2013/14 NBA Thread

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  • Pauulzcappin
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 04-23-10
    • 20295

    #1646
    I say we find a good opportunity to live bet it. It's what I'll do.
    Comment
    • Seto
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-16-11
      • 12906

      #1647
      Kevin Durant over 45.5 pts+reb+ast -125 (bet365) (risking 1.25x to win 1x)
      Russell Westbrook over 38.5 pts+reb+ast -125 (bet365) (risking 1.25x to win 1x)

      Ultimately it's these 2 guys' job to step up in this game down 1-0. Because no one else will on this team except maybe Reggie Jackson but he's always either a 4 point disaster or a 28 point outburst so I don't trust him at all. For all the scrutiny they get you can usually pencil these 2 guys in for big numbers even if at times they're inefficient. I think we get their best effort tonight. Not sure it'll be enough for the win though. Also getting better lines than those at 5D FWIW.

      Please no fukking blowout again smh.
      Comment
      • timc021
        SBR High Roller
        • 05-21-14
        • 132

        #1648
        local books...
        Spurs -6 1/2
        over 212
        Comment
        • Seto
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-16-11
          • 12906

          #1649
          Here we go. Another blowout. Damn.

          This time they'll probably pull the plug even sooner.
          Comment
          • Seto
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-16-11
            • 12906

            #1650


            Didn't think it would even be possible but this is even more of an embarassment than what the Blazers did. Just wow.
            Comment
            • Pauulzcappin
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 04-23-10
              • 20295

              #1651
              This thunder team sucks without ibaka. they are so fukking bad the spurs might actually sweep. i'm chasing them in oklahoma city.
              Comment
              • Seto
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-16-11
                • 12906

                #1652
                Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                This thunder team sucks without ibaka. they are so fukking bad the spurs might actually sweep. i'm chasing them in oklahoma city.
                Probably the same as the Portland series, Spurs kill any remaining suspense in game 3, drop off a bit in game 4 and then finish them in game 5.

                Shoulda taken those Spurs futures smh. Hopefully at least one book out there will still have +120 or so but I doubt it.
                Comment
                • WalkingLuckCharm
                  SBR MVP
                  • 06-07-10
                  • 4192

                  #1653
                  Yup. Just lack of scoring. All pop has to do is get 110 points
                  Comment
                  • timc021
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 05-21-14
                    • 132

                    #1654
                    local books...

                    spurs -6 1/2
                    over 212

                    ???? could it happen ????
                    Comment
                    • Seto
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-16-11
                      • 12906

                      #1655
                      Originally posted by WalkingLuckCharm
                      Yup. Just lack of scoring. All pop has to do is get 110 points
                      Lack of pretty much everything. Scoring, defense, actually running plays on offense...
                      Comment
                      • Pauulzcappin
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-23-10
                        • 20295

                        #1656
                        Originally posted by Seto
                        Probably the same as the Portland series, Spurs kill any remaining suspense in game 3, drop off a bit in game 4 and then finish them in game 5.

                        Shoulda taken those Spurs futures smh. Hopefully at least one book out there will still have +120 or so but I doubt it.
                        Fukking joke. Ima lose a lot on thunder tonight and didn't even get the spurs series bets in.

                        I suck.
                        Comment
                        • WalkingLuckCharm
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-07-10
                          • 4192

                          #1657
                          They just a 2 superstar team with no coaching. In the end they just blow teams out in reg season. Against elite teams they have enough scoring to keep them close in the final minutes and then you see two superstars do what they paid to do.

                          But. .. without our congo man I don't think okc can hang around most games for that to happen
                          Comment
                          • Seto
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-16-11
                            • 12906

                            #1658
                            How much are the Spurs gonna be in game 3 I wonder.

                            Typically a team down 2-0 that was +5.5/+6 on the road would be -3 at home in game 3 because of desperation but surely here they will react to how much of a mismatch this series looks like it is so far. Maybe OKC-1.5?
                            Comment
                            • Seto
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-16-11
                              • 12906

                              #1659
                              Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                              Fukking joke. Ima lose a lot on thunder tonight and didn't even get the spurs series bets in.

