Spurs +2.5 in Game 3

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Spurs +2.5 in Game 3
    San Antonio looked awful in Game 2 and the Warriors looked great. Most of that was due to stellar shooting by GSW and poor shooting by the Spurs and something tells me the opposite will happen Friday night.

    I think the Warriors are the better team and would not be surprised to see them win both home games to take a commanding lead but I think the Spurs will play one efficient game in the next two to head back home tied.

    No play yet for me here. There will likely be a public overreaction to how good/bad the warriors/spurs have looked respectively.
  • EASports
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-13-13
    • 559

    #2
    GSW is 8-0 ATS during the playoffs. Aint broke, dont fix it.
    Comment
    • t-wizzle
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-18-09
      • 38099

      #3
      So they're gonna cover every single game. Man that is some sound logic right there.
      Comment
      • Snowball
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 11-15-09
        • 30058

        #4
        Spurs ML for me.

        ML-SAN ANTONIO 0 (125)
        Comment
        • strybie
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-08-08
          • 588

          #5
          GSW ML game 3 and game 4
          Comment
          • BigDofBA
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-30-09
            • 19313

            #6
            The Spurs will split these next two games.

            If the Warriors were the play, they would be -3.5 or more.
            Comment
            • Sport_Fish
              SBR MVP
              • 12-06-10
              • 4079

              #7
              I'm fairly confident Warriors win both of the next two games. If they can shoot that well and play at tht level on the road, they can sure do it at home.

              And with the crowd behind them and the lesson learned from game 1, they shouldn't have choking issues again. Also gonna be hard for Spurs to make a comeback on the road if they fall behind like they did in the first 2 games.
              Comment
              • Seto
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-16-11
                • 12906

                #8
                Originally posted by BigDofBA
                The Spurs will split these next two games.

                If the Warriors were the play, they would be -3.5 or more.
                Disagree here. They were 7.5 point dogs on the road. You don't see 11-point swings because of homecourt.

                In a similar situation, Warriors were 8.5 dogs in Denver but then were DOGS in game 3, and won. They were dogs again in game 4, and won.

                If anything, with the series tied 1-1 I expected this to be closer to pk. Seems more of a Warriors line than a Spurs line to me.
                Comment
                • t-wizzle
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-18-09
                  • 38099

                  #9
                  Originally posted by BigDofBA
                  The Spurs will split these next two games.

                  If the Warriors were the play, they would be -3.5 or more.
                  In which world would this have been the line?
                  Comment
                  • illuminati1
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 04-11-13
                    • 43

                    #10
                    GSW, Splash brothers All the way Nuff said!!!
                    Comment
                    • KuLaPhU
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-21-10
                      • 725

                      #11
                      It would be spurs vs. 19,000-20,000+ fans in oracle tomorrow. we all know our team can beat spurs. the question is can spurs silence the crowd??? it ain't happening.
                      Comment
                      • Colin Kaepernick
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 03-06-13
                        • 382

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                        The Spurs will split these next two games.

                        If the Warriors were the play, they would be -3.5 or more.
                        Comment
                        • zilchy
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-31-12
                          • 695

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Snowball
                          Spurs ML for me.

                          ML-SAN ANTONIO 0 (125)
                          I second that. I'll probably double up on game 4 if they lose this one. I still think this will be Spurs in 6.
                          Comment
                          • celtics3388
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-31-10
                            • 1916

                            #14
                            Originally posted by BigDofBA
                            The Spurs will split these next two games.

                            If the Warriors were the play, they would be -3.5 or more.
                            Why is this, is 3.5 a key number for you? Books have already adjusted 10 points from last game's closer and that can't all be because of home court.
                            Comment
                            • celtics3388
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-31-10
                              • 1916

                              #15
                              Originally posted by t-wizzle
                              San Antonio looked awful in Game 2 and the Warriors looked great. Most of that was due to stellar shooting by GSW and poor shooting by the Spurs and something tells me the opposite will happen Friday night.

