Overall record 20 -7
Ok let´s see what is in today´s card:
Bobcats at Toronto -8: While Toronto is playing a 66.7% ATS as home fav the bobcats are playing 40% ATS as road dogs, another stat to consider is that bobcats is 47.1% ATS in conference games vs 60% from Toronto, I see this game being won by the hom eteam ate least by 10 pts lean Toronto -8.
Suns at Nets -7: I don´t see a clearpath for neither of these 2 teams line is at 7 and I see the game being decided by 7 to 8 pts, will leave this one alone.
Utah at Hawks -4.5: Atlanta has became the most unpredictable team to cap for me I see this game very close, even I would say I like Utah here to cover, but I will walk away from this one. For those who likes totals I see more value here in OVER 193.
Houston at Boston -2.5: This is one of those matches that I can´t understand why the lower team is laying points. I mean Houston has been hitting pretty nice in non conference games 87.5% ATS vs the poor 25% from Boston. I really don´t like to play games like this but will consider to play Houston here +2.5. I see Houston winning SU.
San Antonio at Memphis: Match of the day IMO, most of the ppl may think easy one for the high octane offense from the Spurs, but I recomend you to think it twice. Spurs is 33.3% ATS as road dogs while Memphis is 60% ATS as home fav, Memphis has the edge on conference games 57.9% vs 42.9%. This is basically a PK game. Will think a lil more about it.
Wolves at Hornets -2: Another Pk game basically, while Wolves are 53.3% ATS as road dogs vs 33.3% from NO as home fav, the Hornets own the edge on conference games 61.9% vs 44.4%. I see this game very close too, have to think about it as well.
Bulls at NY -4: Anthony is back, Ny is playing 70% ats after a loss, 50% in b2b, 63.2% in conference games, a no brainer right?.....yes I am leaning NY -4.
Detroit at Bucks -5.5: Bucks has the momentum, playing 69.6% ATS in conference games vs 50% from Pistons, though Pistons is 54.5% after a loss vs 41.2% after a win, I see this game decided by 4 or 5 points, line is at 5.5. Will walk away. I see more value here playing the under 197.
Cavs at Denver -11.5: DD line, although I see Denver winning this very easy, no play for me.
OKC at Lakers +6: Wow I don´t remember seeing LA like this in recent years, 2 times as dogs at home this season and both lost, while OKC is 66.7% ATS as road fav, 45.8% from LA in conference games, 64.7% from OKC, though even with all these stats, I don´t feel confident to play OKC after a blowout victory, will walk away from this one.
Portland at G.State -7.5: It might look as a high line here, let´s see: GS is playing an amazing 81.8% ATS after a loss vs 35.3% from Blazers after a win, even that Blazers do pretty solid in b2b at 62.5% ATS GS is same 62.5% after a day off. Portland is 43.8% as road dog while GS is 72.7% as home favs. My lean GS -7.5.
Final plays will be posted later on.
GLTA
Ok let´s see what is in today´s card:
Bobcats at Toronto -8: While Toronto is playing a 66.7% ATS as home fav the bobcats are playing 40% ATS as road dogs, another stat to consider is that bobcats is 47.1% ATS in conference games vs 60% from Toronto, I see this game being won by the hom eteam ate least by 10 pts lean Toronto -8.
Suns at Nets -7: I don´t see a clearpath for neither of these 2 teams line is at 7 and I see the game being decided by 7 to 8 pts, will leave this one alone.
Utah at Hawks -4.5: Atlanta has became the most unpredictable team to cap for me I see this game very close, even I would say I like Utah here to cover, but I will walk away from this one. For those who likes totals I see more value here in OVER 193.
Houston at Boston -2.5: This is one of those matches that I can´t understand why the lower team is laying points. I mean Houston has been hitting pretty nice in non conference games 87.5% ATS vs the poor 25% from Boston. I really don´t like to play games like this but will consider to play Houston here +2.5. I see Houston winning SU.
San Antonio at Memphis: Match of the day IMO, most of the ppl may think easy one for the high octane offense from the Spurs, but I recomend you to think it twice. Spurs is 33.3% ATS as road dogs while Memphis is 60% ATS as home fav, Memphis has the edge on conference games 57.9% vs 42.9%. This is basically a PK game. Will think a lil more about it.
Wolves at Hornets -2: Another Pk game basically, while Wolves are 53.3% ATS as road dogs vs 33.3% from NO as home fav, the Hornets own the edge on conference games 61.9% vs 44.4%. I see this game very close too, have to think about it as well.
Bulls at NY -4: Anthony is back, Ny is playing 70% ats after a loss, 50% in b2b, 63.2% in conference games, a no brainer right?.....yes I am leaning NY -4.
Detroit at Bucks -5.5: Bucks has the momentum, playing 69.6% ATS in conference games vs 50% from Pistons, though Pistons is 54.5% after a loss vs 41.2% after a win, I see this game decided by 4 or 5 points, line is at 5.5. Will walk away. I see more value here playing the under 197.
Cavs at Denver -11.5: DD line, although I see Denver winning this very easy, no play for me.
OKC at Lakers +6: Wow I don´t remember seeing LA like this in recent years, 2 times as dogs at home this season and both lost, while OKC is 66.7% ATS as road fav, 45.8% from LA in conference games, 64.7% from OKC, though even with all these stats, I don´t feel confident to play OKC after a blowout victory, will walk away from this one.
Portland at G.State -7.5: It might look as a high line here, let´s see: GS is playing an amazing 81.8% ATS after a loss vs 35.3% from Blazers after a win, even that Blazers do pretty solid in b2b at 62.5% ATS GS is same 62.5% after a day off. Portland is 43.8% as road dog while GS is 72.7% as home favs. My lean GS -7.5.
Final plays will be posted later on.
GLTA
