NBA Season Thread With Matchup Analysis

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  • Goat Milk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 03-24-10
    • 25850

    #1086
    PLAY 121: MEMPHIS +2 -103 RISK $103 TO WIN $100

    The Grizz are just a bad matchup for Utah in my opinion. Utah definitely has the size to hang with them down low but in an earlier game this year Marvin Williams really went after Gay and defended him well. I expect Gay to be sharp after he missed that game tying 3 last night. Randolph didn't get too many touches either and he is a big mismatch for Milsap. Corbin will have to tweak his lineup in-game tonight to adjust because I really don't see Milsap being able to hold his ground down low. Jefferson is a beast but Gasol is a solid post defender and Gasol always gets up for these matchups when he's playing an elite Center. Bayless should be able to work Watson off the dribble, and Ellington Pondexter should play well because other than Hayward, Utah doesn't really have any g/sfs that can do damage. Favors and Kantor are big guys off the bench and imo they are going to have to have big games on the glass for Utah to win this game.
    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
    Comment
    • Bbr
      SBR MVP
      • 08-17-10
      • 3900

      #1087
      Gasol and randolph will clean up the paint tonight. Gay to bounce back. Got a no call last night which prooved costly. Gay will be up and about.
      Comment
      • Goat Milk
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-24-10
        • 25850

        #1088
        BBr i wouldn't pound it bro. It's a rough spot for Memphis on a b2b just coming from Denver and now in Utah. If it was any other circumstance I would pound memphis.
        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
        Comment
        • Bbr
          SBR MVP
          • 08-17-10
          • 3900

          #1089
          Ive got 2.5x ATS and .5x ML. SO yeah, I didnt pound.
          Comment
          • MexicanStallion
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 09-08-08
            • 20429

            #1090
            Will post updates on both nights at the end. Didn't have computer access yesterday.
            Comment
            • Capybara
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-17-08
              • 11803

              #1091
              Originally posted by MexicanStallion
              Will post updates on both nights at the end. Didn't have computer access yesterday.
              Comment
              • Goat Milk
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-24-10
                • 25850

                #1092
                Duncan missed like 4 5 bunnies in the 1st half. not sure he'll be able to hit 17 but he's getting clean looks
                Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                Comment
                • mvanja
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 12-17-11
                  • 250

                  #1093
                  WTF is wrong with T Dancan, 3 pts, 5:36 left in third Q??? Nice one on D Williams dough...
                  Comment
                  • Goat Milk
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 03-24-10
                    • 25850

                    #1094
                    Originally posted by mvanja
                    WTF is wrong with T Dancan, 3 pts, 5:36 left in third Q??? Nice one on D Williams dough...
                    wide open looks. nothing you can do. have a feeling it's gonna be a losing day today.
                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                    Comment
                    • Goat Milk
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 03-24-10
                      • 25850

                      #1095
                      PLAY 122: MEMPHIS -2 (2ND HALF) -105 (HERITAGE) RISK $105 TO WIN $100

                      SO MEMPHIS +8 FOR THE GAME.

                      GASOL got in early foul trouble and never found a rhythm. Gay is somewhat off but he's getting some good looks. Look for Memphis starters to really put their imprint on this second half. I really think Memphis will come back in this game but the way the Jazz bench has been playing makes me think Jazz will still win. I think it'll be a close game though.
                      Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                      Comment
                      • mvanja
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-17-11
                        • 250

                        #1096
                        Actually I'm doing fine with nba, covered 5 units lost on both football games..
                        Comment
                        • Goat Milk
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 03-24-10
                          • 25850

                          #1097
                          Bucks get blown out Ellis doesn't even play the 4th that's the only thing that could have kept that prop from cashing

                          Let's go memphis one time
                          Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                          Comment
                          • Bbr
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-17-10
                            • 3900

                            #1098
                            Griz D stepping up big time. Only thing that will cost us here is if jazz start lighting up from beyond the arc...
                            Comment
                            • JM92
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-27-12
                              • 1140

