2012-13 NBA Picks

**No coincidences** · 03-04-13, 11:56 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I'm not sure why we don't just bet Heat, Spurs, Thunder and AGAINST the Bobcats every game and just enjoy or slow ROI.

Just looked it up -- 60% strategy. Unreal.

**Vinnie Paz** · 03-05-13, 12:01 AM

Raptors fighting....

**Dexter** · 03-05-13, 12:41 AM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Fukk me!

I might as well burn my Raptors ticket now!!

ppoker....movie is coming out soon.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CJIXOx2-GZ8

if you know how to read, i suggest the book by the late Phil Carlo. One of the most entertaining books if you're into true crime...

**Dexter** · 03-05-13, 12:42 AM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I'm not sure why we don't just bet Heat, Spurs, Thunder and AGAINST the Bobcats every game and just enjoy or slow ROI.

lol...trick is to predict this before it happens.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-13, 12:46 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

lol...trick is to predict this before it happens.

Again, 60% for the season.

**Dexter** · 03-05-13, 12:50 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Again, 60% for the season.

again, you need to be on board before it gets to 60%....not start betting it after its 60%.

the strategy will finish at 55% which is still good, and you lose by jumping on board too late. brilliant handicapping strategy...

**No coincidences** · 03-05-13, 01:08 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

again, you need to be on board before it gets to 60%....not start betting it after its 60%.

the strategy will finish at 55% which is still good, and you lose by jumping on board too late. brilliant handicapping strategy...

My stupid lifetime-loser buddies employ this "strategy" every night.

Point being, it's amazing we're 60 games into the season and Vegas is still this far off on balancing their books. Where would they be without the Lakers? Turns out, you've basically needed zero skill to crush the NBA this year.

**Dexter** · 03-05-13, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

My stupid lifetime-loser buddies employ this "strategy" every night.

Point being, it's amazing we're 60 games into the season and Vegas is still this far off on balancing their books. Where would they be without the Lakers? Turns out, you've basically needed zero skill to crush the NBA this year.

right....they knew to exactly bet the heat, spurs, thunder and fade the bobcats every game. like they're not chasing on other TV favorites if they're as predictable as you claim. stop it bro...

what a joke tor....had +6.5....

**No coincidences** · 03-05-13, 01:20 AM

Originally posted by Dexter

right....they knew to exactly bet the heat, spurs, thunder and fade the bobcats every game. like they're not chasing on other TV favorites if they're as predictable as you claim. stop it bro...

what a joke tor....had +6.5....

They bet the really good teams and fade the worst teams all the time. It's like betting the Yankees in baseball. You know people like this, Dex. Unreal that Vegas has allowed this to happen over the course of 60 games.

**Dexter** · 03-05-13, 10:13 AM

What can possibly be done. Make Mia -17 at minny?

Trust me. The guys you talk about are losing in the wrong heat game. They're not getting rich off the heat thunder etc.

**PAULYPOKER** · 03-05-13, 02:18 PM

Today is a day to play all anti public parlays

Books have been getting buried on every single game for 2 days straight!

Parlay everything and you will get back what all you lost the last few days and then some......

**PAULYPOKER** · 03-05-13, 02:21 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

ppoker....movie is coming out soon.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CJIXOx2-GZ8

if you know how to read, i suggest the book by the late Phil Carlo. One of the most entertaining books if you're into true crime...

Why didn't you post this in my thread?
The ICEMAN will be the best mob movie of all time!

Or were you going off of my AVATAR?

**No coincidences** · 03-05-13, 09:27 PM

SAC +5.5 (4.6U to win 4)

**BigDofBA** · 03-05-13, 09:39 PM

It's pretty amazing when I take a break from gambling for a while and see how mind f*cked the NBA has made all of us.

I can't wait until baseball season.

**No coincidences** · 03-05-13, 11:29 PM

Kings are imploding.

**BigDofBA** · 03-05-13, 11:32 PM

Yeah, like I've been saying for a while, some of these lines have been extremely soft.

**Vinnie Paz** · 03-05-13, 11:40 PM

Can't wait until baseball????

no thanks

You know what the problem is--y'all ain't square enough!

**No coincidences** · 03-05-13, 11:41 PM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Can't wait until baseball????

no thanks

You know what the problem is--y'all ain't square enough!

That's exactly right. Vegas has been giving out free money since the ASB virtually every day, and I'm just too stupid to take it.

