John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

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  • Wallco99
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-01-11
    • 7261

    #1156
    Wallco NBA Chase 110
    2013-14 System to Date: 39-3 (fin. series)
    System profit/loss: -18.65 units (fin. series)
    Current open series: 0

    (1/15/14):
    #38 Milwaukee (+6) (D) - Win
    #40 Orlando (+6) (B) - Win
    #42 Philadelphia (M/L) (A) - Win


    v1 Plays
    (A) 25-17
    (B) 8-9

    (C) 2-7
    (D) 4-3
    Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)



    There are no system plays for (1/16/14)



    We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
    System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.
    Comment
    • Kev the Brit
      SBR MVP
      • 10-25-09
      • 2027

      #1157
      Morrison 1/15 Results & 1/16 Plays

      "
      Last edited by Kev the Brit; 01-16-14, 04:28 AM. Reason: Presentational
      Comment
      • Kev the Brit
        SBR MVP
        • 10-25-09
        • 2027

        #1158
        Early play today !!
        Morrison systems: Early play today folks - 3.05pm EST
        Last edited by Kev the Brit; 01-16-14, 04:25 AM.
        Comment
        • analyzer
          SBR MVP
          • 02-03-11
          • 2049

          #1159
          Thanks Kev for the reminder on the early plays.
          Comment
          • PanamaKid
            SBR Hustler
            • 12-29-10
            • 95

            #1160
            I stayed away from the Miami bet as Wizards have been outperforming ATS and Miami has been way underperforming ATS and Miami at -6 seemed like BS to me. Soooooooo happy I did. I made all the other bets and finally got a great cash in!
            Comment
            • nistor22
              SBR High Roller
              • 01-16-14
              • 111

              #1161
              I'm glad to be here with you, guys! Good luck!
              Comment
              • Andy3568
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-17-10
                • 615

                #1162
                Crap... lost Miami and pushed Milwaukee. Debating making a "D" bet on next Milwaukee bet.
                Comment
                • thelimit0310
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-24-11
                  • 1233

                  #1163
                  Thanks for the reminder Kev
                  Comment
                  • Kev the Brit
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-25-09
                    • 2027

                    #1164
                    Originally posted by PanamaKid
                    I stayed away from the Miami bet as Wizards have been outperforming ATS and Miami has been way underperforming ATS and Miami at -6 seemed like BS to me. Soooooooo happy I did. I made all the other bets and finally got a great cash in!
                    Like yourself, I occasionally don't play the system. Most times its because I missed the bet. Very rarely will I choose not to. I don't think I know enough about the NBA to handicap games.

                    So, on those occasions when I don't play the system, I win some and I lose some. On those occasions I read many posts here that are telling us exactly the opposite of my good or bad fortune. If I lost out on a big 7 unit or 5 unit win, unlike the majority of the crowd here, I view that as my personal issue to deal with in my own private space. I know I would not feel any better by discussing my bad fortune here. On the other hand, when I either escape a major loss or I win something that the majority here has not won, I again view that as my personal issue to deal with, because I know I will not feel any better by discussing my good fortune here. In fact, I think I would feel less good about myself and I very much doubt that someone who might have lost thousands of dollars would be at all interested in my good fortune.
                    Comment
                    • Kev the Brit
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-25-09
                      • 2027

                      #1165
                      Apparently this game is in London. I didn't know that. I guess that's why its early for you guys. Anyway, we're about to win 7 units...
                      Comment
                      • PanamaKid
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 12-29-10
                        • 95

                        #1166
                        Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                        Like yourself, I occasionally don't play the system. Most times its because I missed the bet. Very rarely will I choose not to. I don't think I know enough about the NBA to handicap games.

                        So, on those occasions when I don't play the system, I win some and I lose some. On those occasions I read many posts here that are telling us exactly the opposite of my good or bad fortune. If I lost out on a big 7 unit or 5 unit win, unlike the majority of the crowd here, I view that as my personal issue to deal with in my own private space. I know I would not feel any better by discussing my bad fortune here. On the other hand, when I either escape a major loss or I win something that the majority here has not won, I again view that as my personal issue to deal with, because I know I will not feel any better by discussing my good fortune here. In fact, I think I would feel less good about myself and I very much doubt that someone who might have lost thousands of dollars would be at all interested in my good fortune.
                        Understandable perspective. My reasoning was just to provide some logic behind my actions, but don't worry, I can take the hint
                        Comment
                        • Kev the Brit
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-25-09
                          • 2027

                          #1167
                          Originally posted by PanamaKid
                          Understandable perspective. My reasoning was just to provide some logic behind my actions, but don't worry, I can take the hint
                          No worries. Hopefully, you stayed with the system today
                          Comment
                          • Kev the Brit
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-25-09
                            • 2027

                            #1168
                            New Morrison Published System Rules

                            A new pdf has been issued. Unfortunately, despite many attempts, I cannot attach it. The significant changes are as follows:

                            Season Start/End Points. At the beginning of the season do not play a team until it has played 3 games. Stop at the end of the regular season. My obvious recommendation is to check that there are 3 regular road games scheduled before starting the series.

