John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

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  • akell09
    SBR Rookie
    • 12-18-12
    • 6

    #1261
    I've playing the 1-7-5 all season. I started with the filtered version then switched to the unfiltered after seeing Walco's past statistics. I just had my eleventh loss.

    New Orleans 3 times
    Orlando 2 times
    Utah
    New York
    Sacramento
    Miami
    LA Lakers
    Cleveland

    Well I see a pattern here. All but Miami have losing records. I found that if I had only played teams over .500, with the Miami loss, I would be up 115 units for the season. Something to think about.
    Comment
    • Boyne
      SBR Hustler
      • 07-15-12
      • 73

      #1262
      That appears to be good stuff, akell. It will be interesting to see what the people who work the stats make of it.
      Comment
      • kdavis
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-01-09
        • 365

        #1263
        Originally posted by akell09
        I've playing the 1-7-5 all season. I started with the filtered version










        then switched to the unfiltered after seeing Walco's past statistics. I just had my eleventh loss.

        New Orleans 3 times
        Orlando 2 times
        Utah
        New York
        Sacramento
        Miami
        LA Lakers
        Cleveland

        Well I see a pattern here. All but Miami have losing records. I found that if I had only played teams over .500, with the Miami loss, I would be up 115 units for the season. Something to think about.
        What I have been doing for awhile now is fading the teams that have a below .500 percentage rating. These teams definitely have a better chance of losing 1 of 3 road games ATS than winning one.
        Comment
        • 19th Hole
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-22-09
          • 18945

          #1264
          Originally posted by akell09
          I've playing the 1-7-5 all season.
          Well I see a pattern here. All but Miami have losing records. I found that if I had only played teams over .500, with the Miami loss, I would be up 115 units for the season. Something to think about.
          ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
          How many Units per wager?
          Comment
          • dlunc3
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-31-09
            • 9129

            #1265
            Originally posted by akell09
            I've playing the 1-7-5 all season. I started with the filtered version then switched to the unfiltered after seeing Walco's past statistics. I just had my eleventh loss.

            New Orleans 3 times
            Orlando 2 times
            Utah
            New York
            Sacramento
            Miami
            LA Lakers
            Cleveland

            Well I see a pattern here. All but Miami have losing records. I found that if I had only played teams over .500, with the Miami loss, I would be up 115 units for the season. Something to think about.
            Sounds good, but way to small of a sample size. Would be curious to see if the 10 yr back test agrees.. Would be a ton of work to find out though.
            Comment
            • blerpblerp
              SBR Hustler
              • 01-17-14
              • 88

              #1266
              I think its wise, regardless of what system or method you use, to always have a bank of toxic or poisonous teams.

              However, its easy to go overboard where you end up missing out on some WINS as poor teams improve or pull through.

              At this point in the season, of the teams mentioned above...I have Cle, Orl, and Utah in my list of toxic teams...will never bet for them, and most of the time I'm betting against them. It just doesn't make sense to poor $$ into a sh*t team expecting them to play well or even play hard.
              Comment
              • shevabets
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 07-16-13
                • 927

                #1267
                I'm on Minnesota to win by 21+
                Here's to this game not finishing with a 11-20 pt Minnesota advantage!
                Comment
                • Wallco99
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-01-11
                  • 7261

                  #1268
                  Wallco NBA Chase 110
                  2013-14 System to Date: 49-3 (fin. series)
                  System profit/loss: -8.65 units (fin. series)
                  Current open series: 0


                  v1 Plays
                  (A) 30-22
                  (B) 11-11

                  (C) 4-7
                  (D) 4-3
                  Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)



                  There are no system plays for (2/5/14)



                  We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                  System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

                  Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
                  Comment
                  • Kev the Brit
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-25-09
                    • 2027

                    #1269
                    Morrison 2/4 Results & 2/5 Plays

                    "
                    Last edited by Kev the Brit; 02-06-14, 03:04 AM. Reason: Presentational
                    Comment
                    • Andy3568
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-17-10
                      • 615

                      #1270
                      Wallco,

                      The Cleveland series was postponed because it conflicted with the Lakers (Series #51). Since the Lakers bet won on 2/4 and Cleveland has continued its losing streak, shouldn't Cleveland be an "A" bet tonight?
                      Comment
                      • Kev the Brit
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-25-09
                        • 2027

                        #1271
                        Originally posted by Andy3568
                        Wallco,

                        The Cleveland series was postponed because it conflicted with the Lakers (Series #51). Since the Lakers bet won on 2/4 and Cleveland has continued its losing streak, shouldn't Cleveland be an "A" bet tonight?
                        Wallco's away from home at the moment and he might find it difficult to answer questions during the day.

