Friday Possible Plays

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • MoneySportsGuy
    SBR MVP
    • 12-09-07
    • 4891

    #1
    Friday Possible Plays
    First game for me looks favorable is IND at home vs Philly
    Currently IND -1. Philly is putting up 91 on road giving up 98. IND is scoring 100 at home and giving up 92. In my opinion, IND -1 is solid play.

    Utah at Charlotte. I actually like Charlotte here as this is Utah's 4th road trip game in a row. The home team in this is 4-0 ATS and underdog is 6-2 ATS. I think Charlotte makes it close in this. The total is at 180, which if Utah scores what they average on the road 92, and give up 88 which is average right at 180 which Charlotte would cover.

    ATL at NJ. Not sure why ATL only favored by -2.5 but looks decent play to me. NJ has shown nothing a home, going 1-3, with only win being at home with Detroit. ATL will be tired from their road trip with Boston but I can see them covering by 3 or 4.

    OKC at NY. I actually like OKC here at +8.5 as NY had a great blowout win on the road vs Memphis winning 132-103 and think that is why line is little inflated. Interesting stats for this game the underdog is 4-0 ATS and the road team is 4-0 ATS.
    I think OKC can keep it close as at times NY seems to play no D giving up 101 pts to opp at home.

    Denver at Boston. I know Denver is going to be tired and its against Boston, but I feel Denver can keep it close with them. Just as with the ATL game, I think Boston is giving up too many points to a Denver team that i 13-3 ATS last 16 Friday games. I understand the Boston backers, as home team is 7-0 last 7 and the favorite is 6-1 ATS. +10 is alot to cover at home, and their only home cover of more then 10 was vs Chicago early in the season.

    Milk at Memphis. Love Bucks here as 4-1 ATS on the road so far this season and Memphis just got blownout by NY.

    Detroit at Lakers. I like Detroit here as well at +10 if the scoring is up. Detroit avg about 100 a game on road, with only one game putting up less then 100. I know they are on a long road trip, but Lakers going to be at home on Friday night show the public why they are undefeated, and I think its going to be a strong fight with Detroit not wanting to be shown up. Might just play the OVER in this, as it opened at 193.

    Houston at SA. I like Houston here as 22-7 ATS last 29 Fri games and going 5-1 ATS last 6 in SA. SA no Parker, or Gino going to be tough and even at home, they are still not a complete team at all.

    Orlando at Dallas. To me, Dallas should not be favored here, but that is fine with me. I had capped Orlando at a possible play if they were underdog, and currently they are +1 so another one to consider.

    Let me know comments insights or questions. Appreciate it and goodluck in everybody's plays.
  • peterpan19
    Restricted User
    • 11-02-08
    • 3377

    #2
    on you with den, det, atl, mil (nice one), ind and hou

    todays card just looks too good to be true

    anyway I will do some analysis later and will post my picks later tonight

    Also I think Dal looks really bad this year, nothing against dirk, but if he cant perform its gonna be a bad season. But I wouldnt take Orl or Dal in this one, right now, but maybe the line will go up to +2 or +3 here.

    gl
    Comment
    • roasthawg
      SBR MVP
      • 11-09-07
      • 2990

      #3
      I'm with you on the Bucks, OKC, and Ind!

      I'm leaning towards Char but without J-Rich I don't know if I pull the trigger.

      I'm gonna play Boston if the line drops below 10. G/L!
      Comment
      • MoneySportsGuy
        SBR MVP
        • 12-09-07
        • 4891

        #4
        peterpan,

        thanks for your input, yeah todays card does look too good to be true haha so we'll see how it all plays out.

        I like Orlando against Dallas just because I am with you, I dont think Dirk is Dirk so far this season and seems when he isnt good, team hurts.
        Comment
        • MoneySportsGuy
          SBR MVP
          • 12-09-07
          • 4891

          #5
          roasthawg,

          yeah glad your on those as well as your a great capper! I did not play the Charlotte as was going to at +6.5 but in about 30 minutes it went down to +4.5 so with J Rich out and line drops that much, going to sit on it and see how it moves rest of day.

          goodluck to you in your plays as well though!
          Comment
          • roasthawg
            SBR MVP
            • 11-09-07
            • 2990

            #6
            Originally posted by MoneySportsGuy
            roasthawg,

            yeah glad your on those as well as your a great capper! I did not play the Charlotte as was going to at +6.5 but in about 30 minutes it went down to +4.5 so with J Rich out and line drops that much, going to sit on it and see how it moves rest of day.

            goodluck to you in your plays as well though!
            Yeah, I didn't make a play on Char either as I thought the line would move in their favor if anything...strange.
            Comment
            • MoneySportsGuy
              SBR MVP
              • 12-09-07
              • 4891

              #7
              Yeah and crazy even just writing that last reply, checked now and its at +4 wtf is going on doesnt make sense to me. Do you have a good site that sees about what side public favors? I would like to include that in my analysis as well havent yet but its often good idea to fade public
              Comment
              SBR Contests
              Collapse
              Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
              Collapse
              Working...