CK'S Back on the NBA Threads anthonydiamondLC Leans for Monday 2/9/09

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  • hockeytown11
    SBR MVP
    • 01-04-09
    • 1102

    #106
    i heard on pistons pregame on radio saturday night(i live in michigan) that tests revealed he needed surgery and was out for year,maybe they were wrong but they for sure said it.
    Comment
    • Dexter
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-24-08
      • 25829

      #107
      Originally posted by repski
      Dexter,
      We also have to watch these games..which I know you do...stats are great but the way the LAC won there last 2 games was pretty dominating and because of their previous poor play the lines should give us some value..I had the same idea to ride them...
      no real value though - they are going to have to pretty much win su. but like ive said before, now healthy - davis, thorton, camby and zack is a pretty nice starting unit.

      the kid novak off the bench is a sick 3 pt shooter.

      -early RLM here with 60% of the public on charl, yet the line has gone down from 2.5 to 1.5
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      • Dexter
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-24-08
        • 25829

        #108
        2/10/09-

        the cavs are 10-0 su/ats this year off a loss - i dont even need to look at anything. else. projected line -6.5

        -cavs (big)
        Last edited by Dexter; 02-09-09, 10:14 AM.
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        • texhooper
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-05-09
          • 10001

          #109
          i gotta take the rockets off my list. of course, this means they will blow out the bucks by 30, but i feel like i'm forcing it. clips, clips/bobs over, and 76ers for my trifecta of winners for today.
          Comment
          • peterpan19
            Restricted User
            • 11-02-08
            • 3377

            #110
            hey dex did you already lock in the clips game ? and how much do you go today for your big one (3 or 5x) ?
            thx

            first qtr bets to follow later, but dont know if I will have one,
            hou looks solid today, but than I dont know how good they will play, Over looks good as it is 4-2 in Mil
            with all the injuries to NO, and b2b for them too, slight lean towards mem, over is also 5-1 here

            Do you think phi will be favored today ? last time it happened was in 2004 and they covered

            edit. and yes Clev - whatever on tuesday, semi heavy for me

            edit: hou jsut dropped to -5.5 on the greek and clips down to +1
            Last edited by peterpan19; 02-09-09, 09:53 AM.
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            • Dexter
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 12-24-08
              • 25829

              #111
              Originally posted by peterpan19
              hey dex did you already locked in the clips game ? and how much do you go today for your big one 83 or 5x) ?
              thx

              Do you think phi will be favored today ? last time it happened was in 2004 and they covered

              edit. and yes Clev - whatever on tuesday, semi heavy for me

              edit: hou jsut dropped to -5.5 on the greek
              not yet - my guys dont open till evening on most mondays. i'm going to go 3x my normal size wager.

              yes, i think philly will be laying aprox 3.
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              • peterpan19
                Restricted User
                • 11-02-08
                • 3377

                #112
                Clippers line going down in a hurry, now its a pk and back to +1 right away and also hous down to -5.5, someone injured ?

                thx dex, well I also thought about something like -2 or -3 or maybe even pk

                edit:
                There are an increasing number of trade rumors involving Hornets center Tyson Chandler, including a Chandler-for-Shawn Marion deal with the Heat.

                One stumbling block is the Hornets lack of depth at center -- Hilton Armstrong, Melvin Ely and Sean Marks aren't exactly a fearsome trio. On the other hand, New Orleans has incentive because they may not be able to re-sign Chandler as a free agent in 2010. Also, his $11.8 million salary next season is inflating their projected luxury-tax. Stay tuned.

                if they do trade him today, Mem should be a play too

                edit. Phi opened at -3 at pinny just a sec ago, greek has it at -2.5
                mem -1.5 at pinny, -2 at the greek
                go figure
                Last edited by peterpan19; 02-09-09, 10:26 AM.
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                • Dexter
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-24-08
                  • 25829

                  #113
                  Originally posted by Dexter
                  2/10/09-

                  the cavs are 10-0 su/ats this year off a loss - i dont even need to look at anything. else. projected line -6.5

                  -cavs (big)
                  the lakers will be coming back to LA - first home game after a long/undefeated 6 game road trip. perfect spot for a letwdown after wins vs bos/cleav - the thunder are 32-19 ats this year, and have historically done very well ats in la (4-1 ats last 5).

