cavs/pistons write-up bet big on cavs!!

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  • kevindakota00
    Restricted User
    • 03-16-09
    • 721

    #1
    cavs/pistons write-up bet big on cavs!!
    1) Cleveland (68-16, 52-32 ATS) at (8) Detroit (39-45, 34-50 ATS)

    After earning two double-digit wins at home, the top-seeded Cavaliers now head to the Palace of Auburn Hills seeking a commanding 3-0 lead over the Pistons in this best-of-7 Eastern Conference series.

    After getting a 102-84 win in the series opener, Cleveland scored a 94-82 victory in Game 2 on Tuesday, narrowly cashing as an 11½-point favorite. The Cavs had three players with 20 points or more, led by LeBron James’ 29 points, 13 rebounds and six assists. Mo Williams added 21 points for Cleveland and Delonte West had 20, but it was the defense that dominated as the Cavs held Detroit to 39.5 percent shooting and outrebounded the Pistons 43-34.

    Cleveland is on a 7-1 SU and ATS run overall and they are trying to advance past the first round of the playoffs for the third straight year.

    Detroit has now lost five straight overall and it is 0-6 ATS in its last six overall. Furthermore, the Pistons are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 contests and 1-8 ATS in their lasts nine against Central division rivals.

    Including the first two SU and ATS wins in this series, the Cavaliers have now won five straight head-to-head matchups with the Pistons (4-1 ATS), but they have won just once in their last four tries in Motown (SU and ATS). The home team is on an 8-3 ATS run in this series and the chalk is 10-1 in the last 11 clashes.

    Cleveland was 27-14 on the road this season (22-19 ATS) while the Pistons were just 21-20 at home, including a horrible 13-28 at the betting window.

    The Cavaliers are on ATS runs of 12-4 on Fridays, 8-0 as a playoff favorite of up to 4 ½ points, 6-0 against the Eastern Conference, 13-3 as a favorite of up to 4 ½ points and 6-1 against Central Division teams. The Pistons are on a plethora of ATS slides, including 1-9 as an underdog of up to 4 ½ points, 11-27 coming off a straight-up loss, 7-18 at home, 0-6 overall and 0-6 against the Eastern Conference.

    Tuesday’s game stayed well below the total and has the under standing at 36-15 in the last 51 series clashes, including 17-5 in the last 22 games in Detroit.

    Cleveland has stayed under the total in 10 of 14 against Central Division teams, 23 of 32 after a spread-cover and four of five after getting two days off, but it is on “over” streaks of 7-1 on Fridays and 5-1 as a road chalk. Detroit has topped the total in 15 of 23 overall, but otherwise it is on a bevy of “under” runs that include 25-12-1 as a ‘dog of up to 4 ½ points, 25-10-1 after getting two days off, 12-3-1 at home against teams with winning road marks and 4-1-1 as a home ‘dog.

    ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND and UNDER

  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48383

    #2
    Great write up Kevin, I don't know why this game seems to have trap written all over it but this says it all...

    "Detroit has now lost five straight overall and it is 0-6 ATS in its last six overall. Furthermore, the Pistons are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 contests and 1-8 ATS in their lasts nine against Central division rivals."

    I'm on Cleveland and the under.
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #3
      Where did you copy and paste this write up from? Nevertheless, very informative, and it solidified my leans for today.
      Comment
      • kevindakota00
        Restricted User
        • 03-16-09
        • 721

        #4
        i subscribe to several touts im afraid to talk too much about it just use it and shut up
        Comment
        • HoulihansTX
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-12-09
          • 30566

          #5
          Originally posted by kevindakota00
          i subscribe to several touts im afraid to talk too much about it just use it and shut up
          HAHA, Good shit.
          Comment
          • lakerboy
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-02-09
            • 94379

            #6
            cavaliers will not cover this game as it is a trap-detroit wins outright
            Comment
            • Mac4Lyfe
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-04-09
              • 48383

              #7
              Add to all this that Detroit couldn't sell out this game and there are thousands of seats available. Stubhub had seats going for $11. Cleveland fans are gobbling up these tickets so expect it to be a Cav friendly crowd.
              Comment
              • brooks85
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-05-09
                • 44709