                              #1099
                              wow tyrone corbin is disapointing me right now. no way caroll and tinsley can be on the floor at the same time against the grizz starting 5. what the hell was he thinkin.
                              Comment
                              • BigDofBA
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 09-30-09
                                • 19313

                                #1100
                                I'm with you on Memphis -2 second half.
                                Comment
                                • Goat Milk
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 25850

                                  #1101
                                  Gasol has been huge this half so far defensively. He is single handedly keeping Memphis in this game despite what the stats may show
                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                  Comment
                                  • Goat Milk
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 03-24-10
                                    • 25850

                                    #1102
                                    Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                    Randolph didn't get too many touches either and he is a big mismatch for Milsap. Corbin will have to tweak his lineup in-game tonight to adjust because I really don't see Milsap being able to hold his ground down low.
                                    Randolph is straight abusing Milsap down low. The Jazz are done. They look defeated.
                                    Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                    Comment
                                    • MexicanStallion
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-08-08
                                      • 20429

                                      #1103
                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                      FRIDAY DECEMBER 14TH

                                      PLAY 109: MAVERICKS -5.5 -110 RISK $55 TO WIN $50
                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                      play 110: Lakers ml/mavs ml parlay +115 risk $200 to win $230
                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk

                                      PLAY 111: LAKERS ML/PACERS ML +102 RISK $100 TO WIN $102

                                      PLAY 112: LAKERS -3 1ST HALF -110 RISK $55 TO WIN $50

                                      PLAY 113: PISTONS +8 -110 RISK $55 TO WIN $50

                                      PLAY 114: VINCE CARTER OVER 12.5 POINTS (-120) RISK $36 TO WIN $30. HERITAGE.
                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                      PLAY 115: DENVER PK -110 RISK $220 TO WIN $200
                                      December 14th
                                      3-3-1 (
                                      +$61.00)


                                      NBA Season
                                      68-44-4 (
                                      $3483.25)

                                      Parlays: 9-3 ($1110.00)
                                      Spreads: 22-14 (
                                      $1263.00)

                                      Moneylines: 11-3 ($917.50)
                                      Props: 9-4-1 ($229.00)
                                      Alt. Spreads: 2-1-1 ($248.75)
                                      Totals: 1-1 ($45.00)
                                      Halves: 12-12-1 (
                                      $40.00)
                                      Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
                                      TT: 2-4-1
                                      (-$210.00)

                                      Comment
                                      • hawley
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 05-10-10
                                        • 14270

                                        #1104
                                        Keep printing that cash boss.
                                        Comment
                                        • MexicanStallion
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 09-08-08
                                          • 20429

                                          #1105
                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                          PLAY 116: BOBCATS -1 -110 RISK $165 TO WIN $150

                                          PLAY 117: TIM DUNCAN OVER 16.5 POINTS -120 RISK $36 TO WIN $30. HERITAGE.

                                          PLAY 118: D. WILL OVER 17.5 POINTS -120 RISK $36 TO WIN $30. HERITAGE.

                                          PLAY 119: MONTE ELLIS OVER 17.5 POINTS -140 RISK $42 TO WIN $30. HERITAGE.
                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                          PLAY 120: MIAMI HEAT TEAM TOTAL OVER 105.5 -110 RISK $55 TO WIN $50
                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                          PLAY 121: MEMPHIS +2 -103 RISK $103 TO WIN $100
                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                          PLAY 122: MEMPHIS -2 (2ND HALF) -105 (HERITAGE) RISK $105 TO WIN $100

                                          SO MEMPHIS +8 FOR THE GAME.
                                          December 15th
                                          3-4 (
                                          -$68.00)


                                          NBA Season
                                          71-48-4 (
                                          $3415.25)

                                          Spreads: 23-15 ($1198.00)
                                          Parlays: 9-3 ($1110.00)
                                          Moneylines: 11-3 ($917.50)
                                          Alt. Spreads: 2-1-1 (
                                          $248.75)

