PSBF system 1.0

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  • oilcountry99
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 08-29-10
    • 707

    #36
    Yinz
    If you do a 3 or 4 team parlay do you still only have 1 fade play?

    I dont think i would do anything more than a 2 gamer unless it was a money line parlay

    Isn't the contingency plan really the fade play in hopes you can salvage some profit as the goal here is to hit the parlay and make the maximum profit? The good thing is you wont lose more than 1.5 units per set with 2 chances to profit
    Comment
    • Yinz Hooligan
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-04-12
      • 318

      #37
      Originally posted by oilcountry99
      Yinz
      If you do a 3 or 4 team parlay do you still only have 1 fade play?

      I dont think i would do anything more than a 2 gamer unless it was a money line parlay

      Isn't the contingency plan really the fade play in hopes you can salvage some profit as the goal here is to hit the parlay and make the maximum profit? The good thing is you wont lose more than 1.5 units per set with 2 chances to profit
      you have it spot on.. yes only one fade play as i dont wanna risk more than 1.50 units a play. i usually go with 2 play parlays unless i feel real good about 3-4 games..usually its not the case with me tho.
      Comment
      • Yinz Hooligan
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-04-12
        • 318

        #38
        Originally posted by Yinz Hooligan
        1/3/12

        system play #6

        2 play parlay risking .50 units

        Knicks PK
        Nuggets -8

        Single Play 1 unit

        Timberwolves +8






        With the knicks win , we are into the green again for the system the record will be 6-0

        rooting for the wolves to keep it close for the better payout

        Comment
        • Yinz Hooligan
          SBR Sharp
          • 12-04-12
          • 318

          #39
          Originally posted by Yinz Hooligan
          1/3/12

          system play #6

          2 play parlay risking .50 units

          Knicks PK
          Nuggets -8

          Single Play 1 unit

          Timberwolves +8







          1/3/13

          system play #6

          winner

          +.40 units




          the system is 6-0 ytd
          +2.25 units
          Comment
          • Yinz Hooligan
            SBR Sharp
            • 12-04-12
            • 318

            #40
            1/4/13

            system play #7

            2 play parlay risking .50 units

            Memphis -9
            LA Lakers +4

            single play 1 unit

            LA Clippers -4


            Comment
            • oilcountry99
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-29-10
              • 707

              #41
              Yinz
              Wouldnt it have been a better payout if DEN covered? Why root for MIN to keep it close?

              With all the games today are you only planning to run the one set posted?

              Good luck! Lets keep it green!
              Comment
              • oilcountry99
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 08-29-10
                • 707

                #42
                My bad, you're right the single game winner is the bigger payout.

                So everything I said yesterday was backwards.

                I guess the more i look at this the more im not sure it makes sense to me. Your strongest play is the single game bet seeing as that is the highest payout, you want that to win first an foremost. So then you fade your strongest play and pair it with your second strongest play as insurance or contingency plan. Thats how i understand it, am I right?
                Comment
                • Yinz Hooligan
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-04-12
                  • 318

                  #43
                  the whole point of this is to cut your losses, you will never win more than .25 or .40 units unless you hit a 3 or 4 game plarlay and miss the single play with this system. hope this makes sense. the games i choose are the games i feel fit this system the best. im either gonna win the parlay or only win the single play a high percent of the time. i may have more than 1 set of plays per day also. but for now risking 1.5 units a day on this is what im comfortable with.
                  Comment
                  • comppicks35
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 12-20-12
                    • 72

                    #44
                    Congrats, Yinz. Picking the winner of the 1st game is always tough and its been working so keep it up.
                    I like the Memphis play tonight, but I would flip the 2nd game, putting the clips in the parlay and playing the lakeshow straight. Clips have a better chance of covering the small line IMHO.
                    Good luck!!
                    Comment
                    • Teamprofit101
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 12-14-11
                      • 336

                      #45
                      I like the system, i'll jump on board tomorrow....can you give me some more detail on how you pick your top plays? Cause the system depends on how good you cap your game, so i want to get an idea of how you make your picks
                      Comment
                      • oilcountry99
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 08-29-10
                        • 707

                        #46
                        Comp and Yinz

                        Comp if you think LAC has a better chance of covering would you not play this the same way as Yinz played it?

