NBA Thursday early leans

HoulihansTX · 04-23-09, 01:07 AM

I'm with you until you laid that Utah bomb on me. Lakers are motivated to blow them out. see my rant on my page, bro. Then tell me what you think about it, Mr. "Bet Accordingly". HAHA

frostno98 · 04-23-09, 01:11 AM

I still think the Boston series is going to be a battle. Ray Allen is finally shooting, so Boston should have an edge. Chicago has not had a bad shooting game yet and it's bound to happen. I think it happen here, plus Boston is also due for a cover.

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 01:13 AM

Hehe... Laker's have been uninspired despite what lecture Phil gives them. There 3rd quarter woes are very troubling to say the least. I've already layed 5 units on Utah 3rd quarter +1/2

I am waiting for the line to swell and will hammer the ML... Utah is horrible on the road and yet they challenged LA in both games.

HoulihansTX · 04-23-09, 01:19 AM

Mac I wont discount Lakers uninspired 3rd Qtr play, but they are coming on the court up 10-14pts. Utah will be the aggressor in that situation every time. But to say that they challenged the Lakers is a stretch. Lakers spend a great % of the game up +10. Thats not putting any pressure on the Lakers. Utah's only chance is getting Kyle Korver hot from the three point line. And Brewer will have to hit some open shots. I wouldn't recommend you putting a lot of money on JazzML. But i'm down right now so what do I know. HAHA

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 01:24 AM

Originally posted by frostno98

I still think the Boston series is going to be a battle. Ray Allen is finally shooting, so Boston should have an edge. Chicago has not had a bad shooting game yet and it's bound to happen. I think it happen here, plus Boston is also due for a cover.

Boston should be down 0-2, They can barely win at home. Why would you think they are going to win on the road, without KG and Powe? Chicago is 7-1 at home of late. Yes they are young and inexperienced but they are athletic and have confidence. With the exception of Rondo, Boston looks like they are ready to go on vacation, especially Pierce.

I don't expect Boston to bang the boards and get second chance shots like last game and Big Baby is not going to hit those jumpers on the road. Scalabrine should play but that's saying nothing except a big body to take up fouls. If Chicago gets Perkins or Davis in foul trouble this game is over early.

MB · 04-23-09, 01:24 AM

I actually think the Lakers will be more motivated on the road. Look for Kobe to be fierce since he knows he really has to step up for the squad on the road. The rest of the team will follow suit.

I'm with you on the Bulls. Can't get an edge on the Mavs and Spurs

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 01:32 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Mac I wont discount Lakers uninspired 3rd Qtr play, but they are coming on the court up 10-14pts. Utah will be the aggressor in that situation every time. But to say that they challenged the Lakers is a stretch. Lakers spend a great % of the game up +10. Thats not putting any pressure on the Lakers. Utah's only chance is getting Kyle Korver hot from the three point line. And Brewer will have to hit some open shots. I wouldn't recommend you putting a lot of money on JazzML. But i'm down right now so what do I know. HAHA

They came to within one possession in the 4th in game 1 and after a horrible 1st quarter they outscored the Lakers in the 2nd and 4th and tied in the 3rd of game 2. I would definitely say they were challenged. Utah played right there with them when they normally collapse on the road.

cs11787 · 04-23-09, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Hehe... Laker's have been uninspired despite what lecture Phil gives them. There 3rd quarter woes are very troubling to say the least. I've already layed 5 units on Utah 3rd quarter +1/2

I am waiting for the line to swell and will hammer the ML... Utah is horrible on the road and yet they challenged LA in both games.

Hey Mac why would you think the line would swell when the publics on LAL already but the line already went a whole point in Utahs favor? Id go ahead and just hit the ML before its a pickem.

frostno98 · 04-23-09, 01:37 AM

Chicago is riding on the game 1 emotion roller coaster right now, it's bound to fizzle. Boston still have Pierce and Allen, and I don't see those guys being faze going into Chicago. Now that Boston got the series even, I think there heads back together and should steal this one.

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by cs11787

Hey Mac why would you think the line would swell when the publics on LAL already but the line already went a whole point in Utahs favor? Id go ahead and just hit the ML before its a pickem.

I was just noticing that

Now I'm nervous. Peeps are laying on Utah???

