Wizzle's 2014-2015 NBA Thread

**t-wizzle** · 04-14-15, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by GT21Megatron

Because you aren't betting shit...

GT21Megatron perfect example of "small dikk theory" - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/saloon/3082885-gt21megatron-perfect-example-small-dikk-theory.html

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**KRIT** · 04-14-15, 10:17 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Man I hope Indy wins this game. Don't really care so much about getting the cover here as much as I just want to see them get in the playoffs.

It's going to be tough for Indy tomorrow after 2OT tonight. West, Hill and Miles all over 40 minutes, Hibbert at 37.

**freeeze** · 04-14-15, 10:17 PM

What a game. 2nd half a nice preview of playoff basketball. Awesome win for Indy too. Let's hope they have enough left for tomorrow.

**t-wizzle** · 04-14-15, 10:32 PM

Would have to think Memphis rests their guys right?

**GT21Megatron** · 04-15-15, 06:54 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...kk-theory.html

don't blame me for being a an air betting 28% capper who is broke and plays on this site all day long. Your a pathetic little fuk with no life. Creating threads about Dik size Wizzle? Seems like your pretty interested in my junk? Probably because you been taking it up the ass consistently with your 28% cappin. Your a complete joke and so is SBR to allow your worthless ass to continue to parade around air betting lying and being a complete fraud. Can't wait to fade every single playoff bet you chuck out. Only idiot I have seen get buried playing both sides and trying to middle. No screenshots, no friends, no money....just Wizzle and is SBR. Congrats bro you got it made

**GT21Megatron** · 04-15-15, 07:48 AM

Guy claims to leave SBR forever after his monster Arizona air bet completely tanks proves this clown has no integrity or balls. Look at me, look at me...

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 08:32 AM

Leaning New Orleans tonight.

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 10:56 AM

Pacers ML -112 (3x)

Timberwolves +14 -110 (2.5x); ML +1100 (0.5x)

Pelicans +5.5 -104 (3.5x); ML +195 (0.5x)

The Pacers appear destined for a playoff spot. The Thunder appear destined to miss. Can the Pelicans step up to the challenge tonight? Well let's put it this way - I don't think they will wilt. I expect a very competitive game.

**GT21Megatron** · 04-15-15, 12:11 PM

Dipshit says the Thunder are gearing to make a finals run and now saying they aren't even making the playoffs..... Can't make this shit up. Already playing both angles and the playoffs haven't started....

**freeeze** · 04-15-15, 12:50 PM

What the fukk are you talking about. OKC lost 2 of their 3 best players, which also happen to be the 2nd best player in the NBA and another top 30 guy, since his first prediction. When you troll at least try to get your shit not to sound incredibly dumb.

Wizz, I like Pels +5 tonight. I've seen Davis perform come up big in pressure moments this season and I think the game will be decided in the final few possesions.

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 01:03 PM

Agreed freezer. I think we're in for a great game tonight.

By the way, pay no mind to that megabitch guy. He's been trolling this thread all year. Claimed he was fading me all year -- How'd that work out for him?

**freeeze** · 04-15-15, 02:37 PM

I've seen the useless crap he posts but that was terrible even for him.

Let's enjoy the games tonight. Be back tomorrow to discuss the playoff matchups.

**Seto** · 04-15-15, 03:27 PM

Just realised Memphis might also want to do their old coach a favour by beating the Pacers on top of possible trying to get homecourt. They are sitting Conley though and Gasol is supposedly questionable.

Hope Indy makes it.

**KRIT** · 04-15-15, 03:54 PM

What gives with the Grizz line? Why are they dogs at home? I know Pacers are desperate, but Grizz rarely ever lay points at home and Pacers coming off 2OT. I know Grizz are banged up, but it's nothing new. Conley and Allen have been out for a lot of this season. I have this game around Grizz -4. Maybe I just suck at making my own lines. I guess books putting a lot into the "who needs it more" factor? I know this game is pretty meaningless for Memphis assuming Rockets take care of business, but you'd think they don't want to go into playoffs on a 3 game slide.

**Seto** · 04-15-15, 04:04 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

What gives with the Grizz line? Why are they dogs at home? I know Pacers are desperate, but Grizz rarely ever lay points at home and Pacers coming off 2OT. I know Grizz are banged up, but it's nothing new. Conley and Allen have been out for a lot of this season. I have this game around Grizz -4. Maybe I just suck at making my own lines. I guess books putting a lot into the "who needs it more" factor? I know this game is pretty meaningless for Memphis assuming Rockets take care of business, but you'd think they don't want to go into playoffs on a 3 game slide.