                        You are right, Andy. Cleveland should be an A Bet tonight. Also, given that they have already lost what would have been the A & B Bets, and that their next 4 games are against average teams ATS, I'm going to play to win 5 units on them.

                        Kev
                        Comment
                        • blerpblerp
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 01-17-14
                          • 88

                          #1272
                          Oh boy....clev is one of he most toxic teams in the league right now. Hard to wager any money on them....BOL
                          Comment
                          • Kev the Brit
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-25-09
                            • 2027

                            #1273
                            Originally posted by blerpblerp
                            Oh boy....clev is one of he most toxic teams in the league right now. Hard to wager any money on them....BOL
                            You're right about them, which is why the bookies will gradually increase the spread as more and more bettors pile onto the opposing teams' spread lines. At some point the spread will be too great for the favs to beat. We haven't seen any team in 3 years get to a 9 losing game streak ATS. Clev are currently at 6....
                            Comment
                            • play4win
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-23-11
                              • 2208

                              #1274
                              Originally posted by blerpblerp
                              Oh boy....clev is one of he most toxic teams in the league right now. Hard to wager any money on them....BOL
                              it's not like lakers don't stink too!
                              Comment
                              • Wallco99
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-01-11
                                • 7261

                                #1275
                                Originally posted by Andy3568
                                Wallco,

                                The Cleveland series was postponed because it conflicted with the Lakers (Series #51). Since the Lakers bet won on 2/4 and Cleveland has continued its losing streak, shouldn't Cleveland be an "A" bet tonight?
                                Yes, tha would be correct.
                                Comment
                                • Wallco99
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-01-11
                                  • 7261

                                  #1276
                                  Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                  2013-14 System to Date: 49-3 (fin. series)
                                  System profit/loss: -8.65 units (fin. series)
                                  Current open series: 0

                                  #35 Cleveland (M/L) (A) - Loss


                                  v1 Plays
                                  (A) 30-23
                                  (B) 11-11

                                  (C) 4-7
                                  (D) 4-3
                                  Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)



                                  There are no system plays for (2/6/14)




                                  We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                  System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

                                  Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
                                  Comment
                                  • Kev the Brit
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-25-09
                                    • 2027

                                    #1277
                                    Morrison 2/5 Results & 2/6 Plays

                                    "
                                    Comment
                                    • Wallco99
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-01-11
                                      • 7261

                                      #1278
                                      Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                      2013-14 System to Date: 49-3 (fin. series)
                                      System profit/loss: -8.65 units (fin. series)
                                      Current open series: 0

                                      #35 Cleveland (M/L) (A) - Loss


                                      v1 Plays
                                      (A) 30-23
                                      (B) 11-11

                                      (C) 4-7
                                      (D) 4-3
                                      Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)



                                      Games for (2/7/14):
                                      #53 Cleveland (+9) @ Washington (B) (7:05 pm EST)
                                      #54 Denver @ N.Y. Knicks (+1½) (A) (7:35 pm EST)



                                      We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                      System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

                                      Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
                                      Comment
                                      • Kev the Brit
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-25-09
                                        • 2027

                                        #1279
                                        Thanks for all the points, guys. We now need to get more B Bet winners in the remaining 60 series.
                                        Comment
                                        • Kev the Brit
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-25-09
                                          • 2027

                                          #1280
                                          Morrison 2/6 Results & 2/7 Plays

                                          "
                                          Comment
                                          • againstallodds21
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 11-01-13
                                            • 6

                                            #1281
                                            S what picks should we tail for 2/7
                                            Comment
                                            • Andy3568
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 01-17-10
                                              • 615

                                              #1282
                                              I think I'll sit out the Denver (JM #102) and New York (NBA Chase #54) bets and pick up with whichever one loses tonight.
                                              Comment
                                              • Kev the Brit
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-25-09
                                                • 2027

