Leans for Wednesday 3/11/09 The Loss of non

2daBank · 03-10-09, 11:21 PM

what you think about la 2marro? i know hou been playin good def at home but the line should be reasonable and this is the kind of game la seems to always show up for also liking n.o. havnt look into it to far yet but they should cover 8 wash coming off a win and n.o. playin to well to lose 2nd in a row to sorry wizards

Dexter · 03-11-09, 12:09 AM

wed 3/11-

the knicks will be on a btb, and thats enough for me to continue playing the red-hot pistons post AI.

-pistons (big)
_________________
the thunder will be up against it on wed having to face the nuggets on a btb in the high altitude. denver needs this game badly off of 3 straight losses. last year they dropped 168 pts at home on the thunder and are 3-1 su/ats the last 4 home games vs OKC winning 3 of those games by 28ppg.

-nuggets (big)
_______________
the nets travel to oak looking to avenge an early season home loss to the warriors. nj is 4-1 ats the last 5 games at gs, winning 2 of those game su, and losing the other 3 by 2ppg. the warriors will also be first home off a 4 game east coast trip.

-nets

Dexter · 03-11-09, 12:10 AM

come back nonsense, and cut the nonsense

pho3nix32 · 03-11-09, 12:35 AM

yeah, it would be great if we could have nonsense in this forum

come back bud...

cheesehead004 · 03-11-09, 12:58 AM

damn what the hell happened to this thread? bunch of dbags taking over with major bitchassness. sigh.

cocknocker · 03-11-09, 01:08 AM

S'up cheezzie? Well you guys have to it. I started the thread, but i will be digging up more and more info for my baseball page. I am working on money pitchers right now. Pitching tendency list is in full effect already.

W0lfy · 03-11-09, 01:10 AM

What else looks good for tomorrow? I'm thinking of Atlanta being -1 or -2 vs Utah. I think Utah's streak ends tomorrow, but then again I thought it would end today!

The_Kid · 03-11-09, 01:24 AM

Toronto wants to run more with Marion and Philly already plays at a pretty fast pace. The OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Average totals have been set at 188 but average scores have totaled have averaged about 198 points. The total is set at 202.5 tomorrow so the lines makers obviously know that these teams will put up points. Give me the OVER 202.5.

danrman · 03-11-09, 02:20 AM

early action fading the public w/ small bets on st. louis and depaul

pho3nix32 · 03-11-09, 02:41 AM

line: noh@ww 194
pick: 194 under

- The under for the Hornets is 15-8 against the east this year.
- The under for the Hornets is 6-2 against the southeast this year.
- The under for the Wizards is 29-22 as underdogs this year.
- The under for the Wizards is 26-19 on revenge games this year.
- The under for the Wizards after a SU win is 9-5 this year.

***************************
line: tr@phi 201.5
pick: 201.5 under

I have to respectfully disagree with you on this one Kid. The under for the Sixers at home is 18-10. They either suck on offense or play better defense at home. The playoff spots in the east is up for grabs. Even the Raptors still have a shot at the magic 8. I anticipate both teams to play hard and play defense in this game. I find this line a bit low. As CK always says, there is no free money in the NBA...

***************************
line: bc@mh 190.5
pick: 190.5 under

There is not much explaining to do here. The Celtics will be without Rondo tomorrow. Rondo is the catalyst to their running game. Instead they will be playing Marbury who just came in and still adjusting to their offense. Head to head trends reflect that the under is 6-1 in the last 3 years and 3-1 during games played in Miami the last 3 years.

The_Kid · 03-11-09, 02:53 AM

Originally posted by pho3nix32

line: tr@phi 201.5
pick: 201.5 under

I have to respectfully disagree with you on this one Kid. The under for the Sixers at home is 18-10. They either suck on offense or play better defense at home. The playoff spots in the east is up for grabs. Even the Raptors still have a shot at the magic 8. I anticipate both teams to play hard and play defense in this game.

Hey, no problem at all. I respect you and your plays and it's okay if we have differing views. We might have different opinions on this one total but as long as we come out ahead of the day, I'm all for it. I'll be playing more than just that one so we'll see what happens. BOL, pho3nix.

pho3nix32 · 03-11-09, 03:07 AM

Originally posted by The_Kid

Hey, no problem at all. I respect you and your plays and it's okay if we have differing views. We might have different opinions on this one total but as long as we come out ahead of the day, I'm all for it. I'll be playing more than just that one so we'll see what happens. BOL, pho3nix.

