"70% math play" system tracking

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  • dau2ecko5
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-20-09
    • 16

    #806
    Its funny how the system is exactly at where is said it will be 70%....lol can't say it has been failing.
    Comment
    • corona
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 03-12-09
      • 722

      #807
      denver's a play at -5.5 over memphis tomorrow. (but not if the line goes to -6)
      everyone's healthy (kmart's confirmed to be playing), not b2b.
      632-258 = 374....374/20 = 18.7.....18.7 - 3 = 15.7.....15.7 - 5.5 = 10.2

      they have lost quite a few road games in a row though. so maybe don't put your entire bankroll on it.
      Comment
      • alukk
        SBR MVP
        • 01-29-09
        • 1544

        #808
        Originally posted by corona
        everyone's healthy (kmart's confirmed to be playing), not b2b.
        Kmart has to play 1 week, so u can count as a play
        Comment
        • xerac
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-22-08
          • 123

          #809
          double post
          Comment
          • xerac
            SBR High Roller
            • 12-22-08
            • 123

            #810
            The system is not mine therber2 as said before just tracking it this season see how it does as for money management think all people who use this forum and bet do use money management if not they should look in to it.

            I try my best to give as much info on the plays and do note if you bet these plays do so at your own risk think people who have been following it would of know about Oklahome City being the play killers as i mention then few pages back as being the play killers and posted some stats on them and how the system does not do good when playing them.

            as for the RPI filter maybe something we can add to the system next season to see how it does as i dont really want to go back threw record to see how it would of done this season ad kind of too late in season to add it now to see how it does.

            03/17
            0 Play



            San Antonio No play Double digits spread.


            Record
            Win 17
            Loss 7
            70.83%


            _______________________________________


            Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


            03/17 1 Play


            San Antonio -9

            Record
            Win 34
            Loss 40
            Push 1
            45.33%
            Comment
            • netinfo
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-12-09
              • 955

              #811
              This system is doing well. It is accomplishing it's target of 70%, and living up to its name. No need to add any extra filters or anything to it, it is doing what it's supposed to be doing.

              If you add an extra filter to it next year, then you can play it side by side with the enhanced version, and see how they compare.

              netinfo
              Comment
              • xerac
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-22-08
                • 123

                #812
                03/18 0 Play







                New Jersey No Harris has both a sprained left shoulder and a strained deltoid muscle, the Newark Star-Ledger reports. (Mar 17) Both injuries will require ongoing treatment and a timetable for Harris' return has not been set.

                Philadelphia No play game is back to back.

                Washington No play game is back to back.


                Record
                Win 17
                Loss 7
                70.83%


                _______________________________________


                Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                03/18 3 Plays


                New Jersey +7
                Philadelphia +7
                Washington +7


                Record
                Win 34
                Loss 41
                Push 1
                44.74%
                Comment
                • xerac
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-22-08
                  • 123

                  #813
                  03/19 0 Plays





                  L.A. Lakers No double digit spread.


                  Record
                  Win 17
                  Loss 7
                  70.83%


                  _______________________________________


                  Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                  03/19 1 Play


                  L.A. Lakers -13


                  Record
                  Win 35
                  Loss 43
                  Push 1
                  44.30%
                  Comment
                  • ico2525
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-30-08
                    • 598

                    #814
                    Any plays for tomorrow?
                    Comment
                    • corona
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 03-12-09
                      • 722

                      #815
                      jazz -5 over thunder is close (number ends up being 9, and you need 10 to play)

                      i don't see anything else.
                      Comment
                      • solobass
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-15-09
                        • 1277

                        #816
                        is a great system for sure. how much wood are you all laying on these plays? out of about 1800 nba games so far only 24 plays it is what it is. if you are really laying the wood that is a good thing.
                        Comment
                        • corona
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-12-09
                          • 722

                          #817
                          if you can get utah at -3.5 it's a play.
                          was -5 last night and this morning, now it's -4

                          i wouldn't bet it though.
                          Comment
                          • xerac
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 12-22-08
                            • 123

                            #818
                            i got Utah as a no play i got the line open -5 always gone with the open line if it moves during the day to play we still say no play, also note utah playing the play killers oklahoma city.

                            03/20 11:05am UTH-215 OKL+185 UTH-5.0 -110 OKL+5.0 -110 200.0 200.0


                            03/20 0 Plays





                            New Orleans No play double digits spread.



                            Record
                            Win 17
                            Loss 7
                            70.83%


                            _______________________________________


                            Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                            03/20 1 Play


                            New Orleans -11.5


                            Record
                            Win 35
                            Loss 44
                            Push 1
                            43.75%
                            Comment
                            • corona
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-12-09
                              • 722

                              #819
                              i got Utah as a no play i got the line open -5 always gone with the open line if it moves during the day to play we still say no play
                              didn't know that, thanks.

                              and yea, even if it opened at -3.5 i wouldn't be psyched about betting it. okc's been great at home against good teams.
                              Comment
                              • ico2525
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-30-08
                                • 598

                                #820
                                Any games for tomorrow?

