimidates smaller guards(West, Williams). It forces them to take more jumpers than they usually do. The Cavs shot 37%3Pt going 8-25. That's the Cavs problem. Throughout the playoffs when the Cavs shoot 18-or-more 3Pt's they're avg is 34%. When they shoot 17-or-less 3Pt's they're avg is 42%. All I'm saying is if the Cavs don't start draining 3Pt's or find a consistent scoring threat in the paint, they are in trouble.
Oh yea, Cavs have no one to guard Rashard Lewis. If Lewis is able to get open 3pts he will consistently drain them.
You look at all that and say, "Why is he taking Cavs -8.5?" When they play Game 2 on 5/22, it will mark the 6th straight day Orlando has been on the road. With Game 2 being their 3rd straight game on the road. I expect Orlando to settle for 3Pointers all game, and Cavs will play desperate since they will want to protect home court.
Also I'm not betting this, but I would lean 188Over for the Cavs/Magic. Magic's style of play dictates this matchup. Both will get alot of possessions. It seems the books haven't adjusted to these teams style of play yet.
Gl to all