What you think for the total ?
I can get Cleveland OVER 100 Points for +160 ......
I really do not know if i should take it or not..
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SexyMit
SBR Hall of Famer
10-12-06
6139
#1507
I would lean the Under since they have been going way over... But not going to mess with the total, just Cleveland!
If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!
I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
Comment
BL
SBR MVP
05-11-09
4070
#1508
Originally posted by SexyMit
Yeah i'm heading out to golf tourny right now! I have Cavs tonight as well, lets make some money!
Good Luck! already completed my game: Here in Germany it's already 7 pm
What a pity i cannot watch the game cause i got a early teetime tomorrow for day2... ok, maybe i will watch it. Will loose this tournament even with a round bog under par after todays result
And thanks for your under lean.. will not bet on Cle over 100...
Thanks for your avatar: Jessica
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#1509
Cavs ML (+123) (2x)
Cavs/Magic Under 192.5 (-109) (5x)
Magic Eastern Conference Winner (+800)
+ props to follow.
So far I'm 4/5 on the totals in this series, and feel pretty strong about the Under tonight. Books are dropping the Over price significantly despite a heavy majority of bettors on the over already (85%). Bookmaker is even offering the over at +103...
As for the side, I'm only about 60% convinced that the Cavs can pull it off today, but I'm going to trust the judgement of CK/SexyMIT/etc on this one. If the Magic pull it off, my Eastern Conference prop will cover the Cavs ML and still leave me in the black.
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gambit718
SBR Sharp
02-04-09
443
#1510
Hooked Cavs at +3. Last few minutes of the game will be a nail bitter.
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wangichu
SBR Wise Guy
11-07-08
946
#1511
Originally posted by BigMoneyMan
Wrong Magic will prevail.
all i'm saying is that the books disagree. That spread just keeps begging people to take the magic. I'll probably take them in game 7 when the public is officially on the cavs, but right now, the books want people on the magic, and i have to assume that means the cavs will take this. Either way, my play is hedged with the +500 orlando series price so i can't really lose.
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jalein
SBR MVP
11-19-08
1005
#1512
Originally posted by BL
What you think for the total ?
I can get Cleveland OVER 100 Points for +160 ......
I really do not know if i should take it or not..
VERY RISKY I think. If you are feeling spry, do what you gotta do, but dont put more than "fun money" on it. Thats my 2 cents
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Ralphie1412
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
13963
#1513
they are begging you to take the cavs +160 over 100 pts. I may play the under.
"This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
Goat Milk
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jalein
SBR MVP
11-19-08
1005
#1514
Originally posted by cocknocker
Cavs +120 moneyline Game 6 (F*ck the points)
LOL!
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chris440
SBR Sharp
02-21-09
280
#1515
orlando heavy
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SmackdownV
SBR Hall of Famer
04-14-09
5918
#1516
CK I will never doubt you again! I just laid the wood on the Cavs ML......Sorry a$$ nuggets last night! At least I got the over.....BY THE SKIN OF MY JINGLE JANGLES.........Bird and JR are the ONLY nuggets that showed up last night......the nuggets just QUIT and I was a witness........
Anyhoo.......I will trail you large on the Cavs ML.......scary in Orlando.......but it's the King....and he knows how to win these games.....
Peace.
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coolmil
SBR Rookie
12-11-08
33
#1517
Originally posted by wangichu
all i'm saying is that the books disagree. That spread just keeps begging people to take the magic. I'll probably take them in game 7 when the public is officially on the cavs, but right now, the books want people on the magic, and i have to assume that means the cavs will take this. Either way, my play is hedged with the +500 orlando series price so i can't really lose.
The books know they are going to get Cleveland $$. Two reasons:
Lebron factor and most people who bet Orlando for series are going to hedge tonight and take Cleveland, either with points or on $$ line.
Also the NBA wants Lebron in finals. The Magic know they must have a desive win in order not to be robbed by refs. IMHO they will bring in hard early.
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kmarinouofm
SBR Hall of Famer
01-26-09
8437
#1518
can somebody do me a favor and post the percentages from sports insight here on the forum.. on thespread.com i can only see the total bets for the sides, not moneyline or over/under.
I would like the percentages for
Moneyline
Spread/Side
Over/Under..
thanks in advance for whoever puts it up
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kmarinouofm
SBR Hall of Famer
01-26-09
8437
#1519
CK looks like the Cavs are only +110 at the Hilton in Vegas... man that sounds alarm bells for me fellas..
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Vreston
SBR MVP
03-12-09
1428
#1520
Originally posted by kmarinouofm
CK looks like the Cavs are only +110 at the Hilton in Vegas... man that sounds alarm bells for me fellas..
Why???
My book has them at +115
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BCaldwell32
SBR MVP
12-13-08
1027
#1521
Originally posted by cocknocker
The moneyline for Cleveland is shrinking, which means beyond any shadow of doubt that they are the play, BIG. Have a nice time at the game. The Cavs are playoff vets, and Orlando, well...they're just like Denver. Godd maybe great, but not in the same league with Cleveland
You are right, they are not in the same league with Cleveland!! They are better than Cleveland plain and simple!!