                            Road Standings. Worst 3 road teams are now filtered out. The best team is also filtered out (but this is not new). See my comment below.

                            Most Efficient Player Injury. A player's injury filter is now valid only for the first 5 games during the injury. The next player on the list becomes the most efficient player when the filter is lifted while the original player remains injured.

                            Previous In-Conference Road Game Performance. The team must lose all games SU.

                            Options when Team is -3 ATS or Better. 4 options: play ML, or buy the points but stop if the ML bet won. Reduce size of bet. Pass on the bet.

                            I strongly suspect that there is an element of "record-rigging" going on here. However, I do not mind this if he does not change the current season's record up to the change. I've checked the records and there is no doubt that Orlando would have been filtered out as the 2nd worst road team when they started their last (losing) series on 1/6. Also, I wouldn't object if he now publishes an improved "historical" record with the changes incorporated, as long as the record indicates that retrospective changes have been made. However he markets this changed system to new people is not my business.

                            I will not be changing the Published System's record in retrospect this season. I will publish a comparison at the end of the season, not forgetting that some of the winners might have been filtered out.

                            Regards
                            Kev
                            Comment
                            • Wallco99
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-01-11
                              • 7261

                              #1169
                              Wallco NBA Chase 110
                              2013-14 System to Date: 39-3 (fin. series)
                              System profit/loss: -18.65 units (fin. series)
                              Current open series: 0


                              v1 Plays
                              (A) 25-17
                              (B) 8-9

                              (C) 2-7
                              (D) 4-3
                              Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)



                              Games for (1/17/14):
                              #43 Miami (M/L) @ Philadelphia (A) (7:05 pm EST)



                              We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                              System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

                              Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
                              Comment
                              • Kev the Brit
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-25-09
                                • 2027

                                #1170
                                Morrison V1 Recovery Plan - Orlando

                                Hi Folks,

                                My earlier Post #889 (linked) describes the principles behind my recovery plan. Indeed, that very post also outlined the strategy to recover the 22.17 units lost by Sacramento in Dec, which was successful. However, due to various filters, the 6 recovery series spanned nine V1 scheduled series and it came very close to incorporating the disastrous Orlando series. However, the latest change to the Published System would have filtered Orlando out, so I'm now even more confident that future recovery plans will be more robust.

                                Kev's Orlando Recovery Plan. Subject to the (new) published filters, my plan is to recover Orlando's lost 23.17 units (22.17 units lost, plus 1 original unit target), while simultaneously winning 1 unit per series as normal. The plays are as follows:

                                #1: 1/17: #78. V1. L.A. Clippers bet to win 4.87 units (today)
                                #2: 1/20: #83. V1. Dallas bet to win 4.87 units
                                #3: 1/20: #84. V1. Indiana bet to win 4.87 units
                                #4: 1/24: #87. V1. Washington bet to win 4.87 units
                                #5: 1/26. #89. V1. Phoenix bet to win 4.87 units
                                #6: 1/29. #92. V1. Charlotte bet to win 4.82 units

                                There will be some overlapping recovery series together with the other scheduled V2 & V3 series, so the BR has to be sufficient to accommodate some big bets.

                                The teams do not have any potential filters (road performance and in-conference games). Player injuries will be checked when required.

                                The recovery should be complete by 2/1.

                                Regards
                                Kev
                                Comment
                                • Kev the Brit
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-25-09
                                  • 2027

                                  #1171
                                  Morrison 1/16 Results & 1/17 Plays

                                  "
                                  Last edited by Kev the Brit; 01-17-14, 11:17 AM. Reason: Presentational
                                  Comment
                                  • imotiv8
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-28-09
                                    • 892

                                    #1172
                                    Philly doesn't start today
                                    Comment
                                    • Kev the Brit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-25-09
                                      • 2027

                                      #1173
                                      Originally posted by imotiv8
                                      Philly doesn't start today
                                      I think you're correct (Chase 110). Its Philly's opponents, Miami, who are in the frame tonight, having just lost 3 SU and ATS.
                                      Comment
                                      • imotiv8
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-28-09
                                        • 892

