John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

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  • Wallco99
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-01-11
    • 7261

    #526
    Originally posted by kdavis
    Kevin, I believe Wallco is correct in his post. Other than that, excellent job. Much appreciated.
    Yes, I appreciate it too. I realize it was probably hectic for him to get everything caught up at once, probably just an oversight. But from the looks of his very detailed posts, I was sure that he wanted it accurate. Great job Kev.
    Comment
    • miss_sbets
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-07-13
      • 223

      #527
      Originally posted by Wallco99
      I'm giving Memphis a go on (B) bet tonight.
      Cha-Ching!

      Comment
      • Wallco99
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-01-11
        • 7261

        #528
        Wallco NBA Chase 110
        2013-14 System to Date: 5-0 (fin. series)
        System profit/loss: +5.00 units (fin.series)
        Current open series: 0

        v1 Plays
        (A) 3-2
        (B) 1-1

        (C) 0-1
        (D) 1-0
        Losses: None


        There are no system plays for (11/18/13)



        We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite onScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
        System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.
        Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-13-14, 02:50 PM.
        Comment
        • Wallco99
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-01-11
          • 7261

          #529
          Kevin, I steered you a little wrong in that correction yesterday. The B bet change that you made was correct, however, there were still only 5 A bet losses not 6 as I said. The Memphis A bet was actually a Push ATS, so even though the series would not have continued to B because of the filter, we would actually not have had a -1.10 unit loss for that one, we would have broken even. Sorry that I missed that the first time.
          Comment
          • FreddoIB
            SBR Rookie
            • 11-18-13
            • 4

            #530
            Wallco are you going with Philly tonight JM. 1/7/5 unfiltered system C bet
            Comment
            • Kev the Brit
              SBR MVP
              • 10-25-09
              • 2027

              #531
              11/17 Results, 11/18 Plays & Season Review

              "
              Last edited by Kev the Brit; 11-19-13, 07:12 AM. Reason: Correction of arithmetical eror due to pushed bet
              Comment
              • Wallco99
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-01-11
                • 7261

                #532
                Originally posted by FreddoIB
                Wallco are you going with Philly tonight JM. 1/7/5 unfiltered system C bet
                As much as I hate it, yes. I think I lose this one, but will give it a go anyway.
                Comment
                • Kev the Brit
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-25-09
                  • 2027

                  #533
                  Originally posted by Wallco99
                  Kevin, I steered you a little wrong in that correction yesterday. The B bet change that you made was correct, however, there were still only 5 A bet losses not 6 as I said. The Memphis A bet was actually a Push ATS, so even though the series would not have continued to B because of the filter, we would actually not have had a -1.10 unit loss for that one, we would have broken even. Sorry that I missed that the first time.
                  Yes, thanks for that. Its been dealt with.
                  Comment
                  • FreddoIB
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 11-18-13
                    • 4

                    #534
                    I am with you. Good luck to both of us
                    Comment
                    • ganj3
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 10-29-13
                      • 5

                      #535
                      Philly came through for those who played them today
                      Comment
                      • Wallco99
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-01-11
                        • 7261

                        #536
                        Wallco NBA Chase 110
                        2013-14 System to Date: 5-0 (fin. series)
                        System profit/loss: +5.00 units (fin. series)
                        Current open series: 0

                        v1 Plays
                        (A) 3-2
                        (B) 1-1

                        (C) 0-1
                        (D) 1-0
                        Losses: None


                        Games for (11/19/13):
                        #6 Boston (+11) @ Houston (A) (8:05 pm EST)
                        #7 Minnesota @ Washington (+3) (A) (7:05 pm EST)


                        We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                        System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

                        Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
                        Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-13-14, 02:50 PM.
                        Comment
                        • Kev the Brit
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-25-09
                          • 2027

                          #537
                          11/18 Results & 11/19 Plays

                          11/18 Results
                          Legend: Series win Bet lost Series lost

                          Currently Published Morrison System
                          There were no plays on 11/18

                          Morrison 1-7-5 System
                          There were no plays on 11/18

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          11/19 Plays

                          Currently Published Morrison System
                          (3 point buy all bets)
                          #19. V1. BOS: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount (Note. Rondo out, but he's not the best player)

                          Morrison 1-7-5 System
                          (ATS all bets)
                          #19. BOS: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount (ie bet to win 8.1 units)

                          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          Upcoming Plays (11/20)

                          Currently Published Morrison System:
                          #19. Possible V1 BOS: C Bet
                          #20. V3 IND: B Bet
                          #21. V3 UTA: NO PLAY (worst road team: record: 0-6)
                          #22. V3 SAC: A Bet

                          Morrison 1-7-5 System:
                          #19. Possible BOS: C Bet
                          #20. IND: B Bet
                          #21. UTA: A Bet
                          #22. SAC A Bet


                          Results to Date (11/1 - 11/18)
                          Please refer to Post #532
                          Last edited by Kev the Brit; 11-19-13, 09:42 AM. Reason: presentational corrections
                          Comment
                          • Wallco99
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-01-11
                            • 7261