They can also finish above the Spurs if the Spurs lose and Rockets win. And they will have some idea of where these games are going before they tip, pinny has actually put on their website they're not taking any bets on the Grizzlies game after the 8pm games tip.

It's just a line made because a team is more desperate. 2 years ago Memphis were only 4.5 point faves over a Utah team they were head and shoulders better than just because Utah needed to win to have a chance to make it in over the Lakers. Memphis was playing for homecourt, much like today, and won easily.

In that sense I'm surprised the New Orleans line isn't closer to +2 or +3 but I guess the Spurs are so hot books are just going with a "normal" line.

**GT21Megatron** · 04-15-15, 04:40 PM

Originally posted by GT21Megatron

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post21756119
total = 63x loser

Clippers -5 -109 (4x) loser
Clippers 1H -3 -105 (2x) loser
Trail Blazers ML +102 (5x) loser
Adding Blazers -1 +100 (2x) loser
Blazers Live +6 -110 (3x) loser;
ML +240 (1x) loser
Clippers -4.5 -105 (4x) loser
Nets +8 -105 (4x) loser;
ML +315 (.5x) loser
Nets 1H +4.5 -105 (2x) loser;
ML +225 (.5x) loser
Trail Blazers +7 -117 (3x) loser;
ML +255 (.5x) loser
Trail Blazers 1H +4 -110 (4x) loser
Trail Blazers +7 -107 (4x) loser;
ML +275 (.5x) loser
Trail Blazers 1H +4 -110 (2x) loser;
ML +185 (.5x) loser
Trail Blazers Series Price +350 (2x) loser
Blazers +6.5 -105 (4x) loser
ML +260 (1x) loser
Also adding 2x to Blazers 1H +4 -110 loser
.5x to Blazers 1H ML +185 loser
Blazers 2H -3.5 -109 (4x) loser
Clippers +5.5 -108 (12x); loser
ML +205 (2x) loser
Pacers -4 -107 (3x) loser
Thunder -5.5 -103 (4x) loser
Bradley Beal Under 17.5 pts -130 (.5x) loser
Thunder 1H +3 -105 (2.5x) loser
ML +160 (.5x) loserPacers +2.5 -105 (3x) loser
Pacers Live +2.5 +100 (1x) loser
Spurs +2.5 -107 (8x) loser
ML +125 (3x) loser
Spurs to win Series 4-0 +900 (.5x) loser
Pacers +6 -103 (4x) loser
ML +245 (1x) loser
Spurs ML +135 (4x) - Took this yesterday loser
Spurs ML +130 (14x) - Added today loser
Spurs 1H ML +125 (2x) loser
Spurs to win Series 4-1 +385 (1x) loser
Pacers +8.5 -108 (2.5x) loser
Pacers 1H +4.5 +100 (1.5x) loser
Thunder -3.5 -105 (5x) loser
Thunder -8.5 +207 (.75x) loser
Thunder 2H ML +120 (1x) loser

0-50 -207.46 psi

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 05:30 PM

I think Memphis is resigned to the fact that they're likely getting the 6. As for Spurs, well they haven't been winning all these games for nothing. That line is correct, and it wouldn't surprise me to see it move to 6.

**GT21Megatron** · 04-15-15, 05:45 PM

#28%

**Seto** · 04-15-15, 05:54 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I think Memphis is resigned to the fact that they're likely getting the 6. As for Spurs, well they haven't been winning all these games for nothing. That line is correct, and it wouldn't surprise me to see it move to 6.

I guess although everyone wants to play Portland, they don't particularly mind getting the Clippers either. But if either the Spurs or Rockets look like they might lose I still think Memphis goes for it.

It's correct relative to how good the 2 teams are for sure but it doesn't factor that the Pelicans are playing for more. But given how well the Spurs are playing lately, I get it.

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by Seto

I guess although everyone wants to play Portland, they don't particularly mind getting the Clippers either. But if either the Spurs or Rockets look like they might lose I still think Memphis goes for it.

It's correct relative to how good the 2 teams are for sure but it doesn't factor that the Pelicans are playing for more. But given how well the Spurs are playing lately, I get it.

