Peep's Champ and Mafia Leans for Saturday 03/28/2009

[pho3nix32]

Thread starter...

Just got back from another businesss trip. I hope I can follow-up the win today with another tomorrow. Here goes:

line: **@ptb 193
pick: 193 under

why the under?

- Memphis is the worst offensive team this season.
- Portland is a scrappy, defensive, hard-working team coached by Mcmillan.
- Rudy Gay is overrated. OJ Mayo shoots too much and misses a lot.
- Memphis have lottery balls on their minds instead of wins.
- The under has gone 5-0 for both teams in the last 5 meetings in Portland.

Do I smell a rout about to happen?

[milkshakeballa]

What exactly is the mafia leans ? I love this thread and have read it and will continuereading it everyday but whats the origin? sorry im a rook

[danrman]

charlotte comes back home to face the knicks.. they have to travel to get home and after this game they face the lakers at home and then on the road to boston.. take the knicks plus the points vs. charlotte

[danrman]

the origin is from a dude named ck... phoenix32 is keeping the tread going while ck is doing a challange

[Dexter]

home and home between the suns and jazz. suns took leg 1, utah takes leg 2 in salt lake.

-jazz (big)
______________
memphis will be on a btb off a su win - they fall back to earth hard in portland.

-blazers

[Dexter]

Thread starter...

nice winner yesterday - no play today?

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/163209-peeps-champ-mafia-leans-friday-03-27-2009-a.html#post1681067

[danrman]

hey dex that port-memphis game is a sandwich game between the phoenix-portland and utah-portland so in other words portland might be looking ahead to utah..

[Jimbo42]

Good morning.... Hey fellas I would caution y'all if your going against New York, Washington or Memphis tonight as they all have won their last game and will be feeling pretty good about themselves and may blow your cover.... I'm not necessarily saying to bet on them. I'm just saying be wary....

[RoagBettor]

Indiana at +16 and Milwaukee at +17 are tempting for a 3 Team/8 Pt Teaser; however, I think Miami wins SU so I took them at -1. Still waiting on lines for Houston, GS and Portland games to decide on what else to play.

[peterpan19]

ok guys... 4-2 day yesterday, not bad but not great either... and yes I am still around and alive for at least another two days ... and I am still pissed aboout my ex... and even more about that other guy...

anyway not so much I like today...

UTA -8
Utah just played Phoneix on the road and just missed the cover by a point... now they are at home and they will blow away Phoenix tonight, as Phoenix has nothing to play for anymore after that blowout loss to Portland the other night... the last two trips to utah were also pretty bad for phoenix resulting in 12 and 22 point losses... add in that utah is fresh and Phoenix played already one more game on the road and I say Utah rolls tonight...

Char -2 1st qtr
one of the best 1st qtr teams in the league at home... NY will be excited that they won a game and might be on fire but so is Char... hey and they actually play for something here... a playoff spot as they are only 2.5 GB Detroit...

Mil +2.5 1st qtr
Mia just starts pretty slow and I will ride that train again

still waiting for that hou, gs and det line to show up...

GL

[RoagBettor]

I'm still high as a kite from last night. Couldn't hardly sleep.

2-0-1 on my teasers and hit the nice 5 team parlay with the Mem/Sac over 205 when they needed to score like 28 pts in the last 3:33 and did! Unbelievable. Plus I hit UNC 2H heavy (for me anyway).

I'm treading lightly today. I've got my bankroll right where I need it for baseball with CK and I don't want to make the same mistakes I made in January when I was up $6600 and blew it all in 2 weeks.

[pho3nix32]

ok guys... 4-2 day yesterday, not bad but not great either... and yes I am still around and alive for at least another two days ... and I am still pissed aboout my ex... and even more about that other guy...

sorry to hear about this peter. believe me though that good things will come to you. speaking from experience. God Bless bro.

[peterpan19]

sorry to hear about this peter. believe me though that good things will come to you. speaking from experience. God Bless bro.

thx phoenix.... I know the whole thing is not very good with my ex...

but "the other guy" is not her new boyfriend... its another story... its a pimp a have a few problems... but just read yesterdays thread page 3 and 4 and you get the picture...

GL

[King_Bookie]

I can't make any long write ups today, and here's my only pick for the day:

IND @ CHI -> IND+8

Two words: Danny Granger.

[peterpan19]

more lines are out:
Hou/LAC -15
Was/DET +5.5
DEN/GSW -12

[NBA Hero]

charlotte comes back home to face the knicks.. they have to travel to get home and after this game they face the lakers at home and then on the road to boston.. take the knicks plus the points vs. charlotte

their best six man nate is having probs with playing time for whatever reason. suspension is also a possibility.
NY might go to their old ways and forget their defense.

1 unit on char
lean on indi and mia

im expecting mia to start strong cause of their recent defensive and rebounding lapses, so be cautious on 1st quarter wager. mia will be back to their old winning ways, defense and rebs is their strong point to win against subpar teams

[italiano22]

I can't make any long write ups today, and here's my only pick for the day:

IND @ CHI -> IND+8

Two words: Danny Granger.

