I don't know about you, but I was very surprised to see that this spread was a PK, I was expecting around a -3 to -3.5 for the Nets. Which of course, prior to a college exam got me thinking... Why would the Net's not be favorites coming off 3 days rest, at home, against a Lakers team who is inefficient on the road?
Then I did some research, and besides the Knicks, the Nets have really struggled against decent teams. A majority of their wins are against weak opponents. they are 17-0 against teams with under 500 records while 10-19 against teams with over .500 records. With many of those 10 teams being those who are great home teams, poor road teams. So would you assume the streak ends tonight? I think I do, the Lakers for the first time this season are not playing like a true under .500 team.
The Vegas perspective (and please correct me if you think I am over thinking). When Vegas makes odds they account for the Laker (major market) effect with a ton more money coming in on them than other teams. But have a PK at Brooklyn IMO begs people to put money on the Nets and scares people from betting the lakers. To me this looks like a 100% trap game, that Vegas believes the Lakers are going to win, hence knowing they will get most their original action on the Nets. Then even more once Dwight Howard is confirmed out. The line has already moved 2.5 points.
Kobe loves playing in the East coast and generally does very well. Pau Gasol has been playing very well on the Offensive end the last few games, and the Lakers bench has finally started hitting some 3s. On the other hand, Williams and Johnson have been inconsistent.
I like lakers +2.5, will wait to see if I can get 3 or 3.5 though.
Opinions?
Then I did some research, and besides the Knicks, the Nets have really struggled against decent teams. A majority of their wins are against weak opponents. they are 17-0 against teams with under 500 records while 10-19 against teams with over .500 records. With many of those 10 teams being those who are great home teams, poor road teams. So would you assume the streak ends tonight? I think I do, the Lakers for the first time this season are not playing like a true under .500 team.
The Vegas perspective (and please correct me if you think I am over thinking). When Vegas makes odds they account for the Laker (major market) effect with a ton more money coming in on them than other teams. But have a PK at Brooklyn IMO begs people to put money on the Nets and scares people from betting the lakers. To me this looks like a 100% trap game, that Vegas believes the Lakers are going to win, hence knowing they will get most their original action on the Nets. Then even more once Dwight Howard is confirmed out. The line has already moved 2.5 points.
Kobe loves playing in the East coast and generally does very well. Pau Gasol has been playing very well on the Offensive end the last few games, and the Lakers bench has finally started hitting some 3s. On the other hand, Williams and Johnson have been inconsistent.
I like lakers +2.5, will wait to see if I can get 3 or 3.5 though.
Opinions?
