Jmathes +30 Unit Playoff Guarantee!

jmathes · 04-18-09, 11:31 AM

Today's picks:

chicago +9 4 units

detroit & cleveland over 175 2.5 units

3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit

cleveland -4.5
la lakers -4
denver nuggets +1

3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit

cleveland -4.5
la lakers -4
orlando -2.5

3 team money line parlay 2 units (-120)

cleveland ml
orlando ml
denver ml

blowseq · 04-18-09, 11:38 AM

im sure you will make it J.
GL

GGPLAYER · 04-18-09, 05:43 PM

I'm in for the fun. Of course I missed the Chi game since I did not read your post until after it started but cashed in on the Over with Clev. I'm hoping you know what your doing with all these 3 teamers. Seems like a lot of what if's. Either way I look forward to my 30 units.

Vincepcion · 04-18-09, 05:56 PM

Looking good so far

RonPaul2008 · 04-18-09, 05:58 PM

Good Luck

jmathes · 04-19-09, 10:33 AM

Results from 4/18

chicago +9 4 units WIN

detroit & cleveland over 175 2.5 units WIN

3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit PENDING

cleveland -4.5
la lakers -4
denver nuggets +1

3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit PENDING

cleveland -4.5
la lakers -4
orlando -2.5

3 team money line parlay 2 units (-120) PENDING

cleveland ml
orlando ml
denver ml

TODAY'S PICKS

utah & los angeles over 209.5 3.5 units

los angeles -11 2.5 units

atlanta -4.5 3.5 units

miami & atlanta over 185.5 3 units

new orleans +6 2.5 units

philly & orlando under 192 2 units

philly +10 .5 unit

OVERALL RECORD

2-0 (+5.5 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

PENDING

GGPLAYER · 04-19-09, 10:46 AM

Does it make sense to buy points to equal your lines? I'm getting almost a half point higher or lower than your posted lines at my book right now.

rcracer · 04-19-09, 10:50 AM

philly & orlando under 192 2 units

what your insight on this one?

Both teams can rack up points, yesterdays games were overs

jmathes · 04-19-09, 11:02 AM

it depends on the game and how i feel. the only 2 games i would consider buying pts would be with atlanta and new orleans covering their respective spreads. i jumped on these games 2 days ago before the lines jumped and feel very strong about them. i would post these plays as soon as i see them but the thread gets faded and its pointless to post them here. if you want me to email you the plays earlier send me an email and let me know your email address. here are the games and the run down on what i think you should do:

utah & los angeles over 209.5 3.5 units this will go over 220 so no pt buying should be needed

los angeles -11 2.5 units the lakers will probably win this game by 15+ points. its the jazz on the road

atlanta -4.5 3.5 units this game is questionable. i believe that you will be ok but ill leave it up to you

miami & atlanta over 185.5 3 units dont think buying pts is needed. my spreadsheet simulates this at 197

new orleans +6 2.5 units this game is questionable and could come down to the wire so maybe buy half pt

philly & orlando under 192 2 units this isnt a terribly strong play but simulated total is 185

philly +10 .5 unit this is strictly an action play. only betting .5 unit and don't think a half pt buy is needed

jmathes · 04-19-09, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by rcracer

philly & orlando under 192 2 units

what your insight on this one?

Both teams can rack up points, yesterdays games were overs

i am trying to stay away from doing write-ups for this thread because i am giving these picks away for free. i will say that pubic perception isn't everything. even though all four games went over yesterday that doesn't mean anything today. 90% of the betting public bet the under on the cleveland & detroit game yesterday and lost. if you did your homework and looked at trends it appeared the game was going to be very low scoring-WRONG. the sharps and myself were on the over yesterday in that game and won it big. the nice thing about it is that i balanced my bookie on that game and he payed me +110 for the bet. im not always right but 65% for nba plays means plus units. please know that my games are on a 1-5 scale meaning 5 is the strongest. with that being said 2 units isn't terribly strong but at the same time, its a decent play. you can't win them all but you can you can definitely win most of em. good luck buddy!

SmackdownV · 04-19-09, 11:19 AM

Jmathes:

Nice writeup!

I agree with you on the Utah and ATL overs......scary thing is if Utah tries to slow the pace.

Otherwise great info!

SmackdownV · 04-19-09, 11:52 AM

I hope your right on the Lakers over....

I just loaded up OVER 210...

jmathes · 04-20-09, 08:33 AM

a little dancing with the bookie yesterday but still came out on top. tonight's games are small action plays but take advantage of the future plays because those are going to cash big time. i found these on 2-3 different books all with the same price give or take a penny. good luck.

