2015/16 NBA Thread
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NBA ManiacSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-12
- 5290
#561Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#562So Charlotte drew up a 30-footer in the huddle? Really?
I'm actually not joking when I say they've had ONE good offensive possession in the last 8 minutes of the game where Lin got a layup.
And despite all that nonsense, they would've won the game but for 2 atrocious calls.
Unreal.Comment -
RavensFan2k3SBR Posting Legend
- 08-18-12
- 17378
#563Well I was concerned about this line, and my concern was right. The movement was not only too much, but more importantly unwarranted.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#564Yesterday: 0-5, -5.4x
Total: 37-60-2, -27.84xComment -
t-wizzleBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-18-09
- 38099
#565Jazz tonight bro.Comment -
greally311SBR Rookie
- 02-05-10
- 30
#566No plays last several days? Anything look promising tonight?Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#567Blazers+10.5 -110 (bet365) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)Comment -
KRITSBR Posting Legend
- 01-11-14
- 12878
#568Like it, OKC in the look ahead spot. I expect a 5-7 point victory for OKC.
Have you paid much attention to teams coming off the long roadtrips? Both GS and Clipps coming off long roadtrips. Even without the roadies I was already leaning Suns and Bucks.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#569
The only thing I really feel strongly about with road trips is fading average or bad teams coming off a successful road trip in their first game back home. Most recent example is Cleveland thumping the Magic coming off their 3-2 West Coast swing. I was really silly not to play that one.
Not sure about those 2 games tonight. Bucks and Suns both really suck on the road. I guess in theory I'd say both those games could be close but with Golden State at home for instance... You're never safe. I remember taking Dallas with a double digit spread against them last year, they went up by 20 early and still lost by 15.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#570Today: 0-1, -2.2x
Total: 37-61-2, -30.04x
Truly unbelievable how badly I suck right now. I've had bad runs in my life but they've always been quick, like a few days or at most a week where I can't seem to get anything going.
This shit has been going on for nearly a month now though. That hasn't happened to me for like 3 years. It's kinda really very frustrating but I guess I gotta just keep trying and eventually it'll come right.Comment -
oldscho0ledSBR MVP
- 01-18-11
- 1407
#571Seto, keep yo head up. You know you'll turn this around.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#572Yeah, I hope so man. Trying to figure out what works until I get my rhythm back. It's funny because I always say the one thing I don't understand about professional athletes is how they can lose confidence in themselves or lose their rhythm after being so good at something for so long. Kinda going through that right now, I'm a bit unsure of what I need to do to break the run. I've tried to be extra careful and selective with my games, that hasn't worked, I've tried to play mostly live, that's had mixed results but overall hasn't been very good to me either, so I'm kind of confused as to what I'm doing day to day. I just know that when I start winning again and getting a good feel for things again the plays will just come to me naturally day by day and I won't have to overthink or hesitate on anything anymore. Funny how it works.Comment -
killersweetSBR MVP
- 12-02-08
- 1483
#573Today: 0-1, -2.2x
Total: 37-61-2, -30.04x
Truly unbelievable how badly I suck right now. I've had bad runs in my life but they've always been quick, like a few days or at most a week where I can't seem to get anything going.
This shit has been going on for nearly a month now though. That hasn't happened to me for like 3 years. It's kinda really very frustrating but I guess I gotta just keep trying and eventually it'll come right.Comment -
t-wizzleBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 12-18-09
- 38099
#574Been cold too man. It'll turn around.
Any thoughts on Thunder/Cavs tonight? I think OKC wins. They are playing really well right now.Comment -
DOM-GanadorSBR MVP
- 05-30-12
- 4479
#575Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays Seto.
Don`t be a quitter, get back in the game.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#577Bulls-3 -110 (bet365) (risking 2.2x to win 2x)
Nets ml +270 (betvictor) (risking 0.5x to win 1.35x)Comment -
italianbanditSBR MVP
- 05-17-11
- 2622
#578Hey Seto. Happy New Year. What do you think of Dallas +6 tonight ? I like them.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#579happy new year in advance i guess
I'm not sure how we deal with this whole Curry out thing. Line has moved 4.5 points from the opener which seems like a lot even if we're talking about Curry, especially since Deron Williams is out for Dallas too. If you got it at +6 or above +200 you probably did a good job getting enough value on this game. Not sure about now.
They are a different team without Curry though. Randomly off hand Indiana beat them pretty easily last year I think in a game without Curry.Comment -
italianbanditSBR MVP
- 05-17-11
- 2622
#580Thanks Seto, I got them at +6 for my biggest NBA bet of the year. Good luck.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#581Today: 0-2, -2.7x
Total: 37-63-2, -32.74x
No words to even describe how sick I am of this season. Fukking Nets were still up 3 with just over a minute to go then give up a 10-0 run (but make sure to lose by 7 to piss me off for not taking the spread).
Then the Bulls blow a 14-point 2nd half lead to look dead in the water, then force overtime and taunt me by leading by 7 in overtime (here I am thinking "oh ok maybe this will kickstart my comeback) and then they blow that too with Monta Ellis making a ridiculous 3 off an offensive rebound when he's a horrible 3 point shooter and was 3-for-18 for the night to tie it. Then of course the Bulls win by 2, yay.