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 01:45 AM

I'm laying Utah 3rd quarter (5 units)... I hope LA 3rd quarter woes continue.

Apr 23 1:11am Basketball - Pending 550.00 to win 500.00 1. Basketball - Utah Jazz - spread +½ (-110)
for the 3rd quarter held on Apr 23 at 9:35pm [pending]

The_Kid · 04-23-09, 04:00 AM

Mac, even though I was thinking of taking Utah, this game has me re-thinking it. Everyone is underestimating the Lakers again because of the first two games in this series. I remember when the public thought the Lakers would get hammered by the Celtics earlier this year (Celtics on a 11 or 12 game winning streak and the Lakers were struggling at the time) at home because they were playing the exact same way. Guess what? They took care of business at home. Even when the Lakers limped into Boston AND Cleveland on their road trip, everyone still doubted them. They took care of business on the road yet again. I'm not saying they'll do it again but the public perception has them going down tomorrow because Utah is GREAT at home, the Lakers have played lacksidaisical to say the least, and they seem uninspired when they get huge leads. Because Utah is at home and not on the road, all three things mentioned would probably lead to a Jazz victory. If the Lakers let Utah hang around, they might not get so lucky this time around. Oh yeah, I absolutely hate betting against Kobe Bryant (similar to Dwyane Wade today). Good luck with whatever you decide to do, Mac.

SportsTerminator · 04-23-09, 10:00 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Chicago - 2
The C's are decimated on the front line and I don't think Big Baby, Perkins and Mikii Moore can get it done. It will take a herculean effort out of Pierce, Rondo AND Ray Ray to win this game. Chicago is playing with a lot of confidence and they have the better legs. I see them uptempo all night.

Dallas -4.5
Dallas is very similar to Utah in that they suck on the road but can beat anyone at home (32-9 at home vs 18-23 on the road). Yes, the Spurs are a great road team and they beat Dallas in Dallas early in the season but this last game embarrasment along with Dampiers ("never hesitate to put a fool on his back") guarantee against Tony Parker will cause Dallas to have a little fight even though we all know they are soft as Egyptian cotton. Matt Bonner is not going to stop Dirk like he did the other night. Dallas will blow this game out early and Duncan and Parker will see most of the 2nd half on the bench.

Utah +1.5
See Dallas above. Utah at home is money in the bank. I'll add details later but wait for the Laker homers to hammer the line then go for utah and the points sprinkled with some ML for a tidy profit.

I like all 3 home teams tonight

I like it...

JGILL50 · 04-23-09, 10:01 AM

Utah is a solid bet if yall think a jerry sloan led team is going to lay down yall are very wrong

BatemanPatrickl · 04-23-09, 10:03 AM

Give me Ray Allen and Paul Pierce +3.

PorkChop · 04-23-09, 10:07 AM

I love Dallas, and I love Utah. However that Bulls game I can see going either way, although if I had to lean I'd lean Chicago, United Center will be rockin tonight. However, there still the Celtics, and Paul Pierce is due.

I'd play the over instead of Chicago. (Along with Dallas and Utah).

kevindakota00 · 04-23-09, 11:06 AM

i am with you BIG on utah mac.

would you anticipate this line moving in utah's favor with 90% of pub on L.A.? the spread has already moved a pt. in laker's favor with a high % on them, does that mean high rollas are on utah or are the casinos setting a trap here?

My site has jazz+2 should i pull the trigger or wait?

ACCBball · 04-23-09, 04:22 PM

over celts/bulls

I think its a hard game to pick but the over seems so easy. The celts D has been horrible since KG has been out and the bulls love to run and gun and will shoot well at home. The bulls D is pretty pathetic too and thats why I wont love them at -3 but love the over 201. I mean the raptors had nothing to play for and they put up over 100 on chicago the last game at the united center.

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 06:38 PM

Here's my total plays so far. I'll break them down in a bit. 19 Unit day @$100/unit

Dallas 10 Units
Utah 3 units + 2 ML = 5 Units
Chicago 4 Units

I'm not doing any over under's for the game but will probably do Bos/Chi and Utah/LA Overs for the 2nd half.

Flyers09 · 04-23-09, 06:47 PM

bulls/celtics over 101 first half. anyone disagree?

