I have always been intrigued with how spreads are set in relation to the posted total for a game and how often spreads are covered or totals go over/under based on this. I have been able to track down the past 10 years worth of data and compare the results. I have found some very solid correlations that have shown certain spreads vs. totals, hitting at least 53% of the time. There are some that have hit over 57-65% each year for the past 10 years. I was interested in finding these correlations that have been consistent over the years even with the changing landscape of the NBA. I have also been able to look at how each team in the league performs as a home/away team, or even more specific as a home fav/dog or away fav/dog. Back testing the numbers seem to produce very solid winning percentages and I hope to increase these percentages by weeding out the teams that have not shown consistency to cover certain spreads in certain situations over the past 2-3 years. Gonna try and post my picks in here. BOL!
Opening Night 10/29/13
Bulls +5
Magic +12
Opening Night 10/29/13
Bulls +5
Magic +12
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