NBA TOTALS system picks for season 2014-15

[jezerp]

Hello i've read everything in this thread and i don't understand your system. Could you explain to me what the B1 B2 B4 B6 B8 B12 thing means? Does it mean 1 unit, 2unit, 4unit, 6unit, 8unit, 12unit? Thx

For example
B1= $10
B2= $20
B4= $40
B6= $60
B8= $80
B12= $120

Is that correct?

Hello. Yes u understood perfetly. Its a chase system. I chase 2 winners in a series of six bets. Thats why I call b1.. b2...
This is a system to manage our bankrolls and not go broken on that chasing. We need a 33% success rate os winners in this system to be lucrative... but we are way beyond more this.

How is my filosophy? I started a BR with 100 units and do this chase system. We almost made 27 units ins two weeks without taking too much risk. The problem of the most of bettors is not to do a great money management and not think each sport as an investment.

May be my initial post was a little confused 'cause I use two systems 1 to pick my bets and 1 to manage them lol

Feel free to ask anything else!

[jezerp]

12/27 Game plans

B1: ATL/MIL total OVER 98 1st half -103

B2: NOP/CHI total OVER 201 FT -105

If we need may be a B4 on later games...

GL tonite!

1-1 and an even night? Nooo! We add more +0,97 units to ours BR!! winnig winning winning nights hehe. Later my selections!

[JAnthony]

1-1 and an even night? Nooo! We add more +0,97 units to ours BR!! winnig winning winning nights hehe. Later my selections!

Great work, sir! Interesting thread to keep an eye on.

[jezerp]

Record: 14-3-1 (82%) +26,83 units

Total B1: 4-3 (57%)
Total B2: 7-0-1 (100%)
Total B4: 3-0 (100%)
Total B6: -
Total B8: -
Total B12: -

waiting the lines movement to make the game plans for this sunday.. GL all!

[jezerp]

12/28

B4: HOU/SAS total OVER 96 1st H -109

Could have a B6 on NYK/POR or PHO/LAL games..

GL ya all!

[Coach Potato]

Dawn. Saw this thread too late. I still like it @ 97.5?

[jezerp]

Dawn. Saw this thread too late. I still like it @ 97.5?

sorry man.. didnt saw u question.. but i tought it still good at this number but close...

[jezerp]

12/28

B4: HOU/SAS total OVER 96 1st H -109

Could have a B6 on NYK/POR or PHO/LAL games..



GL ya all!

money money money

yes ANOTHER W-I-N-N-E-R!!!

[blackHIPPY]

nice thread man

[bihon]

1-1 and an even night? Nooo! We add more +0,97 units to ours BR!!

That's right Geezer, so there is no need to play B4 if you win B2, unless you have a REALLY good edge, but then... you can play Martingale too.
Up to now you have a very nice ratio, however B1 after winning B2 is very advisable. GL

[Scott8282]

Any plays on the later games?

[jezerp]

Any plays on the later games?

hey man, really like PHO/LAL total UNDER FT 216,5 at -109 for 1 unit

but not going, I'll take my profit and just watch it!

[Scott8282]

Thanks for your honesty. Sometimes just good to take a winning day and run with it.

[jezerp]

nice thread man

thx man!

[jezerp]

Record: 15-3-1 (82%) +30,83 units

Total B1: 4-3 (57%)
Total B2: 7-0-1 (100%)
Total B4: 4-0 (100%)
Total B6: -
Total B8: -
Total B12: -

I just started this thread 12/15 and if you're following me you just haven't a loosing day , almost $3100 dollars profit to $100 bettors per unit

Later my selections BOL

[jezerp]

Tough lines tonite geezz... waiting a movement.

[HardCore]

Tough lines tonite geezz... waiting a movement.

yea the lines are sharp tonight. I played all unders and 1 over in cha that i didnt post. gl tonight.

[Vinny Vidivicci]

jezerp - you don't have to make a pick every night. Sometimes you win $$$ by taking the night off, just like when you passed the late game last night. Don't force it-)

[jezerp]

jezerp - you don't have to make a pick every night. Sometimes you win $$$ by taking the night off, just like when you passed the late game last night. Don't force it-)

Thats what I'm going to do! Thx man!

