Prop Shop: Rajon Rondo Total Pts+Reb+Ast OVER 34.5

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    Prop Shop: Rajon Rondo Total Pts+Reb+Ast OVER 34.5
    I wrestled with the total three pointers prop all day and there is just something about it that I don't like today. I still think it has a great shot to hit, but last time they play multiple OTs in this series, the game after needed OT to hit the over on that prop.

    For me, it's Rajon Rondo. The stat line speaks volumes. It's Points, Rebounds, Assists listed below.

    Game 1: 29-9-7
    Game 2: 19-12-16
    Game 3: 20-11-6
    Game 4: 25-11-11
    Game 5: 28-8-11
    Game 6: 8-9-19

    In all instances, he surpassed the number posted for Game 7. The more impressive thing for me is that he only needed overtime in Game 6 to get past the number. Otherwise, he was gold in regulation. I also like that he is coming off his worst game of the series, shooting a woeful 4 of 17 in Game 6 as well as letting Derrick Rose be the hero. I think that ignites Rondo to get back to being the catalyst for this team. I can't fathom Ray Allen being allowed to get off like he did in Game 6. The Bulls will probably throw those double teams his way again and that should lead to more opportunity for other guys and could help boost Rondo's assist numbers if he gets it to the open guy out of Allen's hands.

    Rondo has put up at least 15 shots in each game and is shooting 47% from the floor for the series. Two of his best games in the series have come in Boston with 29 points in Game 1 and 28 in Game 5. Game 2 at home wasn't too shabby either with a triple-double. Prior to Game 6, he had gone for at least 19 in each game. He has grabbed at least 8 boards in all games & has gone double digures in assists in 4 of the 6 games. If Rondo stays out of foul trouble and he can get those transition buckets more readily, I like this one to get done. Feel as though he should get close to his 20 points and so long as his teammates are making shots, the assists should take care of themselves in the range of 8 or more. That means if he gets that minimum of 8 rebounds, we're in the clear.

    This total went from 34.5 to 34, now back to 34.5 at -105 at my book. I'm on it.
  • whatisit
    SBR Sharp
    • 01-25-09
    • 319

    #2
    Any thoughts on Perkins pts/rebs/blks over 24.5, or noah pts/rebs o/u 19.5?
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #3
      I wouldn't touch a prop with Noah. His point production is solely based on hustle plays/offensive boards, makes it hard to predict although I do think he's probably gone over that total in the majority of the series. Perkins is all about whether you think he can stay out of foul trouble. If he does, he's a shoe-in for double figure boards and should get double figure points. I like that one better of the two personally.
      Comment
      • jsmithj88
        SBR MVP
        • 12-27-08
        • 3591

        #4
        dam, i got it at 36
        Comment
        • rumple
          SBR MVP
          • 06-19-07
          • 2499

          #5
          Not looking good at all.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #6
            Not gonna matter the number if Rondo is shooting jumpers all game. It's got no shot. Hopefully Doc tells the dork to start driving to the rack.
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #7
              Shoulda rode the 3-ball prop again. That could cash in the 3rd. Looks like something might be wrong with Rondo too. Trainer was looking at him on the bench. Damn.
              Comment
              • pavyracer
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-12-07
                • 82840

                #8
                If they count missed FG's and TO's in your prop and it goes 7 OT's you may cash.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  LoL. Yeah I think I out-thunk myself today. The easy play was the 3 props, but I talked myself out of it. But hey, here's to 7 over times!
                  Comment
                  • Hotdiggity11
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-09-09
                    • 4916

                    #10
                    Wait, Rondo is playing? I didn't even notice...
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      Yeah sitting on the bench for 7 minutes, that oughta heat him up. Watch when he comes in, I'm pretty sure something's not right with him. Be it ilness, cramps, vaginitis, whatever.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Finally he goes to the rim. That's what he should have been doing all game. The assists and rebounds are there, 8 combined. Points are the slacker, 2. Would take a major miracle for this to even get to 30.
                        Comment
                        • whatisit
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-25-09
                          • 319

                          #13
                          Not looking good on Rondo...Perkins however prob cash. Lost out on Juice most likely. Hopefully Chi can come back and we can get some OT's
                          Comment
                          • j0hnnyv
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-06-09
                            • 3620

                            #14
                            fail
                            Comment
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