Leans for Wednesday 11/26/08

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  • cocknocker
    Restricted User
    • 11-06-08
    • 8001

    #1
    Leans for Wednesday 11/26/08
    Well the last time the Pistons were on the court it was Blowout City, with a bad 20 point loss to the Minnesota T-Wolves. After intensive work on defensive rotation, the vets on the squad are chomping at the bit to get back onto the court and display the type of play that has been defined as DEE-TROIT basketball. I don't want to go too far into a boring explanation as to why i like this play, but for starters, they are playing the defenseless Knicks, who helped to cash our ticket yesterday for the Cleveland team total of 110. Expectmore of the same Wednesday night when the Pistons get ahold of them in round two of fade the Knicks. It wasn't enough that they played late last night against the Cavs, but now they have to play another good team the following night coming off of that type of loss. 11.5 points is not enough.

    Okay game two for me. I like the Hawks to blow out the Bucks who have quietly gone on a 7-1-1 ats streak. The Hawks are 0-5 ats, but the Bucks will come to the rescue and save them from having their new fan base turn against them Wednesday. And believe me the natives are restless and want a strong showing. With Andrew Bogut nursing a sore knee and Redd out, the Bucks have gotten enough excuse me covers, but now they are running out of gas in Georgia. The Hawks are 3-0 straight up and ats in their last 3 games at home against the Bucks. I expect more of the same in this contest. With the hawks having lst 5 in a row ats, the linesmaker will give them some slack. I say that the line ends up being around 4.5 according to my scoring model.

    On we go to Style's pick o the day. She likes the Raptors to get teh job done against her beloved Bobcats. The Raptors are 3-1 ats in the last 4 games between the two in Canada, and they are also coming off of a rare two game home losing streak, losing tough games to Boston and the shootout with New Jersey. Look for this to be a double digit win. The Bobcats are improving, but not enough to stay close in this one as the new lineup has yet to be tried on the road. With Okafor dwelling as a malcontent on the bench, the Bobcats will have troubles with teams that have strong inside games, and Toronto fits that mold. If Jermaine O'neal misses the game with a sore knee, it will be an even better play as bettors will relax and so will the linemaker, and give the Raptors a ridiculously low line. They usually blow teams out at home. I project the line to be Toronto-6


    So here's the Wednesday lineup:

    Detroit-11.5
    Toronto-6 (projected) (Style's pick)
    Hawks -4.5 (projected)

    I am still undecided about taking the Detroit team total. I expect that it will be around 110 for Detroit, and 98.5 for New York (which won't happen when the Pistons have worked at defense exclusively and are concentrating solely on the tired Knicks playing the back end of a back to back.)
  • Alex68
    SBR Rookie
    • 11-07-08
    • 42

    #2
    BOL CK.
    Comment
    • vassman86
      SBR MVP
      • 03-11-08
      • 1042

      #3
      any insight from styles on the sacramento game??
      Comment
      • showtime2000
        SBR MVP
        • 11-09-08
        • 1054

        #4
        Nice card CK, adding Phoenix Coyotes and Buffalo Sabres in NHL to my card aswell. Phoenix lost 6 games in a row and has bet Columbus already twice this year. Buffalo has lost 5 games in a row. Great day!
        Comment
        • BiggDogg5n2
          SBR MVP
          • 11-23-08
          • 2416

          #5
          BOL today on all your playz..... ...Dogg
          Comment
          • cocknocker
            Restricted User
            • 11-06-08
            • 8001

            #6
            vassman, she doesn't know about that one yet. I have to call her throughout the day and let her know the line movement. She has a slight lean for the Nets in the 1st half so far due to the nature of how they lost last night, and Sacramento sitting around. I will definitely let you and the entire board know.
            Comment
            • jamesrg
              SBR High Roller
              • 06-23-08
              • 174