Loving the indiana play my book is giving it at +9

[chrisharvard01]

Glad everyone is on the same page with the Pacers.

I pounded this last night at +8 only to wake up to a line change of +8.5


Oh well, crush em' PACERS, CHI's got nothin!!!!!!!!

[italiano22]

GL to everyone.... Lets go PACERS

[solobass]

what is up everyone peter, your situation will get better. people get what they deserve in the long run and you are ok in my book brother. my first marriage=not so good. what did i do? i took inspiration from ron freaking jeremy. i figured hey, if he can nail broads like that i have to work on my game and all i need is one to rain on me not hundreds. now, my wife is 7 years younger, intellegent, supportive and smoking hot. you will make out alright brother just make sure you deal with your emotions before they deal with you.

gambling wise, i have made my money for the year in NBA. knicks ML and under does it for me and it is now time to start paring back as teams will be screwing with lineups, resting for playoffs and effort/interest will be even less predictable than before. i will focus only on 3 positions. #1 favorites that are -5.5 or more that are going to cover #2 favorites that are -5.5 that will not cover #3 betting ML on teams with a 6 game or greater losing streak and teams with a win streak greater than 11.

upward and onward to baseball, see you all over there! lastly i hope you did not doubt my Spartans last night!

[NBA Hero]

early game for ind @ chi.

rose will get his starting roll. is salmon expected to play? no plan for chi to be cautious and just rest him for a game?

[peterpan19]

what is up everyone peter, your situation will get better. people get what they deserve in the long run and you are ok in my book brother. my first marriage=not so good. what did i do? i took inspiration from ron freaking jeremy. i figured hey, if he can nail broads like that i have to work on my game and all i need is one to rain on me not hundreds. now, my wife is 7 years younger, intellegent, supportive and smoking hot. you will make out alright brother just make sure you deal with your emotions before they deal with you.

thank you solo for your kind words... I mean yesterday evening it didnt feel that bad that I lost her and somehow thought I would get over it... but right now, not so good anymore, probably in stage 2 right now... I even drove by her house to just see it and maybe see her, but I know I shouldnt do it anymore, i even thought about writing her another letter, but that probaby wouldnt change much anyway... I mean we cant be friends anymore, but maybe I at least can do something that she doesnt hate me... not everything was my fault, but in her eyes I am the bad guy who did everything wrong... women, what else to say...

and thx for the advice... I just have to find the right one... but right now I just dont feel like going out there for a hunting trip...

I guess I will see how monday goes and i will look forward from there...

gambling wise...

taking Ind +2.5 1st qtr and Ind +8.5 for the game... all the stats might speak for Chi here, but 9 points is just too much for this finally improving Pacers team to give...

GL

[peterpan19]

nba_hero
thats the latest I found about salmon

looks like he will play... but its an early start so you never know... and we probably wont know until right b4 gametime...

GL

[RoagBettor]

peter, sorry to hear about your situation. After 2 marriages over 24 years the best advice I can give you right now is to just back away, as hard as that is to do. Emotions are high and time away has a way of sorting things out in the long run.

Best of luck to you.

[CashIn]

anyone liking the over for uconn/miss?

[shoebox]

Booked
maryland -5
nova +4.5
uconn -5.5
UCONN/MIZZOU over 150.5

[suckatmyjob]

best of luck to you today shoebox!!

[shoebox]

best of luck to you today shoebox!!

thank u sir!
lets have a good day

[shoebox]

Its hard to discipline yourself when your playin a run and gun team. Coach C sais he wants to slow the game down, but I see otherwise. Price is gonna have a field day up and down the court today.

uconn + over

nova is just much more athletic, I need blair to get in foul trouble early....the speed and quickness from nova should have these guys playing out of position and lead to early foul trouble.....nova is peaking right now and thats what you need to win, pitt still seems out of sink imo

nova +4.5 B2

gl

[peterpan19]

booked play:
Ind +8.5
Under 54 1st qtr (small)

GL

roagbettor
thx... and that is really hard...

[suckatmyjob]

anyone liking Chicago -7 for 2H possibly winning both 2H and Indiana whole game?

[chrisharvard01]

F!CK I should have pounded IND 1Q and 1H as well!

Looking good boys, stay in the f!ucking game!!!!

[suckatmyjob]

I'm staying out 2H

[stakagrp]

I think Chicago-7 2nd half is a good play. Indiana normally plays good during 1st half, but tend to fold during the second. Ind is still playing away and they're not a good away team. Chicago will most likely pick it up during 2nd half just like the past couple games they've played. Not the most trustworthy team, but they should win by that 4pt margin at home with a full and healthy lineup. Don't play too much on it if you're not fully confident. Gl

[peterpan19]

under 106 is tempting... but I wont play it...

GL