Keel's NBA Parlay System II

[keel44]

November 9

Parlay 15-A: Pacers -3.5 with Magic UNDER 195.5 (0.39 to win 1.01)
Parlay 16-A: Blazers pk with Blazers UNDER 208 (0.39 to win 1.01)
Parlay 17-A: Kings +8 with Kings OVER 206 (0.39 to win 1.01)

It is time to be patient.....

[Don_Omarion]

I like Blazers too , but who knows ?

[JGuer04]

sacramento play scares me

[matheopaquet]

Parlay 15-A: Pacers -3.5 with Magic UNDER 195.5 (0.39 to win 1.01)

How do you manage to play two odds together from the same match ?

i'm a novice i'm sorry , but on bet365, i can't !

[skyscrapers]

Parlay 15-A: Pacers -3.5 with Magic UNDER 195.5 (0.39 to win 1.01)

How do you manage to play two odds together from the same match ?

i'm a novice i'm sorry , but on bet365, i can't !

Some books you can't parlay from the same game. I use BetOnline or Pinnacle you can.

[fitguy67]

Parlay 15-A: Pacers -3.5 with Magic UNDER 195.5 (0.39 to win 1.01)

How do you manage to play two odds together from the same match ?

i'm a novice i'm sorry , but on bet365, i can't !

actually at bet365 you can...just select the first item (as if u were going to play it straight...but don't...don't close it...just forget about it...the bet slip will stay put as you move along and add the next part of the bet exactly as if u were going to play it straight)..

see, you'll have two items in the bet slip area now...and you are allowed to play a side and a total on the same game at b365...

NOW click the "parlay options" tab at the bottom of the bet slip and voila...(you'll want the last one that says 1x _______ cuz that's the basic parlay...all the previous options are round-robin variations)...

b365 is one of the most flexible books to parlay at, once you get the hang of it...cuz you can buy and sell points on any of your items as you wish before you add them to your bet slip so you can always get Keel's plays exactly as quoted

[keel44]

November 9

Parlay 15-A: Pacers -3.5 with Magic UNDER 195.5 (0.39 to win 1.01)
Parlay 16-A: Blazers pk with Blazers UNDER 208 (0.39 to win 1.01)
Parlay 17-A: Kings +8 with Kings OVER 206 (0.39 to win 1.01)

[keel44]

November 10

Parlay 15-B: Celtics -2 with Celtics OVER 202 (1.01 to win 2.63)

[keel44]

November 10

Parlay 15-B: Celtics -2 with Celtics OVER 202 (1.01 to win 2.63)

Looks like another "B" bet loss.....

[keel44]

November 11

Parlay 18-A: Lakers +8 with Magic UNDER 201 (0.42 to win 1.09)
Parlay 19-A: Pacers +3.5 with Celtics UNDER 202.5 (0.42 to win 1.09)
Parlay 20-A: Pistons +1 with Kings OVER 204 (0.42 to win 1.09)


I will be back later for the Blazers game after I see how things are going with the 2 early games.

[keel44]

November 11

Parlay 18-A: Lakers +8 with Magic UNDER 201 (0.42 to win 1.09)
Parlay 19-A: Pacers +3.5 with Celtics UNDER 202.5 (0.42 to win 1.09)
Parlay 20-A: Pistons +1 with Kings OVER 204 (0.42 to win 1.09)
Parlay 18-B: Spurs -6.5 with Blazers OVER 205.5 (1.09 to win 0.99)

What a win by the narrowest of margins! Onto bet "B"

[JGuer04]

do you know off hand what your record is so far?

[fitguy67]

post 1/page 1 of this thread comprehensively answers that...the two current threads (this one and the one for NFL) covers anything beyond that...and all of the plays are on the sbr-sheet linked to as well..

[skyscrapers]

Crap, I missed the boat on 18B

[keel44]

November 11

Parlay 18-A: Lakers +8 with Magic UNDER 201 (0.42 to win 1.09)
Parlay 19-A: Pacers +3.5 with Celtics UNDER 202.5 (0.42 to win 1.09)
Parlay 20-A: Pistons +1 with Kings OVER 204 (0.42 to win 1.09)
Parlay 18-B: Spurs -6.5 with Blazers OVER 205.5 (1.09 to win 0.99)

Real nice day!

