Hi all,
I'll be watching all games tomorrow, updating threads as they go, and would like to get a thread going early on the first few. Lines aren't set for all yet but some stats and trends are worth discussing. I hope to be as helpful as possible by presenting initial feelings and current data, and with everyone's input I feel we can gain a decent edge.
-Denver @ Atlanta: Melo is back, and seems just fine. Nuggets scored a ton today, but their lack of defense is costing them ATS on the road. In fact, they are 3-7 ATS in the last 10. Atlanta has played the last 8 games at home. They come in tomorrow 7-1 for those last 8 (the loss came against Boston by 3 points) at home and 6-2 ATS. They have also gone under the combined total in the last 6 of 8 home games. Its an interesting matchup, Atlanta is looking comfortable at home, and have had a days rest. Atlanta is a flexible team and is willing to put up big offensive numbers against high scoring teams as they did recently against Golden State and Chicago. Both teams are excellent from 3 point range, which might be a pivotal factor in their matchup.
-Chicago @ New Jersey. Spread shows the Nets as 5.5 point favorites. The Bulls have looked a bit poor on the road, putting up 2 wins from their last 10 road games. They covered the spread only 3 times in those 10. The Nets appear equally crummy at home, winning only 4 in the last 10 home games and covering the same 4 spreads. Both teams score 100+ PPG on average, but the Bulls drop to nearly 97 PPG on the road and the Nets fall to 98 PPG at home. However, both teams allow well over 100 PPG to their opponents in their respective road/home situations. This is certain to be an interesting matchup, especially when one considers that both are very good 3 point shooting teams and the Nets in particular allow more than they make against them. Could 3 pointers be the deciding factor in this game as well? If so, I think the Bulls might get an edge and have a decent shot at covering. Each team will play on 1 days rest.
-Orlando @ Detroit. No lines have been set yet. Orlando as we all know is a spread covering machine, with road games no exception. They have been 11-3 ATS on the road this season. Detroit is 4-10 at home ATS. Howard, as usual is bound to be a nightmare for Detroit to deal with. Orlando has been shooting the ball very well from 3 point range and have limited opponents to very low FG % with great defense. Orlando looks capable of snatching a road victory here, but Detroit is defensively tough and has been putting up some good wins of late (6 out of the last 8 games). However, those were against fairly weak teams, and they have fallen to stronger teams such as Portland, Utah, Atlanta, and Philly in their more recent outings.
Thoughts, additions, and comments? Any early bold picks?
I'll be watching all games tomorrow, updating threads as they go, and would like to get a thread going early on the first few. Lines aren't set for all yet but some stats and trends are worth discussing. I hope to be as helpful as possible by presenting initial feelings and current data, and with everyone's input I feel we can gain a decent edge.
-Denver @ Atlanta: Melo is back, and seems just fine. Nuggets scored a ton today, but their lack of defense is costing them ATS on the road. In fact, they are 3-7 ATS in the last 10. Atlanta has played the last 8 games at home. They come in tomorrow 7-1 for those last 8 (the loss came against Boston by 3 points) at home and 6-2 ATS. They have also gone under the combined total in the last 6 of 8 home games. Its an interesting matchup, Atlanta is looking comfortable at home, and have had a days rest. Atlanta is a flexible team and is willing to put up big offensive numbers against high scoring teams as they did recently against Golden State and Chicago. Both teams are excellent from 3 point range, which might be a pivotal factor in their matchup.
-Chicago @ New Jersey. Spread shows the Nets as 5.5 point favorites. The Bulls have looked a bit poor on the road, putting up 2 wins from their last 10 road games. They covered the spread only 3 times in those 10. The Nets appear equally crummy at home, winning only 4 in the last 10 home games and covering the same 4 spreads. Both teams score 100+ PPG on average, but the Bulls drop to nearly 97 PPG on the road and the Nets fall to 98 PPG at home. However, both teams allow well over 100 PPG to their opponents in their respective road/home situations. This is certain to be an interesting matchup, especially when one considers that both are very good 3 point shooting teams and the Nets in particular allow more than they make against them. Could 3 pointers be the deciding factor in this game as well? If so, I think the Bulls might get an edge and have a decent shot at covering. Each team will play on 1 days rest.
-Orlando @ Detroit. No lines have been set yet. Orlando as we all know is a spread covering machine, with road games no exception. They have been 11-3 ATS on the road this season. Detroit is 4-10 at home ATS. Howard, as usual is bound to be a nightmare for Detroit to deal with. Orlando has been shooting the ball very well from 3 point range and have limited opponents to very low FG % with great defense. Orlando looks capable of snatching a road victory here, but Detroit is defensively tough and has been putting up some good wins of late (6 out of the last 8 games). However, those were against fairly weak teams, and they have fallen to stronger teams such as Portland, Utah, Atlanta, and Philly in their more recent outings.
Thoughts, additions, and comments? Any early bold picks?
