NBA Season Thread With Matchup Analysis

**MexicanStallion** · 12-13-12, 01:59 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 93: BROOKLYN -7.5 -110 @ RAPTORS RISK $55 TO WIN $50

PLAY 94: BROOKLYN ML/ROCKETS (-5) -140 RISK $140 TO WIN $100

PLAY 95: BROOKLYN ML/PACERS ML/ROCKETS ML -115 RISK $115 TO WIN $100

PLAY 96: ZACH RANDOLPH OVER 17.5 POINTS (-125) RISK $50 TO WIN $40. HERITAGE.

PLAY 97: NOAH OVER 13.5 POINTS (-125) RISK $37.5 FOR 30. HERITAGE.

PLAY 98: THAD YOUNG OVER 15 POINTS (-125) RISK $37.5 FOR 30. HERITAGE.

PLAY 99: WIZARDS TEAM TOTAL UNDER 97.5 -110 RISK $55 FOR 50

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 100: DENVER NUGGETS +4 -108 (HERITAGE) RISK $108 TO WIN $100

PLAY 101: DENVER NUGGETS -1 +160 (HERITAGE) RISK $50 TO WIN $80

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 102: BROOKLYN 2ND HALF -6 -105 (HERITAGE) RISK $105 TO WIN $100

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 103: AL JEFFERSON OVER 17.5 POINTS (-125) RISK $37.5 FOR 30

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 104: SPURS 1ST HALF -2 -105 RISK $52.5 FOR 50

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 105: SPURS -5 2ND HALF (-115) (HERITAGE). RISK $115 TO WIN $100

December 12th
9-4 (+$450.00)

NBA Season
64-40-2 ($3432.25)

Spreads: 22-14-1 ($1316.75)
Parlays: 8-2 ($1208.00)
Moneylines: 11-3 ($917.50)
Props: 9-3 ($265.00)
Totals: 1-1 ($45.00)
Halves: 11-11 ($50.00)
Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
TT: 2-4-1 (-$210.00)

**Goat Milk** · 12-13-12, 02:03 AM

good job stallion. but i don't think we should consider alt. spreads spreads because there's gonna be a lot of times I take a big alt spread for like +250 or +350 or something. let's keep those sep. that way it's easy to see if i'm doing good or bad on them. other than that i love how you are organizing everything.

**t-wizzle** · 12-13-12, 02:04 AM

Mex do you still play nba?

You were solid a couple years ago I remember.

**sando** · 12-13-12, 02:16 AM

9-4 Great Day.

**MexicanStallion** · 12-13-12, 02:17 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

good job stallion. but i don't think we should consider alt. spreads spreads because there's gonna be a lot of times I take a big alt spread for like +250 or +350 or something. let's keep those sep. that way it's easy to see if i'm doing good or bad on them. other than that i love how you are organizing everything.

I'll separate them in tomorrow's update.

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Mex do you still play nba?

You were solid a couple years ago I remember.

Nope. I may tail some plays here and there for a bet, but I don't really bet it. Just had a really good run.

**Jago2008** · 12-13-12, 03:02 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 105: SPURS -5 2ND HALF (-115) (HERITAGE). RISK $115 TO WIN $100

After thinking Jazz to win this game and watching the first half, I really think the Spurs will come back and win this game. Utah size is an obvious problem for SA, but Parker and Ginobli are driving the ball at will and getting the entire D to collapse. I see quite a few 3s from SA in the 2nd half and for this game to come down to the wire. Duncan is dominating in the post and that's always a good sign. This just feels like one of those games where the Spurs will execute to perfection 2nd half. The pick and roll with Duncan and Parker has been money in the first half and look for them to use that a lot more in the 2nd.

151874770-1	12/12/12 11:55pm	$40.00	$32.52	$72.52	Win	12/12/12 10:35pm NBA Basketball 725 San Antonio Spurs 2nd Half -5 -123* <small>vs</small> Utah Jazz

151874204-1	12/12/12 11:49pm	$20.88	$20.88	$41.76	Win	12/12/12 10:35pm NBA Basketball 725 San Antonio Spurs 3rd Quarter -3 +100* <small>vs</small> Utah Jazz

nice cash, I didn't see this til' now nice pick man. This was an easy win, Spurs always fight back.