[keel44]

Here is a negative aspect of this strategy:

I have a great record on my parlays so far this year (14-18). If I were flat betting 1 unit to win 2.6 units, I would be up +18.4 units. I am currently up +1.73 units. This strategy is assuming that you would fail at flat betting parlays. Over time, I would fail at my parlays. It is just right now, I am on FIRE, but I really have nothing to show for it yet.

[keel44]

November 12

NO PLAYS

[JGuer04]

Here is a negative aspect of this strategy:

I have a great record on my parlays so far this year (14-18). If I were flat betting 1 unit to win 2.6 units, I would be up +18.4 units. I am currently up +1.73 units. This strategy is assuming that you would fail at flat betting parlays. Over time, I would fail at my parlays. It is just right now, I am on FIRE, but I really have nothing to show for it yet.

Good deal. Yea Ive been tailing you here and there, was just wondering. Was on the spurs parlay with you last night, thank you. Pretty cool what you got goin.

[skyscrapers]

I just want to take the time to write this for those who follows this great system. I've mentioned this about half a year back. To significantly maximize profit while at the same time lowering your risk I've recommended skipping all A bets. Start your chase beginning with the B bet with the amount that Keel states. I've been doing this since about the time I mentioned previously and the result was quite substantial actually. So I went all the way back and crunched some numbers since the inception of Keel's system.

Let's use the MLB season of 2015 as an example. Keel indicates he made a profit of +15.2u playing ABC but based on the numbers Keel posted I can only get +12.07u but that's not the point here. Now had anyone following just by playing B&C like myself you will have profited a whopping +43.75u.
Let's examine this closer. The first chase ended with -50 wiped out but just by chasing the last 2 legs the damage was only limited to -26.72u. The second chase was +23.5u vs +32.65u. The 3rd chase was very short so the ABC chase went +42.15 vs BC +37.82. The final chase ended with no C win so -3.58u vs -1.33u. The result was a very significant +31.68u difference just by skipping the A bet.

[skyscrapers]

I'll just summerize the other sports:

NBA 2014/2015:
ABC: +22.13u
BC: +27.61u

NFL 2014/2015:
ABC: +9.98u
BC: +16.49u

MLB 2014:
ABC: +34.715u
BC: +39.14u

MLB 2015:
ABC: +12.07u
BC: +43.75u

Those 4 sports combined:
ABC: +78.895u
BC: +126.99u

Again the numbers are a few units off from what Keel indicated for some strange reason but the point here is by skipping the A bets will yield a substantially higher profit while lowering your risk at the same time. I'm just trying to squeeze every last drop of juice out of the lemon in an otherwise excellent system.

[A4K]

I'll just summerize the other sports:

NBA 2014/2015:
ABC: +22.13u
BC: +27.61u

NFL 2014/2015:
ABC: +9.98u
BC: +16.49u

MLB 2014:
ABC: +34.715u
BC: +39.14u

MLB 2015:
ABC: +12.07u
BC: +43.75u

Those 4 sports combined:
ABC: +78.895u
BC: +126.99u

Again the numbers are a few units off from what Keel indicated for some strange reason but the point here is by skipping the A bets will yield a substantially higher profit while lowering your risk at the same time. I'm just trying to squeeze every last drop of juice out of the lemon in an otherwise excellent system.

I just got a gambling boner.

[skyscrapers]

The only way the ABC system will produce better results than the BC system will be either a short chase or the A bets go on a run like this current NBA season but statistically it'll hover around 25% so a long extended A bet run is unlikely.

[A4K]

The only way the ABC system will produce better results than the BC system will be either a short chase or the A bets go on a run like this current NBA season but statistically it'll hover around 25% so a long extended A bet run is unlikely.

I do exceptionally well with NBA, see my thread, but I'm always looking for new angles. Is it possible to jump on this at any time?

[grillzboy224]

So you just skip the A play and go for the "revenge" B and C plays (i.e. if B wins you don't bet the C game)?

