NBA - Friday, 1/16/15

[LT Profits]

1 NBA Play Friday

Raptors +102 ML (5 Dimes)


YTD: 50-64-3, -15.62

[johnnymapalo]

Yes, I feel that much confident in my Atlanta play now. Lol.

[LT Profits]

This line seems skewed by Atlanta 10-game winning streak, these teams are close enough talent wise where Toronto should probably be -2/-2.5 at home

[CDUBB_CW]

Raptors usually dominant the Hawks in most recent match ups.

[LT Profits]

Raptors usually dominant the Hawks in most recent match ups.

Most importantly 2-0 THIS season

[Emf66]

Most importantly 2-0 THIS season

LT, you can easily argue that the 2-0 is a good reason why the Hawks would win tonight plus regarding
the odds its not purely the 10 game streak its the quality of the wins AND the style. They are blowing
everyone out including all the West teams. Go and watch some of their games and see for yourself.
Derozan back helps but you could easily see the Hawks win this by 15 proving they are Kings. BOL but be careful. All the best

[hottips]

LT, you can easily argue that the 2-0 is a good reason why the Hawks would win tonight plus regarding
the odds its not purely the 10 game streak its the quality of the wins AND the style. They are blowing
everyone out including all the West teams. Go and watch some of their games and see for yourself.
Derozan back helps but you could easily see the Hawks win this by 15 proving they are Kings. BOL but be careful. All the best

i agree, bol to all

[A.M.S.]

Bol to all

[killersweet]

LT, you can easily argue that the 2-0 is a good reason why the Hawks would win tonight plus regarding
the odds its not purely the 10 game streak its the quality of the wins AND the style. They are blowing
everyone out including all the West teams. Go and watch some of their games and see for yourself.
Derozan back helps but you could easily see the Hawks win this by 15 proving they are Kings. BOL but be careful. All the best

If Hawks can beat the raptors by 15 at Raptors home, I'll be stunned. Hawks may win tonight, but I don't see them blowing the raptors out.

[Emf66]

If Hawks can beat the raptors by 15 at Raptors home, I'll be stunned. Hawks may win tonight, but I don't see them blowing the raptors out.

Hornets smacked them 1 week ago, final line was 8 but it wasnt that close. Im not saying the line
should be Atl -15 Im saying they have been up 20-25 on virtually every team so it is without doubt
possible. If you too that they are quite happy to smash teams without let up – see 120-89 Wizz line
last week. Do you think Toronto are that much better than the Wizz?

[killersweet]

Hornets smacked them 1 week ago, final line was 8 but it wasnt that close. Im not saying the line
should be Atl -15 Im saying they have been up 20-25 on virtually every team so it is without doubt
possible. If you too that they are quite happy to smash teams without let up – see 120-89 Wizz line
last week. Do you think Toronto are that much better than the Wizz?

Hornets have historically given raptors trouble. Toronto was playing better ball than Atl and Wiz before DD went down. They were initially doing okay without him, but it has caught up to Lowry who was carrying the team. That's why they started to fade in the middle of that horrific west coast trip. Now that they have DD back, they are slowly going to get going again. They are a team that usually don't get blown out, especially at home. Yes, Atlanta has been blowing teams out, but I would be very surprised if raptors lose by more than 5 or 6 points tonight.

[Emf66]

Hornets have historically given raptors trouble. Toronto was playing better ball than Atl and Wiz before DD went down. They were initially doing okay without him, but it has caught up to Lowry who was carrying the team. That's why they started to fade in the middle of that horrific west coast trip. Now that they have DD back, they are slowly going to get going again. They are a team that usually don't get blown out, especially at home. Yes, Atlanta has been blowing teams out, but I would be very surprised if raptors lose by more than 5 or 6 points tonight.