              #7
              Hey cocknocker good job as usual but you left out the Spurs man

              I think they have their way with the Bulls tonight , what do you think ????
              Comment
              • peterpan19
                Restricted User
                • 11-02-08
                • 3377

                #8
                ck any thoughts about that den -5
                seems too low for me, the last time den played their they outscored them by 10 and 18 pts., also clippers are a mess in my oppinion
                I think lac will give up too many points to denver
                Comment
                • BrandonLaz
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-18-08
                  • 855

                  #9
                  What do you think about Phoenix -4 out to show everybody that they are a better team than the team that only beat OKC by 1 last night. I expect them to play with a lot of intensity tonight and to really bring it to the T'Wolves. I believe this line is in relation to the way Minnesota won against the Pistons.

                  The game that I am really interested in and am pretty positive I am going on though is the Magic +2.5 and a ML play on it as well. Orlando is 4-1 on the road this year not to mention 6-1 SU against the 76ers in their last 7 matchups. One of those wins was by 10 earlier this year I really like this play and suggest you jump on it for some action.

                  I know you don't do much College Basketball betting this early in the season the Purdue line of -9 looks really good. They are 3-0 ATS this year, and 4-0 straight up. Boston College just lost to St. Louis 53-50, and that is not a good sign against a Purdue defense allowing just 50 ppg. Not to mention Purdue has 4 returning starters off of their team from last year strong play on Purdue tonight for me.
                  Comment
                  • cocknocker
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-06-08
                    • 8001

                    #10
                    Fresh hot lines in, and Detroit has already gone up to 13, Toronto went up from-7 to-8, and I had the good luck to catch them at -7. Atlanta has a line of -6.5. I absolutely love these lines, and i am playing tem all as advertised. The Knicks have the worst defense in the league as i indicated, and with no one to stop the Pistons from doing whatever they want to do, this one will get ugly in the 2nd half, just like last night when the Cavs came calling.

                    I already went over the reasons as to why the Raptors is a good play, and with such a sharp increase of the spread (it jumped right over 7.5 and went directly to 8) the linemaker obviously caught his mistake, or maybe it was just my book when they saw the amount theat I put up immediately once it was presented. The Raptors will blow out the Bobcats in this game. Trust that. Just ask yourself a question. Do you really think that a team such as the Raptors would lose three in a row at home? Not likely. Get em boys.

                    Atlanta's in the same boat, having lost those 5 straight ats. It is a great time for Milwaukee to come knocking. They are just what a young super athletic team like the Hawks needed.

                    As a footnote, guys don't take the Pistons in the 1st half on this one. The value is in the overall spread. They wil be relentless tonight. They avenge home losses with vigor, and the 20 point loss to the T-Wolves will beall the fuel that they need to get things in order in their house. The team total is not out yet, but as indicated, I am estimating it to be somewhere in the range of 110.
                    Comment
                    • cocknocker
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-06-08
                      • 8001

                      #11
                      jamesrg,

                      I am going to wait one more game before I start wagering with the Spurs. Ginobili isn't all the way jelled in yet. But it sounds like a good wager to me. the Spurs are still what they are. A threat to beat any team on any given night. The line is nice and low, and the Bulls are primed to get blown out. But if Rose is not playing, his production will be replaced by someone else. Maybe Deng? i don't know he is underacheiving this year unlike any player that I know of with a spanking new contract.

                      peterpan19,

                      Denver and the Clips looks a litle too easy for some reason. Why don't you try the Clippers team total to go under to back up your spread bet with the Nuggets? I think that Denvers' defense is underrated, and the Clips just don't shoot the ball that well. I like that game to go under the total.

                      Brandonlaz,

                      You are correct. Minnesota just blew out the Pistons in their last game, and have been laying around picking their teeth. Here's what I like in that game. Take Phoenix in the 1st half. Coach Porter will try to get them to get oof to a better start tonight than they did last night. They played well in the 4th quarter erasing the Oklahoma lead. It will carry over into today. Amare will dominate early. Take advantage of that and get the 1st half money instead of waiting around all game to get yours. Matter of fact, I am going to join you on this one with a light play, so we'll both have to go diown in flames together or cash the ticket together.