[Looking4Winners]

I do exceptionally well with NBA, see my thread, but I'm always looking for new angles. Is it possible to jump on this at any time?

Yes - If you go back to post #85 a 18-C and 19-B parlay will be eventually posted by Keel. There is no Play for today (Post #87)..

[Looking4Winners]

So you just skip the A play and go for the "revenge" B and C plays (i.e. if B wins you don't bet the C game)?

Skyscrapers is talking about omitting just the "A" play. You would play only the "B" and "C". If "B" wins you would play the "C" play.

[A4K]

Yes - If you go back to post #85 a 18-C and 19-B parlay will be eventually posted by Keel. There is no Play for today (Post #87)..

Thanks

[skyscrapers]

Skyscrapers is talking about omitting just the "A" play. You would play only the "B" and "C". If "B" wins you would play the "C" play.

This is absolutely correct. Whenever Keel has a B play you play it as it is with his units posted. If it wins then you play his C bet as it is with his units posted. If that B play losses you just wait for the next B play.

[grillzboy224]

I'll tail. Thanks for the infos dudes!

[fitguy67]

great stuff scrapes...kinda' like "wonging" the A-action table, not stepping in till the BC deals...

bigger losses on the typical B-play vs the A...but saves considerably on all the tiny "admission charges" the many losing A plays exact trying to finance the occasional BC runs

[skyscrapers]

One 'B' loss is roughly equal to on average 2.5 - 3.0 'A' losses
Anything with a ratio higher than around 1 B play to every 3 A play is money saved and earned in your wallet if you just play BC. The entire MLB 2015 season ran at around 1 B play to every 5 A play. That's a lot of money wasted or left on the table if you play ABC depending on which way you look at it.

[keel44]

I just want to take the time to write this for those who follows this great system. I've mentioned this about half a year back. To significantly maximize profit while at the same time lowering your risk I've recommended skipping all A bets. Start your chase beginning with the B bet with the amount that Keel states. I've been doing this since about the time I mentioned previously and the result was quite substantial actually. So I went all the way back and crunched some numbers since the inception of Keel's system.

Let's use the MLB season of 2015 as an example. Keel indicates he made a profit of +15.2u playing ABC but based on the numbers Keel posted I can only get +12.07u but that's not the point here. Now had anyone following just by playing B&C like myself you will have profited a whopping +43.75u.
Let's examine this closer. The first chase ended with -50 wiped out but just by chasing the last 2 legs the damage was only limited to -26.72u. The second chase was +23.5u vs +32.65u. The 3rd chase was very short so the ABC chase went +42.15 vs BC +37.82. The final chase ended with no C win so -3.58u vs -1.33u. The result was a very significant +31.68u difference just by skipping the A bet.

I would like to thank you for your hard work. I don't know how you came up with me getting +12.07 units for MLB 2015. Did you use the spreadsheet? or the posts? There could have been an error.

Remember after my initial loss of 50 units, I reformatted my parlays to payout less than the 3-1 minimum. I don't think I made a mistake, but now I am curious.

[keel44]

If you do indeed follow the BC bets only, you still need a lot of patience. It is interesting that only 1 "A" win would qualify me getting "hot". This adjusted strategy further takes advantage of a capper's hot stretch.

[keel44]

I think I have found the error on my spreadsheet. On 8/14 and 8/15, I forgot to label the first 4 parlays properly when I started the next chase. I didn't include the notation "A" to them. I won 2 of these bets and lost the other 2. I never made a 1-B bet. If you looked at my spreadsheet, you might have missed these 4 bets. As a matter of fact, there may have been another time I didn't advance into a B or C bet because I sealed the deal with another one which leaves additional profits from the A bet. Get it?

[keel44]

I found 4 more "A" notations left off....all losses. I assure everybody that all of the B and C notations are correct for every sport.

I found 8 "A" bets in MLB2 that were not labeled as "A" bets. The "A" is not attached. The units risked are correct. It is just simply not labeled consistently as the other plays. That is the only mistakes for all of the sports.

I assure everybody that all of the B and C notations are correct for every sport. The units won and lost are PERFECT. It only a minor typo on my part. There is no shady business here!!