Leans for Wednesday 3/11/09 The Loss of non

[SexyMit]

This is starting to be a good fade material thread...

[SexyMit]

Sup CK hope your ready to take me on in the playoffs... but by the looks of your picks in here i'm not to worried

[solobass]

i am superstitious like a mother chicken and take off the day before the full moon, the day of and the day after. my record when i made plays around that time is absolute garbage.

for everyone else still laying the wood today, best of luck!!!

i use these days off to test/refine/tweak......and i have maybe 3 weeks of nba left for me and then on to baseball the #1 money maker out there.

[Casi]

ho no...not again....if you have something constructive to say cool...if not just please go

Didn´t want to step on anyones toes...

Ok let´s try it this way: OKC might run out of gas, Denver might come out strong and angry, Denver is at home and they need this game.

This is all covered in the fact that they are a 12:1 favorite.
Tell me why the line should be -14 for example.
And no, them beating OKC ages ago doesn´t qualify as a sharp analysis.

[stonebuddha]

Mit you give us kids from Texas a bad rep. why even come in here and post this. if its TOO good to be true

i follow these guys like the 3 wise men (or 8 or 9). i'll follow, you fade, we'll see who loses their shirt

[cocknocker]

Preach, solobass! I smell baseball money too.

[repski]

Ck,
what's your feel for LAL @ Houston minus Odom...

other than Kobe/Gasol...the rest of LAL is suspect lately..Farmar jcking up shots from everywhere...Harper showing some age.....I think the LAL may get waxed here..

[repski]

Didn´t want to step on anyones toes...

Ok let´s try it this way: OKC might run out of gas, Denver might come out strong and angry, Denver is at home and they need this game.

This is all covered in the fact that they are a 12:1 favorite.
Tell me why the line should be -14 for example.
And no, them beating OKC ages ago doesn´t qualify as a sharp analysis.

that's a little better....no reason to hate on a guys cappin...enemy is the book...All I ask that if you don't like my analysis just move on..it is free after all

[Casi]

You are right i was a bit harsh, sorry for that.

[Dexter]

booked-

providence -10
pistons -6.5 (big)
nuggets -13 (big)
nets +3

[Dexter]

Are you serious? This isn´t the same OKC team, if you cap games like that all i can say is GL coz you will need it.

ouch!! while the thunder are slightly improved defensively from last year, they still give up 103ppg and the nuggets are more then capable of dropping a big number on them. 168 again? of course not with a more structured offense. but a 120-100 game is more then attainable.

[SoonerGreg]

SoonerGreg's Plays:

NBA
Hornets -6 (bought 2pts) (3U to win 2U)
Nets +5 (bought 2pts) (1.5U to win 1U)

4 Team 9pt Teaser (1.5U to win 1U)
Providence -1
Nebraska +8
Marquette +1.5
Oklahoma St. -1.5

3 Team ML Parlay (1U to win 1U)
Providence -600
Marquette -340
Marshall -300

[Dexter]

Didn´t want to step on anyones toes...

Ok let´s try it this way: OKC might run out of gas, Denver might come out strong and angry, Denver is at home and they need this game.

This is all covered in the fact that they are a 12:1 favorite.
Tell me why the line should be -14 for example.
And no, them beating OKC ages ago doesn´t qualify as a sharp analysis.

i look at the last 5 home games so what are you talking about "ages ago"?

the players playing tonight are the same players for the most part from last year with the exception of westbrook.

as for the line - do you know that kevin durant is out and the thunder are on btb vs a rested nuggets team that is very good at home ats? 14 is a little high, but a sign to me that the books are trying to scare people off of this blowout.

im very much looking forward to your analysis of games now

[cocknocker]

Sup CK hope your ready to take me on in the playoffs... but by the looks of your picks in here i'm not to worried

Yeah! I have had a bad little run here for a few days but it's nothing compared to what I'll be getting back today going heavy. I have never lost a challenge of any kind, so it should be interesting. I'm at my best when the pressure is on for post season games, bowl games, Super Bowl, MLB, it makes me no difference. I wagered on every single NFL playoff game including the Super Bowl and only had 3 losses, I used my MLB system in the playoffs and World Series and only lost three times the entire post season when in only three games did the teams fail to execute a run by the third inning. I only lost 3 and didn't play one NCAA Bowl Game this year and won all the rest. When I play heavy it's good, when I'm just f*cking around, my record doesn't really mean as much to me as it does to others when I'm hedging myself and so on anyway. I haven't made a heavy play in a while but I have three for today. Those picks you speak of will be but a memory. These kinds of games only come up every once in a while. You play em heavy when it counts. Even a service or tout will have regular plays and heavy plays to offer. In the playoffs there are less games to cap, so I can zero in on a select few. Anything goes in our matchup. No restrictions on what you can wager on. Quarters, halves, props etc. are all acceptable. I've done this thing of ours for a long time. I think I'll hold my own.