BOL as well Kid

peterpan19 · 03-11-09, 04:24 AM

horrible day... lost all bets ... ind, char, pho and cle (+qtr and half)
will limit myself to 2 max 3 strong plays and thats it ...

csimmalavong · 03-11-09, 06:19 AM

somebody call me crazy but i think the knicks can keep it close...
espec without rasheed not playin

SlowRoll · 03-11-09, 06:51 AM

Contributing to a Winning Wednesday.

It's just time for me to step my game up.

Nets at Warriors
Pick: OVER

TRENDS

Four straight battles in the Warriors Arena have went OVER the Total.

The Warriors have gone OVER 21 of 31 at home.

The Nets have gone OVER in 9 of their last 11 road games.

repski · 03-11-09, 07:07 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

wed 3/11-

the knicks will be on a btb, and thats enough for me to continue playing the red-hot pistons post AI.

-pistons (big)
_________________
the thunder will be up against it on wed having to face the nuggets on a btb in the high altitude. denver needs this game badly off of 3 straight losses. last year they dropped 168 pts at home on the thunder and are 3-1 su/ats the last 4 home games vs OKC winning 3 of those games by 28ppg.

-nuggets (big)
_______________
the nets travel to oak looking to avenge an early season home loss to the warriors. nj is 4-1 ats the last 5 games at gs, winning 2 of those game su, and losing the other 3 by 2ppg. the warriors will also be first home off a 4 game east coast trip.

-nets

I like the Pistons to win the game also.....7.5 pts alot

JGILL50 · 03-11-09, 07:11 AM

Originally posted by csimmalavong

somebody call me crazy but i think the knicks can keep it close...
espec without rasheed not playin

i dont think your crazy i could definitely see this happening no play for me

Dexter · 03-11-09, 08:18 AM

Originally posted by repski

I like the Pistons to win the game also.....7.5 pts alot

so you like det to win but not cover?

i kinda like that line of 7.5 - thought it would be around 9ish...

repski · 03-11-09, 08:18 AM

Miami Heat

-The Celtics have five players out for this ball game.
-The Heat, who have lost six straight times to Boston, Wade is playing like an MVP right now, having scored 40 or more points in five of his last nine.
Heat roll in major revenge game...

Dexter · 03-11-09, 08:20 AM

Thur-

one play for me tomorrow and that will again be over suns. the cavs come rolling in, and lebron, moe etc should have 30 point qtrs with regularity vs that defense. hopefully it cashes, and i will just continue to ride these overs during a favorable stretch of games for the 7 second offense.

-over suns

repski · 03-11-09, 08:28 AM

Okla St. -10.5
-OSU’s only loss in the last month came to Oklahoma 82-78 but covered as 9pt road dawgs.
-OSU has been doing it with defense lately, limiting teams to 68.2 points a game and 41.9 percent shooting over the last five.

Iowa State has dropped five of seven 1-4-2 ATS. The Cyclones struggle offensively, averaging just 64 points a game, and they’ve have scored 70 or more just three times in their last 10.

OSU has covered in three of the last four against the ISU.
The chalk is on a 5-0 ATS run in this series.

Iowa State is 2-9-3 ATS overall, 1-7-3 ATS as a dawg.
Oklahoma State is 14-6-2 ATS in neutral-site games, 16-5-1 as a favorite and 6-0-1 as a neutral-site chalk.

bought a pt...booked 9.5

Jimbo42 · 03-11-09, 08:57 AM

Ck,
Remember a couple weeks back we talked about "pistons week" after they beat the Celts? Well, this could be shaping up to be "Nuggets week". They have looked horrible of late (all the better for line value) but they just went through a brutal stretch at this time of year- just played 5gms in 7 days and within that 4gms in 5 days. The Nuggets remaining schedule has them playing 11 of their final 17 vs. losing teams. One thing the Nuggs do is beat the losing teams (exeption being SAC the other day) Check out their upcoming schedule:
Home: OKC, Clippers, Nets.. then on the road at Memphis...back home vs. Wizards.
The Nuggets have lost 3 in a row two other times this year but have won the fourth game each time. My only concern would be tonight against OKC and hoping the beat the spread. I"m on em though and looking for a run!

Denver - points

GL to everyone

repski · 03-11-09, 08:58 AM

ND/WVU under

-The under is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings.
-ND is on under runs of 5-0 overall ATS, 5-0 after a SU win and 5-1 for Notre Dame after a spread-cover,

-WVU is under 8-2 ATS in its last 10 overall

JaySotto · 03-11-09, 09:06 AM

where can i see JM(A) and JM(B)?

repski · 03-11-09, 09:17 AM

Syracuse

Seton Hall (17-14, 17-9 ATS) vs. (18) Syracuse (23-8, 14-13 ATS)

Syracuse carries a four-game SU and ATS winning streak.
Syracuse 7-1 ATS in its last eight as a favorite this season.
Since a 63-49 loss at UConn on Feb. 11, Syracuse has scored 86 points or more in five of six games.