**goldengreek** · 12-13-12, 04:04 AM

ROCKETS (-5) -140

???????????????????????????????????????? ??????????????????

was this a 2nd half play ?

no way u got this number when they were laying 10.5

**swordsandtequila** · 12-13-12, 08:40 AM

Originally posted by goldengreek

ROCKETS (-5) -140

???????????????????????????????????????? ??????????????????

was this a 2nd half play ?

no way u got this number when they were laying 10.5

He bought the points. 5Dimes had the same number.

**Catchn_Picks** · 12-13-12, 08:56 AM

**PAULYPOKER** · 12-13-12, 09:15 AM

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 12-13-12, 12:14 PM

Goat killin it.

Kepp up the good work, Goat!

**Byrone09** · 12-13-12, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by swordsandtequila

He bought the points. 5Dimes had the same number.

5Dimes let you buy that game down to -5? I must be totally missing it. What section is that in?

Nevermind, I just found it. What a dumbass I am.

**spippen** · 12-13-12, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

No. Denver was the right call. The stats prove it as well.

And to prove Denver was the right call the proof results in a winner. Pretty simple to me. If they don't cover then they are the wrong call but that is not what happened.

Winner = right call

**cboogie** · 12-13-12, 02:58 PM

what time todays picks comin?

**Snowball** · 12-13-12, 03:01 PM

I bought some goat milk soap from a local farm
highly recommended for the females in your life

etsy.com

http://www.etsy.com/shop/sparrowsoapscompany

**Goat Milk** · 12-13-12, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by goldengreek

ROCKETS (-5) -140

???????????????????????????????????????? ??????????????????

was this a 2nd half play ?

no way u got this number when they were laying 10.5

Why are you writing in bold? Rockets -5 was parlayed with Brooklyn ML for a -140 payout.

**mvanja** · 12-13-12, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

I bought some goat milk soap from a local farm
highly recommended for the females in your life

http://www.etsy.com/shop/sparrowsoapscompany

WTF Goat milk soaps.... 1000's of them.

.... Strange world we live in my friends.... I'm going to see if there is any cat milk soap for my cat so he can find some pussycats around.....

**Tim Gerry Mander** · 12-13-12, 05:05 PM

Nice job goat, keep it up - what do you think about this:

Total Points & Rebounds by Al Horford (ATL)

Over (+28.5) 1.91
Under (+28.5) 1.83

**Goat Milk** · 12-13-12, 05:36 PM

Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander

Nice job goat, keep it up - what do you think about this:

Total Points & Rebounds by Al Horford (ATL)

Over (+28.5) 1.91
Under (+28.5) 1.83

probably over if anything

**Goat Milk** · 12-13-12, 06:04 PM

PLAY 106: DWIGHT HOWARD OVER 20 POINTS -110 RISK $55 TO WIN $50. HERITAGE.

Chandler is a good defender but he doesn't have the lower body strength to guard Howard. Bryant will make Howard one of the focal points of the offense tonight imo and give him quite a few touches. Howard will live at the line as well and if Chandler gets in foul trouble that leaves no one else but Sheed or Kurt Thomas to try and guard Dwight and...yeah, that's not gonna happen. I'm not sure if Camby is active tonight. Gonna make another play on this game and might make a big play on the Spurs/Port game once I see the final injury report.

**Goat Milk** · 12-13-12, 06:14 PM

Will make a live bet in the LA game.

**Dexter** · 12-13-12, 06:45 PM

GM - im going to Barclays tomorrow. Hit me up with a write up in my thread please....i lean det +8 (projected line)

**mvanja** · 12-13-12, 06:49 PM

What do you think about GM :

Knicks/Spurs ml

parlay

-120

Would you play this considering last injury reports?

**The Architect** · 12-13-12, 07:00 PM

last year in 3 meetings vs NYK, Dwight never had more than 12 in a game. just throwing that out there. obvoiusly different circumstances now.

i can't really find anything i like tonight, prob just going to bet 2H totals. bol.

