NBA Season Thread With Matchup Analysis

**Byrone09** · 12-11-12, 07:01 PM

Dang my book had J. Johnson Over 15 -175. Too expensive!

**bjb7223** · 12-11-12, 07:03 PM

Originally posted by Byrone09

Dang my book had J. Johnson Over 15 -175. Too expensive!

5 dimes?

**Goat Milk** · 12-11-12, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander

What do you think about this prop:

Johnson +9.5 v Anthony (most points)

JJ is paying $2.40

Looks like pretty solid value. Might be worth a shot. I think Mello will drop 25+ though.

**davopnz** · 12-11-12, 07:07 PM

thoughts on the clippers?

**MrVJP** · 12-11-12, 07:09 PM

Concur with mostly everything today except the Nets game. I'm on the other side. Well, am leaning.. small play right now on Knicks and leaning large on Knicks Live Wagering.. waiting for the right number. Look at the other matchups in this game and I feel its actually tilted the other way without Lopez because JJ and Williams are very up and down.
GL with that Cavaliers TT under.. can't ever trust my lakers on the D end right now.. even when they blow teams out they let up a 100 so hope you're right.

**Goat Milk** · 12-11-12, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by davopnz

thoughts on the clippers?

no opinion on that game. i think it'll be a down to the wire game.

**davopnz** · 12-11-12, 07:20 PM

how bout hornets? they're a good unit imo much better than the wizards, davis back also

**Goat Milk** · 12-11-12, 07:31 PM

Originally posted by davopnz

how bout hornets? they're a good unit imo much better than the wizards, davis back also

I don't bet on games involving the worst teams in the NBA. I don't want to misguide you on something I'm not sure of. If I had a strong opinion on a game, I'll usually bet the game.

**davopnz** · 12-11-12, 07:31 PM

hornets are the cleveland browns on the nfl imo. "the best bad team"

**Tommy_de1st** · 12-11-12, 07:32 PM

Best of luck GM

**Byrone09** · 12-11-12, 07:38 PM

Originally posted by bjb7223

5 dimes?

yep

**davopnz** · 12-11-12, 07:41 PM

at least with the hornets you know they'll play hard unlike the bitch lakers

**Byrone09** · 12-11-12, 07:58 PM

Lakers are playing awful again. They must be the most underperforming team in the league...

**davopnz** · 12-11-12, 07:58 PM

speaking of worst teams in the nba, lakers and nugs lol

**Goat Milk** · 12-11-12, 10:52 PM

PLAY 92: BULLS 2ND HALF PK (SO +7 FOR THE GAME) RISK $110 TO WIN $100

Wow. The Lakers lost?? Davo, the nuggets won...

Kobe drops 42 and LA loses. unreal. Looks like Irving was clutch down the stretch. I honestly thought he was still banged up a bit. Unreal.

**t-wizzle** · 12-11-12, 10:54 PM

Good card tomorrow night. Be smart Goat. Don't go taking Miami because of matchup bullshit.

**blanco** · 12-11-12, 10:57 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Kobe drops 42 and LA loses. unreal.

at least this part shouldn't surprise you. you just can't win games going 1 on 1 every posession

**MrVJP** · 12-11-12, 11:00 PM

Originally posted by blanco

at least this part shouldn't surprise you. you just can't win games going 1 on 1 every posession

You watch the game? Clearly wasn't the case. See the rest of the guys stats? He consistently drove and passed to dwight who got hacked. He gave Jamison about 6 tries in the post. Surprising someone can say one can't win games going 1 on 1 every possession when they didn't watch every possession.

**Goat Milk** · 12-11-12, 11:01 PM

Originally posted by blanco

at least this part shouldn't surprise you. you just can't win games going 1 on 1 every posession

I didn't watch the game. But yeah you can win games like that if you play defense. Kobe took a team to the playoffs in 06 doing that bro. There's no reason why CLE should have scored more than 90 pts in this game. No excuse for that.

**Goat Milk** · 12-11-12, 11:12 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Good card tomorrow night. Be smart Goat. Don't go taking Miami because of matchup bullshit.

I like the Nuggets, Cavs, Boston,

**BabyMatrix27** · 12-11-12, 11:13 PM

Goat, you sound like a Laker fan just like myself but im not sold with Mike being the new coach under their run and gun offense... obviously means no defense. Lakers are now what.. like 1-9 when Kobe scores 30+pts! Im going to stay away from betting Lakers until Nash and Pau come back since 2x in a row it ruined my 3team parlay! Last one was losing at home to the Jazz and giving up 117pts...

**t-wizzle** · 12-11-12, 11:13 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

I like the Nuggets, Cavs, Boston,

I like the T-wolves over Denver bro.

**matt1216** · 12-11-12, 11:20 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

I didn't watch the game. But yeah you can win games like that if you play defense. Kobe took a team to the playoffs in 06 doing that bro. There's no reason why CLE should have scored more than 90 pts in this game. No excuse for that.

hope yur not still betting on the lakers. lol

**sbrhgary** · 12-11-12, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I like the T-wolves over Denver bro.

Yes, I even think -2.5 is too low.