                                Edit: Is Mundane still posting the winners everyday?
                                Comment
                                • ico2525
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 07-30-08
                                  • 598

                                  #821
                                  Is LA a play if you can get them at 4 (+100) or 3.5 (-110)? I'm confused on this game. I like the trend I see on the Bulls, but I also like that the formula of 794 - 464 = 330 / 20 = 16.5 - 3 = 13.5 - 3.5 = 10. It's the only remotely close call for a playable game (according to this system) on Saturday.
                                  Comment
                                  • xerac
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-22-08
                                    • 123

                                    #822
                                    03/21 0 Plays





                                    Boston No play game is back to back.

                                    Indiana No play game is back to back.



                                    Record
                                    Win 17
                                    Loss 7
                                    70.83%


                                    _______________________________________


                                    Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                    03/21 2 Plays


                                    Indiana +6.5
                                    Boston -7.5


                                    Record
                                    Win 36
                                    Loss 44
                                    Push 1
                                    44.44%
                                    Comment
                                    • therber2
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 12-22-08
                                      • 3715

                                      #823
                                      Xerac do you know what happened to Mundane?
                                      Comment
                                      • xerac
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-22-08
                                        • 123

                                        #824
                                        think he said was busy with work


                                        03/22 0 Plays


                                        All games today have came up as No play.



                                        Record
                                        Win 17
                                        Loss 7
                                        70.83%


                                        _______________________________________


                                        Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                        03/22 0 Plays





                                        Record
                                        Win 38
                                        Loss 44
                                        Push 1
                                        45.78%
                                        Comment
                                        • xerac
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 12-22-08
                                          • 123

                                          #825
                                          03/23 0 Plays





                                          Boston No play double digit spread.



                                          Record
                                          Win 17
                                          Loss 7
                                          70.83%


                                          _______________________________________


                                          Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                          03/23 1 Play


                                          Boston -15.5


                                          Record
                                          Win 38
                                          Loss 44
                                          Push 1
                                          45.78%
                                          Comment
                                          • corona
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 03-12-09
                                            • 722

                                            #826
                                            lakers -8 are a play tomorrow....if bynum were playing (unless you consider that the lakers record without bynum is good enough to play anyways?). okc's infamous for covering these types of spreads at home though.

                                            i'm hesitant.
                                            Comment
                                            • jmathes
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-19-09
                                              • 2385

                                              #827
                                              Originally posted by corona
                                              lakers -8 are a play tomorrow....if bynum were playing (unless you consider that the lakers record without bynum is good enough to play anyways?). okc's infamous for covering these types of spreads at home though.

                                              i'm hesitant.

                                              I would be cautious about betting against Oklahoma City on this game. They are a hit or miss team meaning they either come out and play ball for the night or get destroyed. They have also been killing alot of big ATS plays this year especially with them getting better the past month or so. Sometimes numbers lie and it takes Vegas time to adjust to a team's progress. One other example of this would be the Charlotte Bobcats. This team has been improving greatly and it took the linemakers a little while to recognize this.
                                              Comment
                                              • xerac
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-22-08
                                                • 123

                                                #828
                                                03/24 0 Plays





                                                L.A. Lakers Bynum (knee) is out and his starter place has been filled by Pau Gasol now as it been over 7 days since Gasol took Bynum starter place thats ok, now only problem is Gasol (finger) injured now he hasnt missed any game from what i can see, But the finger does not seem to be affecting his scoring or shooting from the field (18-for-32 FG last two games), but it does seem to be bothering his free throws (8-for-14 FT last two games).

                                                Now with him carrying an injured finger plus they are playing the play killers im calling this a no play for my record.


                                                Record
                                                Win 17
                                                Loss 7
                                                70.83%


                                                _______________________________________


                                                Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                                03/24 1 Play

                                                L.A. Lakers -7.5


                                                Record
                                                Win 38
                                                Loss 45
                                                Push 1
                                                45.24%
                                                Comment
                                                • xerac
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-22-08
                                                  • 123

                                                  #829
                                                  03/25 0 Plays


                                                  system has given no plays on all games today.


                                                  Record
                                                  Win 17
                                                  Loss 7
                                                  70.83%


                                                  _______________________________________


                                                  Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                                  03/250 Plays




                                                  Record
                                                  Win 39
                                                  Loss 45
                                                  Push 1
                                                  45.88%
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ico2525
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-30-08
                                                    • 598

                                                    #830
                                                    gotta take suns +7 here... I'll take the Bulls if they are +2 or +3
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Vesuvius
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-19-08
                                                      • 3886

                                                      #831
                                                      I would imagine Lakers would be a play here again. Might actually want to play this one in your "make rules as you go" system.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • xerac
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-22-08
                                                        • 123

                                                        #832
                                                        03/26 0 Plays




                                                        only 3 games today system has give No plays on all game again.