                              I think the Warriors are the better team and would not be surprised to see them win both home games to take a commanding lead but I think the Spurs will play one efficient game in the next two to head back home tied.

                              No play yet for me here. There will likely be a public overreaction to how good/bad the warriors/spurs have looked respectively.
                              T-wizz, where do you see the shooting reversal happening? Kawhi will probably knock down a few of those corner 3's he missed and Green/Neal/Bonner might shoot slightly better but to me Ginobili doesn't look like himself and I wouldn't expect him to play much better. Obviously Thompson won't shoot lights out again but Barnes was 0-5 on 3's last game and Curry only shot 7-20. Also, role players typically play better at home than on the road in the playoffs.
                              Comment
                              • KuLaPhU
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-21-10
                                • 725

                                #16
                                This is warriors basketball they will keep shooting no matter what.
                                Comment
                                • Frisco
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-27-12
                                  • 6138

                                  #17
                                  Ppl keep saying Warriors will cool down shooting at some point. Keep chasing folks
                                  Comment
                                  • qsilver335
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-11-09
                                    • 1025

                                    #18
                                    Spurs ML has too much value to pass up. I am on it for a unit.
                                    Comment
                                    • vasilli07
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-08-11
                                      • 3955

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Sport_Fish
                                      I'm fairly confident Warriors win both of the next two games. If they can shoot that well and play at tht level on the road, they can sure do it at home.

                                      And with the crowd behind them and the lesson learned from game 1, they shouldn't have choking issues again. Also gonna be hard for Spurs to make a comeback on the road if they fall behind like they did in the first 2 games.
                                      They nearly choked against the Nuggets. Don't be surprised if they choke again.
                                      Comment
                                      • t-wizzle
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 12-18-09
                                        • 38099

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by celtics3388
                                        T-wizz, where do you see the shooting reversal happening? Kawhi will probably knock down a few of those corner 3's he missed and Green/Neal/Bonner might shoot slightly better but to me Ginobili doesn't look like himself and I wouldn't expect him to play much better. Obviously Thompson won't shoot lights out again but Barnes was 0-5 on 3's last game and Curry only shot 7-20. Also, role players typically play better at home than on the road in the playoffs.
                                        You raise a very good point. The Spurs were 4th in the NBA in 3-point percentage this year but struggled mightily the other night going 5-21. Like you said I think Leonard will play better and Green should play better than he did the other night. I guess the point is that I don't expect them to shoot 5-21 every night. Now even if they do shoot better they have their hands full with this Golden State team but typically there is a bounce-back performance the next game when teams shoot poorly (I have no statistics to support this, really just kind of common knowledge from watching the game over the years). You're right about the role players playing better at home but then again how much better can they play than what they already have? I agree, those guys are usually better at home but they are also capable of having bad games as well.

                                        Like I said, it wouldn't surprise me to see Golden State take the 3-1 lead but I tend to think this will be a longer series.
                                        Comment
                                        • oldscho0led
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-18-11
                                          • 1407

                                          #21
                                          Im starting to think that Warriors are just the better team. Spurs just have no answer. Curry just gassed on game 1. Spurs shutdown Klay, Curry explodes. They shutdown Curry, Klay explodes. Just dont see them shutting down both
                                          Comment
                                          • face
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-31-11
                                            • 14740

                                            #22
                                            duncan misses those shots he used to make, ginobli misses those shots he used to make, thompson can guard parker pretty well. spurs are fukked. i'm betting warriors every game.
                                            Comment
                                            • Darkside Magick
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 05-28-10
                                              • 12638

                                              #23
                                              The real line is 5.5....trying to get suckers for SA with the 2.5!!!!
                                              Comment
                                              • GoBlue77
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-20-11
                                                • 9166

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by oldscho0led
                                                Im starting to think that Warriors are just the better team. Spurs just have no answer. Curry just gassed on game 1. Spurs shutdown Klay, Curry explodes. They shutdown Curry, Klay explodes. Just dont see them shutting down both
                                                starting?

