Trends I like for 4/28 "Crunchtime"

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  • HoulihansTX
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-12-09
    • 30566

    #1
    Trends I like for 4/28 "Crunchtime"
    I'm taking a shot and saying four games is enough of a sample size to start and call out some trends.We got some crucial game 5's and all have some trends I have noticed.

    Rockets/Blazers

    Totals
    - Game 1&2 Over ( Neither teams defense showed up, and Rockets got the blowout in Game 1)

    - Game 3&4 Under ( Hou at home has stalwart defense)

    Spreads
    - All the games so far the underdog covered (Rockets got Game1&2, and Blazers Game3&4)

    Houston +5.5 and the Over would be the plays if trends hold up

    Celtics/Bulls

    - After OT and Travel - Bulls lost game 3 after an OT victory and traveling, all while at home. With Celtics winning by 21, and the total going under.Add the fact Gordon will not be 100%, looks like a good spot for the Celtics.

    Celtics -7.5 w/ Under

    Magic/76ers

    - 76ers have covered every game
    (more research tomorrow)

    76ers +8.5 ( I'm fading this trend though. I feel Orlando is in a good spot to start hitting threes. They have had a lead in the 4Qtr in all the games, but have shitted them down their leg. I'd rather play orlando since they havent played their A game yet , but they are getting good leads in the games.)

    Spurs/Mavs

    - When the Spurs give there best effort, the next game they come out flat. Spurs win game 2 going all out, then they travel to Dallas, and lay an egg. Tony Parker & Tim Duncan play way too many minutes. Traveling will kill the Spurs come tomorrow, and in game 4 they left everything they had on the court and got burned out. Expect total to dip also. I dont think the Spurs can play any better than they did sunday. They rested up for the game, and still lost by a good margin.

    Mavs +6 w/ Under
  • mehow
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-26-09
    • 698

    #2
    like celtics and sixers, doubts with mavs, and i'll probably take portland
    Comment
    • pho3nix32
      SBR MVP
      • 01-09-09
      • 1465

      #3
      nice trends houlihans! bol!
      Comment
      • kevindakota00
        Restricted User
        • 03-16-09
        • 721

        #4
        we got burned pretty bad yesterday. I agree big on the celtics and 76ers. when i get the writeups i will post them. lets make some bank today to make up for yesterday. also, cavs -anything to win next series, thought?
        Comment
        • Mriswith
          SBR Hustler
          • 03-20-09
          • 76

          #5
          CHI @ BOS UNDER 99.5 1st half

          ne love for this ?

          scores so far in the series are

          G1 : 97 ( 1st half ) / 97 ( 2nd half ) / 14 ( OT )
          G2 : 119 / 114
          G3 : 96 / 97
          G4 : 91 / 101 / 28 / 19

          I'd expect the Celtics to play some tough defense right from the start,

          Rivers is more concerned about the Celtics' defense. He felt they switched off the men they were guarding too often Sunday - ``we can't make up our own defenses on the fly,' Rivers said.

          The Celtics remain ``as confident as always,' Allen said, but ``we have a tendency ... to talk about what happened at the end of the game, but the tape shows you what happens consistently throughout the game and why you ultimately end up in the predicament that you end up in.'

          and with the series taking it's toll on both teams, defense will be softer 2nd half - as iirc Dexter or pho3nix once put it, tired legs = less defense.

          rgz,
          Mris


          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94379

            #6
            people the celtics are lakers east they care about winning not spreads- they play to the level of their opponents and horseshoe bulls are full of fluke be careful
            Comment
            • NBA Hero
              SBR MVP
              • 12-05-08
              • 1886

              #7
              love the picks dude. only hous game im over analysing to much. will hous get the win or at least cover on the road AGAIN. and line movement havent change/ or have favor them so slightly with the public pounding on them.such a waste to get bos win then give it back on the last game.real bad loss for both of us with wade back acting up. and his passes are way of. its a surprise they didnt lost by 20+GL with the picks
              Comment
              • HoulihansTX
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-12-09
                • 30566

                #8
                Originally posted by Mriswith
                CHI @ BOS UNDER 99.5 1st half


                ne love for this ?

                scores so far in the series are

                G1 : 97 ( 1st half ) / 97 ( 2nd half ) / 14 ( OT )
                G2 : 119 / 114
                G3 : 96 / 97
                G4 : 91 / 101 / 28 / 19

                I'd expect the Celtics to play some tough defense right from the start,

                Rivers is more concerned about the Celtics' defense. He felt they switched off the men they were guarding too often Sunday - ``we can't make up our own defenses on the fly,' Rivers said.

                The Celtics remain ``as confident as always,' Allen said, but ``we have a tendency ... to talk about what happened at the end of the game, but the tape shows you what happens consistently throughout the game and why you ultimately end up in the predicament that you end up in.'

                and with the series taking it's toll on both teams, defense will be softer 2nd half - as iirc Dexter or pho3nix once put it, tired legs = less defense.

                rgz,
                Mris

                Tired legs also means missed jumpshots, and thats what the Bulls depend on. Gl
                Comment
                • HoulihansTX
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-12-09
                  • 30566

                  #9
                  Whats the Total play for the 76ers/ Magic???? Seems like a toss up, but give ya boi some perspective.
                  Comment
                  • HoulihansTX
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 02-12-09
                    • 30566

                    #10
                    My booked plays 4/28
                    Mavs +6 w/ 189.5Under
                    Celtics -7.5 w/ 199.5Under
                    Houston +5.5 w/ 182Over
                    Magic -8.5
                    All are bet individually


                    Parlays
                    Houston ML +210/ Mavs ML +180
                    $50 to win $384

                    Houston +5.5 w/ 182Over
                    $25 to win $123

                    Houston +5.5/ Magic -8.5 / Mavs +6 / Celtics -7.5
                    $25 to win $317

                    Lots of $$$$ riding today. After placing bets still have $900 IN PROFIT in my pockets.
                    Comment
                    • ValHallaYoung
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 04-27-09
                      • 106

                      #11
                      tailin' ya HoulihansTX. So rule them parlay well
                      Comment
                      • HoulihansTX
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 02-12-09
                        • 30566

                        #12
                        Wow celtics are a joke. One year wonder. garnett was the key to them making it to next round. Now these lames about to give away home court. Fcuk it, just fcukit
                        Comment
                        • HoulihansTX
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-12-09
                          • 30566

                          #13
                          Under looks good w/ 6:30 to go total is 160. No OT plz.
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #14
                            Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                            Under looks good w/ 6:30 to go total is 160. No OT plz.
                            And it goes to OT. Really screwed me.
                            Comment
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