Leans for Friday 4/3/09 Heat from the Sun as Hawks Fly By With Money

[TORONTOBBALL]

am i missing somthing lakers won there last game

[TORONTOBBALL]

anyone esle think 246 for the phx game is way to much like i know there both defenseless but thats alot

[melincrea]

am i missing somthing lakers won there last game

Wow, thanks!

... still taking it!

[TORONTOBBALL]

think about this lakers are comin home from a 7 game road trip there exausted not to mention kobe still shaking off his stomach flu or bug w.e it is. yaos gonna be able to shut down gasol as u has the height to do so. lakers have been playing very bad lately.

[RoagBettor]

If the referees take Yao out of the game early the Rockets are toast.

[TORONTOBBALL]

tru but i think hell be fine

[B's Picks]

I took your advice CK and booked MIA +6.5 ATL +65 and SA-4.5. I have been following your threads and have profited well. thank you. also you have a great thread each day with other posters with info that i value as well.

I also booked HOU +6.5 AND CLE +4.5.....

what do you think?

[TORONTOBBALL]

cmon lakers had trouble beating mil and ur telling me there gonna be able to take houston. lakers clinched there spot i really dont think they care till playoffs

[melincrea]

think about this lakers are comin home from a 7 game road trip there exausted not to mention kobe still shaking off his stomach flu or bug w.e it is. yaos gonna be able to shut down gasol as u has the height to do so. lakers have been playing very bad lately.

Hehe, thank you for all your help. I am truly new to handicapping - just giving it a shot. Wouldn't advise anyone to follow me just yet, but posting my stuff here to get input from people like yourself

[BrandonLaz]

And that's what our thread is all about. I actually loved the sight of seeing I think it was Isaiah indicating that from what he has learned on the thread is that these are the plays also. This board is killer. A consistent informative source for information. We're going to head right into the WNBA too so it should be fruitful. WNBA is easier than NBA. These guys should be able to pry the lid right off of the book's headquarters.

Glad to see you play the WNBA as well there CK. I make a killing every WNBA season as the lines are so soft due to the lack of action on them.

[BrandonLaz]

cmon lakers had trouble beating mil and ur telling me there gonna be able to take houston. lakers clinched there spot i really dont think they care till playoffs

With the loss to the Wizards last night they can still beat out the Cavs for best record in the NBA. Kobe and Phil know that is important and I think they will come out and win the game today. I am not on it due to other action I like, but if I was on a side it would be the Lakers.

[The_Kid]

Glad to see you play the WNBA as well there CK. I make a killing every WNBA season as the lines are so soft due to the lack of action on them.

I think it's easier because there is not much parity, or there are huge dropoffs in talent compared to the men's game. You might have Kobe vs Battier and obviously, Kobe is better but Battier can more than hold his own defending him. In the WNBA, you got Candace Parker vs a player off the bench and there's no comparison. I don't know if that makes sense but the women play a totally different game and the talent level is not as equal so to speak.

cmon lakers had trouble beating mil and ur telling me there gonna be able to take houston. lakers clinched there spot i really dont think they care till playoffs

That was the last game of their long road trip and they did manage to come back from double digits in the 1H. That's still pretty impressive on the road. The Cavs just lost to Washington. Does that mean I'm crazy if I take the Cavs vs Orlando? To go 5-2 on their trip was pretty good for them. With the Cavs loss last night, they still have an outside shot of getting home court advantage.

[HoulihansTX]

Glad to see you play the WNBA as well there CK. I make a killing every WNBA season as the lines are so soft due to the lack of action on them.

I think gamblers are the only people that know WNBA still exists.

[cocknocker]

I just made a large play on Orlando/Cleveland under 188

[In2Win]

CK,

For the hawks and heat, if we are not able to buy pts, do you still think it's worthy of the heavy play?

[cocknocker]

Yes,

In2Win

[repski]

interesting stat:

Orlando is 10-1 ATS vs Cleveland in their last 11 meetings.....

[wangichu]

hate to fade the master but...

Pacers are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Pacers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Friday games.
Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win.
Pacers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog.

Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss.
Spurs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.

IND +4.5
CHAR -4

... will roll with ATL though, everyone who knows me knows of my man crush on the hawks and they owe me for my support here. Plus somethings just straight up fishy with that line.

ATL +5

OKC +5 (they're hot right now)

[stakagrp]

Sac +13

In the Kings' last three games, they upset the Suns at home, lost to the Hornets by one point at home on a 3-point shot at the buzzer and lost by two in overtime to Golden State on the road

The Kings are often underpriced, especially when playing in division where they have covered 10 of the past 12 times.

The Suns are off a huge win against the Rockets. They play at Dallas on Sunday making this a big look-ahead
game.