                      As far as college basketball is concerned, you already know what I think about that....in a word... NO! I don't like betting college basketball this early in the season. I don't trust those educands with my money. There are so many teams...I may take the position that the Missus takes with professional basketball and just handicap two or three teams that I know will lose a ton of games this year. One thing about college teams that I like is that if a team is sorry, they will stay sorry. There's no trades invovled.

                      pronk,

                      thanks for pointing out how sorry Eastern Michigan is. I think that I can follow them. They look pathetic. When I get motivated to wager on college I'll be looking you up, because you know your stuff in the young men's game.
                      Comment
                      • cocknocker
                        Restricted User
                        • 11-06-08
                        • 8001

                        #12
                        BTW, BrandonLaz, I just put $450.00 on the Suns in the 1st half, in honor of your play. You may not be CK Mafia, but I like your style an reasoning. Keep up the good work.
                        Comment
                        • BrandonLaz
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 11-18-08
                          • 855

                          #13
                          Hey CK I have been reading your post for a week or two now on here and was wondering if sports betting is your career or just a hobby that you take very seriously?
                          Comment
                          • BrandonLaz
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-18-08
                            • 855

                            #14
                            Also I ended up taking Phoenix on 1st half and the game spreads. With you as well on Raptors and Hawks tonight couldnt pull the trigger on my second favorite team the Pistons though it is hard for me to bet on games involving them.
                            Comment
                            • cocknocker
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-06-08
                              • 8001

                              #15
                              BrandonLaz, this is what I do as an occupation as well as horticutlural things if you know what I mean.
                              Comment
                              • BrandonLaz
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-18-08
                                • 855

                                #16
                                Nice I know what you mean got to love those two jobs. Anyway Nice job these past couple weeks I look forward to seeing what your take is at halftime on games later tonight.
                                Comment
                                • maddogmadden86
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-08-08
                                  • 898

                                  #17
                                  CK horticultural huh man it must be nice living in CAli which basically allows those type of things to go on i havent been able to find shit lately lol
                                  Comment
                                  • 2qwik
                                    SBR Hustler
                                    • 11-12-08
                                    • 61

                                    #18
                                    I was thinking about going big on the under of 190.5 for the Bulls/Spurs game tonight. What is your take on this ?

                                    My bad, there you go
                                    Comment
                                    • IrwinFletcher
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 11-10-08
                                      • 96

                                      #19
                                      Dude.. you realize this is a public forum, right?..

                                      Not very smart if you ask me.

                                      I would edit that post if I were you.
                                      Comment
                                      • maddogmadden86
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-08-08
                                        • 898

                                        #20
                                        whats wrong with growing christmas trees irwin?
                                        Comment
                                        • cocknocker
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-06-08
                                          • 8001

                                          #21
                                          IrwinFletcher,

                                          it's legal where I live as long as you stay under the limit. You can have up to 100. I am way below that number, and I am licensed with the state as well as locally. When you got your L's you can get behind the wheel right? I know you got love for me, and just like all the CK Mafia, you are looking out for me, but it is what it is. Besides, if I can make 6 figures without working for anyone else why would I want a job. I've been at it for years. Good lookin' out though. It shows that you care.
                                          Comment
                                          • IrwinFletcher
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 11-10-08
                                            • 96

                                            #22
                                            Nothin' brothers, nothin' like the smell of d' urban christmas trees.. if ya know what I mean!!
                                            Comment
                                            • cocknocker
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 11-06-08
                                              • 8001