                                                        Record
                                                        Win 17
                                                        Loss 7
                                                        70.83%


                                                        _______________________________________


                                                        Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                                        03/26 0 Plays




                                                        Record
                                                        Win 39
                                                        Loss 45
                                                        Push 1
                                                        45.88%
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ico2525
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-30-08
                                                          • 598

                                                          #833
                                                          Here's an example of something that confuses me: Team A's winning % = .282 Team B's = .366 The spread is 6

                                                          282 - 366 = -84 / 20 = -4.2 subtract 3 and add 6 = -1.2 PLAY OTHER SIDE ATS

                                                          366 - 282 = 84 / 20 = 4.2 add 3 and subtract 6 = 1.2 NO PLAY

                                                          Is there a rule that you always do the subtraction so you get a positive #?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • xerac
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 12-22-08
                                                            • 123

                                                            #834
                                                            03/27 0 Plays





                                                            Cleveland No play double digits spread.

                                                            San Antonio No play double digits spread.

                                                            Record
                                                            Win 17
                                                            Loss 7
                                                            70.83%


                                                            _______________________________________


                                                            Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                                            03/27 2 Plays


                                                            Cleveland -14
                                                            San Antonio -11


                                                            Record
                                                            Win 39
                                                            Loss 45
                                                            Push 1
                                                            45.88%
                                                            Comment
                                                            • alukk
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-29-09
                                                              • 1544

                                                              #835
                                                              Originally posted by ico2525
                                                              366 - 282 = 84 / 20 = 4.2 add 3 and subtract 6 = 1.2 NO PLAY

                                                              Is there a rule that you always do the subtraction so you get a positive #?

                                                              This is the right way. u gotta take the higer % then rest the lower
                                                              Comment
                                                              • HoulihansTX
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 02-12-09
                                                                • 30566

                                                                #836
                                                                This system is dead around this time. I did it last year and got about 26 plays for the whole year. Its great for the patient gambler, which is a complete oxymoron.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • xerac
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-22-08
                                                                  • 123

                                                                  #837
                                                                  sorry guys not been able to post had busy weekend

                                                                  03/28
                                                                  0 Play





                                                                  Portland No play double digit spread.


                                                                  New York No play game is back to back.


                                                                  Indiana No play Daniels (wrist) was unavailable for Saturday's loss to Chicago. (Mar 29).


                                                                  Phoenix No play Barbosa (knee) all but ruled out returning to action later this week, the Arizona Republic reports. (Mar 24). "I don't think so," Barbosa said of playing on the Suns' road trip that begins Thursday. "If I feel that I'm OK, I need to practice first and make sure I'm OK. If I have the time to practice and go on the road trip feeling good, OK, no problem. But, if not, I'm going to take care of that. Because I remember the first time I hurt my knee, I came back too early, and I hurt myself again. I don't want it to come back." An April 5 game against Dallas, which could have big playoff implications, might be a more realistic return date.



                                                                  Record
                                                                  Win 17
                                                                  Loss 7
                                                                  70.83%


                                                                  _______________________________________


                                                                  Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                                                  03/28 4 Plays


                                                                  Portland - 12.5
                                                                  New York +7
                                                                  Phoenix +9
                                                                  Indiana +8.5

                                                                  Record
                                                                  Win 41
                                                                  Loss 45
                                                                  Push 1
                                                                  47.13%
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • xerac
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 12-22-08
                                                                    • 123

                                                                    #838
                                                                    03/29 0 Plays





                                                                    New Orleans No play Armstrong will continue to start at center in place of Tyson Chandler (ankle) for at least another week as Chandler will have his inflamed right ankle immobilized, the New Orleans Times-Picayune reports. (Mar 27).

                                                                    Boston No play double digit spread.


                                                                    Record
                                                                    Win 17
                                                                    Loss 7
                                                                    70.83%


                                                                    _______________________________________


                                                                    Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                                                    03/29 1 Play


                                                                    New Orleans +2
                                                                    Boston -11


                                                                    Record
                                                                    Win 44
                                                                    Loss 46
                                                                    Push 1
                                                                    48.35%
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • xerac
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 12-22-08
                                                                      • 123

                                                                      #839
                                                                      03/30 0 Plays





                                                                      no plays given today



                                                                      Record
                                                                      Win 17
                                                                      Loss 7
                                                                      70.83%


                                                                      _______________________________________


                                                                      Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                                                      03/30 0 Play





                                                                      Record
                                                                      Win 46
                                                                      Loss 46
                                                                      Push 1
                                                                      49.46%
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • xerac
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 12-22-08
                                                                        • 123

                                                                        #840
                                                                        03/31 0 Plays






                                                                        San Antonio No play double digit spread.

                                                                        Utah No play ok both teams have excat record so done as i did before and took the home team so Utah no play as back to back games.

                                                                        New Orleans No play again due to Chandler (ankle).


                                                                        Record
                                                                        Win 17
                                                                        Loss 7
                                                                        70.83%


                                                                        _______________________________________


                                                                        Non-Filtered(not part of the 70% system)


                                                                        03/31 3 Play


                                                                        New Orleans -6.5
                                                                        Utah +6
                                                                        San Antonio -13


                                                                        Record
                                                                        Win 46
                                                                        Loss 46
                                                                        Push 1
                                                                        49.46%
                                                                        Comment
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