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by Flyers09

bulls/celtics over 101 first half. anyone disagree?

I agree...

Flyers09 · 04-23-09, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

I agree...

k good thats what i took...

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 07:05 PM

Booked...

Chicago
2 Units: Game -2
1 Units: 1st half -0.5
3 Units total play

Dallas
5 Units: Game -4.5
2 Units: 1st half -2
7 Units total play

Utah
1 Units: Game +2
1 Units: 1st half 0.5
1 Units: Game ML (+110)
4 Units: 3rd qtr +0.5
7 Units total play

Risking 17 Units...

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 07:07 PM

Parlays... 6 Teamer, 5, 4, 3 team round robins.

Chicago -2 AND the OVER
Dallas -4.5 AND the OVER
Utah +2 AND the OVER

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 08:55 PM

UPDATED

These games are over so might as well count it early...
Chicago
2 Units: Game -2 LOSS
1 Units: 1st half -0.5 LOSS
3 Units total play

Dallas
5 Units: Game -4.5 WINNER
2 Units: 1st half -2 WINNER
7 Units total play

7-3 = 4 Unit profitLet's go Utah, let's bring this home.

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 09:34 PM

ADDED...
Utah
1 Units: Game +2
3 Units: 1st Qtr +0.5 <----- Added
1 Units: 1st half 0.5
1 Units: Game ML (+110)
8 Units: 3rd qtr +0.5 <------- Increased (hammering this)

14 Units total play

HoulihansTX · 04-23-09, 09:38 PM

Your freakkin crazy Mac. You must be so up and down w/ your bankroll during the season. You have the freeakkin nerves man. I got to play it conservative, and good thing I do b/c I'm slumping like no other.

Lakers -2.5 w/ Under215 Lets get it

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 09:40 PM

Even if Utah collapses the most I will lose tonight is $1,000. If they cover the 3rd quarter the least I'll win is $600.

Laker's can't get right in the 3rd. I'm banking that they won't once again. There struggles are problematic at the half.

NBA Hero · 04-23-09, 09:41 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Hehe... Laker's have been uninspired despite what lecture Phil gives them. There 3rd quarter woes are very troubling to say the least. I've already layed 5 units on Utah 3rd quarter +1/2

I am waiting for the line to swell and will hammer the ML... Utah is horrible on the road and yet they challenged LA in both games.

thata always the trademark of lakers being near casinos and gambling gods.

to play uninspired and maybe try to be inconspicuous at times.

lakers on this one.

good call on dall. i chickened out on that game cause hard to predict how both of those veteran team will play

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 09:46 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

Your freakkin crazy Mac. You must be so up and down w/ your bankroll during the season. You have the freeakkin nerves man. I got to play it conservative, and good thing I do b/c I'm slumping like no other.

Lakers -2.5 w/ Under215 Lets get it

Actually this is how I bet conservatively. I look for small leans and try to win high and lose low. I knew going with Chicago was a stretch so it was my lowest play. Dallas was my most assured bet to cover so I went high on them and I feel very good about LA's woes in the 3rd so I have to hammer it. I had only hoped that the line would have went up even more then I would have hammered the Utah ML.

I need this game...

RoagBettor · 04-23-09, 09:55 PM

I have the Lakers -1.5. No matter what happens in that game, my huge bet on the Mavs makes it a winning night.

tsn101 · 04-23-09, 10:01 PM

Hoping Utah meets the spread as well. If they do I hit my parlay.

Good luck people. By the way, this reminds me of the Toronto-Orlando series last year, hopefully, the weaker team can win their first home game as well.

Mac4Lyfe · 04-23-09, 10:05 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Parlays... 6 Teamer, 5, 4, 3 team round robins.

Chicago -2 AND the OVER
Dallas -4.5 AND the OVER
Utah +2 AND the OVER

All Parlays LOST but thankfully only a very small play (1.2 Unit total)

tsn101 · 04-23-09, 10:07 PM

Another lesson learned in my first year betting: I knew Utah would come out strong (Lakers doing it in Utah is a bit of a stretch, at least for the first 6 minutes). I should have waited until the live bet came up a little into the first, instead of hedging before the game. Lost unnecessary juice, hope no one will make the same mistake.

BOL.