Once again, congratulations Sexy mit! Prepare for battle!

[OperatorX]

Tonight the night boys.. its gonna be a big one. Hasn't been a big night in a couple weeks it feels like.. but tonight THAT ALL ENDS.

[repski]

sooner,
like your picks...only one that scares me a bit is Marq.....they've lost 4 in a row...johnies have been hot..I'm staying away from that game....BOL

[Dexter]

Sup CK hope your ready to take me on in the playoffs... but by the looks of your picks in here i'm not to worried

you already made the finals?

[SoonerGreg]

sooner,
like your picks...only one that scares me a bit is Marq.....they've lost 4 in a row...johnies have been hot..I'm staying away from that game....BOL

The last four being losses scared me a bit too, then I saw it was to #20 Syracuse in OT, at #2 Pitt, at #5 Louisville, and home to #5 UConn. They blew the Johnies out by 14 on 2/14. Hopefully they continue to kill the low hanging fruit of the Big East.

[repski]

DePaul up by 9...lol...March Madness.....

that didn't last long..now 1

[Dexter]

down to 1 repski....hope for a providence 4 point lead at the half.

did you play prov? i didnt see a play by you in that one

[cocknocker]

This is starting to be a good fade material thread...

Check it out though. I bought a ton of shares of Citibank stock last week with a straddle option when it was under a dollar. This morning it went to $1.51. I believe it will go to $15.00 a share before it's all over after the acquisition. And someone will try to buy my shares from me probably at some point. And I posted it on the thread for all to see. When someone's making money like this, it isn't wise to fade me. You should listen to what I have to say. I am an expert at money management unlike anyone you have ever seen. And what's beautiful about it is I hang out here with degenrates all day because I retired at the age of 26. I'm 41 now. If I ain't makin' money on some small plays oh well! I STILL have something to offer. When you can show people how to make money in divere ways like that, you becme legend. Cold streaks don't matter when you give a person a way to pick up 300 more wins than losses in the hardest sport to cap (MLB). Fade the picks, heed the lesssons. See ya in the playoffs.

[repski]

down to 1 repski....hope for a providence 4 point lead at the half.

did you play prov? i didnt see a play by you in that one

teeny weenie parlay -9.5 with st. louis+4...for shits and giggles

not even worth mentioning

[Jimbo42]

Check it out though. I bought a ton of shares of Citibank stock last week with a straddle option when it was under a dollar. This morning it went to $1.51. I believe it will go to $15.00 a share before it's all over after the acquisition. And someone will try to buy my shares from me probably at some point. And I posted it on the thread for all to see. When someone's making money like this, it isn't wise to fade me. You should listen to what I have to say. I am an expert at money management unlike anyone you have ever seen. And what's beautiful about it is I hang out here with degenrates all day because I retired at the age of 26. I'm 41 now. If I ain't makin' money on some small plays oh well! I STILL have something to offer. When you can show people how to make money in divere ways like that, you becme legend. Cold streaks don't matter when you give a person a way to pick up 300 more wins than losses in the hardest sport to cap (MLB). Fade the picks, heed the lesssons. See ya in the playoffs.

Awesome Smack Ck, Sexymit you just got owned brother!

[joanapoker]

No offense joanapoker, but I just have to carjack your pick. You were ridin' too clean through the hood. Leave the keys in the ignition and get out of the car with your hands up and and give me that over!

I surrender CK
eheheh

It seems to easy the line set at 202!! It started at 201 and it's now at 202.5....Just hope OKC do their part (take a lot of points or score near the 100 mark)

[cocknocker]

Maquette/St. John's under 65 1st half
Marquette-4 1st half

[shoebox]

Booked!!

St Johns +7.5
WVA -5
E Car +3/ML

Out!

[repski]

CK,
I bought the FAS last week.....3X leverged ETF Bull financials.... yesterday was a fun day...UYG is the 2X ETF for the XLF

[cocknocker]

Bank stocks with a straddle option is where it's at right now, repski. Good to see I'm not the only one reaping the benefits! Let's get paid as the market makes it's come back and creditors start to relax a bit.

[BrandonLaz]

New Orleans +8

I love this line tonight as the Hornets where on a winning streak of 7 games before going into Atlanta and getting slapped around. Now they get the gift of playing their 2nd game on a 4 game road trip against the Wizards. You know CP3 and Co. are going to come out tonight on a mission to just destroy after getting beat by 10 in their previous game. The Wizards have had only 3 wins ATS & SU over their last 10 games. On the season for Washington after a win by 10 points or more they are 1-5 ATS, and when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season they are a horrible 0-9 ATS. I am taking the Hornets in this spot as I expect them to blowout the Wizards with ease.

New York Knicks (+8) vs Detroit Pistons

The Pistons have finally started playing good basketball again and the oddsmakers have decided they are already the Pistons of old that will be back in the Eastern Conference finals. Not so fast as this is a great spot for the Knicks who just pulled off the upset win versus the Bucks last night and now play the Pistons who are just off an emotional win versus the Magic. Even with how solid the Pistons have been playing they are still just 10-22 ATS in home games. Everyone looks at how great the Pistons have been playing, but forget to notice the trends following the Knicks. The Knicks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games and they have already beating the Pistons once this season. The Knicks have also been a solid bet lately, including a 7-4 ATS record on the second night of back-to-backs. They are on ATS runs of 21-10-1 as underdogs, 7-1 on Wednesdays, 14-5-1 as a road 'dog and 5-2-1 on the road overall. I am taking the Knicks with a generous amount of points tonight as I think the Pistons will win the game, but the Knicks will keep it under the 8 points.

Dallas vs Portland (-8)

I have no doubt that the public will be jumping all over the play on Dallas. The problem with that play is Dallas is only 1-5 both SU and ATS in their last 6 games ATS. During those 6 games they only broke 88 points once and that was against the Suns so it isn't that big of an accomplishment. Now they have to play Portland who only gives up 93 points per game. Portland is going to be out on a mission after the way they manhandled the Lakers in their previous game they want to show that it wasn't just a fluke. Portland is a GREAT team at home who nobody wants to play come playoff time. They have currently won 12 straight games at home. Dallas is still without Josh Howard who was the reason they beat the Spurs a few games ago. I am taking the Blazers here as they will shutdown the Mavericks tonight and run away with the victory.

[TheLemonDropKid]

New Orleans +8

I love this line tonight as the Hornets where on a winning streak of 7 games before going into Atlanta and getting slapped around. Now they get the gift of playing their 2nd game on a 4 game road trip against the Wizards. You know CP3 and Co. are going to come out tonight on a mission to just destroy after getting beat by 10 in their previous game. The Wizards have had only 3 wins ATS & SU over their last 10 games. On the season for Washington after a win by 10 points or more they are 1-5 ATS, and when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season they are a horrible 0-9 ATS. I am taking the Hornets in this spot as I expect them to blowout the Wizards with ease.

New York Knicks (+8) vs Detroit Pistons

The Pistons have finally started playing good basketball again and the oddsmakers have decided they are already the Pistons of old that will be back in the Eastern Conference finals. Not so fast as this is a great spot for the Knicks who just pulled off the upset win versus the Bucks last night and now play the Pistons who are just off an emotional win versus the Magic. Even with how solid the Pistons have been playing they are still just 10-22 ATS in home games. Everyone looks at how great the Pistons have been playing, but forget to notice the trends following the Knicks. The Knicks are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games and they have already beating the Pistons once this season. The Knicks have also been a solid bet lately, including a 7-4 ATS record on the second night of back-to-backs. They are on ATS runs of 21-10-1 as underdogs, 7-1 on Wednesdays, 14-5-1 as a road 'dog and 5-2-1 on the road overall. I am taking the Knicks with a generous amount of points tonight as I think the Pistons will win the game, but the Knicks will keep it under the 8 points.

Dallas vs Portland (-8)

I have no doubt that the public will be jumping all over the play on Dallas. The problem with that play is Dallas is only 1-5 both SU and ATS in their last 6 games ATS. During those 6 games they only broke 88 points once and that was against the Suns so it isn't that big of an accomplishment. Now they have to play Portland who only gives up 93 points per game. Portland is going to be out on a mission after the way they manhandled the Lakers in their previous game they want to show that it wasn't just a fluke. Portland is a GREAT team at home who nobody wants to play come playoff time. They have currently won 12 straight games at home. Dallas is still without Josh Howard who was the reason they beat the Spurs a few games ago. I am taking the Blazers here as they will shutdown the Mavericks tonight and run away with the victory.

I want the Hornets +8 too!!!!!!!!!! Where do I get one of those?

[Dexter]

man, i hate college hoops..lol

ok - 4 pt lead with 4 min left - step on the gas providence!

[repski]

few leans no one's talking about

Bulls +8 .....70% public on Magic line isn't moving......to many pts for the upstart Bulls
Hawks-2....Jazz are the "hot" team yet the line moves up
Tor+6.5....public on Sixers...they don't play Bosh well even when hot...
Houston-3....70% on LAL...line moved up 2pts.
Mia-3.5...same type RLM...no Rhondo no Garnett...revenge

[Dexter]

providence up 8!

[repski]

man, i hate college hoops..lol

ok - 4 pt lead with 4 min left - step on the gas providence!

just like that providence up by 8

[Gnutti]

few leans no one's talking about

Bulls +8 .....70% public on Magic line isn't moving......to many pts for the upstart Bulls
Hawks-2....Jazz are the "hot" team yet the line moves up
Tor+6.5....public on Sixers...they don't play Bosh well even when hot...
Houston-3....70% on LAL...line moved up 2pts.
Mia-3.5...same type RLM...no Rhondo no Garnett...revenge

I noticed this too Very scary today... Especially the LAL/Houston line.