ATS 49-46
Totals 37-27-1
Big card tonight let´s get started:
Indiana at Cleveland +7: suddenly Indiana has dropped last 2 and having some issues on defense IMO, They face today an improved Cavs team, I believe Indiana shuld win SU but don´t know about the cover, better pass.
Wizards at Bobcats +6.5: This is 1st of 4 away for the Wizards, Nba teams have an ATS record of 23-15 (60.53%) in 1st of a 4 game road trip this season, and home teams have a record of 34-39(46.58%) ATS in first of 3 home games, what concerns me here is the fact that Wizards are 0-2 as road favorites, I see better value here with the totals, with Wizards playing a slow pace on the road and Bobcats struggling to score I am leaning Under 189.
Portland at 76ers -1: A pk game here, 76ers have battled pretty damn well last 2 games at home vs Miami and Indiana winning 1 and losing 1, Portland does not excell on the road, despite Nba teams are 9-6(60%) ATS in 1st of a 5 game road trip, and 35-29(54.69) ATS in 1st after 3 games homestand, I like 76ers here, leaning 76ers -1.
Nets at Detroit +3.5: Nets are 62.5% ATS as road dog and they are playing 1st of 7 raod trip where nba teams are 1-2 ATS this season, on the other hand Detroit is riding a 8 game losing streak and playing 1st at home after 4 away where teams are 12-24 (33.3%) ATS in that situation.There shouldn´t be any problem for Nets to take this one, leaning Nets -3.5.
Dallas at Atlanta -3.5: Dallas in on b2b and 4th in 5, Hawks is on b2b where they play a nice 58.8% ATS, I think atlanta can take this one, leaning Atlanta -3.5.
Miami at Boston +5: Miami is on b2b they have improved ATS huge!!!, they are playing a nice 56.2% away from home, Boston is playing on its own court 58.1% ATS icluding a decent 50% as home dog, I like Miami here, leaning Miami -5.
Denver at Chicago +3.5: Chicago is in a very rough spot here IMo, 33.3% ATS ashome dog, 20% with 2-3 days off, 26.9% non conference games, on the other hand Denver is 56.2% ATS as road fav, 50% in 2-3 days off, I like Denver chances here, leaning Denver -3.5.
Minnesota at Memphis -13: Could look that there shouldn´t be any problem for Memphis to cover here but maybe is not that easy, Minnesota is playing an excellent 56.2% ATS on b2b, And Memphis is coming home after a 4 game road trip where teams are 12-24 (33.3%) ATS in that situation. I don´t trust Minnesota to back them up so I better pass.
GState at NORleans +3.5: NOrleans have struggled lately not just to win but to cover spreads, Gstate has become a nightmare for me to cap recently, better leave this alone.
Lakers at Suns +2.5: Lakers is pushing strong for teh reminder of the season, Suns has nothin ATS wise to make me support them, my lean LAkers -2.5.
Knicks at Utah -9.5: This is the other side of the coin Knicks have been really pathetic, I thought I would never see a team like Utah being favored against the Knicks by almost DD, but it´s true there´s nothing ATS wise that would make me back Knicks here, and with the nice record from tha JAzz at home too temptive to let it pass, my lean Utah -9.5.
Will be back later to post final plays
GLTA
Totals 37-27-1
Big card tonight let´s get started:
Indiana at Cleveland +7: suddenly Indiana has dropped last 2 and having some issues on defense IMO, They face today an improved Cavs team, I believe Indiana shuld win SU but don´t know about the cover, better pass.
Wizards at Bobcats +6.5: This is 1st of 4 away for the Wizards, Nba teams have an ATS record of 23-15 (60.53%) in 1st of a 4 game road trip this season, and home teams have a record of 34-39(46.58%) ATS in first of 3 home games, what concerns me here is the fact that Wizards are 0-2 as road favorites, I see better value here with the totals, with Wizards playing a slow pace on the road and Bobcats struggling to score I am leaning Under 189.
Portland at 76ers -1: A pk game here, 76ers have battled pretty damn well last 2 games at home vs Miami and Indiana winning 1 and losing 1, Portland does not excell on the road, despite Nba teams are 9-6(60%) ATS in 1st of a 5 game road trip, and 35-29(54.69) ATS in 1st after 3 games homestand, I like 76ers here, leaning 76ers -1.
Nets at Detroit +3.5: Nets are 62.5% ATS as road dog and they are playing 1st of 7 raod trip where nba teams are 1-2 ATS this season, on the other hand Detroit is riding a 8 game losing streak and playing 1st at home after 4 away where teams are 12-24 (33.3%) ATS in that situation.There shouldn´t be any problem for Nets to take this one, leaning Nets -3.5.
Dallas at Atlanta -3.5: Dallas in on b2b and 4th in 5, Hawks is on b2b where they play a nice 58.8% ATS, I think atlanta can take this one, leaning Atlanta -3.5.
Miami at Boston +5: Miami is on b2b they have improved ATS huge!!!, they are playing a nice 56.2% away from home, Boston is playing on its own court 58.1% ATS icluding a decent 50% as home dog, I like Miami here, leaning Miami -5.
Denver at Chicago +3.5: Chicago is in a very rough spot here IMo, 33.3% ATS ashome dog, 20% with 2-3 days off, 26.9% non conference games, on the other hand Denver is 56.2% ATS as road fav, 50% in 2-3 days off, I like Denver chances here, leaning Denver -3.5.
Minnesota at Memphis -13: Could look that there shouldn´t be any problem for Memphis to cover here but maybe is not that easy, Minnesota is playing an excellent 56.2% ATS on b2b, And Memphis is coming home after a 4 game road trip where teams are 12-24 (33.3%) ATS in that situation. I don´t trust Minnesota to back them up so I better pass.
GState at NORleans +3.5: NOrleans have struggled lately not just to win but to cover spreads, Gstate has become a nightmare for me to cap recently, better leave this alone.
Lakers at Suns +2.5: Lakers is pushing strong for teh reminder of the season, Suns has nothin ATS wise to make me support them, my lean LAkers -2.5.
Knicks at Utah -9.5: This is the other side of the coin Knicks have been really pathetic, I thought I would never see a team like Utah being favored against the Knicks by almost DD, but it´s true there´s nothing ATS wise that would make me back Knicks here, and with the nice record from tha JAzz at home too temptive to let it pass, my lean Utah -9.5.
Will be back later to post final plays
GLTA