**No coincidences** · 03-06-13, 04:00 PM

ORL +16 (5.5U to win 5)
PHI +9 (2.2U to win 2)

**SpreadSniper** · 03-06-13, 04:20 PM

it would almost literally kill you to take a favorite, wouldn't it?

**Vinnie Paz** · 03-06-13, 04:40 PM

Didn't learn the first betting against Miami huh

**No coincidences** · 03-06-13, 04:53 PM

Originally posted by SpreadSniper

it would almost literally kill you to take a favorite, wouldn't it?

I take favorites all the time. Just take dogs more.

Check my CBB thread last night. I got busted up on Southern Miss.

**innovation** · 03-06-13, 06:08 PM

Good luck on paper I have Heat by 22

lets see if they half ass this.

**CheeseHead** · 03-06-13, 06:58 PM

Heat ML just dropped from -2700 to -2200. I think the +16 is good tonight for the Magic but could be wrong. Miami doesn't always show up against teams they are pretty certain they'll win against.

**Vinnie Paz** · 03-06-13, 07:50 PM

Hawks might not even score this quarter

**Speedy88** · 03-06-13, 09:47 PM

Coiner, got a question for you. I know you read lines at Pinny. Have you looked much into their 1Q and 1H totals? Just started looking at them the other day. If so, are they pretty spot on? Looking at taking SAC/GS 1Q Under.

**No coincidences** · 03-07-13, 02:33 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Coiner, got a question for you. I know you read lines at Pinny. Have you looked much into their 1Q and 1H totals? Just started looking at them the other day. If so, are they pretty spot on? Looking at taking SAC/GS 1Q Under.

I haven't, no. Let me know what you come up with if you track it for a while, Speedy. Thanks pal.

**hawley** · 03-07-13, 02:35 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Coiner, got a question for you. I know you read lines at Pinny. Have you looked much into their 1Q and 1H totals? Just started looking at them the other day. If so, are they pretty spot on? Looking at taking SAC/GS 1Q Under.

Speedy I thought I glanced at this line, wasn't the over getting juiced?

**BigDofBA** · 03-07-13, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Coiner, got a question for you. I know you read lines at Pinny. Have you looked much into their 1Q and 1H totals? Just started looking at them the other day. If so, are they pretty spot on? Looking at taking SAC/GS 1Q Under.

I followed that during the first half of the year and was doing really well with it then it seemed like it totally flipped for a month or so. Could be variance, could be Pinny messing with us, I don't know.

If you compare the Pinny lines to other books and how they juice certain totals you'll know what I'm talking about.

**No coincidences** · 03-07-13, 08:12 PM

NY +8.5 (2.2U to win 2)

Hate the Knicks, hate betting against the Thunder, but this line seems ridiculous.

**BigDofBA** · 03-07-13, 09:33 PM

If Melo plays, OKC probably wins by double digits. Since he is out, the Knicks probably have a chance to win in the final minutes.

**Vinnie Paz** · 03-07-13, 09:36 PM

Have OKC -7
Knicks 13 fouls to thunders 7, hope that helps me out. Gl coins, at least 1 of profits tonight.

**No coincidences** · 03-07-13, 10:47 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

If Melo plays, OKC probably wins by double digits. Since he is out, the Knicks probably have a chance to win in the final minutes.

Exactly and that's exactly what happened.

**Vinnie Paz** · 03-07-13, 10:51 PM

Good job

**BigDofBA** · 03-07-13, 11:39 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Exactly and that's exactly what happened.

Teams play better when their "star" is out. We figured that out a long time ago.

Everyone on the team gives more effort and the team actually plays as a team. Instead of feeding the ball to Melo to jack up shots, everyone is involved and in the game. It's obvious the other guys give more effort when they're "short handed". Every team plays like this. It's like they have something to prove.

On a side not, if you play totals and your "on pace" to win your bet, check the live lines. If the live line doesn't agree with the pace, always take the side the line is going.

Example, there are three minutes left, you have the under, the teams need to score 22 to beat you, and the live line is 21.5. You're ahead of the pace, the line seems ridiculous, you think you have an easy winner....bet the over. It almost always seems to hit. Somehow the books know....

Watch the live lines and if something seems fishy and you have that feeling in the back of your head, double down on the other side. Trust me. 90% of the time when something like this is going on and I have that "feeling", it almost always seems like I'm right. If I could just double down on the other side I feel like I would be better off.

Use live betting!