GL y'all guys!

[jezerp]

yea the lines are sharp tonight. I played all unders and 1 over in cha that i didnt post. gl tonight.

I really like the OVER in MIL/CHA but think its close! GL tonite man!

[jezerp]

12/30

B1: BKN/CHI total OVER 1st H 99 -110

the OVER FT 195,5 -110 is also a very good bet, but I have nice plans for the late games to set a B2.. so fell free to choose.

Stay tuned at the end of 1st H of BKN/CHI

BOL tonite guys!

[giantONE]

I'm not entirely sure I'm getting your betting strategy here.

On Bet 1 you're betting 1 unit to possibly win 0.90 units. If this loses, you're betting 2 units to possibly win 1.82 units, and then minus the 1 unit lost on the first bet, you're ending up with a plus of 0.82 units. Now, if the second bet loses and you go on to the B4 bet where you stake 4 units, your possible win amount is reduced to 0.64 units. If we keep adding those up, and you get to the B12 and actually win that game, you end up with a net loss of 10 units.

*edit*
- Everything calculated with -110 odds, I know your odds differ a bit from day to day depending on line and bookmaker -

B1: Bet 1 unit to win 0.90 units
B2: Bet 2 units to win 1.82 units minus 1 unit (B1 loss) = 0.82 units
B4: Bet 4 units to win 3.64 units minus 3 units (B1 + B2 loss) = 0.64 units
B6: Bet 6 units to win 5.46 units minus 7 units (B1 + B2 + B4 losss) = - 1.54 units
B8: Bet 8 units to win 7.28 units minuts 13 units (B1 + B2 + B4 + B6 loss) = - 5.72 units
B12: Bet 12 units to win 10.92 units minus 21 units (B1 + B2 + B4 + B6 + B8 loss) = - 10.08 units

So, if you win your B12 bet after doing the chase, you've lost 10 units. And if you lose your B12 bet after the chase, you've lost 32 units.

Please do correct me, if I've missed out on something as to how you manage your bankroll. The above is just what I noticed looking at your betting strategy posted earlier in the thread.

[jezerp]

Hey man I bet to win one unit so I lay 1.1 to win 1 you can read about the system searching for 2-6 betting by Tony Stoffo

[bihon]

Right, it is about the 2-6 system which is IMO very poorly designed.
It claims that it needs only two out of max six bets to be profitable (11,22,44,66,88,132), which is not true. If you win bets three and six, you are still negative. Besides six consecutive bets are very possible and the loss is huge in that case. So it can only work if you have a nice edge, but then there are better systems for that.

Anyway, I think that Geezer provides good picks on its own and you can follow his system or use the picks in some other way.

[jezerp]

12/30

B2: LAL/DEN total UNDER FT 214,5 -111

[jezerp]

12/30

B1: BKN/CHI total OVER 1st H 99 -110

the OVER FT 195,5 -110 is also a very good bet, but I have nice plans for the late games to set a B2.. so fell free to choose.



Stay tuned at the end of 1st H of BKN/CHI

BOL tonite guys!

Geez! Chicago almost broke our heart kkkk

WINNER!!!!!

[griffey_mojo]

Way to go Jezerp !!!!!

[framero]

qinner

Waiting for next big winner

[jezerp]

12/30

B2: LAL/DEN total UNDER FT 214,5 -111

Thats it Im done lol gggsus cmon what a end game another WINNER!!!

3 more units yeah!

[jezerp]

Waiting for next big winner

here it is sir! A sweeeep night 2-0 +3units

[passport]

well done, high five

[giantONE]

You might want to mention in your thread, that you're betting to win the stated amounts, I for one missed out on that fact from reading your posts. Just so anyone else doesn't start following what you got going on, and can't understand they're not showing profits.

Right, it is about the 2-6 system which is IMO very poorly designed.
It claims that it needs only two out of max six bets to be profitable (11,22,44,66,88,132), which is not true. If you win bets three and six, you are still negative. Besides six consecutive bets are very possible and the loss is huge in that case. So it can only work if you have a nice edge, but then there are better systems for that.

