Leans for Monday 3/16/09

shoebox · 03-15-09, 10:44 PM

CK lookin ahead to the tourney already liking Utah over AZ, what you got brewing??

also liking utah st as a dog as well so far

cnleaf · 03-15-09, 11:01 PM

DEN -9 (buy it to power ranking number 9)looks good.
Considering Key pts:
1. NJ is on the btb end, and also they are on the fourth game of this road trip and 4 games in 5 days. They are tired.
2. also last time they blew out DEN at their nest with DEN scoring only 70 pts. Revenge is a factor.
3. DEN very much need to get their things back to catch up a playoff spot. It seems to me that DEN's week is coming like a few threads before said.
Hope it provide some info to the mafia. Keep killing ur books, Mafia Master CK and everyone else. Good nite.

Dexter · 03-15-09, 11:04 PM

Monday-

the nuggets got embarrassed back in feb in nj by 44 points. now the nets have to travel into denver on a btb vs a super fresh nuggets team who are playing only their 3rd game in 6 days. payback time high altitude style.

-nuggets (big)

cocknocker · 03-15-09, 11:05 PM

Originally posted by shoebox

CK lookin ahead to the tourney already liking Utah over AZ, what you got brewing??

also liking utah st as a dog as well so far

I can't tell just yet. Whatever Chattanooga is a dog that looks good so far though. Connecticut isn't all that great, and that's real. I already know that I am gonna take the Chattanooga moneyline small. The line started at 23 and has already fallen to 20.5.

Duke and Akron look good though, and Memphis of course!

W0lfy · 03-15-09, 11:20 PM

I got a feeling Hornets take care of business at home. After getting destroyed at Chicago they will redeem themselves this game. This game means waaay too much in the western standings to be defeated at home. Just my feeling on this game. GL!

Skelaton4 · 03-15-09, 11:23 PM

The rockets game should be interesting. Needing some wins after my worst day ever. Looking forward to seeing who you play tomorrow

RoagBettor · 03-15-09, 11:29 PM

My first 3 team/8 pt teaser tomorrow will be Bobcats (?), Rockets (+ 11.5) and OKC (+13)

Odraca · 03-15-09, 11:33 PM

Anyone else like the OKC/SAN ANT OVER 188.5?

they only played once this year at san antonio and they scored over 210 in that meet, im leaning over in this game too, seems like the only team oklahoma has trouble scoring on is houston

pho3nix32 · 03-15-09, 11:38 PM

line: hr@noh 182
pick: 182 under

Under trends:

- The under for Houston is 7-2 in March games.
- The under for Houston is 12-8 in the 2nd half of the season.
- The under for New Orleans is 16-9 after an east game this season.
- The under for New Orleans is 17-11 against a team with an above 0.500 record this season.
- Head to head, the under is 6-4 for the last 3 seasons.
- Head to head, the under is 3-2 in games played in New Orleans for the last 3 seasons.

Both teams coming from SU loss and are hungry for a win. Houston's last 5 games went under the total while Byron Scott is Byron Scott. Defense will be the name of the game tomorrow for these 2 playoff-bound teams.

csimmalavong · 03-16-09, 12:21 AM

Originally posted by RoagBettor

My first 3 team/8 pt teaser tomorrow will be Bobcats (?), Rockets (+ 11.5) and OKC (+13)

last 2 look good

Lets_Get_Money · 03-16-09, 12:58 AM

Hey CK ... You would think the 1st round matchups for the NCAA are

?

Personally I sorta have an Idea of what a SP is but really don't know the criteria.

SportsTerminator · 03-16-09, 01:13 AM

No one playing on the Spurs vs. Thunder, seems like an EZ pick right?

The_Kid · 03-16-09, 01:23 AM

Originally posted by pho3nix32

line: hr@noh 182
pick: 182 under

Like this play too, pho3nix. Going to ride with you on this one, pal.

Also thinking of taking the UNDER 189 between the Spurs/Thunder. Last meeting, the total was set at 196.5 and the teams combined for 213. The lines makers have obviously made a big adjustment the other way. This total seems way too easy to take the OVER with considering that it is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in OKC. Spurs should dictate the tempo of the game and with Durant/Green recently coming back, the Thunder will have to adjust to them playing again on the offensive end.

Originally posted by SportsTerminator

No one playing on the Spurs vs. Thunder, seems like an EZ pick right?

It is the Thunder's first home game after a road trip so I would lean Spurs at the moment. But I do remember that the last time these two teams met, the Spurs gave up a huge lead at home and almost let OKC come back from 20+ points. Maybe the five points seems way too easy.

Originally posted by Lets_Get_Money

Hey CK ... You would think the 1st round matchups for the NCAA are

?

Please don't mention this again. The SPs are not in effect anymore.

cocknocker · 03-16-09, 01:27 AM

The

are over for the year. They end with conference play's end

Odraca · 03-16-09, 01:39 AM

Kid i dont know where you get your totals but the first Okc/san ant game was 109 to 104 = 213

I think it should go well over 188.5, may be a trap but its a home game, and durant shouldnt have a hard time getting back into this offense hes been there all year until his injury

The_Kid · 03-16-09, 01:41 AM

Originally posted by Odraca

Kid i dont know where you get your totals but the first Okc/san ant game was 109 to 104 = 213

My bad. I didn't add that right.

