ATS - mostly dogs

bihon · 12-30-14, 05:55 AM

mil+3.5 /cha
chi-5.5 /ind
sac+1.5 /brk
orl+4.5 /mia
was+4 /hou

ats: 53-41-0 +6.70

sac@2.00 /brk
orl@2.66 /mia

ml: 25-17 +12.05

bihon · 12-30-14, 11:00 AM

Dec 30, 2014

ATS:
CLE/ ATL-3.5
SAS/ MEM-2.5

ML:
CLE/ ATL@1.62
SAS/ MEM@1.73
PHX/ NOP@1.85
LAL/ DEN@1.37
TOR/ POR@1.73

bihon · 12-31-14, 06:15 AM

CLE/ ATL-3.5
SAS/ MEM-2.5

ats: 55-41-0 +8.50

ML:
CLE/ ATL@1.62
SAS/ MEM@1.73
PHX/ NOP@1.85
LAL/ DEN@1.37
TOR/ POR@1.73

ml: 29-18 +13.98

bihon · 12-31-14, 07:23 AM

Dec 31, 2014

MIA+4 /IND
MIL+6.5 /CLE
NOP/ SAS-6
PHX+7 /OKC

ML:
SAC@1.85/BOS
MIA@2.45 /IND
PHX@3.80 /OKC

bihon · 01-01-15, 07:04 AM

MIA+4 /IND
MIL+6.5 /CLE
NOP/ SAS-6
PHX+7 /OKC

ats: 57-43-0 +8.30

ML:
SAC@1.85/BOS
MIA@2.45 /IND
PHX@3.80 /OKC

Phoenix would had made the big difference, almost there.
Anyway I actually like the start of the NY.

ml: 29-21 +10.98

bihon · 01-01-15, 10:31 AM

Jan 01, 2015

DEN/ CHI-11
SAC-2 /MIN

ml:
SAC@1.75 /MIN

bihon · 01-02-15, 09:20 AM

DEN/ CHI-11
SAC-2 /MIN

ats: 58-44-0 +8.20

ml:
SAC@1.75 /MIN

ml: 30-21 +11.73

bihon · 01-02-15, 09:57 AM

Jan 2, 2015

CLE/ CHA+4.5
BRO-1.5 /ORL
DET-2.5 /NYK
WAS+6.5 /OKC
IND+1.5 /MIL
PHI/ PHX-13.5
ATL-4.5 /UTA
TOR/ GSW-4.5
MEM-4.5 /LAL

ml:
BRO@1.87 /ORL
DET@1.75 /NYK
IND@2.04 /MIL
ATL@1.52 /UTA
TOR/ GSW@1.53
MEM@1.5 /LAL

bihon · 01-03-15, 06:41 AM

CLE/ CHA+4.5
BRO-1.5 /ORL
DET-2.5 /NYK
WAS+6.5 /OKC
IND+1.5 /MIL
PHI/ PHX-13.5
ATL-4.5 /UTA
TOR/ GSW-4.5
MEM-4.5 /LAL

ats: 65-46-0 +12.50

ml:
BRO@1.87 /ORL
DET@1.75 /NYK
IND@2.04 /MIL
ATL@1.52 /UTA
TOR/ GSW@1.53
MEM@1.5 /LAL

ml: 36-21 +15.94

Khum · 01-03-15, 07:38 AM

Sweet!

bihon · 01-03-15, 10:20 AM

Jan 03, 2015

CHA+4.5 /ORL
MIA+7.5 /HOU
UTA+1 /MIN
WAS/ SAS-4.5

ml:
UTA@2.04 /MIN
MEM@1.74 /DEN

The system also predicted Overtime in Charlotte/Orlando, however in the last 15 predictions it didn't have a hit.
Also a (contradicting) Miami win against Houston, so I didn't put it officially, but played small amount on it.

