You have to take emotions out when playing a chase system and play it like a robot. As long as you're using top notch money management, you will most likely come out with profit.
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njb5572 The worst thing you can do is decrease your unit size after a lose. It prolongs your recovery. The best thing is to just stay constant, simple and effective.Comment -
Here's a question for Stiffler.
Overall from 2006-Present. You're up 880 units. If you set 1 unit = 100 dollars. You'd be up 88000 dollars.
Would it be crazy to start with a bank roll of 10k?
I have the money to do it and the stats show that you make at least 100 units per year?Comment -
you would be up a lot more because you reevaluate your unit size every season..that said keep in mind that the money you use for this has to be some money you can afford lose because the past stats are only past stats..there is no guarantee and you might lose it all..otherwise yeah you can go for it!!Comment -
First off, i'm very interested in this chase system and I think you've done an excellent job. I'm wondering if you've experimented in more detailed systems. For example,
S4: Whenever a team had an OT game start the 4 game chase after this game. Play to lose ATS after that OT game.
Can you back track and see what the chances of the team losing ATS the night after an OT game that the team just lost ATS.
For example: Toronto did not cover last night in OT. They play today. What are the chances they don't cover the spread?Comment -
I agree with you to an extent, but if a system is performing to the %'s you posted above on each individual stage of a bet, you will make money from single betting (I hope to find that it would be consistent year in year out). You won't make as much as if you were chasing because there won't be as many plays, as the %'s you have given above on a season to season basis probably make the A and B bets unplayable.
However, betting on the C and D bets (single) you would make +120units over the time you have backtested. You would have to take away the bookies edge to achieve that, but it's profitable.
I will definitely be backtesting your systems (in no way I think your wrong by the way, I just like the info infront of me to make decisions). The %'s are too good not to do anything with them
How long have you been using these systems??Comment -
Any plays tonight?Comment -
everything is already said, just play what u can afford to lose. No one can guarantee money in sports betting, except ur bookie. Anyway, in the end it is ur decision.
Even if Toronto would have covered, they would qualify today for the S4 play. All i can provide is the winning % on S4 over the years and overall (but only for the teams listed for S4).Can you back track and see what the chances of the team losing ATS the night after an OT game that the team just lost ATS.
For example: Toronto did not cover last night in OT. They play today. What are the chances they don't cover the spread?Comment -
Stifler, you are a nice gent to repost your plays when a poster asks, even though all he had to do is go back a couple of pages to see today's plays.Comment -
Stifler, great job with this thread, looking forward to a fatter wallet at the end!Comment -
Actually I think they are ridicules and stupid and I've been handicapping for over 40 years!i know alot people hate chase systems,
HOWEVER - Stifler seems to have a tweak to the typical chase. I think the key here is picking what teams to play and if I were him I would keep that part a secret. I guarantee if you used his chase on EVERY team you would go belly up sooner or later.
Stifler - NHL??? Cricket? Soccer? just sayin.
GUYS - the REAL wager is . . .what is the over/under for posts in this thread at the end of the season.
BTW I'm 22-13 NFL ATS with Bridejumper (22 year old system).Last edited by Grinder12000; 11-13-12, 06:49 PM.Comment -
If you are not used to the format for picks it's tough to find. You should see baseball LOLComment -
do you find that for system 1/2, if win streaks or losing streaks are more successful?Comment -
Thanks Limit for your insight, appreciate the response. You think anything similar to 7/5 can be done here? Willing to help where I can..Comment -
Looks to me that the teams being played in each system tells the story. Was looking at streaks for a few teams and yup!! I was looking at Milwaukee and for S1 play them only in Winning Streaks The Bucks are really choppy but when they get on a winning streak they rarely BAM - go down hill. However with losing streaks they do turn it around going the other way.
In fact going back to 2003 the Bucks are 46-3 HOWEVER they were 3-2 in the 1st 3 weeks of 2003. After 3-2 they went like 43-1 up to last night.
Like to see the % of times we get stressed out and win that 4th game. We know how many times it loses.Comment -
Alright people, the flipping amount of STUPID questions or lack of LOOKING THROUGH THIS THREAD is getting OUT OF CONTROL.
If you have to QUESTION EVERYTHING PLAY he puts out, then maybe this isn't for you.
FOR HEAVEN'S SAKE...stop already.
All of us that subscribe to this thread have to come to it so damn much for all of these petty posts.
Come on people...Comment -
oopsComment -
Agreed!
If you have a question, please take the initiative to find the answer in a past post.
All the questions are a bother, especially for Stifler.Comment -
If all of you are scared to lose some short-term money, then his chase system is not for you. You need to think long term if you want this system to work for you. And if you're scared to lose a relatively big amount of money in losing D bets, start with B bets as your A bets. This will technically increase your chances of winning in terms of the series chase because you eliminate the riskiest bet which is the A-bet. But of course, small payout in the long-run.Comment -
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14.11.2012
S1
(B Bet) Atl fade: Portland -2,5 1,10u | Golden State -1,5 2,31u
S2
(A Bet) Bos fade: Utah - waiting on a better line here
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+5.5 ?
Bridgejumper is over in the NFL forum (look for Bridgejumper. Developed 22 years ago, 30-40 plays a year so it's not a big deal. wins about 60% ATS 537-362 lifetime. I honestly forgot about this forum or would have been posting plays.
Sorry Stifler - not trying to threadjack.Comment -
I like Golden State but not UthatComment -
Boston lost their last 3 ATS at home.Comment
Btw Stifler, great job and you "ARE" the greatest and kindest person on earth, and I wish I could meet you in person to shake your hand and buy you a beer or two 