                  -thunder

                  *the bulls will also be first home game after a long 7 game west coast trip - i dont trust the pistons - chi is playing good ball right now.
                  Last edited by Dexter; 02-09-09, 11:20 PM.
                  Comment
                  • peterpan19
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-02-08
                    • 3377

                    #114
                    dex will be interesting to see if the Thunder will get a DD spread

                    edit: normally i would include Det as a play for tuesday, bc chi comes home after a very long and very good road trip, but the way Det played as of late, ouch cant play them here

                    I also like Toronto on Tuesday, Al Jefferson maybe out ? plus add in that Tor owns Minn, they are 8-0 ATS overall and 4-1 ATS on the road against Minn,

                    Plus Denver, won the last 7 games overall SU and 2-1-1 ATS, and coming off that huge loss I expect Denver to maybe even catch some points here
                    Last edited by peterpan19; 02-09-09, 10:46 AM.
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                    • schaapattack
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-23-08
                      • 1007

                      #115
                      LAC @ CHAR INJURIES:

                      CHAR:
                      Gerald Wallace F Ribs Out Indefinitely is out indefinitely
                      Raja Bell G Groin Doubtful missed Sunday, doubtful Monday (2/9) vs the Los Angeles Clippers.
                      Juwan Howard F Toe Probable played Sunday, probable for Monday (2/9) vs the Los Angeles Clippers
                      Sean May F Knee Out Indefinitely is out indefinitely.

                      LAC:

                      Mardy Collins G strained left calf Out is expected to miss 1-2 weeks.
                      Mike Taylor G thumb Out Indefinitely is out indefinitely
                      Chris Kaman C Foot Out Indefinitely is out indefinitely
                      Comment
                      • Dexter
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-24-08
                        • 25829

                        #116
                        Originally posted by peterpan19
                        dex will be interesting to see if the Thunder will get a DD spread

                        edit: normally i would include Det as a play for tuesday, bc chi comes home after a very long and very good road trip, but the way Det played as of late, ouch cant play them here

                        I also like Toronto on Tuesday, Al Jefferson maybe out ? plus add in that Tor owns Minn, they are 8-0 ATS overall and 4-1 ATS on the road against Minn,
                        they will def get double digits - i'd say about 12.
                        Comment
                        • peterpan19
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-02-08
                          • 3377

                          #117
                          Tuesdays early leans:
                          Cle (big), Tor, Den and OKC (thx Dex)

                          edit: if SA less than -6 its a play, Was more than 6 and Chi less than -4 would be great too

                          also dex do you think the Phi line good drop to -2 ? or should I rather lock it in now ? dont know about it for sure, I mean Phi wins it by 4 at least, but you never know
                          Last edited by peterpan19; 02-09-09, 10:58 AM.
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                          • Dexter
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 12-24-08
                            • 25829

                            #118
                            tourney standings are up-

                            Comment
                            • repski
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-01-09
                              • 1929

                              #119
                              *the bulls will also be first home game after a long 7 game west coast trip - i dont trust the pistons - chi is playing good ball right now.[/quote]

                              me neither...the Pistons play with no heart and play down to level of competition...Iverson is a team killer
                              Comment
                              • shoebox
                                Restricted User
                                • 11-26-08
                                • 5710

                                #120
                                Originally posted by Dexter

                                Congrats to everyone above 54%, this is all you need to make good money long term. This is just a sample size but a great opportunity for all the first timers to take into consideration. I think my guy "alittlemoresound" has conceded so I will not post any more pic till the next round.

                                GL everyone I need some winners today!!!
                                Ill be in Oklahoma City next week so if there is anything to do besides bricktown let me know for anyone that resides there.

                                Comment
                                • JGILL50
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 10-31-08
                                  • 836

                                  #121
                                  Dex look at the early smart money on the bucks. I love this play. The rockets are in disarray tmac and artest are trading shots in the local media. Now we are involved in the amare talk. to many people wondering where they stand with the organization. i lean bucks to upset the inconsistant rockets
                                  Comment
                                  • repski
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-01-09
                                    • 1929

                                    #122
                                    NCAA....Pitt/WVU...locked in the over...thx to whomever posted those stats..
                                    Comment
                                    • lambogb
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-06-09
                                      • 278

                                      #123
                                      you are welcome
                                      Comment
                                      • cocknocker
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 11-06-08
                                        • 8001

                                        #124
                                        In light of the big Phoenix win yesterday, I am liking the Sixers to cover the light home chalk. Phoenix is an aging team and Terry Porter has shown that he is having a few adjustment problems. We all know that Shaq won't play in this game as he doesn't play back ends of back to backs. They've already got 95.6 to 103.2 defensive edge and that was before Phoenix is tired. I have the Sixers pegged as winning by 7.5 Outside of whatever play that I get from anthonydiamondsLC, that is a play that i am going to make. I will update my front page to reflect my play.
                                        Comment
                                        • hockeytown11
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 1102

                                          #125
                                          I love that play,I am going to play the SIXERS as well
                                          Comment
                                          • schaapattack
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-23-08
                                            • 1007

                                            #126
                                            To all on this thread:
                                            Dex and all on the thread i apologize for my few posts last night as i was in one of those start s hit moods and i over did it expressing my opinions. I value the insights of cappers in this thread and i use your info along with mine to win money and i have to remind myself thats the reason we are all here. Good luck with future wagers and i hope i can provide insight along with you.
                                            Comment
                                            • shoebox
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-26-08
                                              • 5710

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by schaapattack
                                              To all on this thread:
                                              Dex and all on the thread i apologize for my few posts last night as i was in one of those start s hit moods and i over did it expressing my opinions. I value the insights of cappers in this thread and i use your info along with mine to win money and i have to remind myself thats the reason we are all here. Good luck with future wagers and i hope i can provide insight along with you.