                                        #1174
                                        Also, Chris Paul is out. I think he might be the Clippers (MEP)
                                        Comment
                                        • million2one
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-19-09
                                          • 1290

                                          #1175
                                          Yes, but he has been out for a while (more then 5 games), so I am going full speed ahead.
                                          Comment
                                          • imotiv8
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-28-09
                                            • 892

                                            #1176
                                            Originally posted by million2one
                                            Yes, but he has been out for a while (more then 5 games), so I am going full speed ahead.
                                            I prob am too but its important to find out if this is actually an official game for those players that play it that way
                                            Comment
                                            • million2one
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-19-09
                                              • 1290

                                              #1177
                                              True,
                                              thanks for throwing the information out there, as I am sure some were not aware of this.
                                              Comment
                                              • Kev the Brit
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 10-25-09
                                                • 2027

                                                #1178
                                                Originally posted by imotiv8
                                                I prob am too but its important to find out if this is actually an official game for those players that play it that way
                                                Although I haven't received an e-mail from Morrison, the Clippers game is official. I researched this situation for an hour this morning. Chris Paul was injured during the 3rd quarter against Dallas on 1/3. The Clippers have since played 5 games without him. Tonight is the 6th game. That makes it official according to the latest pdf, which I cannot upload. Please trust me on this.

                                                Regards
                                                Kev
                                                Comment
                                                • Kev the Brit
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-25-09
                                                  • 2027

                                                  #1179
                                                  Morrison E-mail now received. Not that we needed it anyway.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bgilic
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 10-28-13
                                                    • 96

                                                    #1180
                                                    Good thing we went with it
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Wallco99
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-01-11
                                                      • 7261

                                                      #1181
                                                      Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                      2013-14 System to Date: 40-3 (fin. series)
                                                      System profit/loss: -17.65 units (fin. series)
                                                      Current open series: 0

                                                      (1/17/14):
                                                      #43 Miami (M/L) (A) - Win


                                                      v1 Plays
                                                      (A) 26-17
                                                      (B) 8-9

                                                      (C) 2-7
                                                      (D) 4-3
                                                      Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)



                                                      Games for (1/18/14):
                                                      #44 Utah @ Minnesota (M/L) (A) (8:05 pm EST)



                                                      We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                      System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

                                                      Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Kev the Brit
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-25-09
                                                        • 2027

                                                        #1182
                                                        Morrison 1/17 Results & 1/18 Plays

                                                        "
                                                        Last edited by Kev the Brit; 01-19-14, 05:47 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Andy3568
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 01-17-10
                                                          • 615

                                                          #1183
                                                          Thanks for posting the changes in the new PDF, Kevin. For some reason, I did not get an update.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PanamaKid
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 12-29-10
                                                            • 95

                                                            #1184
                                                            Is Philly filtered out from being a play today?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Kev the Brit
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-25-09
                                                              • 2027

                                                              #1185
                                                              Originally posted by PanamaKid
                                                              Is Philly filtered out from being a play today?
                                                              Which system? They are a play in all Morrison systems. There are no filters that I know of.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PanamaKid
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 12-29-10
                                                                • 95

                                                                #1186
                                                                Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                                Which system? They are a play in all Morrison systems. There are no filters that I know of.
                                                                Got it. Wasnt sure about their road record. Thanks!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • blerpblerp
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 01-17-14
                                                                  • 88

                                                                  #1187
                                                                  They should be filtered out by default....they are a poisonous team, much like the Texans, Redskins, and Jags of this past NFL season.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Wallco99
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-01-11
                                                                    • 7261

                                                                    #1188
                                                                    Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                                    2013-14 System to Date: 41-3 (fin. series)
                                                                    System profit/loss: -16.65 units (fin. series)
                                                                    Current open series: 0

                                                                    (1/18/14):
                                                                    #44 Minnesota (M/L) (A) - Win


                                                                    v1 Plays
                                                                    (A) 27-17
                                                                    (B) 8-9

                                                                    (C) 2-7
                                                                    (D) 4-3
                                                                    Losses: NYK (-18.45 u), MIL (-20.76 u), ORL (-18.45 u)



                                                                    There are no system plays for (1/19/14)



                                                                    We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                                    System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Kev the Brit
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 10-25-09
                                                                      • 2027

                                                                      #1189
                                                                      Morrison 1/18 Results & 1/19 Plays

                                                                      "
                                                                      Last edited by Kev the Brit; 01-19-14, 05:51 AM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Kev the Brit
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-25-09
                                                                        • 2027

                                                                        #1190
                                                                        Morrison Results & Profit/Loss Statement For the Season so Far: 11/1 - 1/18

                                                                        "
                                                                        Comment
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