Results from 4/19

3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit WIN

cleveland -4.5
la lakers -4
denver nuggets +1

3 team 7 point teaser 1 unit LOSS

cleveland -4.5
la lakers -4
orlando -2.5

3 team money line parlay 2 units (-120) LOSS

cleveland ml
orlando ml
denver ml

utah & los angeles over 209.5 3.5 units WIN

los angeles -11 2.5 units WIN

atlanta -4.5 3.5 units WIN

miami & atlanta over 185.5 3 units LOSS

new orleans +6 2.5 units LOSS

philly & orlando under 192 2 units LOSS

philly +10 .5 unit WIN

TODAY'S PICKS

san antonio -3 1st half 2 units

san antonio -6 1 units

chicago +8.5 1.50 units

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

denver -215 3 units

houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

6-3 (+6 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-2 (-2 UNITS)

GGPLAYER · 04-20-09, 11:40 AM

My book has the Den series at -430? I also get the Lakers at -105 to win it all. Still worth going after in your opinion?

jmathes · 04-20-09, 06:21 PM

Originally posted by GGPLAYER

My book has the Den series at -430? I also get the Lakers at -105 to win it all. Still worth going after in your opinion?

I wouldn't jump on either one because of the risk/reward factor. I think that there is a very good chance the Lakers will beat the Cavs in the finals and Denver will win their series but the line has already moved way too much. The Nuggets will definitely win their series but -430 is a terrible reward so I wouldn't bet it. I caught it late last night and couldn't pass this up . The series will probably be done in 5 games and 6 at most. Sorry you caught it so late. Good luck!

jmathes · 04-21-09, 08:10 AM

Results from 4/20

san antonio -3 1st half 2 units WIN

san antonio -6 1 units WIN

chicago +8.5 1.50 units WIN

FUTURES: PENDING

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

denver -215 3 units

houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

TODAY'S PICKS

Houston +6 4 units

Cleveland -5.5 1st half 3 units

Cleveland & Detroit over 177 2.5 units

Lakers -5.5 1st half 3.5 units

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

denver -215 3 units

houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

8-3 (+10.5 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-2 (-2 UNITS)

jmathes · 04-22-09, 07:58 AM

Just to let everyone know I am going for the homerun today. If I hit the big games I will automatically gain atleast 12.5 units. If I miss one of the 2 bigger games I will be down slightly in units for the day but the reward here is too good to pass up. I locked in this parlay last night with my bookie and also found it on several sites (5dimes, betjamaica,wagerweb,etc..)

Results from 4/21

Houston +6 4 units WIN

Cleveland -5.5 1st half 3 units WIN

Cleveland & Detroit over 177 2.5 units LOSS

Lakers -5.5 1st half 3.5 units WIN

FUTURES: PENDING

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

denver -215 3 units

houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units LOSS

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

TODAY'S PICKS

denver -5.5 4 units

atlanta -5 3.5 units

3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & orlando -2.5 1st quarter +600 1 unit

3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & philly +2.5 1st quarter +600 1 unit

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

denver -215 3 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

11-4 (+17 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-2 (-2 UNITS)

dennisback · 04-22-09, 08:29 AM

now why would you do that parlay with 2 same plays + a play with opposite bets

?!?! ´just parlay denver -5.5 and atlanta -5.

got about the same plays though with denver and atlanta. and sixers should cover, too.

BOL

BatemanPatrickl · 04-22-09, 08:36 AM

I like Denver but am staying away from the Magic and Hawks game.

jmathes · 04-22-09, 08:39 AM

Originally posted by dennisback

now why would you do that parlay with 2 same plays + a play with opposite bets

?!?! ´just parlay denver -5.5 and atlanta -5.

got about the same plays though with denver and atlanta. and sixers should cover, too.

BOL

because one unit pays out +600. denver and atlanta are very solid picks and if i win those first 2 games i can't lose the parlay. you will see my friend.

dennisback · 04-22-09, 09:07 AM

yeah you could put 2 units on atlanta -5 and denver -5.5 that would pay about +250 and u get same amount of units won........

stakagrp · 04-22-09, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by jmathes

because one unit pays out +600. denver and atlanta are very solid picks and if i win those first 2 games i can't lose the parlay. you will see my friend.

If Denver and Atlanta are solid picks then you might as well do a 2 team parlay for 200 winning $520 instead of two 3 team parlay which in your case one will lose and winnning you only $500. This way you win $20 more and if either Denver or Atlanta loses then the results would've been the same regardless whether you played a 2 or 3 team parlay -200 dollars.

dennisback · 04-22-09, 01:31 PM

yeah that was what i was writing... you are just paying more juice. you could donate that juice aswell^^

jmathes · 04-22-09, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by jmathes

Just to let everyone know I am going for the homerun today. If I hit the big games I will automatically gain atleast 12.5 units. If I miss one of the 2 bigger games I will be down slightly in units for the day but the reward here is too good to pass up. I locked in this parlay last night with my bookie and also found it on several sites (5dimes, betjamaica,wagerweb,etc..)

