NBA Season Thread With Matchup Analysis

**The Architect** · 11-29-12, 06:38 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Well...considering a 5th grader could look at lines, then look at public data (percentages) and then correlate the line moves with the numbers, it probably doesn't require much skill.

stupid argument...A fifth grader can also look at a game and say, "the heat have lebron james, he's the best player in the league, so I'll bet the heat." Come on now, you know Line movement considerations are more than just that..factoring opening/closing lines, the vig/juice on each side, comparing different books, etc etc...

But if you're not into that, then thats your prerogative. no need to defend yourself to me.

**JR007** · 11-29-12, 07:40 PM

pay your bills with your winnings, goaty........it's only a matter of time.....you will know when you start" splitting games" it is going the other way

**Dexter** · 11-29-12, 07:47 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Well...considering a 5th grader could look at lines, then look at public data (percentages) and then correlate the line moves with the numbers, it probably doesn't require much skill.

so technical analysts in the stock market dont have any skill at what they do?

cmon goat....

**JR007** · 11-29-12, 08:14 PM

what about the "greek" and the discussion last week in Lakerboy's thread, ????.....

**bodybag** · 11-29-12, 08:25 PM

You would think by winning your haters would be quiet but I guess they can only do what they do best#hate...I say keep winning and getting your 7 chuckles off these losers

**JR007** · 11-29-12, 08:41 PM

don't confuse hate with" practical advice" that smart cappers in this forum are trying to give him

**bodybag** · 11-29-12, 08:56 PM

my apologies...I must have missed it!!!

**The Architect** · 11-29-12, 10:04 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

so technical analysts in the stock market dont have any skill at what they do?

cmon goat....

my point exactly, Lol. no worries though, didn't think I was attacking anything about the way Goat was capping, just was inviting discussion. BOL on nuggs

**goldengreek** · 11-29-12, 10:29 PM

Originally posted by bodybag

You would think by winning your haters would be quiet but I guess they can only do what they do best#hate...I say keep winning and getting your 7 chuckles off these losers

This guy is a big mouth who goes into other people thread and talks non stop shit...why do you think ppl are talking shit, Guy is asshole..who happens to be a square as fuk...and before his recent sucess..horrible gambler

**No coincidences** · 11-29-12, 11:50 PM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Well...considering a 5th grader could look at lines, then look at public data (percentages) and then correlate the line moves with the numbers, it probably doesn't require much skill.

I can't wait to see where you're at a few months from now. Buried like usual. Doesn't surprise me that you're winning now, nor will it surprise me that you're in the red down the stretch of the season.

**Goat Milk** · 11-30-12, 12:23 AM

Check the past thread that I abandoned last year becausae of trolls. Won 2000 on MIami winning the title posted. I ended in the green. Imbeciles. NC only 1/2 guys to make ignore list

he is a puppet here 50000 posts and all talking about simple line moves and theories conspiracies.

Dear NoCoin

It's the perfect storm.

Sincerely,

Sheep's Milk

**t-wizzle** · 11-30-12, 12:28 AM

Lmao.

**You mad bro** · 11-30-12, 01:08 AM

denver is so bad lmao .... blowing leads left and right to this horrible golden state team ... giving up 30+ to david lee?? pleasee denvers a joke

**MexicanStallion** · 11-30-12, 01:19 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

PLAY 41: NUGGETS -1.5 -110 Risk $55

PLAY 42: NUGGETS ML -115 RISK $230

November 29th
0-2 ($-285.00)

NBA Season
28-14 ($1932.25)

Spreads: 13-8 ($378.75)
Moneylines: 7-3 ($507.50)
Halves: 3-3 ($125.00)
Parlays: 4-0 ($851.00)
TT: 1-0 ($70.00)

*2-4 Last 6 Plays*

**goldengreek** · 11-30-12, 02:09 AM

Goat...What are you taking tomorrow ?

Let me guess:

Money Line Parlay: NY , MEMPHIS , OKC

**Goat Milk** · 11-30-12, 02:12 AM

Originally posted by goldengreek

Goat...What are you taking tomorrow ?

Let me guess:

Money Line Parlay: NY , MEMPHIS , OKC

fade the public. make money.

**t-wizzle** · 11-30-12, 02:14 AM

Goat what you think about your Pistons tomorrow night? They matchup well with Memphis.

