ATS 44-41
Totals 29-23
Big and difficult card tonight, let´s take a look:
Indiana at Orlando +10: DD line no play for me ATS, on the other hand I could see a good value here with the totals,we know Indiana can play defense and Orlando has been playing better recently that is cause they have been taking control of tha ball and a thighter defense IMO, my lean UNder 190.
OKC at Bobcats +14.5: Another DD no play.
Atlanta at Boston -4: Both teams getting into a good shape aiming the playoffs, I have already take away the "fade or no play" label to the Hawks, though is very difficult to back the up here vs a suddenly better team on the C´s, even with a nice 7-2 ATS record in last 9 for the Hawks I see this game too close to call, pass.
Washington at Nets -5.5: This might be an easier game to finid an edge, Wizards is 65.4% ATS as road dog, and 63% ATS in general away from home, Nets 40.9% ATS as home fav, plus Wizards is 5-2 ATS in last 7 meetings between these 2 teams, I could see a good value here with the totals, both teams like slow paces, both receive less than 96 in this spot , my leans wizards +5.5, UNder 183.
Memphis at Cleveland +5.5: This is one of this games where I know the better team is one (Memphis) but the other team (Cavs) have own them recently, So despite excellent numbers ATS from Memphis70.6% as road fav, 72% non conference , the fact they are 0-4 ATS last 4 in Cleveland makes me pass here, on the other hand I could see good value here with the totals, with Memphis scoring and allowing more pts on the road an the mid pace Cleveland likes to play I could see this game going 190-192 pts, My lean Over 184.5.
Dallas at Detroit +3.5: Will keep it simple here Dallas will fight every reamaining game of the season, they have very good % ATS in this spot, 60% as road fav, 54.5% in non conference, Detroit might be in a flat spot here after letting go an advanatge to the Knicks, My lean Dallas -3.5
Utah at Chicago -4: Bothe teams with ugly ATS % in this spot, and with line to close I prefer to pass.
76ers At Miami -13.5: DD game no play for me, I am starting to aim when Miami might end their streak, I will make a play on ML when I feel they will, i think is not today.
Portland at Spurs -11.5: DD no play for me.
Suns at SAcramento -7: Don´t feel comfortable laying that many pts with a mediocre team here in Kings, on the other hand with poor numbers below 45% ATS in this spot for Suns difficult to back them up, pass.
Toronto at Lakers -7.5: There´s not much ATS wise to write here from Toronto, and the Lakers should take care of business here, problem here is Raptor is 4-1 ATS in last five in LA, need to think about it here, Leaning Lakers -7.5
Houston at GState -2: basically a pk game here, I am leaning the better team here IMO, and that´s GState.
Will be back to post final plays
GLTA
Totals 29-23
Big and difficult card tonight, let´s take a look:
Indiana at Orlando +10: DD line no play for me ATS, on the other hand I could see a good value here with the totals,we know Indiana can play defense and Orlando has been playing better recently that is cause they have been taking control of tha ball and a thighter defense IMO, my lean UNder 190.
OKC at Bobcats +14.5: Another DD no play.
Atlanta at Boston -4: Both teams getting into a good shape aiming the playoffs, I have already take away the "fade or no play" label to the Hawks, though is very difficult to back the up here vs a suddenly better team on the C´s, even with a nice 7-2 ATS record in last 9 for the Hawks I see this game too close to call, pass.
Washington at Nets -5.5: This might be an easier game to finid an edge, Wizards is 65.4% ATS as road dog, and 63% ATS in general away from home, Nets 40.9% ATS as home fav, plus Wizards is 5-2 ATS in last 7 meetings between these 2 teams, I could see a good value here with the totals, both teams like slow paces, both receive less than 96 in this spot , my leans wizards +5.5, UNder 183.
Memphis at Cleveland +5.5: This is one of this games where I know the better team is one (Memphis) but the other team (Cavs) have own them recently, So despite excellent numbers ATS from Memphis70.6% as road fav, 72% non conference , the fact they are 0-4 ATS last 4 in Cleveland makes me pass here, on the other hand I could see good value here with the totals, with Memphis scoring and allowing more pts on the road an the mid pace Cleveland likes to play I could see this game going 190-192 pts, My lean Over 184.5.
Dallas at Detroit +3.5: Will keep it simple here Dallas will fight every reamaining game of the season, they have very good % ATS in this spot, 60% as road fav, 54.5% in non conference, Detroit might be in a flat spot here after letting go an advanatge to the Knicks, My lean Dallas -3.5
Utah at Chicago -4: Bothe teams with ugly ATS % in this spot, and with line to close I prefer to pass.
76ers At Miami -13.5: DD game no play for me, I am starting to aim when Miami might end their streak, I will make a play on ML when I feel they will, i think is not today.
Portland at Spurs -11.5: DD no play for me.
Suns at SAcramento -7: Don´t feel comfortable laying that many pts with a mediocre team here in Kings, on the other hand with poor numbers below 45% ATS in this spot for Suns difficult to back them up, pass.
Toronto at Lakers -7.5: There´s not much ATS wise to write here from Toronto, and the Lakers should take care of business here, problem here is Raptor is 4-1 ATS in last five in LA, need to think about it here, Leaning Lakers -7.5
Houston at GState -2: basically a pk game here, I am leaning the better team here IMO, and that´s GState.
Will be back to post final plays
GLTA