Cartytay System Results>>>>>

[Cheme82]

Damn! Vancouver got destroyed. Chasing on them on Tuesday at Dallas, projected line saround -120. Playing the Clips again tomorrow for the "B" bet and starting with G.S. Also a pick that i love for tomorrow, Syracuse laying 2 to Arizona State on the early game. That one is going to move so hit it soon.

Good luck.

[Karate]

Is their a spreadsheet?

[mrstock]

why dont people just wait for c bets to occur then put 10 units on them, you would have gone 24-4 last year or whatever for major profit....a whole lot more than chasing i think

Answer: because you can't guarantee a C bet can you?

[corona]

Is their a spreadsheet?

make one yourself.

the system 'rules' were laid out pretty simply on the first page. shouldn't be hard to go through each teams schedule and look for 3 game road trips, and enter each roadtrip into an excel sheet.

if you want to make money, you need to commit time to it.

and i'll post what i posted in the 'jm' thread...

i've backtested 8 years of doing it that way (playing all 3 game road trips), and its not that profitable.

last season was 149-1, but that was the exception. the previous 7 years averaged 142 wins and 7 C bet losses.

if you figure you're betting with -170 juice, you'll lose 19 units per C bet loss. times an average of 7 per year is 133 units lost. compared to 142 wins. that's 9 units in an entire season. i'd think you're time/money could be better spent playing another system or doing extensive research to come away with 9 units elsewhere without so much risk.....because to top it off....in 2002 there was a season with 11 C bet loses, and in 2005 there was 10 losses. you hit one of those bad years and you just lost between 50 and 70 units in 5 months.

i tried to come up with some filters to get rid of some losses in an attempt to make it profitable, but couldn't find anything significant that'd rule out a bunch of losses...and i didn't want to come up with 18 different filters to rule out every one of the past losses, because then each season there's only a handful of wins...and its still possible that something different makes it through a filter and you lose a series. obviously not playing on teams with an injured starter would take out a loss here or there, but you'd also miss out on a ton of wins.

with that said....i think if you don't mindlessly play every series, and instead use a bit of capping knowledge for each series and also play it reverse (play on the home team +3 points in each of the road teams 3 games) when its obvious (ie. sacramento kings, utah jazz), as well as potentially playing it labouchere instead of martingale...you can make it much more profitable...but still your chances of hitting a C loss or two are decent, because they seem pretty random. and certainly don't think if you just sit there and play every series without any thought process, you're going to come away 140 units richer at seasons end.

[trumpdown]

Yeah the problem being there really isn't a magic filter. There are many to consider like 1)Don't play worst road team 2)Don't play team with best record 3)Don't play bottom rpi team 4) Don't play top rpi team 5)Check injuries

From back-testing, as you mentioned there are still those fluke losses that are inevitable regardless.