                            #538
                            Nice layout.
                            Comment
                            • Kev the Brit
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-25-09
                              • 2027

                              #539
                              Originally posted by Wallco99
                              Nice layout.
                              Thanks.
                              Comment
                              • dlinx90
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 11-16-13
                                • 20

                                #540
                                If I want to start using this system, can I jump in on a B bet or should I wait for the next A?
                                Comment
                                • TwoCats
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 07-14-12
                                  • 227

                                  #541
                                  Originally posted by dlinx90
                                  If I want to start using this system, can I jump in on a B bet or should I wait for the next A?
                                  Jump in on the B bet. Just remember that in your case (and mine as well as I did not do the A bet), that it will only be a 2 bet series for you.

                                  Just remember bankroll mamangement at all times - regardless of the number of units that the system says to bet.
                                  Comment
                                  • Kev the Brit
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-25-09
                                    • 2027

                                    #542
                                    Originally posted by TwoCats
                                    Just remember bankroll mamangement at all times - regardless of the number of units that the system says to bet.
                                    This is a very important point. History has shown that the target unit to win should be approx 1% of the sum of money allocated exclusively to fund the system.

                                    Good luck
                                    Regards
                                    Kev
                                    Comment
                                    • Kev the Brit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-25-09
                                      • 2027

                                      #543
                                      11/19 Results & 11/20 Plays

                                      11/19 Results
                                      Legend: Series win Bet lost Series lost

                                      Currently Published Morrison System
                                      #19. V1. BOS: B Bet lost

                                      Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                      #19. BOS: B Bet lost
                                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                      11/20 Plays
                                      (All times EST)

                                      Currently Published Morrison System
                                      (3 point buy all bets)
                                      #19. V1. 8.35 pm BOS: C Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A & B Bet amounts. (Note. Rondo out, but he's not the best player)
                                      #20. V3. 7.05 pm IND: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount
                                      #21. V3. UTA: NO PLAY (worst road team: record: 0-6)
                                      #22. V3. 9.05 pm SAC: A Bet to win 1 unit

                                      Morrison 1-7-5 System
                                      (ATS all bets)
                                      #19. 8.35 pm BOS: C Bet to win 5 units plus lost A & B Bet amounts (ie bet to win 15.01 units)
                                      #20. 7.05 pm IND: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount (ie bet to win 8.1 units)
                                      #21. 8.05 pm UTA: A Bet to win 1 unit. Note. worst road team
                                      #22. 9.05 pm SAC A Bet to win 1 unit

                                      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                      Upcoming Plays (11/21)

                                      Currently Published Morrison System:
                                      #23. V1. CHI: A Bet

                                      Morrison 1-7-5 System:
                                      #23. CHI: A Bet


                                      Results to Date (11/1 - 11/19)
                                      Completed Series
                                      Please refer to Post #532
                                      Last edited by Kev the Brit; 11-20-13, 05:53 PM. Reason: Inserted game times
                                      Comment
                                      • kdavis
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-01-09
                                        • 365

                                        #544
                                        You know what guy's. I think I am going to buck the system this time and just go ahead and fade Utah for this series. I really don't think they can take three on the road. Opinions welcome.
                                        Comment
                                        • BCC585
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 04-27-11
                                          • 603

                                          #545
                                          Originally posted by kdavis
                                          You know what guy's. I think I am going to buck the system this time and just go ahead and fade Utah for this series. I really don't think they can take three on the road. Opinions welcome.
                                          Their schedule ahead of them will be challenging so prolly not a bad idea. Ill probably do the same but just depends on the spreads.
                                          Comment
                                          • Kev the Brit
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-25-09
                                            • 2027

                                            #546
                                            Originally posted by kdavis
                                            You know what guy's. I think I am going to buck the system this time and just go ahead and fade Utah for this series. I really don't think they can take three on the road. Opinions welcome.
                                            good idea
                                            Comment
                                            • hagball52
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-22-10
                                              • 3053

                                              #547
                                              Morrison's email says Boston clears all the filters (until they lose)

                                              James,

                                              Boston couldn't get it done last night, but they should have
                                              a great shot to close out the series! The [C] bet looks to
                                              be a good one, as the series should pass all the filters of
                                              the system based on what I'm seeing here. What this means is
                                              that this looks to be a strong bet to make. Historically, the
                                              [C] bets are very solid wagers. Now, that doesn't mean that
                                              the [C] bets are infallible. It can certainly lose, just like
                                              any wager you may ever make. But the [C] bet for Boston today
                                              looks like a smart wager to make for the sharp bettor .

                                              I'm confident that we can close out the series today. Here's
                                              today's system bet:

                                              Boston [C] bet

                                              By the way, I may be away for November 21. If for any reason
                                              I can't get to the computer on time, I just want to give you
                                              a heads up that there's an [A] bet on Chicago on 11/21!