bihon · 01-04-15, 07:06 AM

CHA+4.5 /ORL
MIA+7.5 /HOU
UTA+1 /MIN
WAS/SAS-4.5

ats: 68-47-0 +14.20

ml:
UTA@2.04 /MIN
MEM@1.74 /DEN

ml: 37-22 +15.98

bihon · 01-04-15, 08:59 AM

Jan 04, 2015

100% road night

SAC+3 /DET
BRK-2.5 /MIA
TOR-1 /PHX
IND-1.5 /LAL

ml:
SAC@2.40 /DET
BRK@1.71 /MIA
MIL@1.40 /NYK

Dallas should win too, but insignificant/too risky odds.

bihon · 01-05-15, 05:22 AM

100% wrong. Ouch.

SAC+3 /DET
BRK-2.5 /MIA
TOR-1 /PHX
IND-1.5 /LAL

ats: 68-51-0 +10.20

ml:
SAC@2.40 /DET
BRK@1.71 /MIA
MIL@1.40 /NYK

ml: 38-24 +14.38

bihon · 01-05-15, 10:28 AM

Jan 05, 2015

CLE-5.5 /PHI
DAL-6.5 /BRK
DEN-4 /MIN
IND+2 /UTA
LAL/ POR-12.5
ATL+5 /LAC

ml:
IND@2.15 /UTA
CLE@1.45 /PHI
DAL@1.40 /BRK
DEN@1.56 /MIN
OKC/ GSW@1.74

bihon · 01-06-15, 05:06 AM

CLE-5.5 /PHI
DAL-6.5 /BRK
DEN-4 /MIN
IND+2 /UTA
LAL/ POR-12.5
ATL+5 /LAC

ats: 72-53-0 +11.80

ml:
IND@2.15 /UTA
CLE@1.45 /PHI
DAL@1.40 /BRK
DEN@1.56 /MIN
OKC/ GSW@1.74

ml: 42-25 +16.23

bihon · 01-06-15, 05:43 AM

Jan 06, 2015

DET/ SAS-8.5

ml:
PHX@1.65 /MIL

bihon · 01-07-15, 07:45 AM

DET/ SAS-8.5

ats: 72-54-0 +10.80

ml:
PHX@1.65 /MIL

ml: 43-25 +16.88

bihon · 01-07-15, 11:53 AM

Jan 07, 2015

NOP/ CHA+4.5
HOU/ CLE+6.5
NYK+14.5 /WAS
BOS+4.5 /BRK
DET/ DAL-9
ORL+7.5 /DEN
PHX-8.5 /MIN
IND/ GSW-11
LAL/ LAC-10.5

ml:
NOP/ CHA@2.65
HOU/ CLE@3.44
BOS@2.71 /BRK
MEM/ ATL@1.61

bihon · 01-08-15, 06:01 AM

NOP/ CHA+4.5
HOU/ CLE+6.5
NYK+14.5 /WAS
BOS+4.5 /BRK
DET/ DAL-9
ORL+7.5 /DEN
PHX-8.5 /MIN
IND/ GSW-11
LAL/ LAC-10.5

ats: 78-57-0 +13.20

ml:
NOP/ CHA@2.65
HOU/ CLE@3.44
BOS@2.71 /BRK
MEM/ ATL@1.61

ml: 46-26 +19.85

bihon · 01-08-15, 10:47 AM

Jan 08, 2015

CHA+12 /TOR
MIA/ POR-8.5

bihon · 01-09-15, 05:55 AM

CHA+12 /TOR
MIA/ POR-8.5

ats: 80-57-0 +15.00

bihon · 01-09-15, 07:27 AM

Jan 09,2015

BOS+5.5 /IND
ATL-2.5 /DET
UTA+11.5 /OKC
MIN/ MIL-9
PHX+5 /SAS
DEN+3.5 /SAC
ORL+3.5 /LAL

ml:
ATL@1.75 /DET
CHI@2.1 /WAS
ORL/ LAL@1.65

I am a bit afraid of today's card as many games are very close (to the buffer).
To show the point, an interesting play is Orlando/Lakers where Lakers should win the game, but Magic winning ATS. We will see.
Also, the system predicted very narrow win for Oklahoma vs Utah. Seeing huge odds for Utah@7.40 I will take a shot at it as a personal play, but not officially tracked.