Either way, I don't know about playing that OVER. Lines makers made that adjustment for a reason.

anthonydiamondLC · 03-16-09, 01:47 AM

CK, your crazy to bet the nets tomorrow without Devin Harris. I Don't care what the numbers add up to for however your trying to configure this, but cmon man either don't bet this game or bet the Nuggets. There is 0 reason to take the Nets here. They are a dead team. If they can't be leading against the Clippers at half WITH a Devin Harris in the lineup then there is no way WITHOUT him in the lineup that they are even gonna stay in the SAME ballpark as the Nuggets. The Nets needed no sure win more then they did tonight, how did they respond to that challange? They were down 11 at half. There done, forget it, goodbye. Second bad part of this equation is that there playing a b2b in Denver with the thin air which will make it even tougher on the Nets to get up and down the court. I could go on and on, but if you take this bet I think it is a very foolish move.

Odraca · 03-16-09, 01:48 AM

I already placed my wager on it but GL with whatever you do, (unless its the under of coarse), but i really like the nets play today too, im sure that line will hopefully go up

*the thin air aspect i think is very overrated, when you hit your second wind you dont give a shit how thin the air is you're ballin'

**on vegas insider it says the line is 191.5 o/u in the okc game, does that mean the over is getting smashed or was that what it opened at and the under is getting smashed? thx

danrman · 03-16-09, 01:51 AM

my pick is ok city... a texas team that has won championships goes to oklahoma to play.. i promise ya okla city covers if not wins straight up.. i live in dallas and travel to ok. city for concerts and such.. trust me on this one... oklahoma despises anything texas... the caviet that makes me even more confident is where it hits san antonio on the schedule.. this is a perfect spot for ok city and all the money will be on san antonio.. oklahoma + the points... big big big big big.. i say oklahoma city wins by 4-6 points... people will be teasing sn ant. down to almost even and they will lose

pho3nix32 · 03-16-09, 02:20 AM

denver f#ck#rs haven't covered for 4 games already...sacramento lost SU, houston lost SU, okc lost ATS, lac lost ATS (i had it at 13.5)...this team is overrated...billups alone wont help this team...denver f#ck#rs!!!

King_Bookie · 03-16-09, 03:03 AM

Originally posted by anthonydiamondLC

CK, your crazy to bet the nets tomorrow without Devin Harris. I Don't care what the numbers add up to for however your trying to configure this, but cmon man either don't bet this game or bet the Nuggets. There is 0 reason to take the Nets here. They are a dead team. If they can't be leading against the Clippers at half WITH a Devin Harris in the lineup then there is no way WITHOUT him in the lineup that they are even gonna stay in the SAME ballpark as the Nuggets. The Nets needed no sure win more then they did tonight, how did they respond to that challange? They were down 11 at half. There done, forget it, goodbye. Second bad part of this equation is that there playing a b2b in Denver with the thin air which will make it even tougher on the Nets to get up and down the court. I could go on and on, but if you take this bet I think it is a very foolish move.

You do also notice the new fad in NBA right? The one where teams play MUCH BETTER if their main star/scorer disappears ( T-Mac, Iverson, Redd & Bogut, etc.

Originally posted by pho3nix32

denver f#ck#rs haven't covered for 4 games already...sacramento lost SU, houston lost SU, okc lost ATS, lac lost ATS (i had it at 13.5)...this team is overrated...billups alone wont help this team...denver f#ck#rs!!!

I never bet on denver anymore after their debacle at home against OKC (lost by 0.5 points, dammit)

SportsTerminator · 03-16-09, 03:16 AM

There is no way the Nets are winning tomorrow. None whatsover. Harris is out and they just played yesterday. Billups is going to post up Dooling all day. And NeNe will be a monster. The Nets are 1-4 or 1-5 without Devin Harris in the lineup. DO NOT PLAY ON THE NETS, you've been warned l0l. The Raptors could be back in their grove with that win yesterday to jumpstart them. They are in the playoff hunt so they have something to play for. The Bobcats recently loss to the Timberwolves so how can I respect them. But I like the Bobcats simply because their at home. How can you not like the SPURS over the Thunder one of the worst teams in the NBA. San Antonio's last game was in Houston and beat them do I have to say more. I'll will most likely do a parlay with San Antonio -3.5 (B+2) and Denver Moneyline which will prob. be what 4000 l0l.

King_Bookie · 03-16-09, 03:25 AM

San antonio at home beat OKC by only 5 points. The last time OKC played at home, they won. Don't forget OKC's 60% ats win rate and I do think the line is pretty low (SA -5) so I'm wondering if this is one of those trap games you guys talk about(72% of the public is on SA, oooo). I think I'm gonna think more about this before I post my bets.

I do see your point about the nets, and revenge factor is huge on this one (44 points must hurt, a lot) so I'm leaning denver on this one.