I dont personally put any stock on the historical but agree with DD helping to get them back on track whether it happens as quick as tonight is debateable and dependent on his conditioning. I think everyone has continued to be surprised and/or question can the Hawks continue – myself included – but we cant ignore their astounding run. Every single game Ive watched they have drilled out to 20 pts leads and hardly looked back, anyway we shall see! Should be a good game to watch with two of the Easts best to offer, Im tired of hearing all the West coast crap anyway so Im glad the Hawks went out their and kicked ass. BOL

[44 Mag]

I dont personally put any stock on the historical but agree with DD helping to get them back on track whether it happens as quick as tonight is debateable and dependent on his conditioning. I think everyone has continued to be surprised and/or question can the Hawks continue – myself included – but we cant ignore their astounding run. Every single game Ive watched they have drilled out to 20 pts leads and hardly looked back, anyway we shall see! Should be a good game to watch with two of the Easts best to offer, Im tired of hearing all the West coast crap anyway so Im glad the Hawks went out their and kicked ass. BOL

Agreed, Trouble with the Hawks is they are a "three" ball team. How does Toronto hold up against perimeter shooting teams???

[killersweet]

I dont personally put any stock on the historical but agree with DD helping to get them back on track whether it happens as quick as tonight is debateable and dependent on his conditioning. I think everyone has continued to be surprised and/or question can the Hawks continue – myself included – but we cant ignore their astounding run. Every single game Ive watched they have drilled out to 20 pts leads and hardly looked back, anyway we shall see! Should be a good game to watch with two of the Easts best to offer, Im tired of hearing all the West coast crap anyway so Im glad the Hawks went out their and kicked ass. BOL

Hawks have been great for sure. They are already down 2-0 to the raptors this season. So I am sure they will be motivated to get a win tonight. The game has a good chance of going over as well. Both teams can put up the points.

[Emf66]

Agreed, Trouble with the Hawks is they are a "three" ball team. How does Toronto hold up against perimeter shooting teams???

mid table - 15^th as I recall – so mixed bag there. I think while the Hawks bang the 3 they get constant layups via floor spacing and ball movement. Ive watched a few of their games and I couldnt believe
their success at it

[killersweet]

mid table - 15^th as I recall – so mixed bag there. I think while the Hawks bang the 3 they get constant layups via floor spacing and ball movement. Ive watched a few of their games and I couldnt believe
their success at it

Horford and Millsap going to trouble the raptors frontcourt. Teague has been insane. Should be a dandy tonight!

[Emf66]

Horford and Millsap going to trouble the raptors frontcourt. Teague has been insane. Should be a dandy tonight!

I have to be honest up until two weeks ago I hadnt played the Raptors then watched one of their games
and was rather unimpressed with the starters (good bench). It was the Hornets game actually and sure
enough they got smacked (and me with it lol – my fault for not be up to date with them) so I would
like to see them get motoring again as they were earlier. Does anyone else feel that way? DD will
certainly help the cause

[killersweet]

I have to be honest up until two weeks ago I hadnt played the Raptors then watched one of their games
and was rather unimpressed with the starters (good bench). It was the Hornets game actually and sure
enough they got smacked (and me with it lol – my fault for not be up to date with them) so I would
like to see them get motoring again as they were earlier. Does anyone else feel that way? DD will
certainly help the cause

Raptors front court has been weak. They are a poor rebounding team. But lately during their struggles, their perimeter defense hasn't been great, which can spell trouble tonight with Teague. But they are hard working team. That's why they don't get blown out often as they fight their way back most of the time. This should be a fun game for sure.

[nickcruz60]

LT what's your thoughts on SA Spurs tonight?

[LT Profits]

1 NBA Addition

2 NBA Plays Friday

Raptors +102 ML (5 Dimes)
Heat +3 -105 (5 Dimes)

[R.P. McMurphy]

Impossible to beat nba in my opinion just going off #'s and seeing "perceived" value based on them. Follow hot streaks, look for teams tendencies, and bad spots. Guys who say the actually "cap" nba games make me laugh. Much respect for LT but you are better off just knowing the flow in this league than #'s.

[Emf66]

Impossible to beat nba in my opinion just going off #'s and seeing "perceived" value based on them. Follow hot streaks, look for teams tendencies, and bad spots. Guys who say the actually "cap" nba games make me laugh. Much respect for LT but you are better off just knowing the flow in this league than #'s.

can you clarify what you mean? Are you saying ditch the technical/data support and look for the
eye test / feel side of things to gauge performance & picks?

