NBA adjusted for competition predicted score 4/11

[Kyleben]

NJN- 92.3(-6.3 points w/out harris, small data size though)
ORL- 88

Jazz- 116.8
GS- 111.8(with ellis) 103.5(without ellis)

POR-115.1
CLIP- 93.6

Pho- 95.3
Wolves- 102.1

OKC- 89.6
Mil- 105.6

Det- 105.6
Ind- 101.9

Char- 85.9
Chi- 97.1

[Vincepcion]

Do you have a YTD record of how successful this is?

[Kyleben]

Games that are 3+ points away from open line are hitting 61.3%, o/u are 58.6% started tracking record 12/28/08. I have it broken down into some other splits as well, but those are for my personal use, although i dont mind answering questions

[Vincepcion]

Thank you...it seems very interesting.

[Kyleben]

i can keep a running record on here, i think the playoffs could be very profitable because teams tend to be more healthy and i have been hitting alot better with playoffs teams they are far more consistent.

[sweetjones55]

Pho- 95.3
Wolves- 102.1

This would be justtttt fine.

[Kyleben]

espn says ellis is done for the season refer to the 103.5 number for gs

[The HG]

Interesting #s, thanks for posting

I think both of your Utah/GS #s are too high though

[Mac4Lyfe]

Kyleben - how do you arrive at these numbers? They look very good BTW.

[King_Bookie]

Your call on the detroit and indiana was a pretty close stat. although it seems that the scores will be reverses.

[Kyleben]

Kyleben - how do you arrive at these numbers? They look very good BTW.

i adjust all of the final scores by the rank of the defense that they played. ex: utah scored 108 v.the warriors, there final score for this game would have points deducted from it because of the poor rank that warriors have on defense, the number of points deducted it determined by the average difference of points between every teams rankings yesterday that number was .7.You then subtract .7 for every spot the team they played was away from the middle of the league. From those numbers i have found that the most accurate predictor is to use the last five games at home or on the road and average them together. I also have various other splits that I may use for my personal use. Not sure if that made sense but that how it works

[W0lfy]

Your call on the detroit and indiana was a pretty close stat. although it seems that the scores will be reverses.

Lol. That's the secret to this formula. The numbers are right but with the wrong teams!

[Kyleben]

7-7 predicting every game(i usually bet games with atleast a 3+ off the spread or o/u, but for tracking the record on sbr I will keep track of every game), nothing to spectacular today.