                #8
                Detroit has given up
                Comment
                • kevindakota00
                  Restricted User
                  • 03-16-09
                  • 721

                  #9
                  GREAT info mac!!!! bring home court to detroit dont forget, the cavs are damn near undefeated home court
                  Comment
                  • Mac4Lyfe
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 48383

                    #10
                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                    cavaliers will not cover this game as it is a trap-detroit wins outright
                    Are you saying that because the Lakers lost???
                    Comment
                    • Mriswith
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 03-20-09
                      • 76

                      #11
                      Idk, in my book the Pistons still are 4-1 @home vs CLE, the sole loss resulting in a collective 4th QTR blackout. While LBJ@DET is not KB@UTA and DET@home not even is on the same planet as UTA@home, CLE otr isn't LAL otr either. And if - as one is lead to believe in G1 and 2 - CLE's starter > DET's starter by 20pts+ IN DET, -4.5 sure looks like too low a spread.
                      VInsider showing >90% on CLE ATS yet the line barely - if at all - moves, in some instances towards CLE...I'm not sold on CLE at all...

                      rgz,
                      Mris
                      Comment
                      • Mac4Lyfe
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-04-09
                        • 48383

                        #12
                        Mriswith - I see your points and this has trap written all over it but I had to just go with the better team. The books are hoping we hammer Cleveland which is disturbing but sometimes the books get hammered. I was leaning Detroit last night but looking at all the stats and knowing that Detroit fans have given up sealed the deal for me.
                        Comment
                        • peeiempee
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-09
                          • 2750

                          #13
                          Lakers had trap written all over it, but I had to take it. Just like today, gotta take the Cavs and the under. Let's cash this!!!
                          Comment
                          • PorkChop
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-18-08
                            • 8193

                            #14
                            Tricky game - Lean Cleveland, but riding with the way the finished game 2, and back home, this is the game Detroit CAN win.

                            Clev - 4, looks real nice. But not for a big play,
                            Comment
                            • lakerboy
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-02-09
                              • 94379

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                              Are you saying that because the Lakers lost???
                              no not at all i expected the lakers to lose a game against the jazz maybe even 2. the cavs are always one step ahead of the lakers until they meet that is. i just have a feeling that the pistons will win this game just like i had a feeling that the celts would blowout the bulls last night.
                              Comment
                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 48383

                                #16
                                If there's a game to be won by Detroit... this is the one but you can't say the Cav's aren't loose and having fun.

                                Comment
                                • King_Bookie
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-07-09
                                  • 602

                                  #17
                                  Tons of people will get burned tonight....

                                  Detroit +4 is the true play for today. Don't get caught by the last two games, they were'nt played in the Palace.
                                  Comment
                                  • Renojaguar
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-29-09
                                    • 921

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                    cavaliers will not cover this game as it is a trap-detroit wins outright

                                    I agree. Detroit will Cough one up tonight. The Public will get burned on the Cav's tonight
                                    Comment
                                    • Famou$ $wag
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 04-19-09
                                      • 89

                                      #19
                                      How you all like this teaser?

                                      Pistons +9.5
                                      Magic +.5
                                      Rockets -2
                                      Rockets/Blazers Under 189

                                      risk $100 to win $300
                                      Comment
                                      • NBA Hero
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-05-08
                                        • 1886

                                        #20
                                        cavs is the play. detroit to disban
                                        Comment
                                        • Mriswith
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 03-20-09
                                          • 76

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                          Mriswith - I see your points and this has trap written all over it but I had to just go with the better team. The books are hoping we hammer Cleveland which is disturbing but sometimes the books get hammered. I was leaning Detroit last night but looking at all the stats and knowing that Detroit fans have given up sealed the deal for me.
                                          Line finally moved in favour of DET, so CLE backers have another point. Still, I honestly don't understand why anyone 'just had to take this bet'.
                                          Imho that's the tricky part of betting - knowing when better NOT to place a bet. I'm not saying CLE isn't capable of blowing out the Pistons tonight or at least cover, but I don't have to put my money on the line for this as well as for DET to cover / win.
                                          Plenty of other games to come, plays I feel better about available even tonight, so I will just stand aside and watch the show.
                                          Props to the more courageous ( sp? ) and bol to all, which side ever you decide to back in this game, though I'm with King Bookie fearing a lot of people will get burned tonight...