[R.P. McMurphy]

No just follow the ebb/ flow and try to recognize tendencies. Teams coming back 1st gm long road trips, know which teams suck on b2b (Clips), suck at home (Bulls), those teams are also big name draws and you should always get a little added line value with them anyhow cause every sucker thinks they are both elite contenders.

Give ya a couple other examples. Two years back I noticed Wiz were covering every fukkin gm almost early on especially as a dog. I coined the phrase "darling doggie" and rode them alot that season and still do. Added Sun's to my list last season. Also noticed last season Detroit were playing like dogshit in 2h almost every gm. Go into half up 53-48 and score like 13 points in one of the final Q's and blew it. Team was a great 2h fade last season and into this one until they shipped dipshit who helped alot on those failures. I've mentioned both those numerous times around here they've been a couple of my personal faves. Just look at find what's out there and find those tendencies. If you aren't riding Atl and fading NYK every night lately you are missing out. And I don't need to spend half an afternoon crunching #'s in the process it's right in front of you!!

[R.P. McMurphy]

Here's another tip keep an eye on Boston. Been keeping track of their games a bit and noticed they seem to drag ass and get in holes early on. Looking to possibly start a 1q or 1h fade on them soon. Bol everyone!

[Emf66]

No just follow the ebb/ flow and try to recognize tendencies. Teams coming back 1st gm long road trips, know which teams suck on b2b (Clips), suck at home (Bulls), those teams are also big name draws and you should always get a little added line value with them anyhow cause every sucker thinks they are both elite contenders.

Give ya a couple other examples. Two years back I noticed Wiz were covering every fukkin gm almost early on especially as a dog. I coined the phrase "darling doggie" and rode them alot that season and still do. Added Sun's to my list last season. Also noticed last season Detroit were playing like dogshit in 2h almost every gm. Go into half up 53-48 and score like 13 points in one of the final Q's and blew it. Team was a great 2h fade last season and into this one until they shipped dipshit who helped alot on those failures. I've mentioned both those numerous times around here they've been a couple of my personal faves. Just look at find what's out there and find those tendencies. If you aren't riding Atl and fading NYK every night lately you are missing out. And I don't need to spend half an afternoon crunching #'s in the process it's right in front of you!!

yep I do that in all sports in fact it's the first thing I look for each year and there is often carry over
as you note – see New Jersey Devils 1^st period under totals – Ottawa Sens 1^st period win % - I look for
the obvious strongest results with a team most under the radar Ottawa being a great example. They
won 70% of their 1^st periods last year while having an overall average record. If you havent been on
Atl and the NY you are blind they are off the charts. BOL

[Emf66]

No just follow the ebb/ flow and try to recognize tendencies. Teams coming back 1st gm long road trips, know which teams suck on b2b (Clips), suck at home (Bulls), those teams are also big name draws and you should always get a little added line value with them anyhow cause every sucker thinks they are both elite contenders.

Give ya a couple other examples. Two years back I noticed Wiz were covering every fukkin gm almost early on especially as a dog. I coined the phrase "darling doggie" and rode them alot that season and still do. Added Sun's to my list last season. Also noticed last season Detroit were playing like dogshit in 2h almost every gm. Go into half up 53-48 and score like 13 points in one of the final Q's and blew it. Team was a great 2h fade last season and into this one until they shipped dipshit who helped alot on those failures. I've mentioned both those numerous times around here they've been a couple of my personal faves. Just look at find what's out there and find those tendencies. If you aren't riding Atl and fading NYK every night lately you are missing out. And I don't need to spend half an afternoon crunching #'s in the process it's right in front of you!!

Replace Ottawa with Columbus, Ottawa was my 1^st period over team

[Emf66]

down early but the come back late, just ask the Pelicans this week lol. Need to see how losing Green
shakes out though

[killersweet]

down early but the come back late, just ask the Pelicans this week lol. Need to see how losing Green
shakes out though

you were spot on with your pick in the raptors game. I am surprised how poorly the raptors executed and that may have to do with how well Atlanta played defense. Very impressive.

[LT Profits]

Got the split at least. Moving on...