                                                #1283
                                                Originally posted by Andy3568
                                                I think I'll sit out the Denver (JM #102) and New York (NBA Chase #54) bets and pick up with whichever one loses tonight.
                                                There is a very slight chance that Denver +1.5 bet and NYK ML bet could both win. However, with such a small spread I think its most likely that only 1 bet will win, so you're probably doing the right thing.
                                                Comment
                                                • Andy3568
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-17-10
                                                  • 615

                                                  #1284
                                                  Actually, I did not know that they switched places; it was NYK +1.5 when Wallco posted his update. With NYK the favorite and thus being a ML bet, it is possible to win both. May have to think about that one.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Wallco99
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-01-11
                                                    • 7261

                                                    #1285
                                                    Originally posted by Andy3568
                                                    Actually, I did not know that they switched places; it was NYK +1.5 when Wallco posted his update. With NYK the favorite and thus being a ML bet, it is possible to win both. May have to think about that one.
                                                    I was playing it the way you were, skipping bet. But since NYK is now the favorite, I will probably be playing both, just in case of a 1 point game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Wallco99
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-01-11
                                                      • 7261

                                                      #1286
                                                      Nevermind, I am in Texas this week and forgot we were 1 hour behind. I missed both bets so I guess I will be skipping both after all.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Wallco99
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-01-11
                                                        • 7261

                                                        #1287
                                                        Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                        2013-14 System to Date: 51-3 (fin. series)
                                                        System profit/loss: -6.65 units (fin. series)
                                                        Current open series: 0

                                                        (2/7/14):
                                                        #53 Cleveland (+9) (B) - Win
                                                        #54 N.Y. Knicks (+1½) (A) - Win


                                                        v1 Plays
                                                        (A) 31-23
                                                        (B) 12-11

                                                        (C) 4-7
                                                        (D) 4-3
                                                        Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)



                                                        Games for (2/8/14):
                                                        #55 Miami @ Utah (**) (A) (9:05 pm EST)

                                                        ** Denotes line not available at time of post



                                                        We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                        System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

                                                        Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kev the Brit
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-25-09
                                                          • 2027

                                                          #1288
                                                          Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                          Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                          (2/7/14):
                                                          #53 Cleveland (+9) (B) - Win
                                                          Well done Cavs

                                                          That's a 5 unit bonus to me
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Kev the Brit
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-25-09
                                                            • 2027

                                                            #1289
                                                            Morrison 2/7 Results & 2/8 Plays

                                                            "
                                                            Last edited by Kev the Brit; 02-08-14, 01:25 PM. Reason: Change Upcoming Sacramento game to B Bet
                                                            Comment
                                                            • knugen
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-09-09
                                                              • 2612

                                                              #1290
                                                              +2 on Denver, iSnt that strange?
                                                              Expected Them to be pretty big favs? !
                                                              Last edited by knugen; 02-08-14, 07:58 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • imotiv8
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-28-09
                                                                • 892

                                                                #1291
                                                                Sac tomm would be B bets
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Kev the Brit
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 10-25-09
                                                                  • 2027

                                                                  #1292
                                                                  Originally posted by imotiv8
                                                                  Sac tomm would be B bets
                                                                  Yep, thanks, Imotiv. Post edited.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • alexknyc
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-22-11
                                                                    • 861

                                                                    #1293
                                                                    Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                                    Well done Cavs

                                                                    That's a 5 unit bonus to me
                                                                    I tailed you on the 5 units. Glad I did.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Wallco99
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-01-11
                                                                      • 7261

                                                                      #1294
                                                                      Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                                      2013-14 System to Date: 52-3 (fin. series)
                                                                      System profit/loss: -5.65 units (fin. series)
                                                                      Current open series: 0

                                                                      (2/8/14):
                                                                      #55 Utah (+9½) (A) - Win


                                                                      v1 Plays
                                                                      (A) 31-23
                                                                      (B) 12-11

                                                                      (C) 4-7
                                                                      (D) 4-3
                                                                      Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)



                                                                      There are no system plays for (2/9/14)


                                                                      We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                                      System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Kev the Brit
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-25-09
                                                                        • 2027

                                                                        #1295
                                                                        Morrison 2/8 Results & 2/9 Plays

                                                                        "
                                                                        Comment
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