**Catchn_Picks** · 12-11-12, 11:27 PM

Looking ahead gang...DEN road trip continues with a Love returned MINN...how long can DEN maintain this great road trip? Seems due to come down sometime.

**Goat Milk** · 12-11-12, 11:32 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

I like the T-wolves over Denver bro.

Revenge factor doesn't mean anything in the NBA. Minnesota will lose that game most likely.

**matt1216** · 12-11-12, 11:33 PM

Originally posted by Catchn_Picks

Looking ahead gang...DEN road trip continues with a Love returned MINN...how long can DEN maintain this great road trip? Seems due to come down sometime.

what r u talking about???? lo denver hasnt done that well on this road trip at all.

**t-wizzle** · 12-11-12, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Revenge factor doesn't mean anything in the NBA. Minnesota will lose that game most likely.

Has nothing to do with revenge.

**MexicanStallion** · 12-12-12, 01:09 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

MIAMI (WIN)/LAKERS ML @ CAVS/DENVER ML @ PISTONS +180

RISK $100 TO WIN $180

PLAY 89: LAKERS -5 (-140)/ DENVER -4 (-140)/BROOKLYN ML(+140) = +606 PARLAY

RISK $50 TO WIN $303

PLAY 90: JOE JOHNSON OVER 17 POINTS -115 (HERITAGE) RISK $57.5 FOR 50

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 91: CAVS TEAM TOTAL UNDER 100 -110 RISK $55 TO WIN $50

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 92: BULLS 2ND HALF PK (SO +7 FOR THE GAME) RISK $110 TO WIN $100

December 11th
1-3-1 (-$107.50)

NBA Season
55-36-2 ($2982.25)

Spreads: 21-12-1 ($1321.75)
Parlays: 6-2 ($1008.00)
Moneylines: 11-3 ($917.50)
Props: 6-2 ($202.50)
Totals: 1-1 ($45.00)
Halves: 9-10 (-$92.50)
Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
TT: 1-4-1 (-$260.00)

**blanco** · 12-12-12, 01:11 AM

Originally posted by MrVJP

You watch the game? Clearly wasn't the case. See the rest of the guys stats? He consistently drove and passed to dwight who got hacked. He gave Jamison about 6 tries in the post. Surprising someone can say one can't win games going 1 on 1 every possession when they didn't watch every possession.

well I did not watch so if tonight was different I take it back but the lakers have been doing awful lately when he's scored 30+ trying to go one on one every possession and look their best when they're moving the ball and everyone's getting looks (denver game).

When you're options are kobe vs a double team, artest for 3, or howard a 1/2 from the line...gonna be a struggle. we'll see if nash can actually change anything

**blanco** · 12-12-12, 01:13 AM

Originally posted by BabyMatrix27

Goat, you sound like a Laker fan just like myself but im not sold with Mike being the new coach under their run and gun offense... obviously means no defense. Lakers are now what.. like 1-9 when Kobe scores 30+pts! Im going to stay away from betting Lakers until Nash and Pau come back since 2x in a row it ruined my 3team parlay! Last one was losing at home to the Jazz and giving up 117pts...

agree man. the lakers used to win games on defense. why did they hire a run and gun coach when they have 2 great big man and no perimeter shooters. someone explain the hire to me

**Goat Milk** · 12-12-12, 01:15 AM

Everyone discounts Nash like he's some scrub. Didn't Nash lead the NBA in assists per game last year? Last I checked the showtime lakers weren't even that great of a defensive team. They were just solid. No one could keep up with their scoring, that was the problem.

**h3da** · 12-12-12, 01:15 AM

Hawks -4 looks like a good play? Thoughts?

**MrVJP** · 12-12-12, 01:18 AM

Originally posted by blanco

well I did not watch so if tonight was different I take it back but the lakers have been doing awful lately when he's scored 30+ trying to go one on one every possession and look their best when they're moving the ball and everyone's getting looks (denver game).

When you're options are kobe vs a double team, artest for 3, or howard a 1/2 from the line...gonna be a struggle. we'll see if nash can actually change anything

I agree somewhat. I watch every possession of every one of their games. Kobe was trusting them and they were bricking. More often than not, he HAS to do this. If Jamison comes out and starts hitting his shots, oddly enough, Meeks hits his shots too. When they aren't, Kobe taking 50 shots IS the best option. If this team cleans up TOs and decides to defend for 48 minutes (tonight was the most they've defended in the D'Antoni era.. it was just too bad that it was for 22 seconds of the shotclock most of the time). In all honesty, they can even win half of these games that they've lost with this defense if they cut the TOs-- especially this type of TO. Hardly ever those out of bounds TOs, always has to be a dimwit pass or lose the handle on the ball for a free 2 on 1.
A decent PG fixes this. Nash is better than decent. Morris is the worst PG in the NBA. Christmas present Delonte West pls mitch

Edit: spelling.

**blanco** · 12-12-12, 01:22 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Everyone discounts Nash like he's some scrub. Didn't Nash lead the NBA in assists per game last year? Last I checked the showtime lakers weren't even that great of a defensive team. They were just solid. No one could keep up with their scoring, that was the problem.

yeah he did but how much can he change without any shooters to zing it to or a big man to dump to that can make his free throws. he was always surrounded with enough players that complimented his style well