**Goat Milk** · 11-30-12, 02:17 AM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

Goat what you think about your Pistons tomorrow night? They matchup well with Memphis.

no clue.

i like the sixers and the cavs

**t-wizzle** · 11-30-12, 02:29 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

no clue.

i like the sixers and the cavs

I like both those as well. How is Atlanta 9-4, they aren't that good.

**JR007** · 11-30-12, 08:59 AM

startin to go the other way now, time to jump on the Heat , you have them last nite (non posted play) ????

**Catchn_Picks** · 11-30-12, 09:06 AM

Obv freakish game...wake me up the next time Lee has a game like that.

**Ralphie1412** · 11-30-12, 09:11 AM

Is goat the most delusional person who ever lived? Its the most entertaining part of this site. Brock is a train wreck and old news. Goat is the future.

Does Goat honestly think we forgot about all of his past plays? Youre 28-14 with 7 moneyline wins.

This guy thinks hes the second coming.

**BigBurk** · 11-30-12, 09:22 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

Warriors aren't good. Not even one position on the court they can take advantage of. Dominated at every position.

**europe_baller** · 11-30-12, 09:42 AM

Well.. Warriors hit everything.. i think it was a good play...Why are people so dumb..Nobody makes you come to his thread..people just talk shit.. I have been playin ball all my life on college level and profesionall in europe and being betting all my life.. At least he talks basketball and not just - "ohhh it is B2b game and they are tired so they will lose"or line is going down lets bet..so on so on..So dumb..He is right in 4 game series nuggets would probably beat GSW 4-1 or maybe 4-2...

**BMoreBird** · 11-30-12, 09:46 AM

tonight's a tough card, what are you thinking? bobcats+3.5 ?

**Goat Milk** · 11-30-12, 10:35 AM

PLAY 43: SIXERS -3 -120 RISK $60

PLAY 44: SIXERS ML -150 RISK $300

Analysis about this game later.

**rfr3sh** · 11-30-12, 10:58 AM

Goat your analysis are good however I don't get how you can create a line from them, if you combined your analysis with line movement I beleive you'd be good this way if you think team A is better then team B and the line is moving with you play it but if it's going the other way lay off..

**rfr3sh** · 11-30-12, 11:00 AM

I know it's not your style but if I were you I would work backwards... Open up sbrodds and see which teams lines are moving (preferably not public teams) then for each one of those games analyze angles which they could win and pick the team you feel has the best chance

**No coincidences** · 11-30-12, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by rfr3sh

Goat your analysis are good however I don't get how you can create a line from them, if you combined your analysis with line movement I beleive you'd be good this way if you think team A is better then team B and the line is moving with you play it but if it's going the other way lay off..

Best post in the entire thread, and the only advice you'll ever need. Unfortunately, he won't take advantage.

**thetrinity** · 11-30-12, 11:34 AM

i kinda agree with ref3sh but goats doing just fine as of now so if it aint broke then dont fix it.

**thetrinity** · 11-30-12, 11:35 AM

for as much as he studies the nba he really doesnt have many plays at all

**t-wizzle** · 11-30-12, 11:36 AM

You guys need to just get over it. You have your styles, Goat Milk has his. Why does it bother you that he makes his plays the way he does? It's not your money.

**rfr3sh** · 11-30-12, 11:39 AM

it doesn't bother me... my post wasn't negative or an attack at all
I could understand if I posted that and he was down money and I was saying what he was doing is stupid
if anything I am kind of underlying that I wish I had his NBA knowledge so I could test this myself

**No coincidences** · 11-30-12, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by t-wizzle

You guys need to just get over it. You have your styles, Goat Milk has his. Why does it bother you that he makes his plays the way he does? It's not your money.

rfr was trying to help GM. He's right -- if he combined his sheer knowledge of basketball with respect for lines and movement, he'd truly be an elite capper.

**The Architect** · 11-30-12, 12:07 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

rfr was trying to help GM. He's right -- if he combined his sheer knowledge of basketball with respect for lines and movement, he'd truly be an elite capper.

I mentioned this yesterday and was instantly attacked by him saying that there is no skill in analyzing line movement..There should be no feuds on this site, just a collective pool of sports betting knowledge. But, to each his own.