                                              Comment
                                              • lambogb
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 01-06-09
                                                • 278

                                                #128
                                                but dont thank me yet
                                                Comment
                                                • Dexter
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-24-08
                                                  • 25829

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by schaapattack
                                                  To all on this thread:
                                                  Dex and all on the thread i apologize for my few posts last night as i was in one of those start s hit moods and i over did it expressing my opinions. I value the insights of cappers in this thread and i use your info along with mine to win money and i have to remind myself thats the reason we are all here. Good luck with future wagers and i hope i can provide insight along with you.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Dexter
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-24-08
                                                    • 25829

                                                    #130
                                                    peter - philly line is up and its at -3.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • solobass
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-15-09
                                                      • 1277

                                                      #131
                                                      hey hey everyone, took yesterday off and actually enjoyed being a fan again watching some games. glad to see the positivity returning to the thread here. please for all you vegas pros can you tell me if there is wifi in the sportsbook portions of most vegas casino's? i am heading there in 2 weeks.

                                                      NBA
                                                      Clips +1 (i have this capped as a 4 pt clips win) and will get down on the ML as soon as it moves from -110 to something +.
                                                      Clips/Bobcats Under 195
                                                      Suns/Sixers Under 211.5

                                                      NCAA
                                                      Kansas +1

                                                      Heading toward the all star break I expect more "injuries", less concentration, worse shooting and a lot of value on unders in the coming days.

                                                      Best of luck tonight everyone!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • roasthawg
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-09-07
                                                        • 2990

                                                        #132
                                                        Phi -3
                                                        Mil +6
                                                        No +6

                                                        These are my picks for today...g/l all!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • hockeytown11
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-04-09
                                                          • 1102

                                                          #133
                                                          in college at my book solo Kansas is getting 4 not 1
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cocknocker
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 11-06-08
                                                            • 8001

                                                            #134
                                                            Hey roastie,

                                                            Long time no hear. Well we're back and we're ready to get it going again!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • roasthawg
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-09-07
                                                              • 2990

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                              Hey roastie,

                                                              Long time no hear. Well we're back and we're ready to get it going again!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • solobass
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-15-09
                                                                • 1277

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by hockeytown11
                                                                in college at my book solo Kansas is getting 4 not 1
                                                                yeah my bad.....it just went to 4.5 and i am loving that play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • schaapattack
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 12-23-08
                                                                  • 1007

                                                                  #137
                                                                  76ers 1st QTR @ -1.5


                                                                  76ers Last 5 1st QTR results @ Home:


                                                                  Suns Last 5 1st QTR results Away:

                                                                  It would be great if we could do a spreadsheet looking at team QTR's based on Home and Away records, it gives a better picture and we can pick up trends of strong Home or Road teams.
                                                                  Doesnt really answer the question with home and road points but wasnt sure if you had this link Karayilan9.

                                                                  NBA 2008-09 season player stats by quarter and overtime, including points, rebounds, assists, field goal percentage and more.



                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • peterpan19
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-02-08
                                                                    • 3377

                                                                    #138
                                                                    final plays for today: Lac +2, Phi -2, Lac over 195.5, Phx under 212, NO +1 1st qtr
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dexter
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 12-24-08
                                                                      • 25829

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by JGILL50
                                                                      Dex look at the early smart money on the bucks. I love this play. The rockets are in disarray tmac and artest are trading shots in the local media. Now we are involved in the amare talk. to many people wondering where they stand with the organization. i lean bucks to upset the inconsistant rockets
                                                                      yes, nice RLM on that game as well with 65% of the public on hou.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Karayilan9
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 01-10-09
                                                                        • 3742

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Schaapatack
                                                                        Doesnt really answer the question with home and road points but wasnt sure if you had this link Karayilan9.
                                                                        Thanks bro, I've been using that site its were I got the 76ers winning 58% of their 1st QTRs compared to Suns winning 52% of theirs.

                                                                        The problem with those stats as helpful as they are they don't show the home/away differences and sometimes these can be huge, if you don't analyse these stats on top of the ones given it leaves a hole in our game.

                                                                        When you analyse home/away 1st QTR records on top of overall records it starts becomming a real eye opener.

                                                                        76'ers have been very good at home 1st QTR's, their home advantage, good record and a tired Suns team which has a poor record at away 1st QTR's and we could be on to something here.

                                                                        Houston could be an example of this tonight, although they have the 4th best 1st QTR record, recently they have been very unpredictable and away their 1st QTR record over the last 5 away games has not been very good, you would have one only twice. However, at home they are great in the 1st.
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