ATS 43-38
Totals 28-21
Let´s take a look at today´s small card:
Boston at 76ers +2.5: Ppl pounding Boston´s line, C´s play an ugly 30% ATS as road fav vs 54.5% from 76ers as home dog, C´s play a nice 55.6% ATS in division games vs a great 61.5% from 76ers, I could see a slight edge due to the fact Celtics are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. Only problem that makes me hesitate is the fact 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. Could see a good value here with the totals, Boston plays a mid tempo off, while 76ers is the team with a lowest pace in NBA, also like the fact that 76ers games have gonen Under 6-0 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Also Under has gone 6-1 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. My leans 76ers+2.5 and under 184.5.
Lakers at OKC -9: Lakers simply suck ATS at this spot, 34.5% after a win, 26.7% as road dog, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. On the other hand OKC excells here 70% ATS as home fav, 56.1% after a win, 66.7% after a day off, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. My lean OKC -9.
Denver at Kings +5: Denver is playing badly on the road, but at this spot they have very intriguing stats ATS, 50% as road fav, 61.5% on b2b, 69.4% in conference games, 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento. On the other hand Kings does not have too much to write about at this spot with an awful 39.4% in conference games, there´s something that makes me hesitate here: Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 3 of those cover were SU wins against Utha by 11, Houston by 6 and Bobcats by 36, and a loss vs Spurs by 6 while being dogs by 9. I know Utah and Houston do not play well on the road, but neither the Nuggets. Will think about it, my lean Denver -5.
Will be back later to post final plays.
GLTA
Totals 28-21
Let´s take a look at today´s small card:
Boston at 76ers +2.5: Ppl pounding Boston´s line, C´s play an ugly 30% ATS as road fav vs 54.5% from 76ers as home dog, C´s play a nice 55.6% ATS in division games vs a great 61.5% from 76ers, I could see a slight edge due to the fact Celtics are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Philadelphia. Only problem that makes me hesitate is the fact 76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games. Could see a good value here with the totals, Boston plays a mid tempo off, while 76ers is the team with a lowest pace in NBA, also like the fact that 76ers games have gonen Under 6-0 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Also Under has gone 6-1 in last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. My leans 76ers+2.5 and under 184.5.
Lakers at OKC -9: Lakers simply suck ATS at this spot, 34.5% after a win, 26.7% as road dog, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. On the other hand OKC excells here 70% ATS as home fav, 56.1% after a win, 66.7% after a day off, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. My lean OKC -9.
Denver at Kings +5: Denver is playing badly on the road, but at this spot they have very intriguing stats ATS, 50% as road fav, 61.5% on b2b, 69.4% in conference games, 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Sacramento. On the other hand Kings does not have too much to write about at this spot with an awful 39.4% in conference games, there´s something that makes me hesitate here: Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 3 of those cover were SU wins against Utha by 11, Houston by 6 and Bobcats by 36, and a loss vs Spurs by 6 while being dogs by 9. I know Utah and Houston do not play well on the road, but neither the Nuggets. Will think about it, my lean Denver -5.
Will be back later to post final plays.
GLTA