**Goat Milk** · 12-13-12, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by mvanja

What do you think about GM :

Knicks/Spurs ml

parlay

-120

Would you play this considering last injury reports?

looks pretty solid. i have no opinion on the knicks/lakers game

**mvanja** · 12-13-12, 07:21 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

looks pretty solid. i have no opinion on the knicks/lakers game

Ups, hopping that doesn't mean Lakers SU.

**Tim Gerry Mander** · 12-13-12, 08:43 PM

Horford better wake the f up in the second half..... he's sitting on 6 total at HT.

**Goat Milk** · 12-13-12, 09:28 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 106: DWIGHT HOWARD OVER 20 POINTS -110 RISK $55 TO WIN $50. HERITAGE.

Chandler is a good defender but he doesn't have the lower body strength to guard Howard. Bryant will make Howard one of the focal points of the offense tonight imo and give him quite a few touches. Howard will live at the line as well and if Chandler gets in foul trouble that leaves no one else but Sheed or Kurt Thomas to try and guard Dwight and...yeah, that's not gonna happen. I'm not sure if Camby is active tonight. Gonna make another play on this game and might make a big play on the Spurs/Port game once I see the final injury report.

PLAY 107: LAKERS 2ND HALF -3 -105 RISK $105 TO WIN $100

Knicks should be up by at least 30 at the half the way they have shot the ball. It's pretty obvious that they are a better team than the Lakers without 2 of the best players in the nba in the lineup but I actually like the way LA is playing offensively thus far. Feeding the ball to Dwight. Chandler has absolutely no chance of guarding Dwight and neither does sheed. Look for Bryant to impose his will in this second half and start driving to the rim and getting some calls. Artest will take on the challenge of guarding Mello in the 2nd half. Carmello is one of the best one on one players in the nba so there's nothing you can do but just try and make it hard. The Knicks are moving the ball well but everything is a jump shot, literally. Jumpers lead to long rebounds and easy points if you miss them .

**jwjohnboy12** · 12-13-12, 10:13 PM

Anything on SA Port game goat?? maybe props

**matt1216** · 12-13-12, 10:50 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 106: DWIGHT HOWARD OVER 20 POINTS -110 RISK $55 TO WIN $50. HERITAGE.

Chandler is a good defender but he doesn't have the lower body strength to guard Howard. Bryant will make Howard one of the focal points of the offense tonight imo and give him quite a few touches. Howard will live at the line as well and if Chandler gets in foul trouble that leaves no one else but Sheed or Kurt Thomas to try and guard Dwight and...yeah, that's not gonna happen. I'm not sure if Camby is active tonight. Gonna make another play on this game and might make a big play on the Spurs/Port game once I see the final injury report.

better, than a loss but sucks cuz dwight seemed very un interested in the 4th

**Goat Milk** · 12-13-12, 10:53 PM

cash the lakers 2nd half. easy bet. dwight should have cashed. guy played great but the game got a little out of hand so they had to just give kobe the ball in the 2nd half and get outa the way. dwight had like 16 at the half.

johnnyboy 2nd half, i want to see how portland comes out with this lineup.

**Catchn_Picks** · 12-13-12, 11:00 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

better, than a loss but sucks cuz dwight seemed very un interested in the 4th

I had a shot at a O 19.5 but they wanted too much juice...had to take 20

**h3da** · 12-13-12, 11:01 PM

Your thoughts on Lakers -5.5 against Washington tomorrow? Don't think Lakers want to lose another game.. They played okay today and should be able to win against Washington easy. Only worry is back to back.

**Goat Milk** · 12-13-12, 11:06 PM

Originally posted by h3da

Your thoughts on Lakers -5.5 against Washington tomorrow? Don't think Lakers want to lose another game.. They played okay today and should be able to win against Washington easy. Only worry is back to back.

5.5? I dunno about that spread. Lakers should cover that number though as long as wall is still out. Washington doesn't really have any guards besides him that could break down LA's defense. Crawford is a selfish player and will look to shoot the ball 20 times.

**matt1216** · 12-13-12, 11:58 PM

any thoughts on second half? i think spurs will wake up, they been sand baggin it to conserve energy