                                                its very obvious they are. the shots they get are of better quality than what spurs get on offense.
                                                Comment
                                                • YouHave2outs
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-02-11
                                                  • 4448

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                  The Spurs will split these next two games.

                                                  If the Warriors were the play, they would be -3.5 or more.
                                                  what are you smoking? they were +9 and +7.5 in SA. -2 is a huge adjustment.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • YouHave2outs
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-02-11
                                                    • 4448

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by t-wizzle
                                                    San Antonio looked awful in Game 2 and the Warriors looked great. Most of that was due to stellar shooting by GSW and poor shooting by the Spurs and something tells me the opposite will happen Friday night.
                                                    oh, well then I hope you went huge bro.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Snowball
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 11-15-09
                                                      • 30058

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by zilchy
                                                      I second that. I'll probably double up on game 4 if they lose this one. I still think this will be Spurs in 6.
                                                      makes sense.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sarasmith
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-30-12
                                                        • 218

                                                        #28
                                                        littledofba is just embarrassing himself day after day. Shame to see a once respected poster lose all his e-cred. Kind of like k13.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • chino08
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-27-12
                                                          • 150

                                                          #29
                                                          GSW out scoured and out rebounded the Spurs in San Antonio
                                                          They have arguably the loudest home crowd in the NBA (and I'm a Lakers fan)
                                                          Curry got in foul trouble in game 2, and GSW still won huge

                                                          GSW game 3

                                                          They'll win at home
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SportsTerminator
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-18-09
                                                            • 5179

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                            The Spurs will split these next two games.

                                                            If the Warriors were the play, they would be -3.5 or more.
                                                            I agree with BigDofBA. It should -3.5 or more. The Warriors dominated the Spurs Game 2 AND 1. Even though the Warriors were favored by -1 at home versus the Nuggets, -1 versus the Spurs sounds like a sucker bet. But the books haven't got it right with the Warriors all playoffs long hence EASports saying the Warriors are 8-0 ATS. Then on the other hand they can't cover all playoffs. This line has moved dramatically, but that's not always a good thing rarely. So it's too much wavering and uncertainty with this game. I see this as a definite no play and just let this game play out.
                                                            Bet To Win
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Nickoli
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 03-03-13
                                                              • 14

                                                              #31
                                                              San Antonio is the play tonight. Everyone will be on Golden State after watching them shoot lights out in the first two games and I don't blame them. I took GS in both Game 1 and 2 and it obvisouly paid off for me, but this game has a different feel. This is one of those games where you have to look deeper. Look past the home court and think to yourself, is this veteran team coached by, in my opinion, the best coach in the league, really going to lose two games in a row? I know everyone is saying this but it's true, GS will cool down from long range. You cannot and will not win a championship shooting jump shots, i'm sorry. The Spurs are a great road team (23-18 this year) and I believe they will jump all over GS early. A great stat that jumps out at me is SA being 15-3 SU and 14-4 ATS when revenging a home loss the last two plus seasons. SA is the play or stay away.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vinhmen
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 12-05-11
                                                                • 446

                                                                #32
                                                                Live betting is the way to go here. Wait for SA to go on a run and then hammer GS on ML or + pts. If the game stays close throughout you can prolly get a PK on GS or +3 to 5 on SA at any time. The only negative scenario is if GS jumps out to an early lead and maintains, then no play for me.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mysterio619
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 05-28-12
                                                                  • 452

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Nickoli
                                                                  is this veteran team coached by, in my opinion, the best coach in the league, really going to lose two games in a row?
                                                                  They lost 4 in a row to OKC last year. Forgot about that? Same situation, young team vs. vets
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Speedy88
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-19-11
                                                                    • 11717

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Not really sure about this game. I think the Bulls are the better dog play today.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • aireent777
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-21-09
                                                                      • 5930

                                                                      #35
                                                                      1 dog and 1 fave will cover tonight. Which is which?
                                                                      Comment
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