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BCaldwell32
SBR MVP
12-13-08
1027
#1522
I can't believe what I'm seeing on this thread, all of a sudden everyone believes in the team that has been outplayed the entire series!! Orlando has outplayed them every single game including game 5. The only reason they didn't stay in game 5 in the 4th quarter is because Lebron was awesome in the 4th qtr with help from the refs. Also in 4th, Orlando just settled for 3 point attempts everytime down the floor and missed almost all of them. I would not be surprised at all if Orlando won this game by 20!!
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lakerboy
SBR Aristocracy
04-02-09
94379
#1523
Originally posted by BCaldwell32
I can't believe what I'm seeing on this thread, all of a sudden everyone believes in the team that has been outplayed the entire series!! Orlando has outplayed them every single game including game 5. The only reason they didn't stay in game 5 in the 4th quarter is because Lebron was awesome in the 4th qtr with help from the refs. Also in 4th, Orlando just settled for 3 point attempts everytime down the floor and missed almost all of them. I would not be surprised at all if Orlando won this game by 20!!
im with you brother i already posted a thread saying i would bet any body orlando will win by at least 15- so far no takers
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HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#1524
Wow, check out the refs for today
Bennett Salvatore
Derrick Stafford
My 193 Under may be up in Smoke. They AVG about 196. They will make the 4Qtr a foul contest. Wish I looked this up earlier. Fcuk it, lets get dough.
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repski
SBR MVP
02-01-09
1929
#1525
nice call som far on Orlando BMM....
Clevland looks soft 1st half
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SmackdownV
SBR Hall of Famer
04-14-09
5918
#1526
Great call master cappers!
The Cavs are Shizzzzzzzzznat...........they suck.
No way the Cavs make up 18 points on the road.
Kobe Vs. Superman...............
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SmackdownV
SBR Hall of Famer
04-14-09
5918
#1527
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
Kobe vs. Superman
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cs11787
SBR MVP
08-26-08
1088
#1528
U know Smack, this is the NBA, "where amazing happens". Lol. Dont jinx urself!
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RoagBettor
SBR Hall of Famer
01-20-09
8355
#1529
I'm going to start selling some of my stuff on Ebay now to raise funds for the WNBA and football seasons
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Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#1530
Originally posted by SmackdownV
CK I will never doubt you again! I just laid the wood on the Cavs ML......Sorry a$$ nuggets last night! At least I got the over.....BY THE SKIN OF MY JINGLE JANGLES.........Bird and JR are the ONLY nuggets that showed up last night......the nuggets just QUIT and I was a witness........
Anyhoo.......I will trail you large on the Cavs ML.......scary in Orlando.......but it's the King....and he knows how to win these games.....
Peace.
Originally posted by SmackdownV
Great call master cappers!
The Cavs are Shizzzzzzzzznat...........they suck.
No way the Cavs make up 18 points on the road.
Kobe Vs. Superman...............
ahh - ya gotta love the tailer who then complains.
as if you paid for the play or something....
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cs11787
SBR MVP
08-26-08
1088
#1531
Clevelands FT % is the same as their threes! Hahaha. What a joke. Cleveland will go on a run here pretty soon, lets hope its an 18 point run. Lol.
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Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#1532
Originally posted by wangichu
I'm repeatedly kicking myself for fading my own team at their finest hour so i'm going extra heavy on this game. I want more than just my money back and i believe the spread.
CLE +4.5 (bought up) and ML
i wish i could be witness. (f*** night/weekend jobs)
in game 5 you played orlando? i dont even recall you making a public play on game 5....
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Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#1533
Originally posted by cs11787
Clevelands FT % is the same as their threes! Hahaha. What a joke. Cleveland will go on a run here pretty soon, lets hope its an 18 point run. Lol.
8-0 works
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repski
SBR MVP
02-01-09
1929
#1534
Delonte West guarding Turkulou is a joke...Cleveland is toast
Lakeshow in 5
How many damn airballs can Szerbiak throw up...yeesh
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Dexter
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-24-08
25829
#1535
lol...wally world is a joke.
well, lebron needs a big man to play with. thats for sure.
lakers in 6
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HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#1536
Man that push on the 193TOTAL was a fcuking joke. could have won back some money. Oh well. If I wasnt betting baseball, and winning luckily at it, I would be back to what I came into the game with on FEB 10.
CK, DEX, Wang the finals looks like a fairly predictable series to cap. Lakers have more athletes, deeper bench then the Cavs. Should be a good, but short series. As usual I will take care of the Totals, yall send me some side/ML winners. GL fellas. ON to tomorrow, or June 4.
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RoagBettor
SBR Hall of Famer
01-20-09
8355
#1537
Maybe I'll re-up tomorrow
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HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#1538
Originally posted by HoulihansTX
Oh shit you must be in Downtown Dallas, or Plano if you're getting that BOMB sushi. I'm tailing yall hard on the ML. The Bookies have finally got a hold of the TOTALS for this series though. I call UNDER, but its a tuff call.
Yea pullin off a push is what I call getting a hold on the totals. Fcuking Bookies, dude.
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texhooper
SBR Posting Legend
01-05-09
10001
#1539
orlando and the points in game one for me.
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The_Kid
SBR Hall of Famer
02-09-08
5049
#1540
I say Lakers take the series in six games. Remember, the Finals format is 2-3-2 so I think that LA steals a game in Orlando and then closes it out at home.