                                              Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
                                              - Remember to purchase 3 points for the team you're betting on.
                                              - If your team is still a favorite after buying 3 points, then
                                              you can either bet on the money line, or bet on the point spread
                                              with the 3 points as normal, but do not continue betting on the
                                              series if your team wins the game but the bet does not win
                                              - Also consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters.
                                              Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out.

                                              As long as your team is able to cover the point spread, you'll
                                              win your wager, regardless if they had won or lost the game.

                                              Good luck!
                                              The Sports Betting Champ

                                              PO Box 30175
                                              Worcester, MA 01603
                                              Usa
                                              Comment
                                              • Wallco99
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-01-11
                                                • 7261

                                                #548
                                                Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                2013-14 System to Date: 6-0 (fin. series)
                                                System profit/loss: +6.00 units (fin. series)
                                                Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

                                                (11/19/13):
                                                #6 Boston (+10½) (A) - Loss
                                                #7 Washington (+3½) (A) - Win


                                                v1 Plays
                                                (A) 4-3
                                                (B) 1-1

                                                (C) 0-1
                                                (D) 1-0
                                                Losses: None


                                                Games for (11/20/13):
                                                #6 Boston (+14½) @ San Antonio (B) (8:35 pm EST)
                                                #8 Indiana @ N.Y. Knicks (+6) (A) (7:05 pm EST)


                                                We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

                                                Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
                                                Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-13-14, 02:50 PM.
                                                Comment
                                                • thelimit0310
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-24-11
                                                  • 1233

                                                  #549
                                                  I'm playing Utah for a lower amount than normal because I just don't trust them as a team, especially not this season. Last season they were our first loss and had another loss later in the month. Well guess what this season they were the first loss and here is a series later in the month. I'm not superstitious, but I just don't care for this team enough to put good money on them.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kdavis
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 02-01-09
                                                    • 365

                                                    #550
                                                    Originally posted by thelimit0310
                                                    I'm playing Utah for a lower amount than normal because I just don't trust them as a team, especially not this season. Last season they were our first loss and had another loss later in the month. Well guess what this season they were the first loss and here is a series later in the month. I'm not superstitious, but I just don't care for this team enough to put good money on them.
                                                    That's why I'm just going to go ahead and fade them for this series. I like my chances a lot better that way.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • kdavis
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 02-01-09
                                                      • 365

                                                      #551
                                                      Originally posted by kdavis
                                                      That's why I'm just going to go ahead and fade them for this series. I like my chances a lot better that way.
                                                      Sorry about the BOLD print. Didn't mean to scream it.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Boyne
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 07-15-12
                                                        • 73

                                                        #552
                                                        The thing is tho', guys, that the books know this as well as (better than?) we do. It's their absolute livelihood depending on it. So, is it possible that at some point they artificially increase the spread just to encourage people to have a punt?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kev the Brit
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 10-25-09
                                                          • 2027

                                                          #553
                                                          Originally posted by Boyne
                                                          The thing is tho', guys, that the books know this as well as (better than?) we do. It's their absolute livelihood depending on it. So, is it possible that at some point they artificially increase the spread just to encourage people to have a punt?
                                                          I doubt it. If they increase the spread they will deter the supporters of the opposite bet and risk an unbalanced book. In all cases, the bookies will try to set a spread that attracts equal amounts of money on both sides (balanced book), thus giving them a small profit regardless of the result of the game.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • play4win
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-23-11
                                                            • 2208

                                                            #554
                                                            Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                            Wallco NBA Chase 110

                                                            All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/.

                                                            what if the final line is after the start time?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Wallco99
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-01-11
                                                              • 7261

                                                              #555
                                                              Originally posted by play4win
                                                              what if the final line is after the start time?
                                                              Yes.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • adidas-b 88
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 06-26-11
                                                                • 151

                                                                #556
                                                                For those of you who are thinking to fade the Utah series (I am to) here's some stats on both teams covering the spread and M/L the past couple games.

                                                                Click image for larger version

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                                                                Click image for larger version

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                                                                Comment
                                                                • SkivChef
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-19-09
                                                                  • 730

                                                                  #557
                                                                  [QUOTE=adidas-b 88;20317492]For those of you who are thinking to fade the Utah series (I am to) here's some stats on both teams covering the spread and M/L the past couple games.

                                                                  Click image for larger version

Name:	utah & no spread stats.jpg
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                                                                  Click image for larger version

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ID:	29122334[/QUOTE


                                                                  cant seem to read it....blurry
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • adidas-b 88
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 06-26-11
                                                                    • 151

                                                                    #558
                                                                    don't bother looking at the attachments, the resolution is horrible. On my computer the attachments are perfectly visible, I guess sbr has a limit to the resolution size of images uploaded.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • adidas-b 88
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 06-26-11
                                                                      • 151

                                                                      #559
                                                                      Link Not Working - Removed-)
                                                                      Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-13-14, 02:50 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • adidas-b 88
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 06-26-11
                                                                        • 151

                                                                        #560
                                                                        Nvm that's blurry to.
                                                                        Comment
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