SHU had lost five straight Big East Tournament games SU and ATS prior to last night
Seton Hall is on a 13-4 ATS run, all in Big East action, including 9-2 ATS in the last 11.

Syracuse is 7-2 SU and ATS in the last nine meetings, including five double-digit victories
The winner has covered in all nine contests.

Ggoing back to the 2003, Syracuse is on an 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS run in the Big East tourney.

SHU is just 7-18 ATS in their last 25 neutral-site outings.

repski · 03-11-09, 09:22 AM

NHL Lean

Ott/Tampa over 5.5

-Tampa has gone over the total in 3 of their last 4 games and in 5 of their last 7 overall.
-Ottawa has gone over the total in 4 of their last 5 games.
-The over is also 4-1 in Ott last 5 home games.

cocknocker · 03-11-09, 09:28 AM

Originally posted by Jimbo42

Ck,
Remember a couple weeks back we talked about "pistons week" after they beat the Celts? Well, this could be shaping up to be "Nuggets week". They have looked horrible of late (all the better for line value) but they just went through a brutal stretch at this time of year- just played 5gms in 7 days and within that 4gms in 5 days. The Nuggets remaining schedule has them playing 11 of their final 17 vs. losing teams. One thing the Nuggs do is beat the losing teams (exeption being SAC the other day) Check out their upcoming schedule:
Home: OKC, Clippers, Nets.. then on the road at Memphis...back home vs. Wizards.
The Nuggets have lost 3 in a row two other times this year but have won the fourth game each time. My only concern would be tonight against OKC and hoping the beat the spread. I"m on em though and looking for a run!

Denver - points

GL to everyone

Then obviously you see what I see. I am going heavy today on all three of my wagers, fellers. Time to get paid. Tired of the small rinky dink plays!

natelli1 · 03-11-09, 10:05 AM

at a first glance my strongest plays are
-houston rockets -2(maybe ML for me)
1.ron artest/shane battier will give kobe a hard time
2. houston is extremely hot(especially at home)
3. no lamar odom
-PHI/TOR over 201.5
1. toronto leads all nba teams in overs
2. philly can put up points when they are home
3. toronto loves their 3pt shooters(parker,bargnani,kapono,calderon ..)
-atlanta hawks -1
1. utah is on fire, but they are on a btb and they have won 2 straight road games for the first time since mid-december, can't see them winning another
2. hawks play great basketball at home, against great opponents
3. utah is 13-17 on the road, atlanta is 22-7

also like the over 202.5 in the DEN/OKC game
what do you guys think about these games?

repski · 03-11-09, 10:13 AM

Nebraska +1

Nebraska is going to throw a slow pace at Baylor today and it is one that can frustrate the efforts of a squad like the Bears. It did in their only meeting this year with the Cornhuskers winning a 4 pt game @ Baylor.
The Bears have simply fallen apart toward the end of this season, winning just twice in their last 12 games, and both of those in at home. They are currently on a 3-14 ATS run,.
The betting number scares me a bit....so this will be a smaller bet

joanapoker · 03-11-09, 10:25 AM

Some nice picks here today.

I'm also teasing the JM plays with 3 points buy and my big play of the day is OKC/DEN OVER 202 (lights out again for the Nuggets!!)

Casi · 03-11-09, 10:30 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

last year they dropped 168 pts at home on the thunder and are 3-1 su/ats the last 4 home games vs OKC winning 3 of those games by 28ppg.

-

Are you serious? This isn´t the same OKC team, if you cap games like that all i can say is GL coz you will need it.

cnleaf · 03-11-09, 10:33 AM

MIN OVER 199 for me today. (Two poor defensive teams and both teams are well rested. OVER should be the play)

Adding DEN -13. This one is going to be a blowout just like CK said.

repski · 03-11-09, 10:36 AM

Originally posted by Casi

Are you serious? This isn´t the same OKC team, if you cap games like that all i can say is GL coz you will need it.

ho no...not again....if you have something constructive to say cool...if not just please go

cocknocker · 03-11-09, 10:38 AM

In the win last night, the Thunder turned the ball over 24 times last night in a different time zone and ordinary air. This game will be played at high altitude and Denver is coming off of 3 straight losses. Blowout Alert! This is the kind of game you take your girlfriend to to propose. No offense joanapoker, but I just have to carjack your pick. You were ridin' too clean through the hood. Leave the keys in the ignition and get out of the car with your hands up and and give me that over!