                              I suck.
                              I'm mad about losing those bets but honestly I don't think they were that bad. Just the one thing that couldn't happen. Maybe I should've put in an additional bet on Spurs 21+ to cover that weak spot but easy to say now.

                              Westbrook missed many layups in the first quarter and Durant just looked totally disengaged. Durant and LeBron both piss me off with their occasional disappreaing acts in games. Kobe never does that, ever. I guess to LeBron's credit at least he's actually useful on defense as opposed to Durant.
                              Comment
                              • WalkingLuckCharm
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-07-10
                                • 4192

                                #1660
                                Originally posted by Seto
                                How much are the Spurs gonna be in game 3 I wonder.

                                Typically a team down 2-0 that was +5.5/+6 on the road would be -3 at home in game 3 because of desperation but surely here they will react to how much of a mismatch this series looks like it is so far. Maybe OKC-1.5?
                                Should be an auto play IMO
                                Comment
                                • NBA Maniac
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-11-12
                                  • 5290

                                  #1661
                                  Seto crazy invironment here in Lisbon because of spanish champions league final...
                                  Outstanding !!
                                  Comment
                                  • Seto
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-16-11
                                    • 12906

                                    #1662
                                    Originally posted by NBA Maniac
                                    Seto crazy invironment here in Lisbon because of spanish champions league final...
                                    Outstanding !!
                                    I can imagine...

                                    Wish we had made it there. 1 home win away and we play our worst defensive game in 4 months. smh.

                                    Nice city too I've been before. Not for football though.
                                    Comment
                                    • t-wizzle
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-18-09
                                      • 38099

                                      #1663
                                      Heat big tonight?
                                      Comment
                                      • unitedlad
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-10-12
                                        • 845

                                        #1664
                                        Originally posted by Seto
                                        I can imagine...

                                        Wish we had made it there. 1 home win away and we play our worst defensive game in 4 months. smh.

                                        Nice city too I've been before. Not for football though.
                                        C'mon man, you were completely outplayed in the 2nd half of that 2nd leg. Your tactics in the 1st leg were despicable also.

                                        Great final! Glad it wasn't Chelsea there, as I can only imagine how defensive they would have set up.
                                        Comment
                                        • Seto
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-16-11
                                          • 12906

                                          #1665
                                          Originally posted by unitedlad
                                          C'mon man, you were completely outplayed in the 2nd half of that 2nd leg. Your tactics in the 1st leg were despicable also.

                                          Great final! Glad it wasn't Chelsea there, as I can only imagine how defensive they would have set up.
                                          Tactics were spot on. Got a great result away. Just couldn't finish the deal back home as we usually do.

                                          Second leg was decided by 2 very bad goals we gave away, the second one was an absolute fukking shocker from eto'o. Zero reason to foul there, zero.

                                          I understand people don't like the way we play, but if you don't like it don't watch it's not our problem. Always embraced the "no one likes us and we don't care" thing. You pretty much have to as a Chelsea fan cause let's face it - no one likes us

                                          As for the final I cashed my under bet but only half cashed (under 2/2.5) cause of that late goal. Lost a free bet live on the 0-0 draw. Decent enough, made some pocket money lol.
                                          Comment
                                          • Seto
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-16-11
                                            • 12906

                                            #1666
                                            Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                            Heat big tonight?
                                            I don't have the feel for the series I had last year, it's a weird setup with the better team being at home for games 3 and 4. The typical NBA script can't play out.