HOU @ NO I'm still pondering who to lean on after the murder NO recieved from CHI and the choke-ass play that HOU presented at home vs SA.

SportsTerminator · 03-16-09, 04:13 AM

The last time the Spurs played Oklahoma City in Oklahoma City was never l0l. The Spurs played the Seattle Supersonics last year in Seattle and lost by 3. But the Oklahoma City Thunder team now is a total different roster than last year's Seattle Supersonics team. And that game Tony Parker did not play, big difference. This is San Antonio we're talking about.

Jimbo42 · 03-16-09, 05:24 AM

Originally posted by pho3nix32

denver f#ck#rs haven't covered for 4 games already...sacramento lost SU, houston lost SU, okc lost ATS, lac lost ATS (i had it at 13.5)...this team is overrated...billups alone wont help this team...denver f#ck#rs!!!

Dude, i love your new avatar! Its looks like Stewie is yelling "Denver f#ck#rs!" LOL.. Hey your Suns were a beast last night and brought home that cash!

wangichu · 03-16-09, 05:56 AM

with you on those first two plays there CK.

love the rockets, given NO's returning from a roady and the rockets off a loss as well as the history between these two teams and the spread sitting snugly at +3.5 even with the public pounding the horny's, just as the books would have hoped.

HOU +4/ML

also feeling the bobs for sure. They were slapped around earlier in the year before the raps decided to start blowing goats and before the bobs decided to make a run for the playoffs. The raps are back to back off a blowout W over pacers (wishing i had seen granger coming back cuz i would have cashed that) and are ready for that letdown.

CHAR -?

also think i'll play the under in the portland memphis game if the number is high enough.

Under is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Under is 4-1 in Trail Blazers last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Under is 10-2-1 in Trail Blazers last 13 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

add to that, the blazers difficulty scoring on the road with the grizz's back to back and should have trouble putting up too many points.

UNDER ??? (lean)

Dexter · 03-16-09, 05:59 AM

Originally posted by King_Bookie

You do also notice the new fad in NBA right? The one where teams play MUCH BETTER if their main star/scorer disappears ( T-Mac, Iverson, Redd & Bogut, etc.

I never bet on denver anymore after their debacle at home against OKC (lost by 0.5 points, dammit)

ouch - saw how the nets lost last night - they might be demoralized.

pho3nix32 · 03-16-09, 07:08 AM

Originally posted by Jimbo42

Dude, i love your new avatar! Its looks like Stewie is yelling "Denver f#ck#rs!" LOL.. Hey your Suns were a beast last night and brought home that cash!

good for you jimbo

it was a game they were supposed to win anyways with the talent they have.

RoagBettor · 03-16-09, 07:13 AM

I'm waiting for the rest of the lines to come out to complete my first 3 team/8 pt teaser of the day, but I'm definitely taking Houston +11.5 (at present) and OKC (+13). Might take the over on SA/OKC at 181, it depends on the other lines and if anything looks better.

Dexter · 03-16-09, 08:04 AM

Tue 3/17-

the cavs have settled back in after their expected rough first home game after the west coast trip. now they face an orlando team which beat them by 11 at orl earlier in the year. payback time. projected line of -5.

-cavs
_________________
while this is the jazz's first home game off a 5 game east coast trip - it was a poor trip in which they went 2-3 su, and have dropped the last 3. factor in revenge, as the wizards beat the jazz su in wash back in nov, and this has all the makings of a salt lake hammer job.

-jazz
__________________

King_Bookie · 03-16-09, 08:23 AM

I'm definitely torn between Houston and New Orleans. Houston played a close game with San Antonio and had a 1 day rest. New Orleans were murdered by Chicago and is looking for redemption at home.

I'm leaning OKC right now. With what they did to Dallas at home, I think OKC can unleash the beast at home and stun San Antonio.

Now the real problem is in Denver. As we know, Denver has been on a bad roll lately and their last meeting with New Jersey they looked like kids brought to their first day of school with a 44 point pounding. New Jersey gave up a winnable game against the very inconsistent Clippers and Devin Harris landed on his foot. However, there is a trend today in the NBA where teams suddenly get hax powers the moment their main man gets injured. OKC, HOU, MIL, DET comes to mind when using that trend.

Dexter · 03-16-09, 08:25 AM

that game in nj was the nuggets 4th game in 5 nights.

the nets are about even ats without harris this year. i glanced at the numbers before, something like 2-4 su, 3-3 ats w/o him.

repski · 03-16-09, 09:07 AM

Okla St/Tennessee is going to be a whale of a 1st round match-up...I can't beleive they made either of these teams and 8 or 9 seed....and garbage like Illinois or Utah a 5 seed......

vassman86 · 03-16-09, 09:20 AM

I was on the Nuggets -9.5 as a pretty early play, and the line movement is crazy to say the least. It's jumped to -11.5, most likely due to Harris being ruled out for tonight's game (which I haven't confirmed, but it's most likely the cause). The Nets are on their third road game in four nights. It's time for them to lay down and die in Altitude City. You can bet that the Nuggets haven't forgotten about their embarassing 44-point loss to NJ.