(5) Miami (2-2 SU and ATS) at (4) Atlanta (2-2 SU and ATS)
The Hawks, who pulled out a split of two games in Miami to reclaim home-court advantage in their best-of-7 first-round series, return to Philips Arena for Game 5 looking to take a 3-2 lead over the Heat.
After getting hammered 107-78 Saturday in Game 3 as a four-point road pup, Atlanta rebounded with a solid defensive effort Monday for an 81-71 Game 4 victory as a five-point underdog to tie the series. Mike Bibby led five Hawks in double figures with 15 points, and reserve Zaza Pachula posted a double-double with 12 points and 18 rebounds. Atlanta is still just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games, but Monday’s outcome continued a series-long trend, as all four games have been decided by double digits.
Miami got 22 points, seven assists and six rebounds from a hobbled Dwyane Wade, but only two other players reached double figures for the Heat, who were outshot 42.4 percent to 37.7 percent, hitting just 4 of 16 from three-point range (25 percent). Miami is still 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last seven outings going back to the regular season.
The Hawks hold a 5-3 SU edge against Miami for the season, with the teams splitting the cash in those eight contests. However, going back further, Miami is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 battles with Atlanta, including 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings at Philips Arena.
Atlanta is 32-11 (23-19-1 ATS) at home this season, and Miami is 16-27 (21-21-1 ATS) on the road.
The Hawks are on ATS upticks of 11-4-1 after a spread-cover and 9-4-1 playing on one day of rest, but they still carry negative ATS streaks of 2-5 overall, 1-4 at home, 0-4 after a SU win, 2-6 against winning teams and 2-5 inside the Southeast Division.
The Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last seven first-round playoff games, but they are otherwise on positive ATS runs of 6-1 after a SU loss, 4-1 after an ATS setback, 4-1 after a day off and 5-2 against divisional rivals.
For Atlanta, the under is on tears of 5-1 overall, 7-1 against winning teams, 7-2 in the Southeast Division and 4-1 in first-round playoff games. Likewise, the under for Miami is on rolls of 8-1 against winning teams, 4-1 inside the Southeast Division and 4-1 in conference quarterfinal contests.
Finally, these rivals have stayed low in seven of eight meetings this year – with Monday’s contest falling way short of the 186-point posted price – and the under is also 4-1 in the last five battles in Atlanta.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
The Hawks, who pulled out a split of two games in Miami to reclaim home-court advantage in their best-of-7 first-round series, return to Philips Arena for Game 5 looking to take a 3-2 lead over the Heat.
After getting hammered 107-78 Saturday in Game 3 as a four-point road pup, Atlanta rebounded with a solid defensive effort Monday for an 81-71 Game 4 victory as a five-point underdog to tie the series. Mike Bibby led five Hawks in double figures with 15 points, and reserve Zaza Pachula posted a double-double with 12 points and 18 rebounds. Atlanta is still just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games, but Monday’s outcome continued a series-long trend, as all four games have been decided by double digits.
Miami got 22 points, seven assists and six rebounds from a hobbled Dwyane Wade, but only two other players reached double figures for the Heat, who were outshot 42.4 percent to 37.7 percent, hitting just 4 of 16 from three-point range (25 percent). Miami is still 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last seven outings going back to the regular season.
The Hawks hold a 5-3 SU edge against Miami for the season, with the teams splitting the cash in those eight contests. However, going back further, Miami is 23-10 ATS in its last 33 battles with Atlanta, including 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings at Philips Arena.
Atlanta is 32-11 (23-19-1 ATS) at home this season, and Miami is 16-27 (21-21-1 ATS) on the road.
The Hawks are on ATS upticks of 11-4-1 after a spread-cover and 9-4-1 playing on one day of rest, but they still carry negative ATS streaks of 2-5 overall, 1-4 at home, 0-4 after a SU win, 2-6 against winning teams and 2-5 inside the Southeast Division.
The Heat are 2-5 ATS in their last seven first-round playoff games, but they are otherwise on positive ATS runs of 6-1 after a SU loss, 4-1 after an ATS setback, 4-1 after a day off and 5-2 against divisional rivals.
For Atlanta, the under is on tears of 5-1 overall, 7-1 against winning teams, 7-2 in the Southeast Division and 4-1 in first-round playoff games. Likewise, the under for Miami is on rolls of 8-1 against winning teams, 4-1 inside the Southeast Division and 4-1 in conference quarterfinal contests.
Finally, these rivals have stayed low in seven of eight meetings this year – with Monday’s contest falling way short of the 186-point posted price – and the under is also 4-1 in the last five battles in Atlanta.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER