Is Roger Federer worth an ALL-IN bet?

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  • Lazy-Man
    SBR MVP
    • 12-20-10
    • 1430

    #1
    Is Roger Federer worth an ALL-IN bet?
    Thinking about laying 4 Grand on him at -400 to win a cool Grand against Gasquet. No way he losses
  • nammertl
    SBR MVP
    • 12-06-11
    • 1204

    #2
    maybe 8 years ago.
    Comment
    • OMGChoGath
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 04-11-13
      • 585

      #3
      Risk to reward ratio not good enough.
      Comment
      • sando
        SBR MVP
        • 04-30-12
        • 3723

        #4
        Click image for larger version

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        Sorry I don't know how to make it clearer. Anyway my software says Federer 93.19% if you can't read it
        Comment
        • Vinnie Paz
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-27-12
          • 12177

          #5
          -400 is a terrible line by the way
          Have to be getting in the 300 range

          But yeah he should win fairly easily, 4 stacks is a lot and he is pushin 50. Bet it to win 500 JIC. (just in case)
          Comment
          • Vinnie Paz
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-27-12
            • 12177

            #6
            Sando pm me where you got that from
            Comment
            • sando
              SBR MVP
              • 04-30-12
              • 3723

              #7
              Probability on all surfaces - Fed 56.59 %
              Probability on this surface only - Fed 52.23%
              Overall probability - Fed 52.67%
              Probability in view of head to head - Fed 69.93%

              Final probability - Fed 93.19%
              Comment
              • sluggy1616
                SBR MVP
                • 07-21-13
                • 1317

                #8
                Originally posted by sando
                [ATTACH]61802[/ATTACH]

                Sorry I don't know how to make it clearer. Anyway my software says Federer 93.19% if you can't read it
                Matches against representatives of the same nationality? WTF?
                Comment
                • sando
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-30-12
                  • 3723

                  #9
                  Originally posted by sluggy1616
                  Matches against representatives of the same nationality? WTF?
                  It means (in this example) that fed has had considerable success when playing Frenchies
                  Comment
                  • Domestic
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-10-09
                    • 6323

                    #10
                    Originally posted by nammertl
                    maybe 8 years ago.
                    Comment
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