You're right about the Suns looking ahead at the Dallas game, but you also have to consider that they got embarrassed by Sac last time they played. That game was a statement game proving whether the Suns were a playoff contending team or not and they ended up losing that and took in hard criticism. Now they're back home to avenge that loss and I believe Barbosa might be back in the lineup which should help the team a little. On the site where my book gets the lines at they're not even offering a moneyline on the game, which means that its a guaranteed win for the Suns, but maybe not ats. Gl with your play.

[stakagrp]

Hmmmmm.....

MIA/CHAR Total is at 183??

Their last 3 games against each other have been 187, 196, and 188.

If I were going just by the line alone, I would probably play the Under because it seems like the books want people to play the Over.........but looking at the last 3 totals makes me think I'm trying too hard to outsmart the books at their own game. Seems like an easy Over bet?????

Its never really easy to pick on totals when either of these two teams play. There isn't a strong trend with either of them, which makes it so hard but looking at the last ten games these two teams played together at Charlotte 7 of them went under with the last 4 meetings playing under. Hard one to decide on but with 75% of the public on the over and the line hasn't moved then I might side with the under or better yet just stay away and side with CK's picks for the day.

[In2Win]

thanks ck!

[whatisit]

Two plays for me today, OKC/Port Under 193 (locked in last night before drop), PHX team total over whatever, no way Kings can slow these guys down. Should be a fun game.

[mixpicks]

Hmmmmm.....

MIA/CHAR Total is at 183??

Their last 3 games against each other have been 187, 196, and 188.

If I were going just by the line alone, I would probably play the Under because it seems like the books want people to play the Over.........but looking at the last 3 totals makes me think I'm trying too hard to outsmart the books at their own game. Seems like an easy Over bet?????

Yes, I like this thinking here, also more%67 on the Over and The Line Dropped, 1 full PT. Also, Big Steam on a game No One Here Mentioned, GSW can ome also provide stat material supporting that they Win, because IMO the Market says Yes They should cover? My partners are also told me the Heat is a good play tonight, and I also see a lot of you guys taking them, but to me I don't see it, quess I'm missing something. IMO I see them losing a close close game...
Good Thread guys keep up the good work...

[TheLemonDropKid]

I just made a large play on Orlando/Cleveland under 188

You don't usually play totals GrandMaster Flash!

Since you're on the total kick at the moment......a) I like this pick and b) what about the MIA/CHAR Over 183?? The line makes you think you should go Under but the last 3 between them has gone 187, 196, and 188. Your thoughts wise one???

[NBA Hero]

noh looks like a solid play. line has increased in favor of GS.

[TheLemonDropKid]

Yes, I like this thinking here, also more%67 on the Over and The Line Dropped, 1 full PT. Also, Big Steam on a game No One Here Mentioned, GSW can ome also provide stat material supporting that they Win, because IMO the Market says Yes They should cover? My partners are also told me the Heat is a good play tonight, and I also see a lot of you guys taking them, but to me I don't see it, quess I'm missing something. IMO I see them losing a close close game...
Good Thread guys keep up the good work...

Hey Mix.......I'm sorry, but are you saying the Over is a good bet on this one or the Under?

[mixpicks]

wow that suns total is high, and going up. What a slap in the face to the Defence, or lack of... I'm sure the plays see this total two, wounder If their thinking Maybe We Should Play Some "D"... This Total Could Even Be a Motivating factor for the Suns Coach to get them to play some "D", Again>?<
BOL

[Pick'nParlays]

ck, think no and gsw go over?

[shoebox]

ck, think no and gsw go over?

Id say under here, NO plays some of the best half court in the league and they should play to there strengths and stay away from run and gun

GL picknparlays

[mixpicks]

No I'm with You the UNDER, Did you also notice cleve total lastnight, "SHARP" samething, 76% on the Under line Moved up from 192.5 to 196' I Had To Play That OVER, Now This Game Under, But it is still early, Thinking of putting it in now and watching it, it should continue to go down that would be good, but if it goes back up to the opening # and higher I would then be concerned. But Again Now I'm Talking UNDER.

[mixpicks]

dos that help lemondrop?

[mixpicks]

Nice CK: I also support that Under two Cleve/orlando Under it is....

BOL

[Pick'nParlays]

Id say under here, NO plays some of the best half court in the league and they should play to there strengths and stay away from run and gun

GL picknparlays

thx shoe bol

[cocknocker]

cmon lakers had trouble beating mil and ur telling me there gonna be able to take houston. lakers clinched there spot i really dont think they care till playoffs

Houston is the correct call on that one

[Bob Roberts]

Id say under here, NO plays some of the best half court in the league and they should play to there strengths and stay away from run and gun

GL picknparlays

The problem with golden state games is that they play such bad defence, other teams can't help running and gunning! Going to the basket and taking open shots is like a kid in a candy store with no one watching..... you can't help but take the shot/candy....