Hawks +1500 Live

[BettingWizard]

[Sport_Fish]

[bjb7223]

just burning $$ tonight

[Sport_Fish]

just burning $$ tonight

he does it all the time...tries to be sharp with +1000 and more odds and burns his money.

[bjb7223]

he does it all the time...tries to be sharp with +1000 and more odds and burns his money.

tell him bet Serie A. Only place it works.

[ChiLLx]

Why not just take the points

[Seto]

Why not just take the points

losing a +1500 bet is better than losing a -110 bet I guess.

[vasilli07]

[Sport_Fish]

atleast it was close...good try

[Seto]

Maybe he meant Hawks to lose by 1499 or less?

[El Sol]

Take a look at some of these classics:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapper-think-tank/11994-introduction-betting-lines-percentages.html

Followed by this

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapper-think-tank/178739-redux-way-will-leave-me-most-money.html

You will see that +1500 isn't such a bad bet if you can beat the closing dog line

[Seto]

Take a look at some of these classics:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapper-think-tank/11994-introduction-betting-lines-percentages.html

Followed by this

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapper-think-tank/178739-redux-way-will-leave-me-most-money.html

You will see that +1500 isn't such a bad bet and actually is more profitable long term vs -110's especially if you can beat the closing dog line

I don't disagree but in this particular spot, don't know why anyone would think the shitty Hawks would pull it off (although he has his reasons, none of my business clearly). But yeah, +1500s can be good bets, of course they can.

[PharaohUB]

they only need to hit 1 out of 14 times to be profitable... who cares if he missed one.

[El Sol]

I don't disagree but in this particular spot, don't know why anyone would think the shitty Hawks would pull it off (although he has his reasons, none of my business clearly). But yeah, +1500s can be good bets, of course they can.

I am all about the line. I handicap the teams to get a probable outcome, but in the end, the most important thing is making +ev bets. Was his bet at +1500 +ev when he made it? I don't know, don't know when he made it. But if you make bets because a team is good or a team sucks, you can expect to lose a lot. Its all about the closing line you get vs a probable outcome. I'm a simpleton, Granchow can explain far better than I can

[ChiLLx]

I am all about the line. I handicap the teams to get a probable outcome, but in the end, the most important thing is making +ev bets. Was his bet at +1500 +ev when he made it? I don't know, don't know when he made it. But if you make bets because a team is good or a team sucks, you can expect to lose a lot. Its all about the closing line you get vs a probable outcome. I'm a simpleton, Granchow can explain far better than I can

Team was down double digits in the 4th Q on the road in the playoffs. Let me know if that's +EV.

[PharaohUB]

Team was down double digits in the 4th Q on the road in the playoffs. Let me know if that's +EV.

i dont think you understand what +ev means

[Seto]

I am all about the line. I handicap the teams to get a probable outcome, but in the end, the most important thing is making +ev bets. Was his bet at +1500 +ev when he made it? I don't know, don't know when he made it. But if you make bets because a team is good or a team sucks, you can expect to lose a lot. Its all about the closing line you get vs a probable outcome. I'm a simpleton, Granchow can explain far better than I can

If I gave you +1500 on the Rockets to win the championship would you take it?

[Sport_Fish]

they only need to hit 1 out of 14 times to be profitable... who cares if he missed one.

except he's hitting 1 out of 30

[Jikos]

If I gave you +1500 on the Rockets to win the championship would you take it?

That's not a fair comparison. How about if I gave you +75,000 on the Rockets to win the championship would you take it? The point is it's almost impossible but you're getting the right odds... Atlanta was keeping it close in the first half and it was possible they go on a shooting spree and come back to win the game. Not likely, but if the bettor spots value, they are supposed to bet.

[sarasmith]

What did i tell you about not posting again

[oldscho0led]

Take a look at some of these classics:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapper-think-tank/11994-introduction-betting-lines-percentages.html

Followed by this

http://forum.sbrforum.com/handicapper-think-tank/178739-redux-way-will-leave-me-most-money.html

You will see that +1500 isn't such a bad bet if you can beat the closing dog line

team lion might be pissed on your avatar

[Seto]

That's not a fair comparison. How about if I gave you +75,000 on the Rockets to win the championship would you take it? The point is it's almost impossible but you're getting the right odds... Atlanta was keeping it close in the first half and it was possible they go on a shooting spree and come back to win the game. Not likely, but if the bettor spots value, they are supposed to bet.

Yeah I didn't read his post very carefully.

I know what +ev bets and value mean, I'm not some newcomer to this whole shit. Just wondering why in hell OP thought the Hawks would come back, or even had a 1 in 15 chance to do so. But it's his call, we all have different takes on the games.