Anyway, I think that Geezer provides good picks on its own and you can follow his system or use the picks in some other way.

Too add to what has been said here, winning 2 bets out of the 6 in the series can net you a loss as well.

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Bet 1	1,1	1,91	1,00
Bet 2	2,2	1,91	2,00
Bet 3	4,4	1,91	4,00
Bet 4	6,6	1,91	6,01
Bet 5	8,8	1,91	8,01
Bet 6	13,2	1,91	12,01
	Outcome	Bet Profit	Series Profit
Bet 1	Lost	-1,1	-1,1
Bet 2	Lost	-2,2	-3,3
Bet 3	Won	4	0,70
Bet 4	Lost	-6,6	-5,90
Bet 5	Lost	-8,8	-14,70
Bet 6	Won	12,01	-2,69

I'm not trying to make you pull the plug here on what you're doing. So far it's working for you which is great. We're all in this to make money the best possible way there is. Chase systems can be dangerous, and can destroy a bankroll easily, that's all I'm trying to point out. In one of his betting strategies, I believe he call it the 2-3 system, he even bumps it up to a 8 game chase series. Why not just go all the way, and make it a 12 game series? It can get out of hand really quickly.

I wish you the best of luck though, so far you're making money which is great. If you can keep up the percentages you're showing now throughout the year, you're certain to make a good profit

[jezerp]

Guys, I understand your concern.

We have a lot of ways to manage ours bankrolls. Every chase system has your bad/worst scenario, but you have to follow your plan in letter to try to be as profitable as possible.

Betting is about winning and loosing so you have to get a good plan. I'm glad that I'm giving you WINNERs wich is very good for everybody but I know sometimes I'll have loosing days and this is part of the business.

Basketball is beautiful 'cause we have a lot of games in one day what provides us the chance to chase this winners that we need. When I cap my games I almost have 2 or 3 good options per day but I pull the trigger one most of the times. So this system works very well in this case.

I can garantee you that using this 2-6 betting system I never got broke in my life in sports betting. When you apply something and goes ahead you desenvolve discipline thus making looses easiest things to deal.

What I do in every sport that I start to bet is think its an a investment. At the end of season I'll have some profit + my initial bankroll wich I will use to start betting in another sport. I started this with 100 units and we already made almost 34 units profit! This xtra money you help us to hold the things when the looses come... this is normal. I dont depends on this profit to live, I'll cash out just when the NBA is over. But for people who do this I would advise to cash out a salary 1x a month or something...

We have a lot of games night by night. I analysis everyone to get the best edge in just one or two. Thats why I have a good rate. Not to making 10 straight bet and pray to hit at least 60% to be profitable.

Everybody is tired of this bullshit things "100 unit bet, 50 units LOCK BET of the day".. and everybody goes broken in a couple of days. My B1 matches just 1% of my BR and that is the risk that I'm willing to take. Think its in a LONG RUN!!!

You can fell free to follow me or not on my way to manage my bets and my bankroll but I CAN'T garantee you that you'll have the same profit as me.

If you did made just straight bets at my rate of 17-3-1 in a -110 bet your profit would be just 13,7 units UP (instead +34u up) with this incredible rate...

THINK ABOUT IT GUYS.

And thanks everybody for the comments you're all welcome here!

Now lets start the real work here!

[jezerp]

Record: 17-3-1 (85%) +33,83 units

Total B1: 5-3 (57%)
Total B2: 8-0-1 (100%)
Total B4: 4-0 (100%)
Total B6: -
Total B8: -
Total B12: -


No plays on early matches today. We dont have good lines on later games too. I'm waiting 1st half lines... possibly out 4tonite but stay tuned.

GL you ALL!

[Vinny Vidivicci]

To everyone following this thread - whether you use Jezerp's chase system or any other money management system, is up to YOU. With the way Jezerp's picks are winning, a monkey could make serious $$$. Jezerp, you should IGNORE everyone here regarding money management. We are all grownups here (I think). We should have learned how to manage our bankroll by now. Just keep doing what your doing picking winners. That's the MAIN thing. Screw 2 out of 6, just do your best the way you have been.