Results from 4/21

Houston +6 4 units WIN

Cleveland -5.5 1st half 3 units WIN

Cleveland & Detroit over 177 2.5 units LOSS

Lakers -5.5 1st half 3.5 units WIN

FUTURES: PENDING

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

denver -215 3 units

houston to win game 2 +215 1.5 units LOSS

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

TODAY'S PICKS

denver -5.5 4 units

atlanta -5 3.5 units

3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & orlando -2.5 1st quarter +600 1 unit

3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & philly +2.5 1st quarter +600 1 unit

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

denver -215 3 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

11-4 (+17 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-2 (-2 UNITS)

adding a game last minute.

miami & atlanta under 184.5 3.5 units

jmathes · 04-23-09, 08:04 AM

the lakers haven't had success in utah but i am taking them 1st half because i think that they will be up to the challenge. good luck!

Results from 4/22

denver -5.5 4 units WIN

atlanta -5 3.5 units LOSS

3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & orlando -2.5 1st quart+600 1 unit LOSS

3 team parlay:
denver -5.5 & atlanta -5 & philly +2.5 1st quart +600 1 unit LOSS

miami & atlanta under 184.5 3.5 units LOSS

TODAY'S PICKS

chicago -1.5 1st half 4.5 units

chicago -2.5 game 3 units

dallas -4 2.5 units

la lakers -.5 1st half 2 units

please note i am adding 2.5 units on houston winning the series. the line went down to -160 and i see great value here. this means i now have a total of 6.5 units invested in houston.

odds to win series

houston -160 2.5 units

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

houston -160 2.5 units

denver -215 3 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

12-6 (+12 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-4

GGPLAYER · 04-23-09, 09:04 PM

Bulls

jmathes · 04-24-09, 07:27 AM

will be out of town until sunday

my next bet will be:

houston -2.5 1 st half 4 units

houston -5 5 units

jmathes · 04-27-09, 06:04 PM

Results from 4/23 & 4/24

chicago -1.5 1st half 4.5 units LOSS

chicago -2.5 game 3 units LOSS

dallas -4 2.5 units WIN

la lakers -.5 1st half 2 units LOSS

houston -2.5 1 st half 4 units WIN

houston -5 5 units LOSS

TODAY'S PICKS

miami -4.5 4 units

denver +2.5 1 unit

lakers -6 1st half 2.5 units

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

houston -160 2.5 units

denver -215 3 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

14-10 (+4 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-4

csimmalavong · 04-27-09, 06:56 PM

hey man which sportbook is giving you even money lines ?

i see your record is
14-10 (+4 UNITS)

jmathes · 04-28-09, 07:16 PM

Results from 4/27

miami -4.5 4 units LOSS

denver +2.5 1 unit WIN

lakers -6 1st half 2.5 units WIN

TODAY'S PICKS

san antonio -2.5 1st half 3 units

portland -5.5 3.5 units

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

houston -160 2.5 units

denver -215 3 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

16-11 (+3.5 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-4

jmathes · 04-29-09, 07:04 PM

Results from 4/28

san antonio -2.5 1st half 3 units LOSS

portland -5.5 3.5 units WIN

TODAY'S PICKS

miami & atlanta under 180 3.5 units

denver -10 4 units

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

houston -160 2.5 units

denver -215 3 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

17-12 (+4 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-4

jmathes · 04-30-09, 07:22 AM

picked up 3 units on my future bet with denver winning their series last night and looking to scoop up more today with houston. if houston and philly can cover tonight i will be raking in 11 units on the day and will be sitting pretty once again. good luck!

Results from 4/29

miami & atlanta under 180 3.5 units LOSS

denver -10 4 units WIN

denver -215 to win series 3 units WIN

TODAY'S PICKS

philly -4 2.5 units

houston -2.5 1st half 2 units

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

houston -160 2.5 units

denver -215 3 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

19-13 (+7.5 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-4

jmathes · 05-01-09, 06:52 PM

Results from 4/30

philly -4 2.5 units LOSS

houston -2.5 1st half 2 units WIN

future bets to win series:

houston -195 4 units WIN

houston -160 2.5 units WIN

TODAY'S PICKS

atlanta & miami over 182 1 unit

FUTURES:

odds to win series

houston -195 4 units

houston -160 2.5 units

denver -215 3 units

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

22-14 (+13.5 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-4

jmathes · 05-02-09, 08:19 AM

Results from 5/1

atlanta & miami over 182 1 unit LOSS

TODAY'S PICKS

chicago & boston under 197 2.5 unit

FUTURES:

lakers to win nba championship +135 .5 units

OVERALL RECORD

22-15 (+12.5 UNITS)

TEASER/PARLAY RECORD

1-4