                                            Probably laying off, it's hard to do because these days there's only one game a day and not having action for the day kinda sucks at this stage of the season but I can't force bets like I did in game 2 of OKC/Spurs. I do well on props when I let things come to me, when I force them... Not so much.
                                            Comment
                                            • t-wizzle
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 12-18-09
                                              • 38099

                                              #1667
                                              I feel like Miami could smoke em tonight. Do you think the prospects of a short Spurs series would influence Miami?
                                              Comment
                                              • Seto
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-16-11
                                                • 12906

                                                #1668
                                                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                I feel like Miami could smoke em tonight. Do you think the prospects of a short Spurs series would influence Miami?
                                                That's an interesting point because they lost game 1 to the Spurs last year after going 7 with Indiana (with LeBron famously sitting out the first 4 or 5 mins of the 4th when the Spurs started taking over the game because he was "tired"). Maybe they want to get there rested this year?

                                                Certainly possible. I do still feel like if Miami shows up Indiana can't really play with them but unlike last year in the crucial games Heat really had to fight to take game 2 so maybe it's different this year.
                                                Comment
                                                • unitedlad
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-10-12
                                                  • 845

                                                  #1669
                                                  Originally posted by Seto
                                                  Tactics were spot on. Got a great result away. Just couldn't finish the deal back home as we usually do.

                                                  Second leg was decided by 2 very bad goals we gave away, the second one was an absolute fukking shocker from eto'o. Zero reason to foul there, zero.

                                                  I understand people don't like the way we play, but if you don't like it don't watch it's not our problem. Always embraced the "no one likes us and we don't care" thing. You pretty much have to as a Chelsea fan cause let's face it - no one likes us

                                                  As for the final I cashed my under bet but only half cashed (under 2/2.5) cause of that late goal. Lost a free bet live on the 0-0 draw. Decent enough, made some pocket money lol.
                                                  Did it really "work" though? A 0-0 draw away in the 1st leg in a Semi-final against a very good side isn't that good imo, as it just takes one goal from the, in the 2nd leg for them to have a massive advantage due to away goals. I think in the first leg, if you are playing away, you should be aiming for one away goal at the very least.

                                                  I can appreciate the defensive tactics when it comes to lower league / poor sides but when you consider the amount of money spent on that Chelsea team, then it's kind of unacceptable to go all out defensive right from the start. They completely deserved to go out.

                                                  You have to at least admit it was a great final against 2 rivals. The match wouldn't have been anywhere near as entertaining if it was Chelsea v Real Madrid, in my opinion.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Seto
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-16-11
                                                    • 12906

                                                    #1670
                                                    Originally posted by unitedlad
                                                    Did it really "work" though? A 0-0 draw away in the 1st leg in a Semi-final against a very good side isn't that good imo, as it just takes one goal from the, in the 2nd leg for them to have a massive advantage due to away goals. I think in the first leg, if you are playing away, you should be aiming for one away goal at the very least.

                                                    I can appreciate the defensive tactics when it comes to lower league / poor sides but when you consider the amount of money spent on that Chelsea team, then it's kind of unacceptable to go all out defensive right from the start. They completely deserved to go out.

                                                    You have to at least admit it was a great final against 2 rivals. The match wouldn't have been anywhere near as entertaining if it was Chelsea v Real Madrid, in my opinion.
                                                    When you go on the road and get a draw it's a good result. 0-0 is obviously the worst draw but it puts you one home win away from the final which is all you can ask for.

                                                    People get all obsessed over this away goals rule when in reality it only takes effect when the score is tied after 180 minutes. I mean to the point where some people think it's better to lose 3-2 away than get a 0-0 draw when that's completely incorrect lol. Because all scores where your away goals count (1-0, 2-1, 3-2) are scores that would qualify you with a 0-0 draw. I mean anyway it ain't complicated to mathematically understand that it's better to start out a 2nd leg tied than trailing.

                                                    "Unacceptable"? That's your opinion. The manager did what would best give us a chance of getting a positive result in that match. The name of the game is winning, not gaining popularity. I couldn't care less if games are "entertaining" to neutrals or not.

                                                    This "deserving" stuff annoys me. The perfect example is today's game actually - everyone's out there saying Real "deserved" to win, but had Atletico won they'd be saying the same BS the other way. There's no such thing as "deserving" a win.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Seto
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                      • 12906

                                                      #1671
                                                      Probably no play tonight again in the end. Was leaning Spurs initially but I was starting to feel uneasy about it and now Seaweed is on them too so I don't think I can touch them.