                                              #23
                                              2qwik, YES! I absolutely love that play. I just love the sides tonight a little more. Bettors should jump on Detroit quickly though before the line gets out of control. I am surprised no on on the board likes the Sixers tonight. That was my 4th favorite play until I got ahold of Brandon's brilliant Phoenix 1st half play. I really like the Sixers in this position. I say that they win by 6 or 7 points in their matchup with Orlando. jameer nelson is sitting this one out, and they have not established a decent backup for him yet. Our boy from Duke is an excellent sharpshooter but he is not that good of a ball handler, and will have trouble bringing the ball up against the likes of Andre Miller and Sweet Lou. Sixers will probably paste them if the magic aren't careful. I may not be able to resist this play if the public keeps on pounding Orlando. it started off at 2 and went to Philly-4.5 with all of the money in the free world on Orlando (62% with bettors). Philly is a solid play gentlemen. the moneyline is even correct on this one for 4.5 points!
                                              Comment
                                              • Pick'nParlays
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-22-08
                                                • 3134

                                                #24
                                                good for you ck. grow that shit
                                                Comment
                                                • IrwinFletcher
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 11-10-08
                                                  • 96

                                                  #25
                                                  right on CK.. That was my next question, whether or not you have the card.. Good for you.. I'd love to shoot the shit realtime with you some time. I'll send you a line via email...

                                                  And be careful.. you saw what went down in sactown last summer, right? Fcukin feds don't give a shit...

                                                  Comment
                                                  • cocknocker
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 11-06-08
                                                    • 8001

                                                    #26
                                                    Somebody convince me why i should not take Philly tonight. Even the Free Money Man is on it as well.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cocknocker
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 11-06-08
                                                      • 8001

                                                      #27
                                                      IrwinFletcher,

                                                      They were over the limit, and they had acquired more elbows than they were supposed to have. I follow strict guidelines, sweet and low.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • maddogmadden86
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 11-08-08
                                                        • 898

                                                        #28
                                                        i was just about to post about philly CK my boss took off and was about to write a post but you beat me to it 76ers at home and orlando without nelson will be too much jj is a biotch and all he can do is try to shoot the 3
                                                        Comment
                                                        • maddogmadden86
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-08-08
                                                          • 898

                                                          #29
                                                          hey CK what would a brother have to do to move out there and work for you lol
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Garso
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 10-27-08
                                                            • 162

                                                            #30
                                                            hey CK... detroit TT is o/u 110.5 whaddya think?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • IrwinFletcher
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 11-10-08
                                                              • 96

                                                              #31
                                                              I figured.. I know a couple didn't have their cards.. Way to go.. Don't get greedy.. After all with all the modern HC science you can turn 100 over 4+ times/year.. if my math is right.. gotta consider the mom and all her children..

                                                              Comment
                                                              • nick2060
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-28-08
                                                                • 1051

                                                                #32
                                                                I was on philly since last night, thought the spread would go down with everybody on orlando so i ended up havin to take it at 4.5, but thats life.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • IrwinFletcher
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 11-10-08
                                                                  • 96

                                                                  #33
                                                                  go check your email CK..
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • maddogmadden86
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-08-08
                                                                    • 898

                                                                    #34
                                                                    wow some serious reverse line movement going on in the sixers game with 70% of the money on the magic the line has gone from -2 to -4.5 -5 splt 50/50 in different books, even though the sixers havent beat the magic since 06 i like igoudala and brand to work on howard have him get into foul trouble like he always does and with out jameer nelson running the point the sixers will take it
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cocknocker
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-06-08
                                                                      • 8001

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Don't worry about it nick2060,

                                                                      I think that the Sixers get it done tonight, or if you don't like that then rock the moneyline and increase your winning percentage chances. Good luck with the Bucks tonight. It's a difficult spot for them to get the covr, but hey, they have gone 7-1-1 ats in recent form. I just couldn't go against a quality team that has lost 5 in row ats. It doesn't matter who wins. See we'll still love ya tomorrow even if your lady doesn't! No biases in the CK Mafia. Wangichu went against the grain yesterday and had solid points and got the win. And I was proud of how he layed it down. Do it man! Get that cheddo bro!
                                                                      Comment
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