Khum · 01-09-15, 08:21 AM

What's the "system" you mentioned again?

bihon · 01-09-15, 09:26 AM

Originally posted by Khum

What's the "system" you mentioned again?

System or model, proprietary. A lot of factors calculated or obtained from different sources.

Khum · 01-09-15, 09:27 AM

Thanks

jturner1989 · 01-09-15, 09:34 AM

Like your pics I'm tailing u. Felt the same way. How u feel on the chi town game? I think chi town take it

bihon · 01-09-15, 10:13 AM

Originally posted by jturner1989

How u feel on the chi town game? I think chi town take it

I don't feel

, I just need at least three out of four confirmations based on different subsystems.
This one is fairly new, still in the testing phase. A pair of adjustments was made on the go, although it is a definite no-no, as that screw up the original idea. However this was because of partially wrong data, so I think I'm OK. Just achieved Z-score above 2, hoping for 4+.

Anyway, Chicago is listed as the moneyline winner in the picks above. The reason it isn't among the ATS picks is because that match is pretty messed up in subsystems with all possible utcomes, even including OverTime (maybe the best bet).

jturner1989 · 01-09-15, 10:18 AM

Oh OK thanks

bihon · 01-09-15, 10:23 AM

If you like more fundamental approach with 'feelings' you could try tailing this guy: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-share-p5.html

He is very good too.

shinbi23 · 01-09-15, 11:59 AM

hoe about the mem game? im personally leaning towards mem.

Originally posted by bihon

Jan 09,2015

BOS+5.5 /IND
ATL-2.5 /DET
UTA+11.5 /OKC
MIN/ MIL-9
PHX+5 /SAS
DEN+3.5 /SAC
ORL+3.5 /LAL

ml:
ATL@1.75 /DET
CHI@2.1 /WAS
ORL/ LAL@1.65

I am a bit afraid of today's card as many games are very close (to the buffer).
To show the point, an interesting play is Orlando/Lakers where Lakers should win the game, but Magic winning ATS. We will see.
Also, the system predicted very narrow win for Oklahoma vs Utah. Seeing huge odds for Utah@7.40 I will take a shot at it as a personal play, but not officially tracked.

bihon · 01-09-15, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by shinbi23

hoe about the mem game? im personally leaning towards mem.

Almost identical story as Chicago. The system leans towards Pelicans (-6/-9), while two subs predict Memphis narrow win, so maybe Pelicans ML, however the pick is not clear enough, with bad odds and as such is no play. Chicago had good ML odds, above 2.0.

Even more games were not clearly determined today: PHX, DEN, ORL were also on the bettable edge.

Trep · 01-09-15, 01:35 PM

Originally posted by bihon

If you like more fundamental approach with 'feelings' you could try tailing this guy: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...-share-p5.html

He is very good too.

Lol...I've been tailing/mixing both you and hopeslaver's picks recently.

Whatever makes money, system or feelings...is the best choice =)

If your systems are predicting really close, should you be more selective on what to pick? Just a thought...but not going to argue with you on results. Thanks for sharing so far =)

Trep · 01-09-15, 02:28 PM

Just a note my previous post was posted not reading the one directly before it.

shinbi23 · 01-09-15, 05:31 PM

Originally posted by bihon

Almost identical story as Chicago. The system leans towards Pelicans (-6/-9), while two subs predict Memphis narrow win, so maybe Pelicans ML, however the pick is not clear enough, with bad odds and as such is no play. Chicago had good ML odds, above 2.0.

Even more games were not clearly determined today: PHX, DEN, ORL were also on the bettable edge.

oh ok thanks.. ill lean towards mem since zbo is back and i think that would mke a difference