                                                      Like Miami tomorrow. I should probably take it now I doubt 6's will be available, if anything it goes back up to 7.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Seto
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                        • 12906

                                                        #1672
                                                        Heat-6.5 -105 (pinnacle) (risking 3.15x to win 3x)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Seto
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-16-11
                                                          • 12906

                                                          #1673
                                                          okc/spurs game 2: 0-2, -2.5x
                                                          Yesterday: 1-0, +3x
                                                          Total: 251-302-9, +26.76x

                                                          Nice and easy for the Heat. I'm still pissed about not unloading on them live in game 3. Woulda been a great way to get back on track but I'm just not making any progress these days...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Pauulzcappin
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 04-23-10
                                                            • 20295

                                                            #1674
                                                            Mixed feelings about tonight's game by the way. I have been back and forth all day. Gonna rewatch game 3 again I guess.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Seto
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-16-11
                                                              • 12906

                                                              #1675
                                                              Originally posted by Pauulzcappin
                                                              Mixed feelings about tonight's game by the way. I have been back and forth all day. Gonna rewatch game 3 again I guess.
                                                              99 percent laying off. Just hoping Spurs win for futures.

                                                              I need to watch the 2nd half of game 3 I haven't seen it yet, maybe that'll give me an opinion but I'm not sure.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • timc021
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 05-21-14
                                                                • 132

                                                                #1676
                                                                not much to watch except turnovers and shit play from the spurs. basically throwing it up making Ibaka & storyline look good. almost like it was out of a script.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • unitedlad
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-10-12
                                                                  • 845

                                                                  #1677
                                                                  Decided to hedge my conf finals bet with putting a couple of units on OKC to make Finals. Still on to win 5u if Spurs make it through but not really liking the way this series has completely flipped it's head.

                                                                  Still think Spurs advance but not 7.5u-confident. Think it is best to grab OKC while they are still around 2/1. If they took game 5 that would be disasterous. This next game is absolutely key. Whoever wins advances, and, to be honest, it wouldn't suprise me if the MVP has goes crazy again.

                                                                  I'm happy with a £250 profit from this if Spurs get game 5.

                                                                  @KRIT You taken any hedging action yet, or riding it out?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Seto
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-16-11
                                                                    • 12906

                                                                    #1678
                                                                    Originally posted by unitedlad
                                                                    Decided to hedge my conf finals bet with putting a couple of units on OKC to make Finals. Still on to win 5u if Spurs make it through but not really liking the way this series has completely flipped it's head.

                                                                    Still think Spurs advance but not 7.5u-confident. Think it is best to grab OKC while they are still around 2/1. If they took game 5 that would be disasterous. This next game is absolutely key. Whoever wins advances, and, to be honest, it wouldn't suprise me if the MVP has goes crazy again.

                                                                    I'm happy with a £250 profit from this if Spurs get game 5.

                                                                    @KRIT You taken any hedging action yet, or riding it out?
                                                                    I think the Spurs will win game 5. I don't agree with the thinking that OKC's best chance to steal one is game 5 that a few people have posted here. It doesn't necessarily need to follow the 2012 script. I think they may win this thing in 7 though. We'll see, if things go according to plan in game 5 I might take okc series at +300 or so.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Seto
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-16-11
                                                                      • 12906

                                                                      #1679
                                                                      Spurs-4 -109 (pinnacle) (risking 5.45x to win 5x)
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Seto
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-16-11
                                                                        • 12906

                                                                        #1680
                                                                        Heat-1 -104 (pinnacle) (risking 1.56x to win 1.5x)
                                                                        Heat-7 +230 (bet365) (risking 0.5x to win 1.15x)

                                                                        Obviously there's a risk of Miami not caring but I'll take my chances.
                                                                        Comment
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