I'm not quite sure I follow. Yes the Pelicans are playing for a playoff bid but we know the Spurs have been going balls out for that division crown. You're saying you think the line would be less because NOLA has more on the line?

**Seto** · 04-15-15, 06:42 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I'm not quite sure I follow. Yes the Pelicans are playing for a playoff bid but we know the Spurs have been going balls out for that division crown. You're saying you think the line would be less because NOLA has more on the line?

Memphis is also playing for positioning yet the line doesn't seem to factor that in at all. Now obviously the Grizzlies and Spurs have a very different feel to them right now but also going back to previous years teams playing to get in have always had more inflated lines than teams playing for positioning the way I remember it. But either way I don't really have a problem with the Spurs line. That would probably be the line if this were a playoff game.

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Memphis is also playing for positioning yet the line doesn't seem to factor that in at all. Now obviously the Grizzlies and Spurs have a very different feel to them right now but also going back to previous years teams playing to get in have always had more inflated lines than teams playing for positioning the way I remember it. But either way I don't really have a problem with the Spurs line. That would probably be the line if this were a playoff game.

The Grizzlies line is the way it is for a reason. Are key players out? Even if it's only Conley who is out, the line indicates that Memphis won't be playing their normal guys regular minutes. I am sure that Indy is -2.5 for good reason.

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 06:57 PM

Trail Blazers +6.5 -101 (2x); ML +240 (0.5x)

I may regret this...

**KRIT** · 04-15-15, 07:14 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

The Grizzlies line is the way it is for a reason. Are key players out? Even if it's only Conley who is out, the line indicates that Memphis won't be playing their normal guys regular minutes. I am sure that Indy is -2.5 for good reason.

Conley and Allen out. Gasol on a minutes cap tonight. Sounds like Grizz aren't too concerned about this game.

**freeeze** · 04-15-15, 07:38 PM

But that's more of a management decision than anything. If there's a seeding incentive in play for them, I don't think any of the players half ass this game. And even with those 2 guys out and Gasol on a minute restriction they're no worse than a tired Indy team.

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 07:43 PM

What a start by New Orleans!

**Seto** · 04-15-15, 08:01 PM

You think the Spurs make a run in the 3rd?

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by Seto

You think the Spurs make a run in the 3rd?

I'm not really sure. If they don't cut it into it at all after 3 they will probably accept their fate.

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 08:10 PM

I'm not watching the game but judging by the line movement, Pelicans will keep this up.

**freeeze** · 04-15-15, 08:12 PM

Pels need a strong start to the 3rd quarter. Spurs still look like a threat but I'm not hedging.

**t-wizzle** · 04-15-15, 08:13 PM

Yea I'm not touching it.

**Seto** · 04-15-15, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by freeeze

Pels need a strong start to the 3rd quarter. Spurs still look like a threat but I'm not hedging.

Typically I would never even consider hedging unless I felt bad about the game, but the thing is if I lose here I feel like I'm getting robbed over the course of the season. There's no way in hell the Spurs should win this division.

So I'm sorta-kinda keeping an eye out for live lines. Regret a bit not just doing it at +825 when they went back up by 20 before the Spurs closed 6-2.

If they start strong Spurs probably mail it in. Think game 4 in OKC last year. But I dunno what to expect.

**KRIT** · 04-15-15, 08:17 PM

So if Spurs lose they go from 2nd to 6th? Someone explain the west to me lol.

**PorkChop** · 04-15-15, 08:19 PM

What is Brooklyn doing

**freeeze** · 04-15-15, 08:30 PM

Originally posted by Seto

Typically I would never even consider hedging unless I felt bad about the game, but the thing is if I lose here I feel like I'm getting robbed over the course of the season. There's no way in hell the Spurs should win this division.

So I'm sorta-kinda keeping an eye out for live lines. Regret a bit not just doing it at +825 when they went back up by 20 before the Spurs closed 6-2.

If they start strong Spurs probably mail it in. Think game 4 in OKC last year. But I dunno what to expect.

Yeah, I realize it's easy of me to say this when I my bet probably amounts to pennies compared to what you have at stake. I'd say go by your feel for the game live. Spurs ML will be at +money even after a decent run by them.

KRIT, I've been following these tiebreaker rules and I still have no idea what will happen if Spurs lose. It's way too complicated. There should be a decent way for the league to smplify this.