                        The bigger payout comes on the single game winner.
                        Comment
                        • Yinz Hooligan
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 12-04-12
                          • 318

                          #47
                          Originally posted by oilcountry99
                          Comp and Yinz

                          Comp if you think LAC has a better chance of covering would you not play this the same way as Yinz played it?

                          The bigger payout comes on the single game winner.
                          Comment
                          • Yinz Hooligan
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-04-12
                            • 318

                            #48
                            Originally posted by comppicks35
                            Congrats, Yinz. Picking the winner of the 1st game is always tough and its been working so keep it up.
                            I like the Memphis play tonight, but I would flip the 2nd game, putting the clips in the parlay and playing the lakeshow straight. Clips have a better chance of covering the small line IMHO.
                            Good luck!!

                            if you hit the 2 play parlay and miss the single play the pay out is .25 units

                            if you hit the single play and miss the parlay the pay out is .40 units
                            Comment
                            • oilcountry99
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 08-29-10
                              • 707

                              #49
                              Don't you mean if you hit the single the payout is .40 units?
                              Comment
                              • Yinz Hooligan
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-04-12
                                • 318

                                #50
                                yes, .40 for the single just like tonight , thanks for catching that.
                                Comment
                                • Yinz Hooligan
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-04-12
                                  • 318

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Yinz Hooligan
                                  1/4/13

                                  system play #7

                                  2 play parlay risking .50 units

                                  Memphis -9
                                  LA Lakers +4

                                  single play 1 unit

                                  LA Clippers -4


                                  1/4/13

                                  system play #7

                                  winner

                                  +.40 units



                                  7-0 ytd +2.65 units

                                  ..all we do is win.
                                  Comment
                                  • Yinz Hooligan
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 12-04-12
                                    • 318

                                    #52
                                    1/5/13

                                    system play #8

                                    3 play parlay risking .50 units

                                    Cavs +6
                                    jazz +9.5
                                    clippers -6

                                    single play 1 unit

                                    Golden State +6

                                    Comment
                                    • kilrathi
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-22-12
                                      • 126

                                      #53
                                      maybe i am too stupid to understand this but what happens if the game u r not fading loses and the single play? then u lose 1.5 units?

                                      in average u get +.40 units on a day so u would need almost 4 days to get those 1.5 units back? am i right? and if yes... isnt this some kind of ultra risky system?
                                      Comment
                                      • KingDF
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 01-01-13
                                        • 168

                                        #54
                                        Awesome system, I'm using one similar. Check out my picks for today.
                                        Comment
                                        • comppicks35
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 12-20-12
                                          • 72

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by oilcountry99
                                          Comp and Yinz

                                          Comp if you think LAC has a better chance of covering would you not play this the same way as Yinz played it?

                                          The bigger payout comes on the single game winner.
                                          Oil - yeah it did work the way Yinz had it and if I had followed it, I would have won, but I decided to lay off the MEM game after hearing the Z-Bo was out with the flu. That would have been too much points to give up without your best playmaker.
                                          Laid off the LA game as well because I feared that the 4thQ was gonna be trouble for the Clips (and I was almost right).

                                          I did try this with OKC and Houston and ended up with the smaller profit. If you have to lose, you'd rather lose the parlay and win the straight. The true gamble on this is trying to win it all for the max profit.
                                          Comment
                                          • oilcountry99
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 08-29-10
                                            • 707

                                            #56
                                            Exactly what i was thinking. You have to sneak in some 3 team parlay winners to create cushion and get ahead IMO. Its fun to play but I dont think it will be a big money maker unless you are really good at capping the NBA.

                                            Originally posted by kilrathi
                                            maybe i am too stupid to understand this but what happens if the game u r not fading loses and the single play? then u lose 1.5 units?

                                            in average u get +.40 units on a day so u would need almost 4 days to get those 1.5 units back? am i right? and if yes... isnt this some kind of ultra risky system?
                                            Comment
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