And to cap it all off the other play I was considering was Sixers ml. This has to be a joke at this point. The only "positive" I can look at was that the first 2 months were awful 3 years ago and then I had 9 or 10 consecutive winning months in the NBA starting January 2013. But fukk I mean I started the season awful that year because I was still figuring stuff out. The past month I've had makes no sense to me.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#582Oh and to cap it all off the Nets cost me the equivalent of $300 on this parlay
Fun times.GameDate Sport Description Risk/Win Win/Loss
AmountResult Date Placed Ticket #: 3053594
Dec 30 07:00 PM
Dec 30 08:00 PM
Dec 30 08:30 PMNBA
NBA
NBAPARLAY (3 TEAMS) (FP)
[701] BROOKLYN +264
[710] CHICAGO -150
[714] DALLAS +3100.00 / 4177.83 0.00 LOSE
LOSE
PEND
PEND12/30/2015 07:09 AM Comment -
italianbanditSBR MVP
- 05-17-11
- 2622
#583Hang on Seto, you'll get there.Comment -
mlbSBR Posting Legend
- 12-04-09
- 10509
#584just a rough patch, sometimes they last longer than others - I've seen you do it for years on here - you will be fine.Comment -
NBA ManiacSBR Hall of Famer
- 12-11-12
- 5290
#585I'm in same boat then you, so...
you will manage to turn it around.
Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#586Thanks for the words of encouragement guys and happy new year. Let's make this a good year.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#587Tempting to take Orlando tonight. They've been embarrassed twice by Cleveland including once by about 40 on their home floor and the Cavs are off the West Coast road trip playing 4 games in 5 nights to end the trip.
Only problem is Orlando has been overachieving massively and are due a cold stretch so I'm hesitating quite a bit.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#588Magic+9 -115 (betvictor) (risking 2.3x to win 2x)
Gonna try and keep it simple just taking the spread.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#589Yesterday: 0-1, -2.3x
Total: 37-64-2, -35.04x
Orlando stink. Who the fukk knows how they were 19-13, they're even more puzzling than Boston. Dumb bet, regardless of the "spot".
Not gonna make much progress if half my plays lose by 20 and half my plays are gut-wrenching bad beats (or, in short version, 100% of my bets lose). Think I haven't won a play since mid-December. Albeit I haven't been playing much, I reckon that's a good 10-12 losers in a row. Unreal.
Gotta change sometime though.Comment -
ConquerorSBR Posting Legend
- 12-08-13
- 16778
#590Yesterday: 0-1, -2.3x
Total: 37-64-2, -35.04x
Orlando stink. Who the fukk knows how they were 19-13, they're even more puzzling than Boston. Dumb bet, regardless of the "spot".
Not gonna make much progress if half my plays lose by 20 and half my plays are gut-wrenching bad beats (or, in short version, 100% of my bets lose). Think I haven't won a play since mid-December. Albeit I haven't been playing much, I reckon that's a good 10-12 losers in a row. Unreal.
Gotta change sometime though.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#591
Appreciate the support.Comment -
MartinrSBR Wise Guy
- 07-08-13
- 529
#592
In my opinion you'd be better off playing the same number of plays, maybe even less, but cutting down the bet size until confidence returns. Or just take a couple weeks break.
By posting your picks on a public forum there's probably an ego aspect to your losses too, which adds to the stress of losing.
Managing the bankroll during losing streaks is more important than any other aspect of this game. Even more important than having a winning edge.
If you know your sport the right picks will present themselves when they're good and ready. Don't force them.Comment -
KRITSBR Posting Legend
- 01-11-14
- 12878
#593Seto gonna go on a hot run real soon.Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#594Making more plays could be the worst thing to do. Two things, both bad, could happen. First, you may just continue losing which could bring on full tilt, or second, by forcing plays you'll likely hit some darts, wrongly think you're back on track, and in doing so miss the opportunity you have right now to take stock.
In my opinion you'd be better off playing the same number of plays, maybe even less, but cutting down the bet size until confidence returns. Or just take a couple weeks break.
By posting your picks on a public forum there's probably an ego aspect to your losses too, which adds to the stress of losing.
Managing the bankroll during losing streaks is more important than any other aspect of this game. Even more important than having a winning edge.
If you know your sport the right picks will present themselves when they're good and ready. Don't force them.
I have had 2 or 3 really bad tilt moments in my life but I'm a year and a half removed from the last one and I truly believe I've turned that corner for good. Last season was really testing for me mentally for reasons people who followed my thread know, and the fact that I stayed mentally poised is one of the reasons I finished the season up 8 grand when I probably was picking games less well than the previous season.
My only concern is to get back to picking games better. When I said making more plays, I meant going back to what I usually do. I'd say on average I typically make bet about 10-15 games a week, maybe even 20, and recently I've been holding back a bit because I'm not feeling confident. I feel like I might be approaching this wrong. I didn't mean that I was going to try to force plays and throw shit at the wall hoping something sticks.
Comment -
SetoSBR Posting Legend
- 12-16-11
- 12906
#595I hope so man. It can get real good just as quickly as it got real bad. I'm trying to approach this thinking that as bad as this season has been from a feeling standpoint, I'm only down like 2 grand or something thanks to the good start, so all I need is one good run and I'm back in business. There's still plenty of time to make this right too.
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