                                          Props: 10-6-1 ($181.00)
                                          Halves: 13-12-1 ($140.00)
                                          Totals: 1-1 ($45.00)
                                          Live: 0-2 (-$160.00)
                                          TT: 2-5-1
                                          (-$265.00)

                                          Comment
                                          • dmtrader
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-26-09
                                            • 1320

                                            #1106
                                            Pretty damn good numbers by Mexican Stallion
                                            Comment
                                            • Goat Milk
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 03-24-10
                                              • 25850

                                              #1107
                                              horrible run last 2 days
                                              Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                              Comment
                                              • bgdog
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 11-23-12
                                                • 15

                                                #1108
                                                Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                horrible run last 2 days
                                                My bad that's on me, 2 days ago is when I started Tailing. The bad luck is infectious
                                                Comment
                                                • Goat Milk
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                  • 25850

                                                  #1109
                                                  Originally posted by bgdog
                                                  My bad that's on me, 2 days ago is when I started Tailing. The bad luck is infectious
                                                  -$7 last two days. too much thinking involved for no profit. let's get it back this week.
                                                  Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                  Comment
                                                  • h3da
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 05-10-10
                                                    • 1331

                                                    #1110
                                                    I think you do better when you have one play per day rather than multiples. Not sure if it's a good method but that's what I do. I choose only one game even though I may like a few and aim to profit 1 unit a day.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • boondoggle
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-29-10
                                                      • 3014

                                                      #1111
                                                      I love all the suggestions from people who do NOT have their own winning thread...lol. Advice is free for a reason......
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MTM
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-28-12
                                                        • 150

                                                        #1112
                                                        Goat milk, love your matchup analysis. I like to read your thoughts cos often I see stats but can't really read into a players strengths and weaknesses.

                                                        Ps.
                                                        If -$7 is a bad run then you're doing better than the rest of us.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • alamo
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-21-09
                                                          • 7131

                                                          #1113
                                                          Thanks for your time and thoughts posted GM. Keep up the good work buddy.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Seto
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-16-11
                                                            • 12906

                                                            #1114
                                                            you like the lakeshow today?

                                                            looks like decent be it spotwise or matchupwise. considering a large play

                                                            Comment
                                                            • alepeviani
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 09-02-12
                                                              • 11

                                                              #1115
                                                              Any thoughts on why Trail Blazers line is so low?? Hornets suck hard, especially on the road
                                                              Comment
                                                              • elPkay
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 11-12-12
                                                                • 79

                                                                #1116
                                                                Originally posted by MTM
                                                                Goat milk, love your matchup analysis. I like to read your thoughts cos often I see stats but can't really read into a players strengths and weaknesses.

                                                                Ps.
                                                                If -$7 is a bad run then you're doing better than the rest of us.
                                                                Well I guess you have to think of it as a job.
                                                                When you go to work, spend hours doing what you do (In this case - gather information about all possible picks)
                                                                I guess every Break even or loss day is bad.

                                                                I don't know if GM does that for a living but I know it from playing Poker. If you grind 10 or 12 tables for a few hours,
                                                                as concentrated as possible, you feel bad when you end up with a break even day after playing 3k hands.
                                                                Even if the bigger picture is more important, just imagine you go to work, work your ass off and then
                                                                don't get paid for it because something happened
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mlb
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-04-09
                                                                  • 10509

                                                                  #1117
                                                                  What....?? It is not possible to win every day, what are you talking about comparing it to work?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sando
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 04-30-12
                                                                    • 3723

                                                                    #1118
                                                                    Goat = The match up king.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ralphie1412
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 01-29-08
                                                                      • 13963

                                                                      #1119
                                                                      you are trying way too hard Goat. Make a bet or two. Quit betting like a 15 year old. Props? C'mon man.
                                                                      "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                                                                      Goat Milk
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Tommy_de1st
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-23-10
                                                                        • 8397

                                                                        #1120
                                                                        Goat knows what he's doing.
                                                                        Btw, do you know if SoV is still around?
                                                                        Comment
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