                                          rgz,
                                          Mris
                                          Comment
                                          • Mac4Lyfe
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-04-09
                                            • 48383

                                            #22
                                            I didn't say I just had to take this bet. I said I had to go with the better team. If I don't feel good about a play, I don't do it. I don't bet for the thrill, I bet to make money. I'm on Cleveland and I think it's a solid play but I feel more confident about my Houston play. So my Cleveland bet is half of my Houston bet. I like the Clev/Det Under so that's my bigger play in this game as well.

                                            This is gambling so ANYTIME you place a bet your taking a risk. Anyone that is throwing bad money after good and don't know money management should stop betting altogether. Anyone losing bets consistently isn't courageous, there stupid. If your not making money, stop betting.

                                            The tricky part of betting is actually knowing when to stop. I'm usually a great NFL capper but I stopped betting those games after week 5. I was losing money each week and that's insane. GL everyone.
                                            Comment
                                            • SmackdownV
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-14-09
                                              • 5918

                                              #23
                                              With you Mac....I booked:

                                              Clev -5.5......2 units
                                              Orlando -3.5.....2.5 units
                                              Houston -6..........4 Units
                                              Houston over 184........2.5 units.

                                              $1,100.00 and a dream baby!
                                              Comment
                                              • SmackdownV
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-14-09
                                                • 5918

                                                #24
                                                It's funny how the linemakers create all of this doubt.

                                                Clev is the much better team and I don't see them letting up tonight
                                                Orlando is on the road
                                                Houston is playing at home on a Friday night...

                                                All favs should cover tonight.
                                                And I'm going with the Houston over for no other reason than it's the late Friday night ESPN game.
                                                Comment
                                                • cocknocker
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 11-06-08
                                                  • 8001

                                                  #25
                                                  Mac4Lyfe,

                                                  Take only NFL home dogs that play on a different surface or different element (indoors/outdoors) than the favored visiting team. Your win percentage will go through the roof!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • INVINCIBLE
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 04-21-09
                                                    • 212

                                                    #26
                                                    Seriously

                                                    I j u s t c a n ' t s e e D e t r o i t w i n n i n g.

                                                    Bet on CAVALIERS.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mriswith
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 03-20-09
                                                      • 76

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe
                                                      I didn't say I just had to take this bet. I said I had to go with the better team. If I don't feel good about a play, I don't do it. I don't bet for the thrill, I bet to make money. I'm on Cleveland and I think it's a solid play but I feel more confident about my Houston play. So my Cleveland bet is half of my Houston bet. I like the Clev/Det Under so that's my bigger play in this game as well.

                                                      This is gambling so ANYTIME you place a bet your taking a risk. Anyone that is throwing bad money after good and don't know money management should stop betting altogether. Anyone losing bets consistently isn't courageous, there stupid. If your not making money, stop betting.

                                                      The tricky part of betting is actually knowing when to stop. I'm usually a great NFL capper but I stopped betting those games after week 5. I was losing money each week and that's insane. GL everyone.
                                                      So very true words Mac and thanks for sharing this. I do hope it wasn't written by a feeling to have to sort of justify yourself or your actions - you as any poster here most certainly don't have to. I actually was referring to peeiempee rather than you when I wrote about the 'having to take this bet' part.

                                                      Sry if it came across in a wrong way due to my poor layout by quoting your former response - it wasn't meant in any way to criize you or peeiempee. Since I'm rather new to sportsbetting I sometimes use my posts / writeups to sort out my thoughts. I caught myself in the past falling in love with the challenge to evaluate a certain bet and then forgetting NOT to bet if I see no edge vs the odds laid - as you said, it's not about winning bets, it's about making money. My post just was my way of talking myself out of making a bet I don't see +eV.

                                                      bol @ll,
                                                      Mris
                                                      Comment
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